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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for influence diagnostics

Establishes statistical and computational bounds for influence diagnostics.

problem Identifying influential datapoints or subsets in machine learning models.
method Finite-sample statistical bounds and computational complexity for influence functions and approximate maximum influence perturbations.
result Established statistical and computational guarantees for influence diagnostics.

Study examines influence diagnostics in high-dimensional M-estimation.

problem Understanding influence diagnostics in high-dimensional settings.
method Characterized the distribution of leave-one-out influences in high-dimensional Gaussian M-estimation.
result The distribution of influences converges to a limiting measure in high-dimensional settings.

Framework calculates positional influence in causal residual Transformers.

problem Understanding positional influence in causal residual Transformers.
method Adjoint-sensitivity framework for positional influence in causal residual Transformers.
result Exact evolution of adjoint-energy influence density and decomposition into residual transmission, nonlocal Volterra, and local channels.

Develops a diagnostic framework for interest rate model calibration, showing equivalence to Weighted Least Squares and revealing boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability.

problem Calibration of stochastic interest rate models
method Diagnostic framework using non-linear regression and analytical tractability of At-The-Money caps
result Reveals boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability

Supervised topic models can help clinical researchers find interpretable cooccurence patterns in count data that are relevant for diagnostics. However, standard formulations of supervised Latent Dirichlet Allocation have two problems. First, when documents have many more words than labels, the influence of the labels w…

2016-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Subsampling methods have been recently proposed to speed up least squares estimation in large scale settings. However, these algorithms are typically not robust to outliers or corruptions in the observed covariates. The concept of influence that was developed for regression diagnostics can be used to detect such corrup…

2014-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

HawkesLLM models text generation with temporal influence, improving semantic alignment under limited memory.

problem Path-dependent uncertainty in agentic text-simulation systems.
method HawkesLLM framework separates temporal influence modeling from text generation, using a multivariate Hawkes process and a language model.
result HawkesLLM improves late-stage semantic alignment under a compact prompt-memory budget.

New robust MPCA method handles casewise and cellwise outliers in tensor data.

problem Outliers, especially casewise and cellwise, affect the performance of standard MPCA.
method Uses a single loss function to reduce the influence of both types of outliers and missing values.
result The new method improves robustness and performance in tensor data analysis.

Newfluence improves model interpretability in high-dimensional AI models.

problem Challenges in interpreting high-dimensional AI models.
method Introduced Newfluence, an alternative approximation to influence functions.
result Newfluence offers significantly improved accuracy in high-dimensional settings.

Study highlights robustness issues in healthcare diagnostic models due to distribution shifts.

problem Robustness of diagnostic models in healthcare is compromised by distribution shifts.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation studies to understand and mitigate shortcuts learned by models.
result Ignoring covariates or using invariant learning approaches leads to non-robust predictors.

A new method reduces both input and output dimensions for better goal-oriented analysis.

problem Simultaneous reduction of input and output dimensions for more accurate analysis.
method Coupled input-output dimension reduction, optimizing gradient-based bounds.
result Determine most informative sensors and influential parameters efficiently.

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.

problem Estimating sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests.
method Modifying diagnostic test solutions to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers on unlabeled data.
result The approach can be used to estimate accuracy statistics for supervised or unsupervised binary classifiers on unlabeled data.

Deep learning ensemble improves Alzheimer vs. Mild Cognitive Impairment diagnosis.

problem Differentiating Alzheimer Disease from Mild Cognitive Impairment.
method Hybrid deep learning ensemble framework using MRI slices, pretrained models, and stacked ensemble learning.
result State-of-the-art accuracy (99.21%) for Alzheimer vs. Mild Cognitive Impairment classification.

Paper introduces a diagnostic for approximate inference methods.

problem Estimating errors in probabilistic inference algorithms, especially for approximate methods.
method Repeatedly simulate datasets from the prior and perform inference on each, estimating a symmetric KL-divergence.
result A diagnostic for approximate inference methods can be estimated using symmetric KL-divergence.

Machine learning improves diagnostic test accuracy for bovine tuberculosis.

problem Improving diagnostic test sensitivity for bovine tuberculosis.
method Machine learning to assess risk landscapes and predict infection.
result Test sensitivity improved, detecting 240 more infected herds per year.

AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.

problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.

Graph-based approach repairs programs from diagnostic feedback.

problem Learning to repair programs from limited labeled data and compiler error messages.
method Introduces program-feedback graph and graph neural network for reasoning, and self-supervised learning with unlabeled programs.
result DrRepair significantly outperforms prior work, achieving high repair rates.

