Study analyzes financial intermediation costs in decentralized lending protocols.
problem Understanding the cost of financial intermediation in decentralized lending protocols.
method Analysis of publicly available data on rates, supply, borrow activity, and accounts.
result Ex-post margins are 1% and lower for stablecoin markets.
In this paper we show similarities between turbulence and financial systems. Motivated by similarities between the two systems, we construct a multiscale model for hierarchical financial structures that exhibits a constant cascade of wealth from large financial entities to small financial entities. According to our mod…
We consider a problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption in the framework of an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market. We show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the validity of key assertions of the theory is that the value functions of the primal and dual problems are finit…
Summarizes financial news for better investment decisions.
problem Information overload from financial news hinders timely investment decisions.
method Personalized Chain-of-Thought summarization framework integrating user-specified keywords.
result Personalized summaries highlight relevant market signals, improving investment narratives.
We consider a problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment in an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market. We establish the key assertions of the utility maximization theory assuming that both primal and dual value functions are finite in the interiors of their domains a…
Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.
problem Determining which students to target for financial aid renewal to maximize effectiveness.
method Used causal forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects and targeted students accordingly; compared targeting low vs high predicted probability outcomes.
result Targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes yields the highest effectiveness in financial aid renewal.
We consider the problem of decomposing monetary risk in the presence of a fully traded market in {\it some} risks. We show that a mark-to-market approach to pricing leads to such a decomposition if the risk measure is time-consistent in the sense of Delbaen.
The study examines how including additional call option prices affects model-independent price bounds for exotic derivatives.
problem Improving model-independent price bounds for exotic derivatives using additional call option prices.
method Characterization of market settings that guarantee improved price bounds and exclusion of any improvement.
result The inclusion of additional call option prices can significantly impact model-independent price bounds.
The paper extends utility maximization by integrating partial information and robust VaR constraints.
problem Optimal investment under partial information and robust VaR-type constraints.
method Combines partial information and robust regulatory constraints (VaR) to solve the utility maximization problem.
result Optimal wealth is a decreasing function of state price density, and depends on the overall evolution of the estimated market price of risk.
This is a short review in honor of B. Mandelbrot's 80st birthday, to appear in W ilmott magazine. We discuss how multiplicative cascades and related multifractal ideas might be relevant to model the main statistical features of financial time series, in particular the intermittent, long-memory nature of the volatility.…
This paper analyzes microstructure dynamics in coupled markets using CFMMs.
problem Quantifying contributions of CFMMs to market dynamics in coupled markets.
method Examined constant function market makers (CFMMs) in coupled markets, focusing on basket inflation/deflation.
result CFMMs contribute significantly to basket inflation/deflation in coupled markets.
Quantum algorithm for pricing European call options.
problem Accurate valuation of financial derivatives, especially for complex models and options.
method Transforms classical FFT into quantum QFT for pricing European call options.
result Quantum algorithm outperforms classical Monte Carlo simulation in NISQ era.
LLMs compress financial texts, but distort decision-making.
problem LLMs compress financial texts, altering decision-making.
method Analyzed two diagnostic patterns: decontextualization and model dependency. Proposed Agentic Context Compression.
result LLM-compressed financial texts alter decision-making.
We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption. The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the opportunity pr…
We study the crash dynamics of the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) by using the Minimal Spanning Tree (MST) networks. We find the transition of the complex network during its evolution from a (hierarchical) power law MST network, representing the stable state of WSE before the recent worldwide financial crash, to a superst…
The Financial Chaos Index models stock market volatility across three regimes based on mutual price fluctuations.
problem Capturing regime-dependent volatility in stock markets.
method Developed a regime-switching framework using the Financial Chaos Index (FCIX) and elastic net regression.
result Identified three market regimes: low-chaos, intermediate-chaos, and high-chaos, each with distinct volatility characteristics.
Modeling financial markets as gas molecules, the paper predicts phase transitions similar to water and steam.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets through phase transitions.
method Developed a lattice gas model equivalent to the Ising model on a social network, analyzing critical exponents and auto-correlations.
result Financial market dynamics exhibit phase transition-like behavior, with critical exponents analogous to water and steam.
