Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.
problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.
ML system reduces overdraft fees for Mint users.
problem Overdraft fees burden Americans, leading to financial hardship.
method ML-driven overdraft early warning system (ODEWS).
result Saved $3 million in overdraft fees for Mint customers.
Study on women entrepreneurs' access to finance in France.
problem Inequalities in accessing external finance for women entrepreneurs in France.
method Quantitative approach using data from a representative sample of women entrepreneurs.
result Founder status affects access to external finance; increases success in fundraising but reduces bank finance.
DeFi doesn't fully remove trust, showing run risk and personal character's importance.
problem The need for trust in DeFi despite its code-based approach.
method Natural experiment revealing identities of DeFi participants, including a criminal.
result DeFi doesn't fully remove trust, showing run risk and personal character's relevance.
Study shows LLM-advisors match human performance in eliciting preferences but struggle with conflicting needs and trust.
problem How do LLM-advisors perform in complex financial domains where domain expertise is crucial?
method Lab-based user study with 64 participants, focusing on three challenges: preference elicitation, personalized guidance, and relationship building.
result LLM-advisors can match human performance in preference elicitation but struggle with conflicting needs and trust issues.
Adaptive time decay functions improve financial product recommendation accuracy.
problem Inaccurate recommendations due to static historical data in finance.
method Time-dependent collaborative filtering with personalized decay functions.
result Significant improvements over state-of-the-art benchmarks in financial product recommendation.
In this article, I will present a paradox whose purpose is to draw your attention to an important topic in finance, concerning the non-independence of the financial returns (non-ergodic hypothesis). In this paradox, we have two people sitting at a table separated by a black sheet so that they cannot see each other and …
Causal inference deals with identifying which random variables "cause" or control other random variables. Recent advances on the topic of causal inference based on tools from statistical estimation and machine learning have resulted in practical algorithms for causal inference. Causal inference has the potential to hav…
Method constructs prediction intervals for time-varying individual treatment effects.
problem Accurately quantify uncertainty of individual treatment effects across multiple decision points.
method Conformal inference techniques for time-varying ITEs with weaker assumptions.
result Guaranteed lower bound for coverage dependent on data non-exchangeability.
Many problems in finance are related to first passage times. Among all of them, we chose three on which we contributed personally. Our first example relates Kolmogorov-Smirnov like goodness-of-fit tests, modified in such a way that tail events and core events contribute equally to the test (in the standard Kolmogorov-S…
Study examines if LLMs' trading styles match real market behavior.
problem Lack of behavioral consistency in LLMs' trading strategies.
method Year-long simulations with LLMs, operationalizing behavioral finance drivers, and comparing with financial theory.
result LLMs' strategy switching is only partially consistent with behavioral finance theories.
FinTech uses data science and AI to transform finance.
problem Transforming finance with data science and AI.
method DSAI techniques including complex system methods, quantitative methods, etc.
result DSAI enables smart FinTech for various financial sectors.
Over the past decade, contextual bandit algorithms have been gaining in popularity due to their effectiveness and flexibility in solving sequential decision problems---from online advertising and finance to clinical trial design and personalized medicine. At the same time, there are, as of yet, surprisingly few options…
Over the past few years, the futures market has been successfully developing in the North-West region. Futures markets are one of the most effective and liquid-visible trading mechanisms. A large number of buyers are forced to compete with each other and raise their prices. A large number of sellers make them reduce pr…
Procedure verifies if machine learning models assign fixed predictions that preclude access.
problem Models assign fixed predictions that preclude access to credit and employment.
method Model-agnostic recourse verification with reachable sets.
result Models can inadvertently preclude access by assigning fixed predictions.
This dissertation reports work where physics methods are applied to financial and economical problems. The first part studies stock market data (chapter 1 to 5). The second part is devoted to personal income in the USA (chapter 6). We first study the probability distribution of stock returns at mesoscopic time lags (re…
This paper proposes a novel approach for constructing effective personalized policies when the observed data lacks counter-factual information, is biased and possesses many features. The approach is applicable in a wide variety of settings from healthcare to advertising to education to finance. These settings have in c…
The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.
problem Reducing household bankruptcy risk through effective financial planning.
method Mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis.
result The 1/3 Financial Rule emerges as a robust solution for supporting household financial stability.
