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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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59117176234 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for scenario reduction

A new method using energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction.

problem Solving complex dynamic and stochastic programs, especially in energy systems.
method Proposes a new method based on energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction.
result Reduced scenario sets exhibit better statistical properties for energy distance than Wasserstein distance.

The study proposes a method for risk reduction without relying on risk measurement.

problem Theoretical utopia of risk minimization vs. practical risk reduction.
method Generalization of matrix rank and condition number for identifying riskiest scenarios.
result Risk reduction achieved without risk measurement, validated by real data.

Study the commutativity of reduction and symplectification in contact Hamiltonian systems.

problem Understanding the commutativity of reduction and symplectification in contact Hamiltonian systems.
method Introduce symplectic and contact geometry, perform reduction via momentum map, analyze symplectification process.
result Commutativity relations between reduction and symplectification in contact Hamiltonian systems.

In this paper we introduce and analyze the learning scenario of \emph{coupled nonlinear dimensionality reduction}, which combines two major steps of machine learning pipeline: projection onto a manifold and subsequent supervised learning. First, we present new generalization bounds for this scenario and, second, we int…

2015-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In the covariate shift learning scenario, the training and test covariate distributions differ, so that a predictor's average loss over the training and test distributions also differ. In this work, we explore the potential of extreme dimension reduction, i.e. to very low dimensions, in improving the performance of imp…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses non-linear dimension reduction for better economic forecasting.

problem Analyzing economic effects of shocks in large datasets.
method Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions.
result Non-linear dimension reduction techniques improve forecasting, especially in volatile data.

Nonholonomic mechanical systems have been attracting more interest in recent years because of their rich geometric properties and their applications in Engineering. In all generality, we discuss the reduction of a Hamilton-Jacobi theory for systems subject to nonholonomic constraints and that are invariant under the ac…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work compares data reduction criteria for online Gaussian Processes.

problem The computational complexity of Gaussian Processes limits their applicability to small datasets and streaming scenarios.
method Unified comparison of several data reduction criteria, analyzing computational complexity and reduction behavior.
result Practical guidelines for choosing a suitable data reduction criterion for online Gaussian Processes.

MARCD uses generative scenarios to improve portfolio decisions during regime shifts.

problem Improving portfolio decisions under regime shifts and drawdowns.
method MARCD employs a Gaussian HMM for regime inference, a diffusion generator for scenario production, and a CVaR allocator with tail-weighted and crisis-aware components.
result MARCD reduces maximum drawdowns by 34% compared to baseline methods over 2020-2025.

New method uses sparse random features for crashworthiness analysis.

problem Efficient surrogate modelling for uncertainty quantification.
method Sparse Random Features combined with self-supervised dimensionality reduction.
result Superiority over state-of-the-art techniques in crashworthiness analysis.

The dichotomous coordinate descent (DCD) algorithm has been successfully used for significant reduction in the complexity of recursive least squares (RLS) algorithms. In this work, we generalize the application of the DCD algorithm to RLS adaptive filtering in impulsive noise scenarios and derive a unified update formu…

2019-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

DFR reduces the computational cost of sparse-group lasso and adaptive sparse-group lasso.

problem Sparse-group lasso's computational expense and need for tuning.
method Dual Feature Reduction (DFR) using strong screening rules and dual norms.
result DFR drastically reduces computational cost without affecting solution optimality.

This paper forecasts renewable energy prospects in South America through cross-border interconnection.

problem Lack of renewable energy integration across South American countries.
method Long-term scenario forecasting methodology applied to raw data from typical countries.
result Promoting cross-border interconnection towards renewables can optimize energy supply, reduce costs, and balance the energy matrix.

GenSDR tackles SDR by leveraging generative models to fully recover lower-dimensional structures.

problem Challenges in identifying low-dimensional sufficient structures in nonlinear SDR.
method Proposes GenSDR, a method that uses modern generative models to fully recover information in the central σ-field.
result Establishes consistency of GenSDR estimator for sample-level data and extends its applicability to non-Euclidean responses.

BasisVAE combines VAE and clustering for tabular data analysis.

problem Lack of insights in tabular high-dimensional data analysis.
method Combines VAE with probabilistic clustering prior for joint dimensionality reduction and clustering.
result Learned one-hot basis function representation for translation-invariant features.

The study analyzes sharpness dynamics in neural networks, revealing mechanisms and conditions.

problem Understanding sharpness in neural network training.
method Fixed point analysis and edge of stability analysis in a simplified 2-layer linear network.
result Reveals mechanisms behind sharpness trends, conditions for edge of stability, and a period-doubling route to chaos.

Clustering high-dimensional data often requires some form of dimensionality reduction, where clustered variables are separated from "noise-looking" variables. We cast this problem as finding a low-dimensional projection of the data which is well-clustered. This yields a one-dimensional projection in the simplest situat…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization reduces dimensionality using EDR and Gaussian process.

problem Extending Bayesian optimization to high-dimensional settings.
method Two-step framework: EDR subspace identification followed by Gaussian process optimization.
result Algorithm converges in high-dimensional contexts, validated by numerical experiments.

The paper improves reinforcement learning stability and efficiency with a new theoretical framework.

problem Stability and efficiency in reinforcement learning, especially in data-scarce scenarios.
method Theoretical framework using resampled UU- and VV-statistics to model experience replay, applied to policy evaluation and kernel ridge regression.
result Significant improvements in stability and efficiency, particularly in data-scarce scenarios.