The mesoscopic organization of complex systems, from financial markets to the brain, is an intermediate between the microscopic dynamics of individual units (stocks or neurons, in the mentioned cases), and the macroscopic dynamics of the system as a whole. The organization is determined by "communities" of units whose …
Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many resea…
Study on rigidity with non-negative intermediate curvature on low-dimensional manifolds.
problem Extending non-existence theorem of positive scalar curvature to product manifolds.
method Introduced intermediate curvature and studied rigidity conditions.
result Rigidity when intermediate curvature is non-negative in low dimensions.
Preserves positive intermediate curvature on manifolds.
problem Obstructs positive intermediate curvature on partial tori.
method Shows smooth interpolation of metrics with positive intermediate curvature.
result Proves non-existence of certain manifolds with positive intermediate curvature.
The study connects manifold topology to metrics with positive intermediate curvature.
problem Understanding the relationship between manifold topology and metrics with positive intermediate curvature.
method Formulated a conjecture and proved it for specific dimensions and conditions.
result Closed, aspherical 6-manifolds cannot admit metrics with positive 4-intermediate curvature.
For a pair of points in a smooth closed convex planar curve γ, its mid-line is the line containing its mid-point and the intersection point of the corresponding pair of tangent lines. It is well known that the envelope of the mid-lines (EML) is formed by the union of three affine invariants sets: Affine Envelope Sy…
A repurchase agreement lets investors borrow cash to buy securities. Financier only lends to securities' market value after a haircut and charges interest. Repo pricing is characterized with its puzzling dual pricing measures: repo haircut and repo spread. This article develops a repo haircut model by designing haircut…
New rigidity results for manifolds with maximal symmetry rank and positive intermediate Ricci curvature.
problem Understanding the structure of manifolds with maximal symmetry rank and positive intermediate Ricci curvature.
method Recovering stronger topological rigidity results using higher intermediate Ricci curvatures and nontrivial fundamental groups.
result Stronger topological rigidity results for manifolds with maximal symmetry rank and positive intermediate Ricci curvature.
Study on spaces of metrics with intermediate curvature bounds.
problem Understanding spaces of metrics with lower bounds on intermediate curvatures.
method Analyzing spaces of Riemannian metrics with specific curvature bounds on high-dimensional Spin-manifolds.
result Spaces of metrics with positive p-curvature and k-positive Ricci curvature have non-trivial homotopy groups.
Proves metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on complex manifolds.
problem Establishing metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on complex manifolds.
method Canonical variation and surgery techniques.
result Existence of metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on various examples.
Extends Perelman's theorem to positive intermediate curvature conditions.
problem Positive intermediate curvature conditions and their implications.
method Generalization of Perelman's gluing theorem to positive intermediate curvature conditions.
result Observer moduli space can have non-trivial higher homotopy groups.
The study proves that certain manifolds with boundary cannot have metrics with positive intermediate curvatures.
problem Proving the nonexistence of metrics with positive intermediate curvatures on manifolds with boundary.
method Curvature obstruction theorems for manifolds with boundary.
result Topologically nontrivial compact manifolds with boundary cannot have metrics of positive m-intermediate curvature if the boundary is m-convex. The paper studies risk-based prices in financial markets under volatility uncertainty.
problem Risk-based indifference prices in financial markets under volatility uncertainty.
method Asymptotic analysis of risk-based prices in discrete-time financial markets.
result Risk-based prices form a strongly continuous convex monotone semigroup.
Study finds metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on specific low-dimensional manifolds.
problem Existence of invariant metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on low-dimensional cohomogeneity one manifolds.
method Construction of invariant metrics with positive intermediate Ricci curvature on specific manifolds.
result Invariant metrics with positive 4th-intermediate Ricci curvature exist but not for 3rd-intermediate Ricci curvature on certain manifolds.
This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of oil market during the last three decades, and examines changes in informational efficiency with major geopolitical events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crisis and other important events. The series under study is the daily prices of West Texas Intermediate (WT…
Sharp dimension constraints for positive intermediate curvature metrics are established.
problem Proving sharp dimension constraints for metrics with positive intermediate curvature.
method Constructing counterexamples and extending rigidity results.
result Sharp dimension constraints for positive intermediate curvature metrics are established.
