The study introduces a high-dimensional tail index model for viral post analysis.
problem Empirical observation of power-law distributions in viral posts.
method High-dimensional tail index regression model, regularized estimator, debiasing for inference.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of debiased estimator.
Viral zoonoses have emerged as the key drivers of recent pandemics. Human infection by zoonotic viruses are either spillover events -- isolated infections that fail to cause a widespread contagion -- or species jumps, where successful adaptation to the new host leads to a pandemic. Despite expensive bio-surveillance ef…
HIV RNA viral load (VL) is an important outcome variable in studies of HIV infected persons. There exists only a handful of methods which classify patients by viral load patterns. Most methods place limits on the use of viral load measurements, are often specific to a particular study design, and do not account for com…
New method infers viral load from pooled tests.
problem Inefficient viral load inference in pooled testing.
method Message passing algorithm with PCR noise function.
result Accurate viral load inference possible.
Develops a method to analyze SARS-CoV-2 viral load vs. age, finding a significant increase.
problem Determining if SARS-CoV-2 viral load depends on patient age.
method Flexible, non-parametric, hierarchical, Bayesian, causal model.
result Statistically significant increase in viral load with age, but only for one dataset.
Machine learning models detect COVID-19 from routine blood tests.
problem Separating COVID-19 from other viral pneumonias using blood tests.
method Employed random forests and support vector machines on blood data.
result SVM-based classifier achieves 84% accuracy in detecting COVID-19.
Mathematician summarizes protein geometry and mutation effects.
problem Understanding how proteins mutate and their structure-function relationship.
method Mathematical analysis of protein structures and functions, focusing on hydrogen bonds and secondary structure.
result Protein secondary structure regulates mutation by stabilizing or destabilizing regions.
Develops a risk score to assist ECMO planning for critically ill patients with viral or unspecified pneumonia.
problem Lack of a risk score to guide ECMO planning for critically ill patients.
method Leverages machine learning to develop the PEER score.
result PEER score predicts mortality and decompensation in patients eligible for ECMO.
Viral sequence classification is an important task in pathogen detection, epidemiological surveys and evolutionary studies. Statistical learning methods are widely used to classify and identify viral sequences in samples from environments. These methods face several challenges associated with the nature and properties …
The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.
problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.
Machine learning identifies potential drugs for COVID-19.
problem Finding effective treatments for COVID-19.
method Trained neural network models on virus protein sequences and antiviral drugs.
result Identified potential drug candidates for treating COVID-19.
A new framework maximizes influence spread in social networks by accounting for inter-community diffusion.
problem Real-world social networks have inter-community influence that is often overlooked in community-based IM approaches.
method Community-IM++ uses a heuristic based on community-based diffusion degree and progressive budgeting to model and prioritize cross-community diffusion.
result Community-IM++ achieves near-greedy influence spread at up to 100 times lower runtime than existing methods.
Machine learning model diagnoses COVID-19 from routine blood tests.
problem Difficulty in diagnosing COVID-19 due to inconsistent blood parameter changes.
method Constructed a machine learning model using 5,333 patients with various infections and 160 COVID-19-positive patients.
result Cross-validated AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 81.9%, specificity of 97.9%.
Develops a bialgebra theory for post-Lie algebras using geometric interpretations and bilinear forms.
problem Characterizing and understanding post-Lie algebras and their associated structures.
method Utilizes Manin triples and generalized Hessian Lie groups to define and characterize post-Lie algebras with nondegenerate symmetric invariant bilinear forms.
result Establishes a bialgebra theory for post-Lie algebras via the Manin triple approach, including new algebraic structures like pp-post-Lie algebras.
The paper examines how sampling data affects the performance of submodular maximization.
problem Performance loss due to probability sampling in submodular maximization.
method Examines a simple probability sampling method where each data point is selected with probability at least r.
result The sampling gap is both upper and lower bounded by 1/r for policywise submodular utility functions.
The typical algorithmic problem in viral marketing aims to identify a set of influential users in a social network, who, when convinced to adopt a product, shall influence other users in the network and trigger a large cascade of adoptions. However, the host (the owner of an online social platform) often faces more con…
Post-groupoids help solve Yang-Baxter equation using quivers.
problem Solving the Yang-Baxter equation using algebraic structures.
method Introducing post-groupoids and showing their connection to quivers.
result Post-groupoids provide solutions to the Yang-Baxter equation.
