Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for temporal progressive growing sampling

Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.

problem Accumulation of small errors in Seq2Seq models during inference due to different distributions of training and inference phases.
method Curriculum learning based on Temporal Progressive Growing Sampling to replace some ground-truth context with generated predictions.
result Better models long-term dependencies and outperforms baseline approaches on two datasets.

An algorithm solves optimization problems with large sample sets, improving worst-case complexity.

problem Continuous nonlinear-equality-constrained optimization problems with large numbers of terms.
method Progressively sampled finite sets to solve related problems with growing sample sizes.
result Better worst-case sample complexity compared to solving with full sets of samples.

We introduce a novel generative autoencoder network model that learns to encode and reconstruct images with high quality and resolution, and supports smooth random sampling from the latent space of the encoder. Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are known for their ability to simulate random high-quality images, bu…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Temporal Functional Circuits explain KAN forecasts with interpretable edge functions.

problem Lack of mechanistic explanations in KAN forecasting.
method Transform KAN edge functions into faithful, temporally grounded explanations using a gated residual KAN.
result Gated KAN achieves lower MSE than linear-only models on regime-switching signals.

Develops a machine learning model to predict ALS progression and assistive device use.

problem Challenges in predicting clinically meaningful milestones in ALS.
method Integrates longitudinal ALSFRS-R trajectories with survival modeling.
result Generates individualized survival curves and predicts wheelchair-free survival.

Rolling Diffusion improves video prediction by progressively corrupting frames based on their temporal position.

problem Improving video prediction accuracy by accounting for temporal dynamics.
method A sliding window denoising process that assigns more noise to frames that appear later in a sequence.
result Rolling Diffusion outperforms standard diffusion models in tasks with complex temporal dynamics.

Develops a new method to create object models from medical images.

problem Variability in anatomical structures and textures limits observer performance.
method Progressive Growing AmbientGAN (ProAmGAN) for creating stochastic object models from medical imaging measurements.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of ProAmGAN in creating realistic object models.

HRTPP improves TPP interpretability and accuracy in medical event modeling.

problem Lack of interpretability in TPPs for medical event sequences.
method Hybrid-Rule Temporal Point Processes (HRTPP) integrating temporal logic rules and numerical features.
result HRTPP outperforms state-of-the-art interpretable TPPs in predictive performance and clinical interpretability.

Recent advances in deep generative models have lead to remarkable progress in synthesizing high quality images. Following their successful application in image processing and representation learning, an important next step is to consider videos. Learning generative models of video is a much harder task, requiring a mod…

2018-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new tensor decomposition method for functional temporal data with adaptive complexity.

problem Challenges in temporal tensor decomposition for general tensor data with continuous indexes.
method Encodes continuous spatial indexes as learnable Fourier features and uses neural ODEs for temporal trajectories. Introduces a sparsity-inducing prior for complexity adaptation.
result Significantly outperforms existing methods in prediction performance and robustness against noise.

Recent progress in recommender system research has shown the importance of including temporal representations to improve interpretability and performance. Here, we incorporate temporal representations in continuous time via recurrent point process for a dynamical model of reviews. Our goal is to characterize how change…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In complex tasks, such as those with large combinatorial action spaces, random exploration may be too inefficient to achieve meaningful learning progress. In this work, we use a curriculum of progressively growing action spaces to accelerate learning. We assume the environment is out of our control, but that the agent …

2019-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves disease progression prediction using auxiliary surrogate labels and health markers.

problem Challenges in predicting disease progression due to unknown true disease states.
method Integrates hidden Markov model with time-varying discriminative classification model.
result Significant improvement in distinguishing LBD from AD using objective markers.

SPF uses a hierarchical approach to efficiently emulate climate changes.

problem Slow and unstable climate emulation for long horizons.
method Spatiotemporal Pyramid Flows (SPF) model data hierarchically across spatial and temporal scales.
result SPF outperforms flow matching baselines and pre-trained models on ClimateBench.

