HistNetQ improves quantification tasks by optimizing loss functions and eliminating label requirements.
problem Quantification of class prevalence in bags of examples.
method Permutation-invariant Histograms and deep neural networks.
result HistNetQ outperforms other quantification methods and optimizes custom loss functions.
Quantification is a supervised learning task that consists in predicting, given a set of classes C and a set D of unlabelled items, the prevalence (or relative frequency) p(c|D) of each class c in C. Quantification can in principle be solved by classifying all the unlabelled items and counting how many of them have bee…
Fortuna simplifies uncertainty quantification in deep learning.
problem Improving uncertainty estimates in deep learning models.
method Supports various calibration techniques including conformal prediction and scalable Bayesian inference.
result Simplifies benchmarking and builds robust AI systems.
\emph{Sentiment Quantification} (i.e., the task of estimating the relative frequency of sentiment-related classes -- such as \textsf{Positive} and \textsf{Negative} -- in a set of unlabelled documents) is an important topic in sentiment analysis, as the study of sentiment-related quantities and trends across a populati…
Bayesian meta learning improves uncertainty quantification in regression.
problem Trusting uncertainty quantification in Bayesian regression.
method Trust-Bayes framework for Bayesian meta learning, optimizing for trustworthy uncertainty quantification.
result Lower bounds and sample complexity for trustworthy uncertainty quantification are characterized.
Bayesian uncertainty quantification is flawed, according to new research.
problem Flawed interpretation of Bayesian uncertainty quantification.
method Discussion of Bayesian updating and optimization-based perspective, proposing measures of quality.
result Bayesian uncertainty quantification is not coherent with optimization-based perspective.
A new KDE-based method improves multiclass quantification.
problem Quantifying class prevalence in multiclass settings.
method Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) for multivariate densities.
result KDEy method yields superior quantification performance.
Geometry-aware KDE model improves multiclass quantification.
problem Accurately estimating class prevalence for label shift adaptation.
method Log-ratio representations and Aitchison geometry for compositional data, shrinkage regularization.
result Competitive with state-of-the-art quantifiers, often improving over standard KDE-based baselines.
New GP-based method improves uncertainty quantification for causal functions.
problem Challenges in quantifying uncertainty for causal effects, especially for entire functions.
method GP-based approach using inner-product of observational functions in RKHS, with tractable posterior moments and calibration.
result Improves uncertainty quantification while maintaining causal effect estimation performance.
Unified taxonomy for ML uncertainty in physics, validated.
problem Uncertainty quantification in machine learning for physics.
method Unified taxonomy, principled validation tools.
result Illustrated validation tools with examples.
Proposes PQ, a more precise Bayesian quantifier for prevalence estimation.
problem Uncertainty quantification in prevalence estimation.
method Bayesian quantification methods, focusing on precision and coverage.
result PQ provides more precise and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification.
Bayesian neural network models improve uncertainty quantification in multivariate regression.
problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate regression models with heteroscedastic noise.
method Proposes Bayesian Last Layer neural network models and EM algorithms for parameter learning.
result Capable of disentangling aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
Novel framework for uncertainty quantification in metric spaces.
problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models with metric responses.
method Developed algorithms for large datasets, agnostic to predictive models, with asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees.
result Asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees for special cases, demonstrated in clinical applications.
Quantification is the task of estimating, given a set σ of unlabelled items and a set of classes C={c1,…,c∣C∣}, the prevalence (or `relative frequency') in σ of each class ci∈C. While quantification may in principle be solved by classifying each item in σ and…
Proposes measures for uncertainty quantification using proper scoring rules.
problem Uncertainty quantification for prediction tasks.
method Decomposes proper scoring rules into divergence and entropy components, tailoring uncertainty quantification to specific tasks.
result Flexibility in uncertainty quantification improves performance in selective prediction and active learning.
Develops a framework for inferring causal relationships in networked data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Extracting reliable inference from complex Hawkes network data with uncertainty.
method Statistical inference framework based on maximum likelihood estimation and concentration inequalities of continuous-time martingales.
result Provides a non-asymptotic confidence set for uncertainty quantification.
Optimizes sampling for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.
problem Efficiently selecting samples for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.
method Output-weighted acquisition functions leveraging likelihood ratio to guide sampling towards relevant regions.
result Superiority of the proposed method in uncertainty quantification and rare event identification.
