A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study on women entrepreneurs' access to finance in France.
Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.
Study builds dataset and benchmarks ML models for accurate solar and wind power forecasting in France.
Using the theory of Weyl structures, we give a natural generalization of the notion of essential conformal structures and conformal Killing fields to arbitrary parabolic geometries. We show that a parabolic structure is inessential whenever the automorphism group acts properly on the base space. As a corollary of the g…
In a crisis of public finances, France bases all its hopes on the "evaluation of performance" to moderate the effects of a complex crisis. Under the banner of "modernization of the State", a new "financial constitution" called the Organic Law on finance laws (LOLF) became the main lever of reform of public management. …
These are largely expanded notes from lectures on Higgs moduli and abelianisation given in Angers, France (2014) and Guaruja, Brazil (2015). Dedicated to Ugo Bruzzo on his 60-th birthday. Version 2: minor corrections.
Study of public and private VC relationships in France using qualitative methods.
SVM methods improve tack coat classification in French pavements.
The Oseledets Multiplicative Ergodic theorem is a basic result with numerous applications throughout dynamical systems. These notes provide an introduction to this theorem, as well as subsequent generalizations. They are based on lectures at summer schools in Brazil, France, and Russia.
Rainfall ensemble forecasts have to be skillful for both low precipitation and extreme events. We present statistical post-processing methods based on Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) and Gradient Forests (GF) with a parametric extension for heavy-tailed distributions. Our goal is to improve ensemble quality for all t…
This paper examines quantile dependence between international stock markets and evaluates its use for improving volatility forecasting. First, we analyze quantile dependence and directional predictability between the US stock market and stock markets in the UK, Germany, France and Japan. We use the cross-quantilogram, …
For the last few years, the amount of data has significantly increased in the companies. It is the reason why data analysis methods have to evolve to meet new demands. In this article, we introduce a practical analysis of a large database from a telecommunication operator. The problem is to segment a territory and char…
This short note is intended as a "Letter to the Editor" Perspective in order that it serves as a contribution, in view of reaching the physics community caring about rare events and scaling laws and unexpected findings, on a domain of wide interest: sport and money. It is apparent from the data reported and discussed b…
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, p(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+ A2, where A0, A1, and A2 are empirical country-specific coefficients, was found for developed economies. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by A0=-1, A1=4, A2=0.095, t0=…
This paper assesses the role of financial performance in explaining firms' investment dynamics in the wine industry from the three European Union (EU) largest producers. The wine sector deserves special attention to investigate firms' investment behavior given the high competition imposed by the latecomers. More precis…
Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the link between the rate of labor participation and real GDP per capita. New result…
Foreign exchange markets show that currency units (= accounting or nominal price units) are variables. Technical and economic progress evidence that the consumer baskets (= purchasing power units or real price units) are also variables. In contrast, all physical measurement units are constants and either defined in the…
We point out a simple equities trading strategy that allows a sufficiently large, market-neutral, quantitative hedge fund to achieve outsized returns while simultaneously contributing significantly to increasing global wealth inequality. Overnight and intraday return distributions in major equity indices in the United …
A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.
Study uses satellite and lidar data to map forest height and biomass in France.
We preset a computational study of bending models for the curvature elasticity of lipid bilayer membranes that are relevant for simulations of vesicles and red blood cells. We compute bending energy and forces on triangulated meshes and evaluate and extend four well established schemes for their approximation: Kantor a…
Adaptive models improve electricity demand forecasting during lockdown.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
In last years, we hear about halal products in non- Muslim societies including European and American ones. In France, for example, sales of halal products sold in stores during the year 2010, increased 23 % and represented 5.5 billion euros, including 1.1 billion for the fast food, and it has not stopped growing since.…
The present volume is the written version of the series of lectures the author delivered at the Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium during the period of June-July, 1990. The main purpose of these talks is to present some of author's work and also his joint works with Professor T. Nagano and Professor Y. Tazawa of Ja…
This text is the extended version of a talk given at 6th Meeting of Integrable Systems and Quantum Filed Theory at Peyresq hold from June 10 2006 to June 17, 2006 at Peyresq, France. The goal of this lecture is to give a brief introduction to Cartan-Kähler's theory. As examples to the application of this theory, we cho…
We utilize long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy as input variables for the Efficiency Index [Kristoufek & Vosvrda (2013), Physica A 392]. This way, we are able to comment on stock market efficiency after controlling for different types of inefficiencies. Applying the methodology on 38 stock marke…
SwiGAN generates drought scenarios for climate risk management.