Recent works demonstrated the usefulness of temporal coherence to regularize supervised training or to learn invariant features with deep architectures. In particular, enforcing smooth output changes while presenting temporally-closed frames from video sequences, proved to be an effective strategy. In this paper we pro…

2015-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

CoI framework models clinical feature interactions, revealing temporal dependencies and enhancing transparency.

problem Capturing latent, time-varying dependencies among clinical features in time-series data.
method Chain-of-Influence (CoI) framework constructs an explicit, time-unfolded graph of feature interactions.
result Achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance (AUROC of 0.960 on CKD progression and 0.950 on ICU mortality).

CryptoGAT improves cryptocurrency price prediction by treating it as a graph problem.

problem Cryptocurrency price prediction challenges due to extreme volatility.
method CryptoGAT, a Graph Attention Network, redefines cryptocurrency prediction as a cross-asset graph problem.
result CryptoGAT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in cryptocurrency price prediction.

BOSH optimizes functions with stochastic evaluations more efficiently and precisely.

problem Optimizing functions with noisy evaluations can lead to suboptimal solutions.
method BOSH uses a hierarchical Gaussian process to generate a growing pool of realizations.
result BOSH provides more efficient and higher-precision optimization than standard BO.

KBB algorithm reduces sample complexity for policy evaluation in general state spaces.

problem Policy evaluation in large state spaces with high sample complexity.
method Alternates between fitting Bellman residual and estimating value function via adaptive feature set growth.
result Super-linear convergence rates demonstrated, with reductions in sample complexity.

On many social networking web sites such as Facebook and Twitter, resharing or reposting functionality allows users to share others' content with their own friends or followers. As content is reshared from user to user, large cascades of reshares can form. While a growing body of research has focused on analyzing and c…

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Learning has enabled remarkable progress over the last years on a variety of tasks, such as image recognition, speech recognition, and machine translation. One crucial aspect for this progress are novel neural architectures. Currently employed architectures have mostly been developed manually by human experts, whi…

2018-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The contradiction between physical and economical sciences concerning the growth of the production/consumption mechanism is analyzed. It is then shown that if one wishes to keep the security level stable or to enhance it in a growing economy the cost of security grows faster than the gross wealth. The result is a typic…

2013-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent progress in using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for image description has motivated the exploration of their application for video description. However, while images are static, working with videos requires modeling their dynamic temporal structure and then properly integrating that information into a natural…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling glucose distribution changes over time using neural ODEs.

problem Analyzing how continuous glucose distribution changes over time in diabetic patients.
method Combines Gaussian mixture, MMD, and Neural ODE to model temporal evolution of glucose distribution.
result Highly interpretable model detects subtle distribution shifts and remains computationally efficient.

Prognostics or early detection of incipient faults is an important industrial challenge for condition-based and preventive maintenance. Physics-based approaches to modeling fault progression are infeasible due to multiple interacting components, uncontrolled environmental factors and observability constraints. Moreover…

2017-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

CARRNN tackles deep learning for sporadic data, improving prediction errors in healthcare.

problem Challenges in learning temporal patterns from sporadic multivariate longitudinal data.
method Developed a novel deep learning architecture combining RNN and CAR models, using a generalized discrete-time autoregressive model.
result CARRNN achieves the lowest prediction errors in multivariate time-series regression tasks.

Study compares deep learning models for volatility prediction using multivariate data.

problem Predicting volatility using multivariate data.
method Evaluated multiple deep learning models including MLP, RNN, TCN, and Temporal Fusion Transformer.
result Temporal Fusion Transformer and TCN variants outperform classical models and shallow networks.

This paper tackles sampling issues in latent space EBMs by introducing diffusion-based amortization.

problem Degenerate MCMC sampling quality hinders latent space EBM learning and generation quality.
method Introduces diffusion-based amortization for long-run MCMC sampling.
result The learned amortization of MCMC is a valid long-run MCMC sampler.

Survey on learning models for irregularly sampled time series data.

problem Challenges in learning from non-uniformly sampled time series data.
method Survey of recent models and architectures based on temporal discretization, interpolation, recurrence, attention, and structural invariance.
result Significant progress in machine learning for irregularly sampled time series data.

Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.

problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.