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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for temporal behavior

Paper presents a new time-series segmentation technique for mobile phone user behavior.

problem Current segmentation techniques do not accurately capture individual user behavior over time.
method Behavior-Oriented Time Segmentation (BOTS) technique that considers temporal coverage and number of incidences.
result BOTS technique better captures user behavior at various times of day and week.

The paper analyzes spatio-temporal behavior in DotA 2, finding skill differences in team dynamics.

problem Understanding skill differences in MOBA team dynamics.
method Data-driven measures of spatio-temporal behavior, including zone changes and time series clustering.
result Professional teams show smaller within-team distances and more zone changes than amateur teams.

The paper shows how ignoring temporal context in recommender systems evaluation leads to false confidence, proposing a method to embed temporal context.

problem The discrepancy between offline and online recommender system performance evaluation.
method Proposes a training procedure to embed temporal context into recommender systems and validates its advantage using multi-objective optimization.
result Including temporal context in recommender systems evaluation can improve recall@20 by up to 20%.

Detects malicious accounts in permissionless blockchains using graph properties and ML.

problem Identifying and classifying malicious accounts in permissionless blockchains.
method Temporal graph properties, ML algorithms (ExtraTreesClassifier, K-Means), cosine similarity, behavior change analysis.
result ExtraTreesClassifier performs best in detecting malicious accounts on Ethereum blockchain.

The study creates user personas based on user tenure and behavior for VoD streaming.

problem Understanding evolving user behavior in streaming services without explicit user profiles.
method Construct user personas using tenure timelines and temporal behavioral features.
result Personas provide stable and interpretable insights into user behavior evolution.

The paper proposes a method to estimate individual behavioral profiles using smart meter data.

problem Estimating individual behavioral profiles with granular temporal data.
method Gaussian Process-based models for segmenting and clustering time series data.
result The method can predict individual behavioral patterns with high accuracy.

Deep learning detects protective movement behavior in chronic pain patients.

problem Detecting protective movement behavior in chronic pain patients for intervention.
method End-to-end deep learning architecture named BodyAttentionNet (BANet) that learns temporal and bodily parts.
result Statistically significant improvements in detecting protective behavior using attention mechanisms.

DETECT clusters mobility behaviors from trajectories using deep learning.

problem Clustering similar mobility behaviors in large, complex trajectory data.
method DETECT uses deep learning to cluster mobility behaviors from trajectories, transforming and summarizing them to identify similar behaviors.
result DETECT effectively clusters mobility behaviors from real-world datasets.

This study investigates self-organizing dynamics in a stochastic exponential DAM model using Temporal Complexity.

problem Understanding self-organizing behavior in artificial neural systems.
method Investigation of a stochastic exponential DAM model through Temporal Complexity analysis.
result The model exhibits regimes of complex intermittency with nontrivial temporal correlations and scale-free behavior.

Paper predicts user interests from browsing history and event sequences.

problem Capturing subtle user interests and inter-personal influence.
method Deep prediction method based on two RNNs modeling temporal point process and attention mechanism.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in fine-grained user interest prediction.

Neural M3 model adapts to diverse user behaviors over short and long timeframes.

problem Adapting to diverse user behaviors over short and long timeframes.
method Neural Multi-temporal-range Mixture Model (M3) combining short-term and long-term models with a learned gating mechanism.
result M3 consistently outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommendation methods.

The paper introduces new metrics for evaluating generative models of behavior.

problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for unsupervised behavior discovery.
method Proposed and investigated several metrics for generative models of behavior.
result The proposed metrics correspond with biologists' intuitions and allow for model evaluation and bias understanding.

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

NADPEx uses dropout to enable temporally consistent exploration in reinforcement learning.

problem Achieving temporally consistent exploration in reinforcement learning agents.
method Integrates dropout into reinforcement learning policies to ensure temporal consistency.
result NADPEx outperforms naive exploration and parameter noise in tasks with sparse rewards.

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

Modeling cascading behavior in complex systems using CTBNs.

problem Understanding which states trigger cascading events in complex systems.
method Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) for modeling and identifying likely sentry states.
result Identification of likely sentry states that may lead to cascading behavior.