CogMol designs novel drug-like molecules for SARS-CoV-2 targets.
problem Designing efficient drugs for novel viral proteins.
method End-to-end framework combining VAE, controlled sampling, and predictors.
result Highly selective and affinity molecules for SARS-CoV-2 targets.
New method targets vaccines for new variants using Thompson sampling.
problem Deciding how to prioritize vaccines for new variants with delayed feedback.
method Partial likelihood Thompson sampling, updating beliefs with partial likelihood.
result Method effectively prioritizes vaccines based on real-world data.
Study evaluates post-processing methods for improving solar power forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of probabilistic solar energy forecasts through model chain approaches.
method Systematically evaluates different post-processing strategies for ensemble weather forecasts and direct solar power forecasting.
result Post-processing significantly improves solar power generation forecasts, especially when applied to power predictions.
Geometric deformations preserve post-Lie algebra structure in regularity structures.
problem Deriving geometric deformations of post-Lie algebras.
method Extending geometrical notions of torsion and curvature, deriving compatibility conditions.
result Derives a pre-Lie structure for regularity structures, isomorphic to a post-Lie algebra.
Post-processing corrects bias in ML systems without retraining.
problem Correcting bias in ML systems that are already in use.
method Proposes general post-processing algorithms for individual fairness based on graph Laplacian regularization.
result Empirically, post-processing algorithms correct individual biases in large-scale NLP models while preserving accuracy.
This article presents a preliminary approach towards characterizing political fake news on Twitter through the analysis of their meta-data. In particular, we focus on more than 1.5M tweets collected on the day of the election of Donald Trump as 45th president of the United States of America. We use the meta-data embedd…
We study post-Lie algebra structures on pairs of Lie algebras (g,n), and prove existence results for the case that one of the Lie algebras is semisimple. For semisimple g and solvable n we show that there exist no post-Lie algebra structures on (g,n). For semisimple n and certain solvable g we construct canonical post-…
Post-hoc transforms can reverse model performance trends, especially in noisy settings.
problem Post-hoc transforms can reverse model performance trends, especially in noisy settings.
method Empirical study and analysis of post-hoc transforms like temperature scaling, ensembling, and SWA.
result Post-hoc reversal can prevent double descent and mitigate mismatches between test loss and test error.
This essay examines how what is considered to be artificial intelligence (AI) has changed over time and come to intersect with the expertise of the author. Initially, AI developed on a separate trajectory, both topically and institutionally, from pattern recognition, neural information processing, decision and control …
We introduce post-Lie algebra structures on pairs of Lie algebras $(\Lg,\Ln)$ defined on a fixed vector space V. Special cases are LR-structures and pre-Lie algebra structures on Lie algebras. We show that post-Lie algebra structures naturally arise in the study of NIL-affine actions on nilpotent Lie groups. We obtai…
While statistics and machine learning offers numerous methods for ensuring generalization, these methods often fail in the presence of adaptivity---the common practice in which the choice of analysis depends on previous interactions with the same dataset. A recent line of work has introduced powerful, general purpose a…
Image post-processing is used in clinical-grade ultrasound scanners to improve image quality (e.g., reduce speckle noise and enhance contrast). These post-processing techniques vary across manufacturers and are generally kept proprietary, which presents a challenge for researchers looking to match current clinical-grad…
New algorithm detects changes in Markov kernels with unknown post-change kernel.
problem Detecting changes in Markov kernels with unknown post-change kernel.
method Developed a new change detection algorithm assuming uniform ergodicity.
result Derived upper and lower bounds on mean delay and time between false alarms.
Post-hoc calibration improves uncertainty under domain shift.
problem Improving uncertainty calibration under domain shift.
method Apply perturbations to validation set before post-hoc calibration.
result Perturbation step results in better calibration under domain shift.
Post-Lie algebra structure found on non-flat manifolds with curvature and torsion.
problem Understanding vector fields and endomorphisms on manifolds with curvature and torsion.
method Analyzing the post-Lie algebra structure of vector fields and endomorphisms for non-flat connections.
result A universal Lie algebra is constructed for the post-Lie algebra of vector fields and endomorphisms.