New BNN architectures reduce computational cost for uncertainty quantification.
problem High computational cost in Bayesian neural networks.
method Partial trace-class Bayesian neural networks (PaTraC BNNs).
result Comparable uncertainty quantification with fewer parameters.
SMURF-THP improves Transformer Hawkes process models by providing uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification for Transformer Hawkes process predictions.
method Score matching for learning the score function of event arrival times.
result SMURF-THP outperforms likelihood-based methods in confidence calibration.
Uncertainty Toolbox aids in assessing and improving uncertainty quantification in machine learning.
problem Disparate evaluation metrics and implementations hinder direct comparison of uncertainty quantification results.
method Provides an open-source Python library for assessing, visualizing, and improving uncertainty quantification.
result Facilitates more accurate and comparable uncertainty quantification across different works.
The paper analyzes uncertainty quantification in sparse Gaussian process regression with a Brownian motion prior.
problem Analyzing uncertainty in sparse Gaussian process regression with a Brownian motion prior.
method Theoretical guarantees and limitations for pointwise credible sets are derived for a rescaled Brownian motion prior with a sparse variational Gaussian process method.
result Theoretical characterization of asymptotic frequentist coverage for credible sets, distinguishing conservative and overconfident cases.
A new method quantifies a specific class without labeled data.
problem Quantifying unknown or large number of classes with limited data.
method One-class Quantification (OCQ) and Passive Aggressive Threshold (PAT).
result PAT is the fastest and most accurate algorithm for quantification.
New method quantifies uncertainty at class level for better decision-making.
problem Improving cost-sensitive decision-making in classification tasks.
method Label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures based on non-categorical metrics.
result Proposed measures adhere to desirable properties and improve uncertainty quantification.
Classification is the task of predicting the class labels of objects based on the observation of their features. In contrast, quantification has been defined as the task of determining the prevalences of the different sorts of class labels in a target dataset. The simplest approach to quantification is Classify & Count…
New framework for robust uncertainty quantification in strategic settings.
problem Machine learning model predictions can be strategically altered by informed agents.
method Strategic Conformal Prediction framework
result Theoretical guarantees and experimental validation show remarkable effectiveness.
NCP improves deep classifier uncertainty quantification efficiency.
problem Uncertainty quantification for deep classifiers in high-stake applications.
method Neighborhood Conformal Prediction (NCP) algorithm.
result NCP produces smaller prediction sets than traditional CP methods.
A method constructs a stochastic surrogate from dimensionality reduction results for high-dimensional uncertainty quantification.
problem High-dimensional uncertainty quantification with physics-based models.
method Constructs a stochastic surrogate model from dimensionality reduction results.
result Preserves convenience of sequential dimensionality reduction and Gaussian process regression while overcoming limitations.
Study compares data-driven vs model-based MRS quantification strategies, focusing on resilience to out-of-distribution effects.
problem Resilience to out-of-distribution effects in data-driven MRS quantification.
method Compared three data-driven strategies (supervised regression, self-supervised learning, test-time adaptation) against model-based fitting tools.
result Test-time adaptation proved most resilient to out-of-distribution effects, while self-supervised learning achieved intermediate performance.
New method improves calibration of BayesCG for better uncertainty quantification.
problem Bayesian conjugate gradient method's poor calibration limits its utility.
method Randomized postiteration strategy to enhance posterior calibration.
result The method improves the distribution of posterior errors and enhances uncertainty quantification.
SVGP KAN integrates uncertainty quantification into Kolmogorov-Arnold networks.
problem Uncertainty quantification in scientific machine learning models.
method Sparse variational Gaussian process inference with Kolmogorov-Arnold topology.
result Demonstrated ability to distinguish aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in various scientific applications.
This work uses Sylvester normalizing flows for more accurate metabolite quantification in MRS.
problem Challenges in accurate metabolite quantification in MRS due to spectral overlap, low SNR, and artifacts.
method Bayesian inference framework with physics-informed Sylvester normalizing flows.
result Accurate metabolite quantification, well-calibrated uncertainties, and insights into parameter correlations and multi-modal distributions.
