Early stopping improves logistic regression's calibration and consistency in high dimensions.
problem Improving the statistical performance of gradient descent in overparameterized logistic regression.
method Investigates the effects of early stopping on gradient descent in logistic regression.
result Early-stopped gradient descent is well-calibrated and statistically consistent, while asymptotic gradient descent is not.
New method stops experiments early for harm in diverse groups.
problem Early stopping of experiments for harmful treatment effects in diverse populations.
method Causal machine learning approach (CLASH) for early stopping.
result CLASH effectively stops experiments early for harmful treatment effects in diverse groups.
This paper improves neural network predictions with early stopping using conformal calibration.
problem Lack of precise statistical guarantees for neural networks trained with early stopping.
method Conformalized early stopping that combines early stopping with conformal calibration.
result Models provide both accuracy and precise inferences without additional data splits.
Gradient descent with early stopping achieves optimal sparse recovery.
problem Sparse regression with gradient descent and early stopping.
method Gradient descent on depth-N networks with early stopping.
result Implicit sparse regularization occurs with early stopping for general depth N.
Early stopping methods reduce unnecessary reasoning steps in LLMs by monitoring uncertainty signals.
problem LLMs sometimes generate unnecessary reasoning steps, especially under uncertainty.
method Statistically principled early stopping methods that monitor uncertainty signals during generation.
result Uncertainty-aware early stopping improves efficiency and reliability in LLM reasoning, especially in math reasoning.
Paper analyzes pricing model for bonds with early redemption.
problem Analyzing pricing of bonds with early redemption features.
method Structural approach for mathematical modeling of bond prices.
result Existence and uniqueness of default and early redemption boundaries proved.
The study reveals optimal early stopping behaviors in deep learning models.
problem Understanding optimal early stopping in deep learning models.
method Theoretical analysis of linear models and experimental validation.
result Two distinct behaviors of optimal early stopping time depending on model dimension relative to dataset features.
This paper reviews early time series classification methods.
problem Minimizing class prediction delay in time-sensitive applications.
method Divided into four categories: prefix based, shapelet based, model based, and miscellaneous approaches.
result Demonstrates reasonable performance in various applications.
E2CM uses class means for efficient early exits in neural networks.
problem Efficient early exits in neural networks with low computational cost.
method Early Exit Class Means (E2CM) based on class means of samples, without gradient-based training. result E2CM achieves higher accuracy with fixed training time budget and boosts existing early exit schemes. Enhances early-exit neural networks for anytime classification.
problem Lack of guaranteed prediction quality improvement with longer computation time.
method Post-hoc modification based on Product-of-Experts to enforce conditional monotonicity.
result Achieves conditional monotonicity in prediction quality, enabling anytime classification.
Paper introduces a method to control early classification accuracy gaps.
problem Maintaining accuracy in early classification without full input processing.
method Statistical framework for a calibrated stopping rule.
result Reduces up to 94% of timesteps while controlling accuracy gaps.
The paper analyzes early stopping in linear regression and shows it's equivalent to ridge regularization.
problem Understanding the effect of early stopping on linear regression models.
method Characterization of gradient descent dynamics and analysis of excess risk.
result Early stopped solution is equivalent to minimum norm solution for a generalized ridge regularized problem.
We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost estimates by stage with incidence rates by stage at diagnosis. We extrapolate to…
XAI identifies key time steps for early crop classification.
problem Early crop classification with high accuracy and timeliness.
method Training a baseline model with LRP to identify important time steps.
result Identified a 21st April 2019 to 9th August 2019 timeframe with 0.75% accuracy loss.
System predicts respiratory failure up to 8 hours early.
problem Early detection of respiratory failure in ICU patients.
method Machine learning on ICU patient monitoring data.
result System outperforms traditional clinical decision-making.
Study proposes a new early-warning framework for high-dimensional complex systems.
problem Predicting critical transitions in complex systems like epileptic seizures.
method Integrates manifold learning with stochastic dynamical system modeling, using Schrödinger bridge theory.
result Demonstrates higher sensitivity and robustness in epilepsy prediction.
