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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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182364546728 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for object prediction

Two-step conformal prediction method for adaptive bounding box uncertainties in multi-object detection.

problem Quantifying predictive uncertainty for multi-object detection in safety-critical applications.
method Developed a two-step conformal prediction approach to propagate uncertainty in predicted class labels into bounding box uncertainties, ensuring coverage for incorrectly classified objects.
result Desired coverage levels are satisfied with practically tight predictive uncertainty intervals on real-world datasets.

Estimates uncertainty in bounding box regression for object detection.

problem Reliable deployment of deep object detectors in safety-critical tasks.
method Training variance networks with energy score as a proper scoring rule.
result Energy score leads to better calibrated and lower entropy predictive distributions.

Proposes class-agnostic object detection to handle all objects without class labels.

problem Difficulty and cost in creating annotated datasets limit conventional object detection models to specific object types.
method Proposes class-agnostic object detection as a new problem and proposes training and evaluation protocols. Uses adversarial learning to exclude class-specific information.
result Adversarial learning improves class-agnostic detection efficacy.

Similarity measure for Gaussian process predictive distributions.

problem Comparing predictive distributions of Gaussian processes for correlated functions.
method Developed a similarity metric to compare predictive distributions of Gaussian processes.
result Gaussian process predictive distributions can be compared and one is enough to model two correlated functions.

KINet learns object interactions without supervision for robotic pushing.

problem Lack of supervised data for object-centric forward prediction.
method End-to-end unsupervised framework using keypoint representation and contrastive estimation.
result Automatically generalizes to unseen scenarios and accurately predicts future states.

Neural model predicts object states and physical parameters from visual observations.

problem Computational models struggle with physical reasoning and adapting to new environments.
method Visual prior predicts particle-based system from visual observations; inference module refines estimates subject to dynamics constraints.
result Model can infer physical properties within a few observations and adapt to unseen scenarios.

OLALA automates document layout annotation by selecting ambiguous regions for labeling.

problem Efficiently annotating complex document layouts with limited resources.
method Object-Level Active Learning framework that selects ambiguous regions for labeling and uses semi-automatic correction.
result OLALA significantly boosts model performance and improves annotation efficiency.

Many objective Bayesian optimization tackles redundant objectives in expensive black-box functions.

problem Efficiently optimizing multiple expensive and noisy black-box functions with redundant objectives.
method Proposes a metric to identify redundant objectives and a Bayesian optimization algorithm to stop evaluating them.
result Reduces computational cost by stopping evaluation of redundant objectives, improving efficiency.

Crowd counting problem aims to count the number of objects within an image or a frame in the videos and is usually solved by estimating the density map generated from the object location annotations. The values in the density map, by nature, take two possible states: zero indicating no object around, a non-zero value i…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a method for predicting a classification of an object given classifications of the objects in the training set, assuming that the pairs object/classification are generated by an i.i.d. process from a continuous probability distribution. Our method is a modification of Vapnik's support-vector machine; its ma…

2013-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Current approaches for predicting sets from feature vectors ignore the unordered nature of sets and suffer from discontinuity issues as a result. We propose a general model for predicting sets that properly respects the structure of sets and avoids this problem. With a single feature vector as input, we show that our m…

2019-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

To study how mental object representations are related to behavior, we estimated sparse, non-negative representations of objects using human behavioral judgments on images representative of 1,854 object categories. These representations predicted a latent similarity structure between objects, which captured most of the…

2019-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic structured prediction under bandit feedback follows a learning protocol where on each of a sequence of iterations, the learner receives an input, predicts an output structure, and receives partial feedback in form of a task loss evaluation of the predicted structure. We present applications of this learning …

2016-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses conformal prediction to detect railway signals with confidence.

problem Deploying deep learning models in certified systems requires accurate uncertainty estimates.
method The paper uses conformal prediction and risk control to detect railway signals.
result The conformal prediction framework provides reliable and trustworthy uncertainty estimates for model performance.

