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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · Nov 202519922001200920172026
48 results for time-adaptive

This paper improves test-time adaptation for distribution shifts using confidence maximization and input transformation.

problem Improving deep networks' performance on data shifted from the training distribution.
method Proposes a novel loss function combining confidence maximization and batch-wise entropy maximization with an input transformation module.
result Significantly improves robustness of pretrained networks to corruptions on benchmarks like ImageNet-C.

CPATTA uses conformal prediction for efficient test-time adaptation.

problem Low data selection efficiency in existing ATTA methods.
method Conformal Prediction, online weight-update algorithm, domain-shift detector, staged update scheme.
result CPATTA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 5% in accuracy.

This paper tackles over-certainty in test-time adaptation models, proposing a solution to improve calibration.

problem Over-certainty in predictions caused by domain shifts, leading to misplaced trust.
method Introduces a certainty regularizer that dynamically adjusts pseudo-label confidence based on backbone entropy and logit norm.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in terms of Expected Calibration Error and Negative Log Likelihood, while maintaining accuracy.

PETAL adapts models to changing target domains over time.

problem Lifelong test-time adaptation in changing target domains.
method Probabilistic framework with student-teacher model and data-driven parameter restoration.
result PETAL achieves better results than state-of-the-art for online lifelong test-time adaptation.

A new approach for test-time adaptation detects and reacts to distribution shifts.

problem Improving test-time accuracy under distribution shifts.
method Online self-training with a detection tool based on entropy values and betting martingales.
result The classifier's entropy values match those of the source domain, building invariance to distribution shifts.

STAD adapts models to evolving time-based data shifts.

problem Gradual distribution shifts over time challenge existing test-time adaptation methods.
method Bayesian filtering method that learns time-varying dynamics in hidden features.
result STAD excels in handling small batch sizes and label shift on real-world data.

Study compares data-driven vs model-based MRS quantification strategies, focusing on resilience to out-of-distribution effects.

problem Resilience to out-of-distribution effects in data-driven MRS quantification.
method Compared three data-driven strategies (supervised regression, self-supervised learning, test-time adaptation) against model-based fitting tools.
result Test-time adaptation proved most resilient to out-of-distribution effects, while self-supervised learning achieved intermediate performance.

New framework improves model reliability under distribution shifts.

problem Lack of formal guarantees connecting shift magnitude to prediction reliability in TTA methods.
method Develops a PAC-Bayesian framework interpreting MMD-balls as credal sets.
result Establishes generalization bounds and provides epistemic uncertainty quantification.

Method adapts frozen models for few-shot tasks without training.

problem Deployment constraints limit model updates, necessitating new adaptation methods.
method Exponential tilting of latent distribution for inference.
result Method outperforms parameter-update methods across benchmarks.

TripleSurv improves survival analysis by ranking samples with time-adaptive adjustments.

problem Modeling censored time-to-event data with high accuracy and robustness.
method Introduces a time-adaptive coordinate loss function to rank samples and calibrate robustness.
result TripleSurv outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various survival datasets.

Enhances image quality to improve test-time adaptation accuracy.

problem Reducing accuracy loss due to distribution shift in deep networks.
method Integrates image enhancement with TTA methods to reduce prediction uncertainty.
result TECA method increases accuracy of TTA methods without hyperparameters.

VCoTTA uses variational Bayesian methods to adapt models under continuous domain shifts.

problem Error accumulation in continual test-time adaptation.
method VCoTTA employs variational Bayesian techniques to update a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) during testing, combining priors from source and teacher models.
result VCoTTA effectively mitigates error accumulation in CTTA, as shown by experimental results on three datasets.

Adapts CNN for robust medical image segmentation across different scanners and protocols.

problem Performance degradation of CNNs in medical image segmentation due to mismatch between training and test images.
method Designs a segmentation CNN as a concatenation of a shallow normalization CNN and a deep CNN. At test time, adapts the normalization sub-network for each test image using a denoising autoencoder.
result Consistently improves performance on multi-center MRI datasets of brain, heart, and prostate.

A TTA framework improves forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.

problem Improving forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
method Normalization-based test-time adaptation for causal timeseries forecasting and direction classification.
result Normalization-based TTA improves forecasting error in synthetic gradual drift and can even hurt in aggressive norm-only adaptation in financial markets.