Paper characterizes early-stage dementia signatures from sensor data.
problem Detecting early-stage dementia from sensor data.
method Developed bespoke behavioural models from longitudinal sensor data.
result Found subtle differences in sleep quality and wandering between dementia patients and controls.
Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.
problem Improving risk assessments in early stages of pediatric development.
method Contrastive multi-modal framework that treats each time window as a distinct modality, training on all available data.
result Consistent improvements in early-stage risk assessments validated on real-world tasks.
Early stopping improves neural networks' performance on binary classification tasks.
problem Improving shallow ReLU networks' performance on binary classification tasks.
method Gradient descent with early stopping on binary classification data.
result Gradient descent with early stopping achieves population risk arbitrarily close to optimal.
The paper accelerates LLM inference by adding early exit heads trained in a self-supervised manner.
problem Inference speed in large language models (LLMs) is slow and resource-intensive.
method Adding self-supervised early exit heads at intermediate transformer layers to stop computation early based on confidence thresholds.
result Entropy provides the most reliable confidence metric for stopping computation early.
Well begun is half done. In the crowdfunding market, the early fundraising performance of the project is a concerned issue for both creators and platforms. However, estimating the early fundraising performance before the project published is very challenging and still under-explored. To that end, in this paper, we pres…
Early stopping is a well known approach to reduce the time complexity for performing training and model selection of large scale learning machines. On the other hand, memory/space (rather than time) complexity is the main constraint in many applications, and randomized subsampling techniques have been proposed to tackl…
Optimal early liquidation strategy reduces financial losses during crises.
problem Substantial losses from simultaneous asset liquidation at depressed prices.
method Developed a worst-case approach for optimal early liquidation, considering uncertainty of other banks' decisions.
result Proposed robust optimal strategy maximizes liquid assets' value at clearing, even with uncertainty.
Is an option to early terminate a swap at its market value worth zero? At first sight it is, but in presence of counterparty risk it depends on the criteria used to determine such market value. In case of a single uncollateralised swap transaction under ISDA between two defaultable counterparties, the additional unilat…
This work examines the convergence of stochastic gradient-based optimization algorithms that use early stopping based on a validation function. The form of early stopping we consider is that optimization terminates when the norm of the gradient of a validation function falls below a threshold. We derive conditions that…
Novel approach detects early warning indicators in complex systems.
problem Detecting abrupt transitions in complex systems.
method Directed anisotropic diffusion map and latent stochastic dynamical systems.
result Early warning indicators can detect tipping points in state transitions.
Early stopping in meta-learning improved by analyzing neural activation patterns.
problem Early stopping in few-shot learning is challenging due to distributional shifts between meta-validation and meta-test sets.
method Activation-Based Early-stopping (ABE) analyzes hidden layer activations from unlabelled support examples to detect when target generalization diverges from source data.
result Simple activation statistics can effectively estimate target generalization, improving few-shot transfer learning across various algorithms and datasets.
Detecting depression early from social media texts.
problem Early diagnosis and prevention of depression.
method Topic analysis and learned confidence scores.
result Achieved good results compared to state of the art.
TDA detects financial bubbles through early warning signals.
problem Detecting financial bubbles early.
method Using Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to fit financial time series data.
result TDA generates early warning signals when LPPLS model fits the data.
Proposes TPIS for early and low-cost TB vs. pneumonia diagnosis.
problem Challenges in differentiating TB from pneumonia.
method Two-step decision support system with stacked ensemble classifiers.
result TPIS outperforms other methods in early and final diagnosis.
Remote sensing satellites capture the cyclic dynamics of our Planet in regular time intervals recorded in satellite time series data. End-to-end trained deep learning models use this time series data to make predictions at a large scale, for instance, to produce up-to-date crop cover maps. Most time series classificati…
Method uses trinomial trees to price nontraditional options.
problem Pricing of random-expiry options with early expiry.
method Developed a trinomial tree approach to interpret early expiry.
result The method is free of arbitrage and can be implemented efficiently.