ICP improves prediction intervals for continuous outcomes at lower computational cost.

problem Systematic bias in point predictions that undermines their use in decision-making.
method Develops Isotonic Conformal Prediction (ICP) framework to decouple calibration from prediction-set construction.
result SICP and TICP procedures match SC-CP coverage at lower computational cost.

A recommender system based on ranks is proposed, where an expert's ranking of a set of objects and a user's ranking of a subset of those objects are combined to make a prediction of the user's ranking of all objects. The rankings are assumed to be induced by latent continuous variables corresponding to the grades assig…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Forward-prediction models enhance physical reasoning, but only for specific tasks.

problem Improving physical reasoning in complex tasks involving many objects.
method Incorporated forward-prediction models into simple physical-reasoning agents and evaluated their performance on the PHYRE benchmark.
result Forward-prediction models improve physical-reasoning performance, especially on complex tasks, but generalization to new task templates is challenging.

The paper explores a Multi-Objective RL approach for trading that generalizes reward functions.

problem Improving performance in single-asset trading through adaptive reward functions.
method Developed a Multi-Objective Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm to generalize reward functions and discount factors.
result The Multi-Objective algorithm demonstrates increased predictive stability and better performance in sparse reward scenarios.

Controller seeks informative system observations to predict nonlinear dynamics.

problem Predicting nonlinear dynamics with uncertain parameters.
method Expected free energy minimization for balancing goal state and informative observations.
result Controller improves performance in uncertain parameter scenarios.

In many safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving and surgical robots, it is desirable to obtain prediction uncertainties from object detection modules to help support safe decision-making. Specifically, such modules need to estimate the probability of each predicted object in a given region and the confi…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we advocate for representation learning as the key to mitigating unfair prediction outcomes downstream. Motivated by a scenario where learned representations are used by third parties with unknown objectives, we propose and explore adversarial representation learning as a natural method of ensuring those…

2018-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Prediction is arguably one of the most basic functions of an intelligent system. In general, the problem of predicting events in the future or between two waypoints is exceedingly difficult. However, most phenomena naturally pass through relatively predictable bottlenecks---while we cannot predict the precise trajector…

2018-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves model calibration by adjusting confidence based on prediction correctness.

problem Improving model confidence alignment with true class probabilities.
method Post-hoc calibration objective using transformed samples for training.
result Competitive calibration performance on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.

Deep convolutional neural networks have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance on a number of image recognition benchmarks, including the ImageNet Large-Scale Visual Recognition Challenge (ILSVRC-2012). The winning model on the localization sub-task was a network that predicts a single bounding box and a confid…

2013-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper presents a method for generating well-calibrated prediction intervals using quality-driven deep ensembles.

problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for regression analysis.
method A multi-objective loss function combining quality measures for prediction intervals and point estimates, with a penalty function to ensure semantic integrity and stability.
result The method produces well-calibrated prediction intervals and point estimates, capturing both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.

This paper introduces multi-objective hyperparameter optimization in machine learning.

problem Optimizing machine learning pipelines for multiple objectives, not just accuracy.
method Survey of optimization strategies and applications in multi-objective hyperparameter optimization.
result The importance and utility of multi-objective hyperparameter optimization in applied machine learning.

Counting objects in digital images is a process that should be replaced by machines. This tedious task is time consuming and prone to errors due to fatigue of human annotators. The goal is to have a system that takes as input an image and returns a count of the objects inside and justification for the prediction in the…

2017-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes MOC method for better counterfactual explanations in ML models.

problem Difficulties in balancing multiple objectives for counterfactual explanations.
method Translates counterfactual search into a multi-objective optimization problem.
result Returns diverse counterfactuals with different trade-offs and maintains feature diversity.

New method for predicting paths of unpredictable objects with high confidence.

problem Need for dependable uncertainty estimates in motion planning with diverse unpredictable objects.
method Blend online conformal prediction, multiple time series techniques, and heteroscedasticity addressing.
result Simultaneous forecasting bands that cover entire paths with high probability.

This paper tests the hypothesis that modeling a scene in terms of entities and their local interactions, as opposed to modeling the scene globally, provides a significant benefit in generalizing to physical tasks in a combinatorial space the learner has not encountered before. We present object-centric perception, pred…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