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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · Oct 201819922001200920172026
4 results for quality-driven

The paper presents a method for generating well-calibrated prediction intervals using quality-driven deep ensembles.

problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for regression analysis.
method A multi-objective loss function combining quality measures for prediction intervals and point estimates, with a penalty function to ensure semantic integrity and stability.
result The method produces well-calibrated prediction intervals and point estimates, capturing both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.

This paper presents a method to automatically generate high-quality prediction intervals for neural networks.

problem Accurate uncertainty quantification for deep learning models in real-world applications.
method Dual neural network approach with a novel loss function to balance prediction interval width and coverage.
result Our method produces significantly narrower prediction intervals with higher probability coverage compared to state-of-the-art methods.

New ML methods improve physical system understanding by quantifying uncertainty across diverse regimes.

problem Capturing multi-regime physical systems with standard ML techniques.
method Coverage-oriented uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods.
result Coverage-oriented UQ models deliver physically consistent uncertainty estimates.