Study on risk networks to improve risk identification and classification.
problem Biases in risk network generation limit risk management models.
method Alternative methodology for generating weighted risk networks.
result Observed modular topology as a robust risk classification framework.
Framework for managing cyber risks in networks.
problem Managing systemic cyber risks in digital networks.
method Three components: acceptable configurations, risk mitigation interventions, and cost function.
result Effective decision-making for network resilience.
The paper finds stocks with higher dynamic network risk have lower returns.
problem Understanding and pricing short-term and long-term dynamic network risk in stock returns.
method Examined the relationship between stock sensitivities to dynamic network risk and expected returns, using economic theory and empirical analysis.
result A one-standard deviation increase in long-term network risk loadings associates with a 7.66% drop in annualized expected returns.
Measures systemic risk in interconnected financial firms.
problem Contagion effects and systemic risk in financial networks.
method Formal computation of sensitivities (Greeks) in network context.
result Proposes network Δ as a measure of systemic risk. New algorithm assesses credit risk in multilayer networks over time.
problem Quantifying evolving credit risk in complex, interconnected networks.
method Personalized PageRank algorithm for multilayer networks.
result Credit risk evolves and propagates through multilayer networks over time.
Paper tackles complex risk in deep neural networks.
problem Complex risk in deep neural networks.
method Developed new approach for complex risk statistics.
result Derived dual representation for complex risk.
Study reveals how network topology affects credit risk distribution among firms.
problem Understanding how network topology influences credit risk distribution.
method Investigation of a large dataset of Italian firms' payments and credit risk ratings.
result Significant correlations between local topological properties of firms and their risk profiles.
The paper optimizes risk-sharing in decentralized networks.
problem Optimizing risk-sharing among networked agents.
method Analyzes actuarially fair risk-sharing rules among friends in a network.
result Characterizes the optimal signed linear risk-sharing rule.
Network theory assesses systemic risk in the insurance sector.
problem Detecting critical insurance companies in systemic risk.
method Complex network approach with weighted effective resistance centrality.
result Identifies companies with significant influence on network robustness.
New method reduces systemic risk underestimation in interbank networks.
problem Underestimation of interbank contagion risk by maximum entropy method.
method Sparse network reconstruction algorithm using maximum entropy method.
result More reliable estimation of systemic risk in interbank networks.
Study compares empirical systemic risk with balance sheet risk in interbank networks.
problem Disentangling balance sheet risk from network effects in systemic risk.
method Generalised DebtRank dynamics and maximum-entropy approach to compare observed and expected systemic risk.
result Systemic risk levels are compatible but differ significantly during turbulent times.
New method approximates systemic risk using node properties, revealing network structures that amplify risk.
problem Evaluating systemic risk in financial networks using only node properties.
method Approximate method based on node properties (total assets and liabilities) and Monte Carlo simulations.
result Approximation captures a large portion of systemic risk measured by Debt Rank.
Survey examines types of systemic risk in financial networks.
problem Understanding systemic risk in financial networks.
method Taxonomy of systemic risk types and regulatory measures.
result Different types of systemic risk identified.
Algorithm measures sentiment-based network risk in companies.
problem Understanding the relationship between news sentiment and stock price movements.
method Algorithm ranks companies based on news sentiment and co-occurrences, calculating individual and aggregated risks.
result The highest quarterly risk value correlates with a higher chance of stock price decline up to 70 days later.
Optimized financial exposure networks reduce systemic risk by 3.5x without increasing capital requirements.
problem Reducing systemic risk in financial markets without raising capital requirements.
method Optimizing network topology to minimize systemic risk.
result Systemic risk reduced by a factor of approximately 3.5.
Lipschitz networks bound distributional robustness for deep neural networks.
problem Improving robustness of deep neural networks to adversarial perturbations.
method Bounding distributional robust risk with Lipschitz constant of the model.
result Distributional robustness upperbounds adversarial training risk.