Lisa Jeffrey and Frances Kirwan developed an integration theory for symplectic reductions. That is, given a symplectic manifold with symplectic group action, they developed a way of pulling the integration of forms on the reduction back to an integration of group-equivariant forms on the original space. We seek an anal…
A quantitative model is presented linking the rate of inflation and unemployment to the change in the level of labor force. The link between the involved variables is a linear one with all coefficients of individual and generalized models obtained empirically. To achieve the best fit between measured and predicted time…
This note examines financial distributions to competing teams at the end of the most famous multiple stage professional (male) bicyclist race, TOUR DE FRANCE. A rank-size law (RSL) is calculated for the team financial gains. The RSL is found to be hyperbolic with a surprisingly simple decay exponent (about equal to -1)…
The abstract discusses open data resources for studying and controlling the spread of COVID-19.
We consider the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the global stock market before, during, and after the crisis. We generate complex networks from a cross-correlation matrix such as the threshold network (TN) and the minimal spanning tree (MST). In the threshold network, we assign a threshold value by using…
Labor productivity in developed countries is analyzed and modeled. Modeling is based on our previous finding that the rate of labor force participation is a unique function of GDP per capita. Therefore, labor productivity is fully determined by the rate of economic growth, and thus, is a secondary economic variable. In…
In this paper, we discuss the impact of some mortality data anomalies on an internal model capturing longevity risk in the Solvency 2 framework. In particular, we are concerned with abnormal cohort effects such as those for generations 1919 and 1920, for which the period tables provided by the Human Mortality Database …
On Jan. 1, 1999 the European Union introduced a common currency Euro (), to become the legal currency in all eleven countries which form the . In order to test the behavior and understand various features, the exchange rate is artificially extrapolated back to 1993 by a linear superposition of the…
Embedding theorem for tractor bundles applied to conformal geometry.
Crooked planes were defined by Drumm to bound fundamental polyhedra in Minkowski space for Margulis spacetimes. They were extended by Frances to closed polyhedral surfaces in the conformal compactification of Minkowski space (Einstein space) which we call crooked surfaces. The conformal model of anti-de Sitter space is…
In this paper we extend the works of Tancer and of Malgouyres and Francés, showing that -collapsibility is NP-complete for except . By -collapsibility we mean the following problem: determine whether a given -dimensional simplicial complex can be collapsed to some -dimensional sub…
The present study deals with the analysis and mapping of Swiss franc interest rates. Interest rates depend on time and maturity, defining term structure of the interest rate curves (IRC). In the present study IRC are considered in a two-dimensional feature space - time and maturity. Geostatistical models and machine le…
In this work, we combine two different ranking methods together with several other predictors in a joint random forest approach for the scores of soccer matches. The first ranking method is based on the bookmaker consensus, the second ranking method estimates adequate ability parameters that reflect the current strengt…
We prove analogues for Cartan geometries of Gromov's major theorems on automorphisms of rigid geometric structures. The starting point is a Frobenius theorem, which says that infinitesimal automorphisms of sufficiently high order integrate to local automorphisms. Consequences include a stratification theorem describing…
These are notes from the lecture of Devavrat Shah given at the autumn school "Statistical Physics, Optimization, Inference, and Message-Passing Algorithms", that took place in Les Houches, France from Monday September 30th, 2013, till Friday October 11th, 2013. The school was organized by Florent Krzakala from UPMC & E…
We study the performance of the euro/Swiss franc exchange rate in the extraordinary period from September 6, 2011 and January 15, 2015 when the Swiss National Bank enforced a minimum exchange rate of 1.20 Swiss francs per euro. Based on the analogy between Brownian motion in finance and physics, the first-order effect …
Examines how extending home loan durations affects French households financially.
We present Breizhcrops, a novel benchmark dataset for the supervised classification of field crops from satellite time series. We aggregated label data and Sentinel-2 top-of-atmosphere as well as bottom-of-atmosphere time series in the region of Brittany (Breizh in local language), north-east France. We compare seven r…
We investigate conformal actions of cocompact lattices in higher-rank simple Lie groups on compact pseudo-Riemannian manifolds. Our main result gives a general bound on the real-rank of the lattice, which was already known for the action of the full Lie group by a result of Zimmer. When the real-rank is maximal, we pro…
This paper analyzes Libor interest rates for seven different maturities and referred to operations in British Pounds, Euro, Swiss Francs and Japanese Yen, during the period years 2001 to 2015. The analysis is performed by means of two quantifiers derived from Information Theory: the permutation Shannon entropy and the …