Study improves BN TTA under distribution shift using higher-order asymptotics.

problem Improving BN TTA for changing data distributions.
method Integrates Edgeworth expansion and saddlepoint approximation with one-step M-estimation.
result Derives optimal weighting parameter for minimized mean-squared error.

Step-DAD improves BED by periodically updating a design policy during experiments.

problem Improving flexibility and robustness in Bayesian experimental design.
method Semi-amortized, policy-based approach that updates a design policy during data collection.
result Consistently superior decision-making and robustness compared to current BED methods.

AdapTable adapts tabular models to shifts without source data, improving HELOC performance.

problem Distribution shifts in tabular data threaten model performance.
method Shift-aware uncertainty calibrator and label distribution handler.
result Up to 16% improvement on HELOC dataset.

RG-TTA adapts neural forecasters to streaming time series shifts by modulating adaptation intensity.

problem Adapting neural forecasters to distribution shifts in streaming time series data.
method RG-TTA uses a meta-controller that continuously modulates adaptation intensity based on distributional similarity.
result RG-TTA achieves the lowest MSE in 156 of 224 seed-averaged experiments, reducing MSE by 5.7% vs TTA.

Neural process model improves real-time condition monitoring signal prediction.

problem Real-time adaptation for complex condition monitoring signals.
method Label-aware neural processes encoding and reconstruction.
result Advantages in real-time adaptation, enhanced signal prediction with uncertainty quantification, and joint prediction for labels and signals.

Framework disentangles deep feature uncertainty for efficient inference.

problem Inference-time uncertainty estimation for reliable decision-making.
method Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection framework.
result Significantly tighter prediction intervals and 60% compute reduction.

Paper improves training physics-informed neural networks with model ensembles.

problem Training physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) is difficult due to convergence to wrong solutions.
method Proposes training an ensemble of PINNs, using ensemble agreement to expand the solution interval.
result Algorithm stabilizes PINN training and yields competitive performance.

Neural networks powered with external memory simulate computer behaviors. These models, which use the memory to store data for a neural controller, can learn algorithms and other complex tasks. In this paper, we introduce a new memory to store weights for the controller, analogous to the stored-program memory in modern…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a machine learning-based approach to lossy image compression which outperforms all existing codecs, while running in real-time. Our algorithm typically produces files 2.5 times smaller than JPEG and JPEG 2000, 2 times smaller than WebP, and 1.7 times smaller than BPG on datasets of generic images across all …

2017-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm optimizes matrix reordering for noisy disordered matrices.

problem Optimizing matrix reordering for noisy disordered matrices in single-cell biology and metagenomics.
method Proposed a polynomial-time adaptive sorting algorithm to improve upon spectral seriation.
result Our algorithm achieves superior performance compared to existing methods in real datasets.

Proposes a FoE prior for improving CNN performance in distribution shifts.

problem Improving CNN performance in image analysis tasks with distribution shifts.
method Uses a field-of-experts (FoE) prior to match feature distributions of test and training images.
result Outperforms previous TTA methods in lesion segmentation and most healthy tissue segmentation tasks.

Study introduces AMVP and AMRR for dynamic portfolio optimization in volatile markets.

problem Optimizing portfolios in volatile and nonstationary financial markets.
method Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework with ARFIMA-FIGARCH processes and non-Gaussian innovations.
result Demonstrated superior performance in risk reduction and portfolio stability during market breaks.

This paper solves the consumption-investment problem under Epstein-Zin preferences on a random horizon. In an incomplete market, we take the random horizon to be a stopping time adapted to the market filtration, generated by all observable, but not necessarily tradable, state processes. Contrary to prior studies, we do…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Stabilization of linear systems with unknown dynamics is a canonical problem in adaptive control. Since the lack of knowledge of system parameters can cause it to become destabilized, an adaptive stabilization procedure is needed prior to regulation. Therefore, the adaptive stabilization needs to be completed in finite…

2018-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We extend first-order model agnostic meta-learning algorithms (including FOMAML and Reptile) to image segmentation, present a novel neural network architecture built for fast learning which we call EfficientLab, and leverage a formal definition of the test error of meta-learning algorithms to decrease error on out of d…

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