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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · May 202519922001200920172026
48 results for KDE

Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.

problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.

This work addresses dynamic KDE data structures with robustness to adversarial queries.

problem Efficient KDE data structures for dynamic changing data distributions.
method Developed a theoretical framework for KDE data structures that support subquadratic space, sublinear updates, and adaptive queries.
result Theoretical framework and practical implementation of KDE data structures robust to adversarial queries.

Geometry-aware KDE model improves multiclass quantification.

problem Accurately estimating class prevalence for label shift adaptation.
method Log-ratio representations and Aitchison geometry for compositional data, shrinkage regularization.
result Competitive with state-of-the-art quantifiers, often improving over standard KDE-based baselines.

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov models (KDE-MMs) we discuss are nonlinear, nonparametric, fully probabilistic repr…

2018-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Consistency of the kernel density estimator requires that the kernel bandwidth tends to zero as the sample size grows. In this paper we investigate the question of whether consistency is possible when the bandwidth is fixed, if we consider a more general class of weighted KDEs. To answer this question in the affirmativ…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a hybrid model for VaR forecasting using SVR, GARCH, and KDE.

problem Inaccurate VaR estimates due to time-varying volatility and distributional characteristics.
method SVR-GARCH-KDE hybrid model combining nonlinear and nonparametric approaches.
result The SVR-GARCH-KDE hybrid outperforms benchmark models in VaR forecasting, especially for longer horizons.

New sublinear sketches improve ANN and KDE for massive data streams.

problem Efficiently approximate nearest neighbors and kernel density estimation in large datasets.
method Developed sublinear space and query time algorithms for ANN and A-KDE in streaming and sliding-window models.
result Achieved near-optimal trade-offs between memory size and approximation error for ANN.

We study the problem of structured output learning from a regression perspective. We first provide a general formulation of the kernel dependency estimation (KDE) problem using operator-valued kernels. We show that some of the existing formulations of this problem are special cases of our framework. We then propose a c…

2012-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

WS-KDE provides robust confidence bounds for stochastic functions.

problem Optimizing time-consuming black-box functions with stochastic outputs.
method Wilson Score Kernel Density Estimation (WS-KDE) for Bayesian optimization.
result WS-KDE provides reliable confidence bounds for any stochastic function.

Optimizes kernel density ratios for better predictions and information measures.

problem Improving accuracy of kernel density estimates for density ratios.
method Derives an optimal weight function using calculus of variations.
result Reduces bias in kernel density estimates, leading to improved prediction posteriors and information-theoretic measures.

We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this regularization strategy yields low-complexity sparse models where the number of eff…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Modal regression estimates the local modes of the distribution of YY given X=xX=x, instead of the mean, as in the usual regression sense, and can hence reveal important structure missed by usual regression methods. We study a simple nonparametric method for modal regression, based on a kernel density estimate (KDE) of …

2014-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides consistency results for KDE on manifolds with irregular kernels.

problem Analyzing density estimation on manifolds with complex kernels.
method Strong uniform consistency with rates for KDE on Riemannian manifolds with Riemann integrable kernels.
result Strong uniform consistency with rates for KDE on manifolds.

A conservative drifting method improves generative modeling by using KDE gradients, proving convergence rates.

problem Improving generative modeling by addressing non-conservatism issues.
method Proposes a conservative drifting method using kernel density estimator gradients to address non-conservatism.
result Proves finite-particle convergence rates for the conservative method, providing explicit quadrature constants.

This paper presents a simple but effective density-based outlier detection approach with the local kernel density estimation (KDE). A Relative Density-based Outlier Score (RDOS) is introduced to measure the local outlierness of objects, in which the density distribution at the location of an object is estimated with a …

2016-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a method for nonparametric density estimation that exhibits robustness to contamination of the training sample. This method achieves robustness by combining a traditional kernel density estimator (KDE) with ideas from classical MM-estimation. We interpret the KDE based on a radial, positive semi-definite ke…

2011-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A new KDE model prevents singular solutions and accelerates optimization for probabilistic modeling.

problem Adapting to varying densities in data regions for probabilistic modeling.
method Adaptive KDE model with individual bandwidths, LOO-MLL criterion, and modified EM algorithm.
result The proposed models prevent singular solutions and have promising performance.

