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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for path-based reasoning

This paper improves tail dependence analysis by introducing a path-based approach.

problem The classical tail dependence coefficient fails to capture non-exchangeable features of tail dependence.
method The paper introduces a path-based maximal tail dependence approach to capture the most pronounced feature of dependence over all possible paths.
result The paper proves the existence and provides an explicit characterization of the path-based maximal TDC, improving analytical and computational tractability.

Complexity measures for neural nets with general activations using path-based norms.

problem Control complexity of neural networks with arbitrary activation functions.
method Approximate general activations with ReLU networks and derive path-based norms for complexity control.
result Preliminary analyses of function spaces and regularized estimators.

StrokeCoder uses Transformers to generate images from single examples.

problem Creating diverse images from a single example.
method Transformer Neural Network learns from a single path-based example to generate a set of images.
result The model can generate a large set of deviated images that still represent the original image's style and concept.

Neural-symbolic model improves link prediction in knowledge graphs.

problem Effective relational learning and reasoning for AI systems.
method Neural-symbolic graph neural network that learns over all paths in knowledge graphs.
result Neural-symbolic model outperforms path-based approaches in link prediction.

Proposes Geodesic Integrated Gradients (GIG) for more accurate feature attributions in deep networks.

problem Flawed attributions using straight paths from Integrated Gradients (IG).
method Introduces a model-induced Riemannian metric and computes attributions along geodesics.
result GIG produces more faithful attributions than IG on benchmarks.

Combinatorial optimization problems for clustering are known to be NP-hard. Most optimization methods are not able to find the global optimum solution for all datasets. To solve this problem, we propose a global optimal path-based clustering (GOPC) algorithm in this paper. The GOPC algorithm is based on two facts: (1) …

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A model predicts influential nodes in complex networks by considering indirect interactions.

problem Identifying influential nodes in complex networks using indirect interactions.
method Proposes MOGen, a multi-order generative model that considers all indirect influences up to a maximum distance.
result MOGen consistently outperforms network models and path-based approaches in predicting influential nodes.

The paper proposes a method to improve random forest classification accuracy by weighting trees based on their decision path reliability.

problem Random forests' uniform voting fails to correct errors in regions where incorrect tree representations outnumber correct ones.
method The paper introduces using the structural pattern of each tree's decision path as an instance-adaptive reliability signal to identify and weight more reliable trees.
result Using the proposed method yields a statistically significant accuracy improvement over RF on 36 binary classification benchmarks.

Paper uncovers causal structures in Hawkes processes with latent subprocesses.

problem Tackles latent subprocesses in Hawkes processes with complex event-driven interactions.
method Proposes a two-phase iterative algorithm that infers causal relationships and identifies latent subprocesses.
result Successfully recovers causal structures in datasets with latent subprocesses.

Derives functional Itô formula for non-anticipative maps of rough paths.

problem Functional Itô formula for non-anticipative maps of càdlàg rough paths.
method Approximation properties of the signature and Marcus transformation.
result Functional Taylor expansion for sufficiently regular non-anticipative maps.

CDA framework infers channel influence from aggregated data without user identifiers.

problem Lack of user-level path data due to privacy regulations and platform restrictions.
method CDA integrates PCMCI for causal discovery and Structural Causal Model for effect estimation.
result CDA achieves strong accuracy in estimating channel influence, even under structural uncertainty.

Study measures impact of data and neural net similarity on transferability in restaurant sales data.

problem Identify indicators for successful transferability of neural nets across different data sets.
method Empirical study on sales data from six restaurants, calculating indicators based on data and neural net similarities.
result Negative correlations between transferability and indicators, allowing better model performance and fewer transfers.

LaTRO optimizes latent reasoning in LLMs without external reward.

problem Training LLMs to perform complex reasoning tasks.
method Formulates reasoning as latent distribution sampling and optimizes via variational approaches.
result LLMs improve reasoning and evaluation quality through self-improvement.

Paper proposes a method to evaluate SME credit risk using meta paths.

problem Evaluate credit risk of small and medium-sized enterprises with limited data.
method Exploits the representative power of information networks and meta paths to infer SME financial status.
result Meta path feature effectively identifies SMEs with credit risks.

Auto-CEI improves LLM reasoning by balancing assertiveness and conservativeness.

problem Hallucinations and laziness in LLM reasoning tasks.
method Expert Iteration explores reasoning trajectories, guiding incorrect paths back on track and promoting appropriate 'I don't know' responses.
result Auto-CEI achieves superior alignment in logical reasoning, mathematics, and planning tasks.

A new method for math reasoning that allows for iterative correction.

problem Standard reasoning models commit to each token and cannot recover from early errors.
method Generative framework with latent thought vectors for iterative self-correction.
result 30 rethinking iterations surpass baselines with 15 times more parameters.

Inferring new facts from existing knowledge graphs (KG) with explainable reasoning processes is a significant problem and has received much attention recently. However, few studies have focused on relation types unseen in the original KG, given only one or a few instances for training. To bridge this gap, we propose Co…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers learn multi-step reasoning through gradient descent.

problem Understanding how transformers solve symbolic multi-step reasoning tasks.
method Theoretical analysis of gradient descent dynamics and multi-phase training.
result Trained one-layer transformers can solve both backward and forward reasoning tasks with generalization guarantees.

GAGA accelerates 3D molecular generation by replacing long trajectories with Gaussian approximations.

problem High computational cost of long generative trajectories in 3D molecular generation.
method GAGA identifies a characteristic step where molecular data becomes sufficiently Gaussian, replacing the trajectory with a Gaussian approximation.
result Significant improvement in both generation quality and computational efficiency.