Unified analysis of TD learning using MJLS theory for linear function approximators.

problem Characterizing the exact behaviors of TD learning algorithms with linear function approximators.
method Exploiting connections to Markov jump linear systems (MJLS) theory to analyze TD learning algorithms.
result Closed-form expressions for mean and covariance matrix of TD estimation error at any time step.

h-DQN integrates hierarchical value functions with intrinsic motivation for efficient exploration.

problem Sparse feedback and insufficient exploration in reinforcement learning.
method Hierarchical-DQN framework combining temporal abstraction and intrinsic motivation.
result Demonstrated efficiency in exploration and task-solving on sparse feedback problems.

Meta-learning framework for credit risk assessment of SMEs, aligning financial statement dates with evaluation dates.

problem Temporal misalignment of credit scoring models leading to bias and inconsistent predictions.
method Two-step temporal decomposition: static model for annual PDs, dynamic model for monthly PDs; stacking architecture to aggregate multiple models.
result Framework effectively captures credit risk evolution over time, improving temporal consistency and predictive stability.

Proposes a new model to capture joint influence of correlated events on user search behavior.

problem Real-world events influence each other and pose joint influence on user search behavior, not independent.
method Joint Influence Model based on Multivariate Hawkes Process.
result The model captures the temporal dynamics of joint influence and outperforms baseline methods.

Recent progress in using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for image description has motivated the exploration of their application for video description. However, while images are static, working with videos requires modeling their dynamic temporal structure and then properly integrating that information into a natural…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Combines neural networks and STL for multi-class time-series classification.

problem Lack of interpretability in neural networks for time-series data.
method Proposes a method that uses neural networks to classify time-series data using STL specifications, introducing margin for multi-class classification and STL-based attributes for interpretability.
result Evaluations show improved interpretability and performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Modeling user check-ins in social networks to predict future behavior.

problem Predicting future user movements and influence in location-based social networks.
method Probabilistic model based on doubly stochastic point process with periodic decaying kernel for time and time-varying multinomial distribution for location.
result The proposed model outperforms other alternatives in predicting user check-ins.

New algorithms improve reinforcement learning stability and performance.

problem Stability issues in TD learning algorithms with function approximation and off-policy sampling.
method Developed and adapted emphatic temporal difference (ETD(λλ)) algorithms for deep reinforcement learning.
result Demonstrated improved performance in Atari games and small problems.

A method uses RL to learn abstractions for planning, improving robot navigation and manipulation tasks.

problem Planning requires suitable abstractions for states and transitions, which RL struggles with for temporally extended tasks.
method Goal-conditioned policies learned with RL are incorporated into planning, with a latent variable model representing valid states.
result Our method significantly outperforms prior work on image-based robot navigation and manipulation tasks.

Tensor factorization uncovers hidden patterns in student behavior data.

problem Discovering low-dimensional structure in high-dimensional behavioral data.
method Non-negative tensor factorization applied to wearable sensor data.
result Tensor factorization reveals clusters of students with different behaviors.

The paper tackles energy disaggregation by improving dictionary learning with deep neural models.

problem Decomposing electricity signals of a whole home into its operating devices.
method Proposes a novel optimization program that learns both the dictionary and sparse coefficients using a deep neural model (LSTM-AE) to capture temporal energy signals.
result Significant improvement in disaggregation accuracy and F-score metrics compared to state-of-the-art methods.

New framework analyzes pre-stock jump trading behaviors using multivariate time series analysis.

problem Understanding micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps.
method Multivariate time series analysis considering temporal information.
result Identifies highly informative attributes for predicting price jumps.

New method improves neural decoding accuracy and reveals latent memory organization.

problem Improving neural decoding of temporal memory organization.
method Bayesian neural decoding using a diversity-encouraging latent representation learning method.
result Substantially higher accuracy in neural decoding and clear latent representation.

Study LSTD on LQR, finds sample complexity for value function estimation.

problem Sample complexity of RL on continuous problems.
method Least-Squares Temporal Difference (LSTD) on Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR).
result First finite-time analysis of LQR value function estimation.