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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · Nov 201819922001200920172026
48 results for criminal

Machine learning predicts criminal networks' missing partnerships and future behavior.

problem Predicting and understanding criminal networks' properties and future behavior.
method Combining graph representation learning and machine learning methods.
result Outstanding accuracy in predicting missing criminal partnerships and future behavior.

New model detects hidden group structures in criminal networks.

problem Challenges in identifying group structures in criminal networks with noisy data.
method Developed an extended stochastic block model (ESBM) to infer group structures.
result Unveiled complex block structures in an Italian mafia network.

Paper uses conformal prediction sets to make criminal justice risk assessments fairer.

problem Fairness issues in criminal justice risk assessment algorithms.
method Adopting conformal prediction sets to remove unfairness from algorithms and covariates.
result Constructs confusion tables and measures fairness effectively free of racial differences.

Objectives: Discussions of fairness in criminal justice risk assessments typically lack conceptual precision. Rhetoric too often substitutes for careful analysis. In this paper, we seek to clarify the tradeoffs between different kinds of fairness and between fairness and accuracy. Methods: We draw on the existing liter…

2017-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Potential violent criminals will often need to go through a sequence of preparatory steps before they can execute their plans. During this escalation process police have the opportunity to evaluate the threat posed by such people through what they know, observe and learn from intelligence reports about their activities…

2019-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Inspection-L detects illicit cryptocurrency transactions using GNNs and self-supervised learning.

problem Detect illicit cryptocurrency transactions for anti-money laundering.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) framework based on self-supervised Deep Graph Infomax (DGI) and Graph Isomorphism Network (GIN) with supervised learning algorithms.
result Inspection-L outperforms state-of-the-art methods in key classification metrics.

We present a new approach for mitigating unfairness in learned classifiers. In particular, we focus on binary classification tasks over individuals from two populations, where, as our criterion for fairness, we wish to achieve similar false positive rates in both populations, and similar false negative rates in both po…

2017-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach to algorithmic fairness for human-AI collaboration considers compliance with human decisions.

problem Current fairness approaches assume perfect human compliance, but real-world compliance is often poor.
method Defines compliance-robustly fair algorithms and proposes an optimization strategy to improve fairness.
result Algorithmic recommendations can improve fairness even if humans do not fully comply with fair algorithms.

Whereas previous post-processing approaches for increasing the fairness of predictions of biased classifiers address only group fairness, we propose a method for increasing both individual and group fairness. Our novel framework includes an individual bias detector used to prioritize data samples in a bias mitigation a…

2018-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Predictive modeling is increasingly being employed to assist human decision-makers. One purported advantage of replacing human judgment with computer models in high stakes settings-- such as sentencing, hiring, policing, college admissions, and parole decisions-- is the perceived "neutrality" of computers. It is argued…

2016-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose definitions of fairness in machine learning and artificial intelligence systems that are informed by the framework of intersectionality, a critical lens arising from the Humanities literature which analyzes how interlocking systems of power and oppression affect individuals along overlapping dimensions inclu…

2018-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-discrimination is a recognized objective in algorithmic decision making. In this paper, we introduce a novel probabilistic formulation of data pre-processing for reducing discrimination. We propose a convex optimization for learning a data transformation with three goals: controlling discrimination, limiting distor…

2017-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Method interprets deep learning models using topological data analysis.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models, especially in high-risk applications.
method Topological and geometric data analysis to infer features and decision-making mechanisms of DL models.
result Extracted subgraphs reveal relevant features for model decisions, demonstrating model's reliance on pertinent data.

Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

Settings such as lending and policing can be modeled by a centralized agent allocating a resource (loans or police officers) amongst several groups, in order to maximize some objective (loans given that are repaid or criminals that are apprehended). Often in such problems fairness is also a concern. A natural notion of…

2018-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Solutions of an implicit ODE form a web. Already for cubic ODEs the 3-web of solutions has a nontrivial local invariant, namely the curvature form. Thus any local classification of implicit ODEs necessarily has functional moduli if no restriction on the class of ODEs is imposed. Here the most symmetric case of hexagona…

2008-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The changing nature of the relationship between a retail bank and its customers is examined, particularly with respect to new financial concepts, debt and regulation. The traditional image of a bank is portrayed as a physical building a classical Doric portico. This image conveys concepts of service, soundness, strengt…

2017-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Recidivism prediction provides decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend that can be used in pre-trial decision-making. It can also be used for prediction of locations where crimes most occur, profiles that are more likely to commit violent crimes. While such instrumen…

2019-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Payment card fraud causes multibillion dollar losses for banks and merchants worldwide, often fueling complex criminal activities. To address this, many real-time fraud detection systems use tree-based models, demanding complex feature engineering systems to efficiently enrich transactions with historical data while co…

2020-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly involved in sensitive decision-making process with adversarial implications on individuals. This paper presents mdfa, an approach that identifies the characteristics of the victims of a classifier's discrimination. We measure discrimination as a violation of multi-differenti…

2019-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent attempts to achieve fairness in predictive models focus on the balance between fairness and accuracy. In sensitive applications such as healthcare or criminal justice, this trade-off is often undesirable as any increase in prediction error could have devastating consequences. In this work, we argue that the fair…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The study improves crime prediction using Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info.

problem Improving crime prediction models using diverse data sources.
method Combining Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info for crime prediction.
result The proposed model enhances classification performance in crime prediction.

Intersectionality is a framework that analyzes how interlocking systems of power and oppression affect individuals along overlapping dimensions including race, gender, sexual orientation, class, and disability. Intersectionality theory therefore implies it is important that fairness in artificial intelligence systems b…

2018-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are pow- erful generative models based on providing feed- back to a generative network via a discriminator network. However, the discriminator usually as- sesses individual samples. This prevents the dis- criminator from accessing global distributional statistics of generated samp…

2018-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning systems make extensive use of large amounts of data regarding human behaviors. Several researchers have found various discriminatory practices related to the use of human-related machine learning systems, for example in the field of criminal justice, credit scoring and advertising. Fair machine le…

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider settings in which the right notion of fairness is not captured by simple mathematical definitions (such as equality of error rates across groups), but might be more complex and nuanced and thus require elicitation from individual or collective stakeholders. We introduce a framework in which pairs of individ…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We study an online classification problem with partial feedback in which individuals arrive one at a time from a fixed but unknown distribution, and must be classified as positive or negative. Our algorithm only observes the true label of an individual if they are given a positive classification. This setting captures …

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