The paper analyzes convergence in SGD with momentum and proposes a diagnostic test.

problem Detecting convergence in stochastic gradient descent with momentum.
method Analyzes the transient and stationary phases of SGD with momentum, constructs a statistical diagnostic test.
result The proposed diagnostic test effectively detects convergence in the stationary phase of SGD with momentum.

Paper improves predictive distributions for rare events using a simple framework.

problem Local miscalibration of predictive distributions for rare events.
method Semiparametric diagnostic transport maps to correct tail probabilities.
result Semiparametric maps improve predictions for severe weather hazards.

TADDAA improves accuracy diagnostics for variational approximations.

problem Challenges in evaluating the accuracy of variational approximations.
method Uses many short parallel MCMC chains to obtain lower bounds on the error of each posterior functional of interest.
result Validates the practical utility and computational efficiency of TADDAA on various models.

Active learning aims to obtain a classifier of high accuracy by using fewer label requests in comparison to passive learning by selecting effective queries. Many active learning methods have been developed in the past two decades, which sample queries based on informativeness or representativeness of unlabeled data poi…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, and this study diagnoses the failure.

problem Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, leading to over-concentration or diffuse attention.
method The study uses forced scoring of benchmark-labeled responses to compute attention shapes and analyze the symmetric component of the degree-normalized attention operator.
result The study proves that every transpose-invariant spectral diagnostic of the attention operator is orientation-blind and bounds the sensitivity of any Lipschitz diagnostic by the asymmetry coefficient \(G\).

Interpretable deep learning is a fundamental building block towards safer AI, especially when the deployment possibilities of deep learning-based computer-aided medical diagnostic systems are so eminent. However, without a computational formulation of black-box interpretation, general interpretability research rely hea…

2018-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for scalable Bayesian inference.

problem Tuning hyperparameters for SGMCMC is challenging due to lack of principled methods.
method Proposes a bandit-based algorithm using Stein discrepancies to tune hyperparameters.
result The method effectively tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for various applications.

Reducing ICD-10 code granularity improves cost model accuracy and stability.

problem High-dimensional regression with ICD-10 codes leads to unstable coefficient estimates.
method Log-linear analytics approach to cost model regularization through diagnostic code merging.
result Reducing ICD-10 code granularity from 7 characters to 6 or fewer improves model interpretability and consistency.

The paper introduces diagnostic transport maps to improve the reliability of rare event predictions.

problem Improper calibration of predictive distributions, especially for rare events.
method Diagnostic transport maps to adjust base model's probabilities for better calibration.
result Diagnostic transport maps improve predictive performance for rare events, including 24-hour rapid intensity change.

New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.

problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.

The paper breaks down AUC into cluster-level components for better model diagnostics.

problem Global AUC masks weaknesses in specific subpopulations, leading to financial or operational risks.
method Formal decomposition of AUC into intra- and inter-cluster components, comparing with other performance metrics.
result Allows practitioners to evaluate and diagnose model performance within and across clusters.

Proposes FACT, a diagnostic for understanding group fairness trade-offs.

problem Group fairness notions often conflict with each other, requiring a cost in model performance.
method Characterizes trade-offs via the fairness-confusion tensor and optimizes accuracy and fairness objectives.
result Demonstrates the use of FACT on synthetic and real datasets to understand accuracy-fairness trade-offs.

Interprets how intrinsic motivation shapes behavior in RL agents.

problem Understanding how intrinsic motivation influences behavior in reinforcement learning agents.
method Analyzed five RL agents in procedurally generated environments using various interpretability techniques.
result Curiosity-driven agents exhibit broader and more dynamic attention than extrinsically motivated agents.

This paper simplifies deep ReLU networks into local linear models for better interpretability.

problem Limited transparency and interpretability of deep neural networks, especially ReLU networks.
method Local linear representation and equivalent set of local linear models (LLMs).
result Simplified deep ReLU networks for better interpretability and diagnostics.

New diagnostic tool for assessing approximate Bayesian inference.

problem Assessing the trustworthiness of approximate Bayesian inference.
method Reframe the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions and use Gibbs priors.
result The diagnostic tool can discover the inductive bias in various Bayesian models and approximations.

Dynamic memory prevents forgetting in continuous learning of medical images.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models over time due to domain shifts.
method Dynamic memory to store and replay diverse training data subsets.
result Dynamic memory mitigates forgetting without knowing when shifts occur.

GeoTop resolves topological ambiguity in diagnostic imaging using geometric-topological analysis.

problem Topological equivalence between benign and malignant structures in diagnostic images.
method Combines Topological Data Analysis and Lipschitz-Killing Curvatures to resolve ambiguity.
result Achieves 3.6% accuracy improvement and reduces false positives/negatives by 15-18%.

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than with respect to the standard marginal likelihood criterion. However, for most Ba…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