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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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22446587 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal

Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.

problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.

MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.

problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.

problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.

A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.

problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.

TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.

problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.

STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.

problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.

FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.

Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for descriptive and predictive modeling tasks. In this work, we propose a general framewo…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

Networks are a fundamental tool for modeling complex systems in a variety of domains including social and communication networks as well as biology and neuroscience. Small subgraph patterns in networks, called network motifs, are crucial to understanding the structure and function of these systems. However, the role of…

2016-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network framework to characterize the time-evolving correlation-based networks of stock…

2017-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

SWoTTeD discovers hidden temporal patterns in EHR data.

problem Complex temporal patterns in EHR data.
method Sliding Window for Temporal Tensor Decomposition (SWoTTeD) with constraints and regularizations.
result SWoTTeD achieves at least as accurate reconstruction as state-of-the-art models and extracts meaningful temporal phenotypes.

Inductive representation learning on temporal graphs is an important step toward salable machine learning on real-world dynamic networks. The evolving nature of temporal dynamic graphs requires handling new nodes as well as capturing temporal patterns. The node embeddings, which are now functions of time, should repres…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

TCGPN improves stock forecasting by capturing temporal correlation patterns.

problem Stock forecasting with minimal periodicity and large node numbers.
method TCGPN uses Temporal-Correlation fusion encoder and pre-training methods to handle large datasets.
result TCGPN achieves state-of-the-art results on real stock market data.

Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.

problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.

In this work, we present a method for node embedding in temporal graphs. We propose an algorithm that learns the evolution of a temporal graph's nodes and edges over time and incorporates this dynamics in a temporal node embedding framework for different graph prediction tasks. We present a joint loss function that cre…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Within many real-world networks the links between pairs of nodes change over time. Thus, there has been a recent boom in studying temporal graphs. Recognizing patterns in temporal graphs requires a proximity measure to compare different temporal graphs. To this end, we propose to study dynamic time warping on temporal …

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.

problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.

Temporal information impacts only a fraction of time series datasets, skewing benchmark evaluations.

problem Temporal information's impact on time series classification is often overestimated.
method Permutation tests on UCR archive to identify datasets where temporal info is irrelevant.
result Many tabular datasets perform well without temporal info, skewing benchmark evaluations.

Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…

2016-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

TATD predicts missing entries in time-evolving tensors by exploiting temporal dependency and sparsity.

problem Predict missing entries in time-evolving tensors with temporal dependency and sparsity issues.
method TATD (Time-Aware Tensor Decomposition) integrates temporal dependency and time-varying sparsity through a smoothing regularization with Gaussian kernel and alternating optimization.
result TATD achieves state-of-the-art accuracy for decomposing temporal tensors.

Proposes a non-autoregressive Transformer for time series forecasting.

problem Autoregressive errors and spatial-temporal dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Introduces a Non-Autoregressive Transformer with a learned temporal influence map.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance on time series forecasting datasets.

Recent progress in using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for image description has motivated the exploration of their application for video description. However, while images are static, working with videos requires modeling their dynamic temporal structure and then properly integrating that information into a natural…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a new model to evaluate policies in complex temporal/spatial experiments.

problem Evaluating the impact of policies in experiments with temporal and spatial dependencies.
method Temporal/spatio-temporal Varying Coefficient Decision Process (VCDP) model, decomposing ATE into DE and IE.
result Effective estimation and inference of DE and IE with rigorous statistical analysis.

Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic temporal dependencies among different time intervals. Although measurements of …

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.

problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.

LEAP identifies latent causal variables from temporal data.

problem Recovering time-delayed latent causal variables from general temporal data.
method Proposes LEAP, a framework that extends VAEs with constraints for temporally causal latent processes.
result Successfully identifies temporally causal latent processes from observed variables under various dependency structures.