CP-ROC bands improve graph classification accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distributional shifts in graph classification.
method Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands for graph classification, developed for TGNNs and adaptable to GNNs.
result Statistically guaranteed coverage for CP-ROC under local exchangeability condition, improving prediction reliability.
Study benchmarks uncertainty quantification in chest X-ray classification.
problem Reliable uncertainty quantification for medical AI models.
method Evaluation of 13 uncertainty quantification methods on MIMIC-CXR-JPG dataset.
result Insights into effectiveness and disentanglement of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.
A method to select important experts for Gaussian processes to balance computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification.
problem Balancing computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification in Gaussian processes for big data.
method Using graphical models to select important experts and aggregate their predictions while ensuring uncertainty quantification.
result Substantially reduces computational cost of aggregating dependent experts while ensuring calibrated uncertainty quantification.
New federated conformal prediction method addresses label shift for uncertainty quantification.
problem Label shift in federated learning and its impact on uncertainty quantification.
method Quantile regression-based federated conformal prediction method with privacy constraints.
result Method provides valid coverage of prediction sets and differential privacy guarantees.
Efficiently constructs prediction bands with minimal assumptions.
problem Uncertainty quantification for nonparametric, heteroscedastic data.
method Semi-definite programming for data-adaptive prediction bands.
result Strong non-asymptotic coverage properties with minimal distributional assumptions.
The paper improves uncertainty quantification for node classification using distance-based regularization.
problem Uncertainty in deep learning models, especially for node classification tasks.
method Graph posterior networks (GPNs) with UCE loss function, followed by a distance-based regularization.
result The proposed distance-based regularization outperforms state-of-the-art methods in OOD detection and misclassification detection.
This study introduces axioms to assess regression uncertainty measures.
problem Limited formal justification and evaluations of uncertainty measures in regression settings.
method Introduces axioms and analyzes entropy- and variance-based measures in a predictive exponential family context.
result Provides a principled foundation for reliable uncertainty assessment in regression.
This research assesses uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for DTs in nuclear fuel performance.
problem Understanding the reliability and performance of advanced nuclear fuels using DTs.
method Introduces ML-based uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis methods applied to BISON fuel performance code.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of DTs in multi-criteria decision-making for nuclear fuel performance.
New method quantifies uncertainty in imaging problems.
problem Uncertainty quantification in imaging inverse problems.
method Equivariant bootstrapping based on parametric bootstrap algorithm.
result Delivers accurate high-dimensional confidence regions.
E-QRGMM accelerates uncertainty quantification in simulations.
problem Challenges in covariate-dependent uncertainty quantification.
method Integrates cubic Hermite interpolation with gradient estimation.
result Substantially improves computational efficiency and accuracy.
Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.
problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.
Proposes a new method for localized uncertainty quantification in random forests using proximity measures.
problem Localized uncertainty quantification in random forests for improved reliability of predictions.
method Forming localized distributions of Out-Of-Bag (OOB) errors around nearby points defined by similarity measures (proximities) to create prediction intervals for regression and trust scores for classification.
result Localized prediction intervals and trust scores enhance model accuracy and provide higher accuracy-rejection AUC scores than competing methods.
A new method reduces complexity and uncertainty in neural networks.
problem Uncertainty quantification in complex neural networks.
method Condensed Stein Variational Gradient Descent (cSVGD) method.
result Condensed SVGD provides uncertainty quantification on parameters.
Efficiently quantifies uncertainty in subsurface flow using neural networks guided by theory.
problem Uncertainty in dynamic subsurface flow predictions.
method Theory-guided Neural Network (TgNN) for efficient uncertainty quantification.
result TgNN surrogate improves efficiency of uncertainty quantification compared to MC method.
New method improves uncertainty quantification for large batch sizes and misspecified models.
problem Challenges in tuning algorithms for accurate uncertainty quantification in large batch sizes and misspecified models.
method Proposes new discrete-time approximations to SGD and SGLD, proving error bounds for practical tuning.
result Quantitative, non-asymptotic error bounds for accurate predictions of covariance and autocorrelation time.
This research formalizes uncertainty quantification for Universal Differential Equations models.
problem Quantifying uncertainties in Universal Differential Equations models.
method Formalized uncertainty quantification methods for UDEs, including frequentist and Bayesian approaches.
result Evaluation of ensemble, variational inference, and MCMC sampling methods for UDEs.
TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.
problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.