GNN improves financial risk detection in dynamic networks.
problem Complex, changing financial networks make traditional risk identification methods ineffective.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for embedded representation learning of financial data.
result GNN enhances the detection of hidden risks and abnormal behaviors in financial networks.
Study quantifies systemic risk in DeFi using network analysis.
problem Systemic risk in decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
method Network-based fragility analysis of TVL dynamics.
result Developed CFI and RCS to quantify structural fragility and risk contribution.
This paper uses graph neural networks to predict SME default risk using transaction and ownership networks.
problem Predicting credit risk for SMEs facing limited financial histories and collateral constraints.
method Graph Neural Networks applied to multilayer network data of SME transactions and ownership.
result Combining network data with traditional data improves credit scoring and models contagion risk.
Network science reveals corruption risk in EU procurement markets.
problem Identifying corruption risk in EU procurement markets.
method Analyzing a large dataset of public procurement contracts using network science.
result Corruption risk is clustered and varies by country, not just by market core or periphery.
Study uses neural networks to predict credit risk in banks.
problem Credit risk management in commercial banks.
method Backpropagation neural network model.
result Neural network model improves credit risk prediction.
New measure assesses systemic risk in financial networks using high-order clustering coefficients.
problem Assessing systemic risk in financial networks.
method Defines systemic risk based on high-order clustering coefficients of nodes in financial networks.
result Empirical experiments show the effectiveness of the new systemic risk measure.
Optimizes financial portfolios to minimize systemic risk.
problem Minimizing systemic risk in financial markets.
method Network optimization to rearrange overlapping portfolios.
result Systemic risk can be reduced by more than a factor of two without harming individual banks.
Proposes a network-based strategy to manage financial market risks.
problem Managing extreme events in volatile financial markets.
method Extreme value theory, network model, maximum independent set, value at risk, expected shortfall.
result Developed portfolio strategies improve risk diversification.
Neural networks assess asset-liability risk over time.
problem Challenging valuation of portfolios with complex products.
method Neural network approach for conditional portfolio valuation.
result Effective risk assessment for banking and insurance portfolios.
Framework simulates systemic risk in South African banking sector.
problem Monitoring systemic risk in banking systems.
method Network-based approach considering shock propagation and systemic market risks.
result Simulated systemic risk spikes align with subjective assessments.
Study ruin probabilities in risk processes on stochastic networks.
problem Ruin probabilities in risk processes on stochastic networks.
method Classification of agents by types, Poisson process for loss propagation, explicit ruin probabilities for infinite network size.
result Explicit ruin probabilities for agents of any type in infinite network size.
Paper presents a neural network method for efficient xVA computation and risk management.
problem High-dimensional counterparty credit risk valuation and management.
method Neural network-based BSDE solver for coupled system of BSDEs for xVA.
result Efficient computation of xVA for high-dimensional portfolios.
New method constructs multilayer networks from financial data, capturing dependencies across different risk factors.
problem Difficult construction of multilayer networks, neglecting time delays and interdependencies.
method Tucker tensor autoregression for direct multilayer network construction.
result Captures within and between connections, identifies strong interconnections between volumes and prices layers.
Solvency II's V@R method hides downside risk, study shows.
problem Solvency II's V@R method fails to capture extreme risks.
method Analyzes distortion risk measures and network portfolio allocations.
result Firms can reduce capital requirements by transferring risk within a network.
This paper optimizes cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
problem Optimizing cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
method Combining strategic behavior of players with contagion dynamics, a method is extended to determine optimal resource allocation based on simple network metrics weighted by risk profiles.
result The asymmetry between attacker and defender valuations drives optimal attack and defense strategies, shaping system resilience.
Paper defines and quantifies safety risks in deep neural networks.
problem Safety concerns in deep neural networks applied to critical sectors.
method Defines safety property, computes maximum safe radius, identifies new risk class, develops algorithm.
result Method achieves competitive performance in safety quantification.