Unified convergence analysis of alpha-SVRG under strong convexity.

problem Analyzing the convergence of alpha-SVRG in strongly convex environments.
method Unified convergence rate expression for alpha-SVRG under fixed learning rate, demonstrating faster convergence than SGD and SVRG.
result alpha-SVRG has a faster convergence rate compared to SGD and SVRG under suitable choice of alpha.

LMMVAE improves VAE for correlated data by separating latent variables into fixed and random parts.

problem Correlated data in tabular and image datasets.
method Integrates random effects into VAE architecture, separating latent variables into fixed and random parts.
result Significant improvement in reconstruction error and likelihood loss on unseen data.

TMLE improves causal effect estimation in missing data scenarios with various positivity violations.

problem Estimating causal effects in studies with missing data and positivity violations.
method Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) with various missing data methods.
result Complete cases with TMLE incorporating an outcome-missingness model exhibit lower bias and greater robustness against positivity violations.

SmoothFBO tackles non-stationary functional bilevel optimization.

problem Current FBO methods are limited to static offline settings and perform poorly in online, non-stationary scenarios.
method SmoothFBO introduces a time-smoothed stochastic hypergradient estimator with a window parameter to handle non-stationarity.
result SmoothFBO achieves sublinear regret and outperforms existing methods in non-stationary hyperparameter optimization and model-based reinforcement learning.

Optimistic Thompson Sampling reduces regret in unknown multi-player games.

problem Navigating uncertainty in unknown multi-player games with strategic decision-making.
method Introduces Thompson Sampling algorithms that exploit opponents' actions and reward structures.
result Achieves over tenfold improvements in experimental budgets with logarithmic regret bound.

Spectral dimensionality reduction algorithms are widely used in numerous domains, including for recognition, segmentation, tracking and visualization. However, despite their popularity, these algorithms suffer from a major limitation known as the "repeated Eigen-directions" phenomenon. That is, many of the embedding co…

2016-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Evaluation metrics for prediction models don't fully reflect intervention impact.

problem Standard metrics don't accurately reflect reduction in patient outcomes from model use.
method Synthesized and discussed various evaluation methods, analyzed with simulated and real data.
result Evaluations without interventional data are limited or require strong assumptions.

Two-layer networks learn hard GLMs with SGD in high dimensions.

problem Learning hard generalized linear models with SGD in high-dimensional settings.
method Reduction of SGD dynamics to a stochastic process in lower dimensions, focusing on the role of stochasticity.
result Overparameterization enhances convergence by a constant factor, suggesting minimal role of stochasticity.

Novel LSE estimator improves off-policy learning and evaluation.

problem High variance and poor performance with low-quality propensity scores and heavy-tailed reward distributions.
method Introduces a novel estimator based on the log-sum-exponential (LSE) operator.
result Achieves convergence rate of O(nε/(1+ε))O(n^{-ε/(1+ ε)}) for regret bounds.

A new method for generating SPX and VIX risk scenarios using perturbed optimal transport.

problem Generating accurate risk estimates for SPX and VIX without full recalibration.
method A joint optimal transport calibration with perturbation methodology for sensitivities, combined with Skew Stickiness Ratio dynamics.
result The proposed method produces accurate risk estimates relative to full recalibration and is computationally faster.

New approach optimizes policies in adversarial MDPs using adversarial learning.

problem Optimizing policies in adversarial Markov decision processes.
method Adversarial learning on advantage functions, extending previous reductions.
result Stronger regret criteria and performance guarantees for policy optimization.

Low redispatch prices boost green hydrogen production cost, encouraging electrolyzer siting.

problem Uncertainty in redispatch power availability and its impact on green hydrogen production cost.
method Historic redispatch time series analysis and power purchase scenarios evaluation.
result Low price levels can lead to notable production cost reductions, incentivizing electrolyzer siting.

PEMC uses ML to enhance Monte Carlo simulations, reducing variance and runtime.

problem Computational inefficiency in Monte Carlo simulations for complex tasks.
method Prediction-Enhanced Monte Carlo (PEMC) framework that uses ML surrogates as predictors.
result PEMC provides unbiased evaluations with reduced variance and runtime compared to standard Monte Carlo.

SEDA improves RLDA for high-dimensional data.

problem Inconsistent performance of RLDA in high-dimensional scenarios.
method Developed a non-asymptotic approximation of misclassification rate, derived new theoretical results on eigenvectors, and proposed SEDA algorithm.
result SEDA achieves higher classification accuracy and dimensionality reduction compared to existing LDA methods.

Paper proposes SDDP for improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors.

problem Improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors.
method SDDP framework that incorporates target variable and lagged observations into factor extraction process.
result SDDP improves predictive accuracy in time series forecasting.

We introduce the concept of Hypoelliptic Diffusion Maps (HDM), a framework generalizing Diffusion Maps in the context of manifold learning and dimensionality reduction. Standard non-linear dimensionality reduction methods (e.g., LLE, ISOMAP, Laplacian Eigenmaps, Diffusion Maps) focus on mining massive data sets using w…

2015-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework corrects model form errors in structural dynamics predictions.

problem Model form errors in parametric models of structural dynamics.
method Gaussian Process Latent Force Model (GPLFM) for non-parametric discrepancy representation, linear Bayesian filtering for state and discrepancy estimation, modal reduction for computational tractability.
result Significant reduction of displacement and rotation prediction errors under unseen excitations.