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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · Sep 201919922001200920172026
48 results for GAM

In this article we study the right-angled Artin subgroups of a given right-angled Artin group. Starting with a graph $\gam$, we produce a new graph through a purely combinatorial procedure, and call it the extension graph $\gam^e$ of $\gam$. We produce a second graph $\gam^e_k$, the clique graph of $\gam^e$, by adding …

2011-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

GAM(L)A model improves interpretability of machine learning models.

problem Interpretable machine learning models for high predictive performance.
method Combines partial linear models with variable selection for accurate prediction and interpretability.
result GAM(L)A outperforms parametric models and is comparable to black-box models like random forest and gradient boosting.

Paper introduces GAMs for interpretable learning-to-rank models.

problem Need for transparent ranking models in legal or policy scenarios.
method Developed generalized additive models (GAMs) for ranking tasks using neural networks.
result Neural ranking GAMs achieve better performance than traditional GAMs while maintaining interpretability.

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are favored in many regression and binary classification problems because they are able to fit complex, nonlinear functions while still remaining interpretable. In the first part of this paper, we generalize a state-of-the-art GAM learning algorithm based on boosted trees to the multi…

2018-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

GAMformer bridges tabular models and interpretability, offering a single-pass approach.

problem Lack of interpretability in tabular foundation models like TabPFN.
method In-context learning for GAM shape functions, training on synthetic data.
result GAMformer performs comparably to other leading GAMs across various classification benchmarks.

Regularizes GAMs to improve interpretability by reducing concurvity.

problem Susceptibility of GAMs to concurvity reduces interpretability.
method Proposes a regularizer to penalize pairwise correlations of non-linearly transformed features.
result Improves interpretability and reduces concurvity without sacrificing prediction quality.

RAMs improve GAMs' accuracy by fitting components to subregions of feature space.

problem Subpar accuracy in GAMs due to inability to capture feature interactions.
method Identify subregions of feature space where interactions are minimized, fitting one component per subregion.
result RAMs offer improved expressiveness compared to GAMs while maintaining interpretability.

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a widely used class of models of interest to statisticians as they provide a flexible way to design interpretable models of data beyond linear models. We here propose a scalable and well-calibrated Bayesian treatment of GAMs using Gaussian processes (GPs) and leveraging recent adv…

2018-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This review compares GAMs and neural networks on real-world tabular data.

problem Comparing the performance and characteristics of GAMs and neural networks in tabular data applications.
method Systematic review following PRISMA guidelines, extracting and analysing key attributes from 143 papers and 430 datasets.
result No consistent evidence of superiority for either GAMs or neural networks, with performance trade-offs depending on dataset characteristics.

Standard autoregressive seq2seq models are easily trained by max-likelihood, but tend to show poor results under small-data conditions. We introduce a class of seq2seq models, GAMs (Global Autoregressive Models), which combine an autoregressive component with a log-linear component, allowing the use of global \textit{a…

2019-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Hedonic models predict 84-92% of U.S. real estate prices, highlighting environmental factors' impact.

problem Predicting real estate prices using hedonic models with environmental factors.
method P-spline generalized additive models for real estate prices, contrasting with linear and polynomial models.
result GAM models explain 84-92% of U.S. real estate price variance, with environmental factors contributing minimally.

ProtoNAM models tabular data with neural networks, making predictions transparent.

problem Tabular data analysis using neural networks lacks transparency and accuracy compared to tree-based methods.
method ProtoNAM introduces prototypes into neural networks to model tabular data while maintaining explainability.
result ProtoNAM outperforms existing NN-based GAMs and provides insights into learned feature patterns.

Multiple generalized additive models (GAMs) are a type of distributional regression wherein parameters of probability distributions depend on predictors through smooth functions, with selection of the degree of smoothness via L2L_2 regularization. Multiple GAMs allow finer statistical inference by incorporating explana…

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New model captures complex relationships from experimental data.

problem Capturing intricate feature interactions in empirical data.
method Shape Arithmetic Expressions (SHAREs) combining GAMs and mathematical expressions.
result SHAREs model captures complex feature interactions.

Bayesian GAMs improve predictive performance for high-dimensional data.

problem Sparse regularization in GAMs leads to excess shrinkage and difficulty in selecting nonlinear effects.
method Developed a novel spike-and-slab LASSO prior and scalable EM-Coordinate Descent algorithm.
result Improved predictive and computational performance compared to existing models.

AutoML improves electricity demand forecasting models.

problem Optimizing GAM and state-space model parameters for short-term forecasting.
method Automated online generalized additive model selection using DRAGON package.
result The approach enhances predictive performance of adaptive models.

ParamBoost uses gradient boosting to create interpretable non-linear models with constraints.

problem Creating interpretable non-linear models with expert knowledge constraints.
method Gradient Boosting of cubic polynomials with specified constraints.
result ParamBoost outperforms state-of-the-art GAMs in real-world datasets.