Early stopping methods reduce unnecessary reasoning steps in LLMs by monitoring uncertainty signals.

problem LLMs sometimes generate unnecessary reasoning steps, especially under uncertainty.
method Statistically principled early stopping methods that monitor uncertainty signals during generation.
result Uncertainty-aware early stopping improves efficiency and reliability in LLM reasoning, especially in math reasoning.

Achieving artificial visual reasoning - the ability to answer image-related questions which require a multi-step, high-level process - is an important step towards artificial general intelligence. This multi-modal task requires learning a question-dependent, structured reasoning process over images from language. Stand…

2017-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

FinTradeBench benchmarks LLMs for financial reasoning combining company fundamentals and market signals.

problem Challenges in evaluating financial reasoning models for LLMs.
method Developed a benchmark integrating company fundamentals and trading signals, using a calibration-then-scaling framework.
result Clear performance gap between LLMs, retrieval improves reasoning over textual fundamentals but not trading signals.

This research develops a new model for cyber risk and insurance pricing.

problem Accurate calculation of aggregate losses in cyber insurance pricing.
method A path-based k-generation risk contagion model in a tree-shaped network structure.
result Explicit expressions for mean and variance of local loss on a single path.

Hybrid framework injects TSLM insights into GRLM for robust time-series reasoning.

problem Lack of domain-specific knowledge in large language models for time-series reasoning.
method Hybrid knowledge-injection framework combining RLVR for efficient knowledge transfer.
result Consistently outperforms existing models by 7.9%-26.1% on multivariate time-series benchmarks.

Neural Logic Reasoning integrates deep learning and symbolic logic for better prediction tasks.

problem Lack of cognitive reasoning in deep neural networks limits their ability to solve complex prediction tasks.
method Proposes Logic-Integrated Neural Network (LINN) that learns logical operations and conducts propositional logical reasoning.
result LINN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art recommendation models in Top-K recommendation.

Forward-prediction models enhance physical reasoning, but only for specific tasks.

problem Improving physical reasoning in complex tasks involving many objects.
method Incorporated forward-prediction models into simple physical-reasoning agents and evaluated their performance on the PHYRE benchmark.
result Forward-prediction models improve physical-reasoning performance, especially on complex tasks, but generalization to new task templates is challenging.

KrigHedge uses Gaussian processes to approximate option Greeks efficiently.

problem Computing option Greeks in complex models is computationally expensive or inexact.
method Gaussian process surrogates trained on noisy option prices, with analytical differentiation for sensitivities.
result The method provides accurate Delta approximations and quantifies hedging loss.

RACER optimizes LLM-as-judge accuracy with dynamic reasoning selection.

problem Balancing reasoning accuracy with computational cost in LLM-as-judge settings.
method Formulates routing as a constrained distributionally robust optimization problem, accounting for distribution shift via KL-divergence uncertainty set.
result RACER achieves superior accuracy-cost trade-offs under distribution shift.

VTA combines verbal and latent reasoning for accurate stock time-series forecasts.

problem Challenges in combining textual analysis with time-series data for financial forecasting.
method Converts stock price data into textual annotations, optimizes reasoning trace using inverse MSE, conditions time-series model outputs on reasoning attributes.
result VTA achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy and interpretable reasoning traces.

Fractured Sampling improves LLM reasoning efficiency by truncating CoT trajectories.

problem Efficiently scaling reasoning in large language models with limited tokens.
method Integrating truncated Chain-of-Thought (CoT) with Fractured Sampling across multiple dimensions.
result Fractured Sampling achieves superior accuracy-cost trade-offs compared to full CoT.

Few-shot visual reasoning model learns analogical relationships from small data.

problem Training deep models on few samples for visual reasoning tasks.
method Meta-analogical contrastive learning to enforce structural similarity between training and test samples.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art on RAVEN dataset with scarce training data.

Study reveals how depth of reasoning affects generalization in models.

problem Understanding scaling behavior of generalization with CoT depth.
method Theoretical model of CoT in linear regression using random matrix theory.
result Sharp phase transition between exponential and polynomial improvement, saturation, and overthinking.

Enhances large language models' reasoning through simpler off-policy reinforcement learning.

problem Improving large language models' ability to reason and solve problems.
method EM Policy Gradient, optimizing expected return over reasoning trajectories using Expectation-Maximization (EM) optimization.
result Achieves comparable or slightly superior performance to state-of-the-art methods on reasoning datasets, with additional cognitive behaviors.

Self-supervised skip-tree training improves mathematical reasoning in language models.

problem Improving logical reasoning in language models for formal mathematics.
method Self-supervised language modeling on mathematical formulas, skip-tree task.
result Models trained on skip-tree task outperform standard models in mathematical reasoning tasks.

Theoretical work shows integrating coherent reasoning improves LLM performance and error correction.

problem Improving reasoning and error correction in large language models (LLMs) with few-shot prompting.
method Theoretical analysis and sensitivity experiments on transformer behavior with coherent reasoning and corrupted demonstrations.
result The transformer gains better error correction ability and more accurate predictions when coherent reasoning is integrated.

R2-B2 optimizes game interactions with recursive reasoning.

problem Optimizing interactions between boundedly rational agents with unknown payoff functions.
method Recursive Reasoning-Based Bayesian Optimization (R2-B2) for repeated games.
result R2-B2 achieves faster asymptotic convergence to no regret than non-recursive methods.