New risk measures for financial networks avoid external capital, reducing systemic risk.
problem Systemic risk in financial networks is underestimated by traditional methods.
method Developed set-valued, intrinsic risk measures for financial networks.
result Systemic intrinsic risk measures are more stable and avoid reliance on external capital.
Network analysis improves risk assessment for surety bonds.
problem Network effects in surety bonds increase risk assessment complexity.
method Modelled contractor network as directed graph, extended Friedkin-Johnsen model with stochastic process.
result Network effects increase average risk for surety organizations.
Study combines intra-risk and contagion risk for SME bankruptcy prediction.
problem Predicting bankruptcy risk of SMEs considering both intra-risk and contagion risk.
method Proposes a novel model using Graph Neural Networks to combine intra-risk and contagion risk.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in bankruptcy prediction.
New risk-dependent centrality measures assess node importance in financial networks.
problem Understanding how external risk levels affect network node importance.
method Developed risk-dependent centrality measures based on SI model of epidemics.
result Observed ranking interlacement phenomenon where nodes can swap positions due to external risk changes.
This paper analyzes the generalization risk of unrolled neural networks using Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimator.
problem Analyzing the generalization risk of unrolled neural networks and its relationship to network design and train sample size.
method Using Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE), the paper analyzes the generalization risk with bias and variance components for recurrent unrolled networks, focusing on the degrees-of-freedom (DOF) component and the trace of the end-to-end network Jacobian.
result DOF is well-approximated by the weighted path sparsity of the network under incoherence conditions on the trained weights, and DOF increases with train sample size and converges to the generalization risk for both recurrent and non-recurrent schemes.
Deep neural networks solve optimal risk sharing problems.
problem Optimally sharing financial positions among agents with different risk measures.
method Neural network-based framework to compute inf-convolution and optimal allocations.
result Convergence of neural network approximations to theoretical values.
Deep neural network with l_1-regularization achieves nearly optimal risk bounds.
problem Achieving optimal risk bounds in deep learning.
method Empirical risk minimization with l_1-regularization.
result Adaptively nearly-minimax risk bound across various function classes.
This review summarizes network models of financial systemic risk.
problem Understanding how financial networks can fail and spread risk.
method Network models of default cascades and interbank networks.
result Recent findings on the structure and dynamics of financial networks.
New portfolio optimization method considers both asset-specific and systemic risks for financial networks.
problem Optimizing portfolios with both idiosyncratic and systemic risks in financial networks.
method Developed a multi-objective optimization model that incorporates idiosyncratic variance and network clustering coefficient.
result Optimal portfolios outperform in terms of return measures and have less drawdown compared to traditional strategies.
Global balance index measures systemic risk in financial networks.
problem Measuring systemic risk in financial networks.
method Defined global balance index based on a diffusive process and linear system.
result Global balance index correlates with systemic risk measures.
Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
The paper analyzes the convergence and properties of deep neural networks.
problem Understanding the convergence behavior and properties of deep neural networks.
method Theoretical analysis of convergence behavior and properties of deep neural networks.
result Proves the uniform convergence of the empirical risk to the population risk and the stability and generalization bounds.
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
Graph neural networks improve systemic risk measures for financial networks.
problem Computing systemic risk measures for graph-structured financial networks.
method Extended permutation equivariant neural networks (X-PENNs) for numerical approximation.
result Graph neural networks outperform other methods in approximating optimal allocations.
Paper proposes a model to predict default risk in networked-guarantee loans.
problem Prediction of default risk in networked-guarantee loans is challenging due to imbalanced data and contagion risk.
method Developed a positive weighted k-nearest neighbors (p-wkNN) algorithm for standalone cases and integrated a data-driven default diffusion model.
result Proposed method outperforms conventional credit risk methods in terms of AUC on real-world data.
Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.
problem Improving cancer risk prediction from family history data using machine learning.
method Developed and trained neural network models on large pedigrees to predict hereditary cancers.
result Neural networks can achieve nearly optimal prediction performance and outperform traditional models in misreported data.