Sparse generalized additive models (GAMs) are an extension of sparse generalized linear models which allow a model's prediction to vary non-linearly with an input variable. This enables the data analyst build more accurate models, especially when the linearity assumption is known to be a poor approximation of reality. …

2019-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We derive a new radial link for binary classification under shared elliptical distributions.

problem Binary classification under shared-generator elliptical class-conditional distributions.
method We derive the Bayes radial-link family from the within-class radius law and estimate it by a finite fractional-power stochastic-polynomial projection.
result The derived link is asymptotically Bayes-optimal and significantly better than QDA on various benchmarks.

A generalized additive model (GAM, Hastie and Tibshirani (1987)) is a nonparametric model by the sum of univariate functions with respect to each explanatory variable, i.e., f(x)=fj(xj)f({\mathbf x}) = \sum f_j(x_j), where xjRx_j\in\mathbb{R} is jj-th component of a sample xRp{\mathbf x}\in \mathbb{R}^p. In this paper, we introd…

2018-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes combining GAM and DNN for accurate peak demand estimation from lower-resolution data.

problem Predicting high-resolution peak demand from limited lower-resolution data.
method Combines generalized additive models (GAM) and deep neural networks (DNN) for half-hourly load forecasting.
result Proposed method reduces out-of-sample RMSE by 57.4% compared to benchmark.

Model uses GAMs to forecast hourly electricity load weeks to one year ahead.

problem Accurate mid-term hourly load forecasting for power plant operation and energy management.
method Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) with P-splines and autoregressive post-processing.
result Significantly enhanced forecasting accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.

KAPLAN-HR models survival data without manual interactions, outperforming existing methods.

problem Survival analysis challenges with complex covariates and time-varying effects.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) for nonparametric hazard estimation.
result KAPLAN-HR matches or exceeds existing methods in clinical survival data.

New work shows FP potential monotonicity equals low-degree polynomial estimators limits.

problem Establishing a precise mathematical relationship between statistical physics and polynomial estimators limits.
method Analyzing Gaussian additive models (GAMs) to show FP potential monotonicity equals low-degree polynomial estimators limits.
result For a broad family of Gaussian additive models, the power of low-degree polynomials is equivalent to the monotonicity of the annealed FP potential.

Study analyzes Airbnb lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value, finding divergent shapes and tail behavior.

problem Analyzing lead-time distributions for Airbnb demand metrics.
method Compositional analysis of daily lead-time vectors, fitting Gamma, Weibull, and Lognormal distributions, using generalized Pareto for tail inference.
result Lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value diverge, with GBV concentrating more in mid-range horizons.

mcanalysis quantifies menstrual cycle effects in health data.

problem Lack of standardised statistical methods for menstrual cycle research.
method Fourier-basis generalised additive model (GAM) pipeline.
result Nine out of 15 health outcomes showed significant association with menstrual cycle.

Climate has been an important factor in shaping the distribution and incidence of dengue cases in tropical and subtropical countries. In Costa Rica, a tropical country with distinctive micro-climates, dengue has been endemic since its introduction in 1993, inflicting substantial economic, social, and public health repe…

2019-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling volatility with Chained Gamma Distributions for financial time series.

problem Volatility clustering in financial time series, especially in estimating temporal autocorrelation of logarithmic variance of returns.
method Dynamic Bayesian Network with conjugate prior relation of normal-gamma and gamma-gamma, using variational methods for quick approximate solutions.
result The model can express heavier tails than Gaussians, achieving positive excess kurtosis, and runs faster than Monte Carlo methods.

Study predicts stream turbidity using surrogate data and meta-model.

problem Costly turbidity sensor deployment limits monitoring networks.
method Dynamic regression (ARIMA), LSTM, GAM models; surrogate covariates (rainfall, water level, temperature, solar exposure); meta-model combining strengths of individual models.
result ARIMA and GAM models with all covariates outperform single models; meta-model yields highest accuracy.

Proposes a new model for high-dimensional data analysis with unknown link function.

problem Estimating link function, component functions, and variable interactions in high-dimensional data.
method Generalized Sparse Additive Model with Unknown Link Function (GSAMUL) using B-spline basis and MLP network for link estimation, with 2,1\ell_{2,1}-norm regularizer for variable selection.
result Can realize both variable selection and hidden interaction.

TSL learns separable models to avoid signal cancellation and off-support extrapolation.

problem Signal cancellation and off-support extrapolation in additive models.
method Tensor Separation Learning (TSL) via stagewise greedy procedure with orthogonal refitting.
result TSL avoids information loss caused by marginalizing higher-order interactions.

EBM improves car insurance claim severity and frequency prediction while maintaining interpretability.

problem Balancing predictive accuracy and interpretability in insurance claim modeling.
method Combines GAM and cyclic gradient boosting, providing interpretable predictions.
result EBM outperforms benchmark models in claim severity and frequency prediction.