The purpose of this paper is to construct the early exercise boundary for a class of nonlinear Black--Scholes equations with a nonlinear volatility depending on the option price. We review a method how to transform the problem into a solution of a time depending nonlinear parabolic equation defined on a fixed domain. R…
Early stopping of iterative algorithms is an algorithmic regularization method to avoid over-fitting in estimation and classification. In this paper, we show that early stopping can also be applied to obtain the minimax optimal testing in a general non-parametric setup. Specifically, a Wald-type test statistic is obtai…
The paper studies early stopping methods in linear contextual bandits.
problem Minimizing in-experiment regret and conducting robust post-experiment inferences in contextual bandits.
method The study proposes early stopping rules based on the Opportunity Cost and Threshold Method, using variances of estimators to quantify upper regret bounds.
result The proposed method provides a systematic approach to minimize in-experiment regret and conduct robust post-experiment inferences.
We developed an explainable artificial intelligence (AI) early warning score (xAI-EWS) system for early detection of acute critical illness. While maintaining a high predictive performance, our system explains to the clinician on which relevant electronic health records (EHRs) data the prediction is grounded. Acute cri…
Analysis of cross-validation for early-stopped gradient descent in high-dimensional regression.
problem Inconsistency of GCV for early-stopped GD in high-dimensional least squares regression.
method Theoretical analysis of GCV and LOOCV applied to early-stopped GD in high-dimensional least squares regression.
result LOOCV converges uniformly to the prediction risk of early-stopped GD, while GCV is generically inconsistent.
New pricing methods for α-quantile and early-exercise options using Spitzer identities.
problem Pricing perpetual Bermudan and American options and α-quantile options. method Based on Spitzer identities for general Lévy processes and Wiener-Hopf method.
result Direct calculation of the optimal exercise barrier for early-exercise options.
Study improves early warning models for currency and stock market crises.
problem Predicting currency and stock market crises.
method Synthetic review and comparison of early warning models, focusing on crisis identifications and predictive models.
result SWARCH model with elastic thresholding methodology most accurately classifies crisis observations.
Framework prevents deep learning models from memorizing noisy labels.
problem Deep learning models memorize noisy labels during early learning phase.
method Develops a technique that exploits early learning phase via regularization.
result Framework achieves robustness to noisy annotations on benchmarks and real-world datasets.
In this paper we generalize and analyze the model for pricing American-style Asian options due to (Hansen and Jorgensen 2000) by including a continuous dividend rate q and a general method of averaging of the floating strike. We focus on the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the early exercise boundary. The fi…
Paper studies early-stopped mirror descent for noisy sparse phase retrieval.
problem Recovering a sparse signal from noisy quadratic measurements.
method Early-stopped mirror descent with hyperbolic entropy mirror map.
result Achieves nearly minimax-optimal rate of convergence for k-sparse signals. SRR detects early signs of financial crises using multi-layer graphs.
problem Predicting systemic financial transitions from evolving market interactions.
method Systemic Risk Radar (SRR) models financial markets as multi-layer graphs.
result Graph-derived features provide useful early-warning signals compared to feature-based models.
Early stopping improves sample quality in latent diffusion models.
problem Latent diffusion models degrade sample quality with conventional early stopping.
method Analyzed the interaction between latent dimension and stopping time under Gaussian framework.
result Lower-dimensional representations benefit from earlier termination, higher-dimensional spaces require later stopping.
Sharp risk bounds for early-stopping in Gaussian linear regression are derived.
problem Minimizing in-sample mean squared error in high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression.
method Early-stopped mirror descent (ESMD) with local Gaussian width bounds.
result Sharp risk bounds extend to early-stopped mirror descent for least squares estimator (LSE).
Noisy labels are very common in real-world training data, which lead to poor generalization on test data because of overfitting to the noisy labels. In this paper, we claim that such overfitting can be avoided by "early stopping" training a deep neural network before the noisy labels are severely memorized. Then, we re…
Paper proposes a method for early stopping in regression using reproducing kernels.
problem Early stopping for iterative learning algorithms in nonparametric regression.
method Data-driven rule based on minimum discrepancy principle, validated by fixed-point analysis of localized Rademacher complexities.
result The proposed rule is minimax-optimal and performs comparably to cross-validation.
Early neural networks can be simplified to linear models, revealing surprising simplicity.
problem Complexity of neural network learning dynamics.
method Formal proof and empirical verification of early-time learning dynamics of neural networks.
result Early learning dynamics of neural networks can be approximated by simple linear models.