Though used extensively, the concept and process of machine learning (ML) personalization have generally received little attention from academics, practitioners, and the general public. We describe the ML approach as relying on the metaphor of the person as a feature vector and contrast this with humanistic views of th…
DP-CDA generates synthetic data to enhance privacy in high-dimensional datasets.
problem Privacy concerns in anonymized datasets, especially in high-dimensional data.
method Randomized mixing of privacy-sensitive data in a class-specific manner with carefully tuned randomness.
result DP-CDA provides stronger privacy guarantees compared to existing methods, maintaining utility.
Adaptive personalized federated learning improves local model personalization.
problem Maximizing global model performance limits local model personalization.
method APFL algorithm trains local models while contributing to global model, with optimal mixing parameter and communication-efficient optimization.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of personalization schema and correctness of generalization theories.
Framework generates personalized insulin treatment strategies using deep models.
problem Developing optimal personalized treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
method Combines deep generative time series models with decision theory.
result Demonstrated improved personalized insulin treatment strategies for diabetes patients.
Two firms compete in a financial market, choosing dividend strategies to avoid default and maximize profits.
problem Strategic interaction between two financially constrained firms in a market with default risk.
method Construct Nash equilibria in feedback form for a class of two-person stochastic games of singular control.
result Explicit identification of optimal strategies and equilibrium payoffs for different initial conditions.
FMP improves personalized ASR models on private devices.
problem Limited accuracy and privacy in federated fine-tuning of ASR models.
method FMP estimates global and personalized marginal distributions and adjusts NNLM probabilities.
result FMP achieves modest WER reductions on ASR rescoring tasks.
Federated learning is a distributed, on-device computation framework that enables training global models without exporting sensitive user data to servers. In this work, we describe methods to extend the federation framework to evaluate strategies for personalization of global models. We present tools to analyze the eff…
Generative framework unifies and improves personalized learning and estimation methods.
problem Statistical heterogeneity in client data motivates personalized learning models.
method Generative framework unifies and suggests new personalized learning and estimation algorithms.
result AdaPeD algorithm numerically outperforms known algorithms.
A new federated multi-armed bandit framework with personalization balances generalization and personalization.
problem Balancing generalization and personalization in federated multi-armed bandits.
method Proposed a Personalized Federated Upper Confidence Bound (PF-UCB) algorithm to achieve a O(log(T)) regret. result PF-UCB achieves an O(log(T)) regret regardless of personalization degree and has similar instance dependency to lower bound. Missing data enhances privacy in differential privacy.
problem Privacy preservation in datasets with missing values.
method Formalized missing data as a privacy amplification mechanism within differential privacy.
result Incomplete data can yield privacy amplification for differentially private algorithms.
Survival analysis in the presence of multiple possible adverse events, i.e., competing risks, is a pervasive problem in many industries (healthcare, finance, etc.). Since only one event is typically observed, the incidence of an event of interest is often obscured by other related competing events. This nonidentifiabil…
The Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) is a popular personality metric that uses four dichotomies as indicators of personality traits. This paper examines the use of pre-trained language models to predict MBTI personality types based on scraped labeled texts. The proposed model reaches an accuracy of 0.47 for correct…
Unified proof for scalable personalized federated learning.
problem Personalized federated learning under asynchronous updates.
method Unified proof for asynchronous federated learning with bounded staleness applied to MAML and ME personalization frameworks.
result Unified proof for convergence to first-order stationary point for smooth and non-convex functions.