A new method for Bayesian inference tackles high-dimensional problems.

problem Bayesian inference in high-dimensional settings with kernel density estimation issues.
method Projected Wasserstein gradient descent (pWGD) method to overcome curse of dimensionality.
result pWGD method effectively addresses high-dimensional Bayesian inference problems.

The paper studies kernel smoothing and mean shift for directional data, deriving convergence rates and mode estimation.

problem Statistical and computational problems of kernel smoothing for directional data.
method Generalization of mean shift to directional data, derivation of convergence rates, and investigation of mode estimation.
result Statistical convergence rates of directional KDE and its derivatives, ascending property of directional mean shift, and mode estimation.

In this paper, a nonparametric maximum likelihood (ML) estimator for band-limited (BL) probability density functions (pdfs) is proposed. The BLML estimator is consistent and computationally efficient. To compute the BLML estimator, three approximate algorithms are presented: a binary quadratic programming (BQP) algorit…

2015-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

ROME improves density estimation for multi-modal, non-normal data.

problem Robust multi-modal density estimation in non-normal, highly correlated distributions.
method ROME uses clustering to segment multi-modal data into uni-modal clusters, then combines KDE estimates for each cluster.
result ROME outperforms state-of-the-art methods and is more robust to various distributions.

We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. Our method is a spatiotemporal forecasting model combining scalable randomized Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) methods for approximating Gaussian …

2018-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new noise model for preferential Bayesian optimization using user anchors.

problem Inadequate assumption of homoscedastic noise in human-in-the-loop settings.
method Proposes a heteroscedastic noise model with anchors and a KDE uncertainty map.
result Risk-adjusted performance improvement and clarified anchor placement effects.

New method uses machine learning to estimate sensitivity without binning.

problem Estimating sensitivity of high-dimensional data sets without binning.
method Combines machine-learning classification with likelihood-based inference tests using Kernel Density Estimators.
result Significance estimation is not sensitive to non-smooth probability distributions.

LLMs learn probability density functions in-context, showing distinct learning trajectories.

problem Density estimation of time series data in LLMs.
method Intensive Principal Component Analysis (InPCA) to visualize and analyze LLMs' learning dynamics.
result LLMs follow similar learning trajectories in a low-dimensional InPCA space, distinct from traditional methods.

This paper improves bandwidth selectors for SPBNs to enhance their performance.

problem Suboptimal density estimation and reduced predictive performance in SPBNs due to normal rule bandwidth selection.
method Theoretical framework for state-of-the-art bandwidth selectors (cross-validation and plug-in methods) are established and evaluated.
result Cross-validation selectors outperform the normal rule, especially in high sample size scenarios.

LGKDE learns graph density using neural networks and perturbations.

problem Graph density estimation challenges in capturing structural patterns and semantic variations.
method LGKDE uses graph neural networks to represent graphs as discrete distributions and learns graph metrics via maximum mean discrepancy.
result LGKDE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in graph anomaly detection.

CoDrug uses KDE to create valid prediction sets for drug molecules under covariate shift.

problem Creating reliable uncertainty estimates for drug properties from computational models.
method CoDrug employs an energy-based model and KDE to assess and rectify distribution shift.
result CoDrug reduces the coverage gap by over 35% compared to non-adjusted conformal prediction sets.

A probability density function (pdf) encodes the entire stochastic knowledge about data distribution, where data may represent stochastic observations in robotics, transition state pairs in reinforcement learning or any other empirically acquired modality. Inferring data pdf is of prime importance, allowing to analyze …

2018-07-27abs ↗pdf ↗