This paper introduces a novel approach to measuring privacy risks in deep computer vision models based on intermediate outputs.
problem The exposure of intermediate results in hidden layers of deep computer vision models poses significant privacy concerns.
method The approach leverages Degrees of Freedom (DoF) to evaluate the amount of information retained in each layer and combines this with the rank of the Jacobian matrix to assess sensitivity to input variations.
result The proposed framework provides deeper insights into privacy risks associated with intermediate representations without requiring adversarial attack simulations.
Study finds adding more information to robust option pricing does not improve bounds.
problem Exploring robust pricing of financial claims using minimal assumptions.
method Empirical study of variance options, incorporating intermediate market data.
result Incorporating more information does not improve robust pricing bounds.
The paper proves manifold splitting theorems with nonnegative intermediate curvature.
problem Proving rigidity results for manifolds with nonnegative intermediate curvatures.
method New recursion theorem for spectral intermediate curvatures and cylindrical splitting theorems.
result Smooth metrics with uniformly positive intermediate curvature constructed.
A framework to explain decoder-only sequence classification models using intermediate predictions.
problem Explaining predictions of decoder-only sequence classification models.
method Progressive Inference framework with Single Pass-Progressive Inference and Multi Pass-Progressive Inference methods.
result Significantly better attributions compared to prior work on text classification tasks.
Polyhedral semantics for intermediate logics; Nerve Criterion ensures completeness.
problem Characterize polyhedrally-complete intermediate logics.
method Developed Nerve Criterion to characterize polyhedrally-complete logics combinatorially.
result Nerve Criterion provides a necessary and sufficient condition for polyhedrally-completeness.
We use a local argument to prove if an r-dimensional torus acts isometrically and effectively on a connected n-dimensional manifold which has positive kth-intermediate Ricci curvature at some point, then r≤⌊2n+k⌋. This symmetry rank bound generalizes those established by Gr…
We analyze social and economic systems with a hierarchical structure and show that for such systems, it is possible to construct thermostatistics, based on the intermediate Gentile statistics. We show that in social and economic hierarchical systems there are elements that obey the Fermi-Dirac statistics and can be cal…
We give a homological construction of aperiodic tiles for certain open Riemannian surfaces admitting actions of Grigorchuk groups of intermediate growth.
In the econometrics of financial time series, it is customary to take some parametric model for the data, and then estimate the parameters from historical data. This approach suffers from several problems. Firstly, how is estimation error to be quantified, and then taken into account when making statements about the fu…
Knowledge distillation (KD) is a popular method for reducing the computational overhead of deep network inference, in which the output of a teacher model is used to train a smaller, faster student model. Hint training (i.e., FitNets) extends KD by regressing a student model's intermediate representation to a teacher mo…
Improved investment performance with fine-grained LLM tasks.
problem Abstract financial trading systems often overlook real-world workflow intricacies, leading to degraded performance.
method Proposes a multi-agent LLM trading framework that decomposes investment analysis into fine-grained tasks.
result Fine-grained task decomposition significantly improves risk-adjusted returns compared to coarse-grained designs.
Using public data (Forbes Global 2000) we show that the asset sizes for the largest global firms follow a Pareto distribution in an intermediate range, that is ``interrupted'' by a sharp cut-off in its upper tail, where it is totally dominated by financial firms. This flattening of the distribution contrasts with a lar…
A cost-effective framework for gradual domain adaptation using multifidelity.
problem Degrading prediction performance due to large domain distance.
method Combines multifidelity and active domain adaptation.
result Improves prediction performance with reduced sample cost.
Researchers calibrate an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model to recover stylized facts in financial markets.
problem Recovering stylized facts in financial markets using the Farmer-Joshi model.
method Calibrated an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model using genetic and Nelder-Mead algorithms, incorporating agent adaptation.
result The adaptive model recovers additional stylized facts, including auto-correlations and kurtosis, compared to the original model.
Gradual domain adaptation improves model transfer between domains with intermediate training.
problem Challenges in unsupervised domain adaptation when distribution shifts are large.
method Gradual self-training using intermediate domains along the Wasserstein geodesic.
result GOAT framework generates intermediate domains for improved adaptation.