Explanation in machine learning and related fields such as artificial intelligence aims at making machine learning models and their decisions understandable to humans. Existing work suggests that personalizing explanations might help to improve understandability. In this work, we derive a conceptualization of personali…
Existing Recommender Systems mainly focus on exploiting users' feedback, e.g., ratings, and reviews on common items to detect similar users. Thus, they might fail when there are no common items of interest among users. We call this problem the Data Sparsity With no Feedback on Common Items (DSW-n-FCI). Personality-base…
This paper analyzes the trade-off between accuracy and communication in personalized federated learning.
problem The accuracy-communication trade-off in personalized federated learning.
method The paper provides a quantitative characterization of the personalization degree on the trade-off, establishing minimax optimality.
result The paper offers theoretical insights for choosing the personalization degree and validates the results on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Personalized sleep staging achieved with single-night data using KL-divergence regularization.
problem Improving automatic sleep staging accuracy with limited single-night data.
method KL-divergence regularization for transfer learning from a pretrained model to a personalized model.
result Personalized sleep staging accuracy of 79.6% with KL-divergence regularization.
System interprets complex treatment effects for personalized policies.
problem Complex, hard-to-understand treatment effect models.
method Scalable, interpretable personalized experimentation system.
result Learned explanations and generated interpretable policies.
FSPO optimizes synthetic preferences for LLM personalization.
problem Personalizing large language models for diverse users.
method FSPO reframes reward modeling as a meta-learning problem, using few labeled preferences and synthetic data.
result FSPO achieves high winrates in personalized responses, both synthetic and real.
Guarantees for third-person imitation learning from offline data.
problem Improving generalizability in imitation learning.
method Problem-dependent statistical learning guarantees for third-person imitation from offline observation.
result Strong performance guarantees for transferred policies in the offline setting.
Perceived personality traits attributed to an individual do not have to correspond to their actual personality traits and may be determined in part by the context in which one encounters a person. These apparent traits determine, to a large extent, how other people will behave towards them. Deep neural networks are inc…
The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.
problem Analyzing time inconsistency in inter-personal decision-making under non-exponential discounting.
method Iterative procedures and Zorn's lemma to find Nash equilibria between players' intra-personal equilibria.
result Inter-personal equilibria exist and depend on the impatience levels of the players.
Group personalization improves FL performance in heterogeneous client data.
problem Mitigating client drift in federated learning with heterogeneous data.
method Fine-tuning a global FL model over homogeneous groups of clients, then personalizing each group's model.
result The proposed method achieves superior personalization performance compared to other FL approaches.
LP-FT improves personalized model training in FL by balancing generalization and personalization.
problem Federated Learning struggles with balancing global generalization and local personalization due to non-identical data distributions.
method Adapting Linear Probing followed by full Fine-Tuning (LP-FT) to the FL setting.
result LP-FT outperforms standard fine-tuning in balancing personalization and generalization across various datasets and PFT variants.
Study assesses whether RL algorithm personalizes treatment sequences.
problem Evaluate if RL algorithm truly personalizes treatment sequences.
method Resampling-based methodology to investigate personalization.
result RL algorithm's personalization may be due to stochasticity.
The paper explores fairness, welfare, and equity in personalized pricing across various applications.
problem Interplay of fairness, welfare, and equity in personalized pricing based on customer features.
method Comprehensive literature review and observational metrics without underlying valuation distribution assumptions.
result Personalized pricing can expand access, improve welfare, and increase revenue or budget utilization.
pFedMe uses Moreau envelopes to improve personalized FL performance.
problem Statistical diversity among clients limits FL performance.
method pFedMe employs Moreau envelopes as clients' regularized loss functions in a bi-level optimization problem.
result pFedMe achieves state-of-the-art convergence rates and superior empirical performance.
We discuss training techniques, objectives and metrics toward personalization of deep learning models. In machine learning, personalization addresses the goal of a trained model to target a particular individual by optimizing one or more performance metrics, while conforming to certain constraints. To personalize, we i…
A new Federated Learning approach balances personalization and global training.
problem Breaking the curse of data heterogeneity in Federated Learning.
method Splitting variables into global and local parameters, using a simple algorithm.
result The approach allows each client to fit their data perfectly, breaking the curse of data heterogeneity.
Investors usually resort to financial advisors to improve their investment process until the point of complete delegation on investment decisions. Surely, financial advice is potentially a correcting factor in investment decisions but, in the past, the media and regulators blamed biased advisors for manipulating the ex…