Framework evaluates post-hoc interpretability methods in time-series classification.
problem Lack of suitable post-hoc interpretability methods for time-series classification.
method Proposes a framework with quantitative metrics to assess interpretability methods.
result Addresses several drawbacks of existing methods, including dependence on human judgement and data distribution shift.
This paper studies how social media posts, especially by executives, affect stock prices.
problem Predicting stock market movements using social media data.
method Integrated sentiment analysis of Twitter and Reddit posts with historical stock data using time series models and deep learning.
result Improvements in stock price prediction when social media data, especially executive posts, are included.
Many users in online social networks are constantly trying to gain attention from their followers by broadcasting posts to them. These broadcasters are likely to gain greater attention if their posts can remain visible for a longer period of time among their followers' most recent feeds. Then when to post? In this pape…
Paper improves Lasso for S&P500 index tracking with post-selection inference.
problem Index tracking for S&P500 with many applications.
method Used Lasso for dimension reduction and post-selection inference.
result Lasso method for S&P500 index tracking shows high performance.
Algorithm ensures demographic parity in regression without sensitive attribute data.
problem Performing regression with demographic parity constraints.
method Post-processing algorithm using accurate estimates and sensitive attribute predictor.
result Generates predictions meeting demographic parity constraint.
New method improves regression estimates, reducing bias.
problem Omitted variable bias in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Post-Double-Autometrics, an alternative to Post-Double-Lasso.
result Post-Double-Autometrics outperforms Post-Double-Lasso.
Develops a variational method for ultrametric phylogenetic trees.
problem Accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees in Bayesian phylogenetics.
method Variational Bayesian approach based on coalescent times of a single-linkage clustering.
result Achieves competitive accuracy with significantly fewer gradient evaluations.
Post-detection analysis identifies responsible coordinates for multivariate change-points.
problem Identifying which coordinates in multivariate time series change after a detected change-point.
method Two-sample testing procedures with nonparametric tests for Type I error control.
result Strong performance of proposed post hoc statistical procedures.
Mathematical study shows post-hoc explanations are better than attention weights alone.
problem Understanding the internal behavior of attention-based models.
method Mathematical analysis of a simple attention-based architecture.
result Post-hoc explanations provide more useful insights than attention weights alone.
Post-calibration improves the accuracy of causal effect estimation.
problem Improperly calibrated propensity scores lead to inaccurate causal effect estimation.
method Performed a simulation study to assess the impact of post-calibration on causal effect estimation.
result Post-calibration reduces the error in estimating the average treatment effect, especially for expressive uncalibrated statistical estimators.
Post-quantum cryptography needed for blockchain security.
problem Quantum computers threaten traditional blockchain cryptography.
method Review of theoretical cryptography and quantum information theory.
result Post-quantum cryptography is essential for blockchain security.
CalArena benchmarks post-hoc calibration methods across various tasks.
problem Inconsistent evaluations of post-hoc calibration methods.
method Large-scale benchmark with 2000 experiments, covering diverse models and settings.
result Smooth calibration functions outperform binning-based approaches.
Risk-controlled post-processing optimizes decision policies under risk constraints.
problem Optimizing decision policies with risk constraints for better outcomes.
method Developed a post-processing algorithm that selects a threshold based on fitted fallback policy and score, leveraging tools from algorithmic stability and stochastic processes.
result The post-processed policy achieves precise expected risk control under exchangeability and meets or nearly meets risk budgets while preserving more agreement with the baseline.
This paper tackles post-trade allocation inefficiencies and presents a uniform return allocation method.
problem Return divergence among accounts after trade allocation.
method Systematic treatment of trade allocation risk, presenting a uniform return allocation method.
result Uniform allocation of returns irrespective of the number of accounts and trade sizes.
Post hoc test for Sharpe ratio improves pairwise comparisons.
problem Improving pairwise comparisons of Sharpe ratios.
method Analogous to Tukey's test, applied after rejecting equal Signal-Noise ratios.
result Maintains nominal type I rate and is moderately powerful.
Analyzes Indian chemical industry post-Covid.
problem Global uncertainty impacts chemical industry performance.
method Fundamental analysis of key players and trends.
result Various geopolitical and macroeconomic trends shape industry performance.