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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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23466891 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for gains

Introduces relative information gain for improving Gaussian process regression rates.

problem Improving the sample complexity of estimating or maximizing unknown functions.
method Introduces relative information gain, interpolates between effective dimension and information gain, and proves PAC-Bayesian bounds.
result Obtains minimax-optimal rates of convergence through the relative information gain.

The gain-loss ratio is known to enjoy very good properties from a normative point of view. As a confirmation, we show that the best market gain-loss ratio in the presence of a random endowment is an acceptability index and we provide its dual representation for general probability spaces. However, the gain-loss ratio w…

2012-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Eluder dimension and information gain are equivalent for reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.

problem Complexity measures in bandit and reinforcement learning.
method Equivalence of eluder dimension and information gain for reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result Eluder dimension and information gain are equivalent for reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.

Investment horizon approach has been used to analyze indexes of Polish stock market.Optimal time horizon for each return value is evaluated by fitting appropriate function form of the distribution. Strong asymmetry of gain-loss curves is observed for WIG index, whereas gain and loss curves look similar for WIG20 and fo…

2006-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of online path learning with non-additive gains, which is a central problem appearing in several applications, including ensemble structured prediction. We present new online algorithms for path learning with non-additive count-based gains for the three settings of full information, semi-bandit and…

2018-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep FPF approximates gain function for high-dimensional particle filtering.

problem Approximating the exact gain function in high-dimensional settings.
method Represent the gain function as a neural network gradient and solve a variational Poisson equation via optimization.
result The approach allows parallel processing of particles and is applicable to high-dimensional problems.

Study adds investment gains and losses to recursive utility model, proving existence and uniqueness of utility process.

problem Existence and uniqueness of utility process in a recursive utility model with investment gains and losses.
method Generalized recursive utility model with constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion degree. Proved existence and uniqueness in a specific, finite-state Markovian setting.
result Utility process exists and is unique when agent derives nonnegative gain-loss utility, and non-existent or non-unique otherwise.

New method improves feature selection in tree-based models.

problem Previous feature selection methods in tree-based models lack sufficient regularization and sub-optimal performance.
method Developed a new gain penalization approach for tree-based models that allows for flexible feature-specific importance weights.
result The new method improves out-of-sample performance, especially with correlated features.

A new protocol evaluates small machine learning improvements conservatively.

problem Uncertainty in small gains reported in machine learning papers.
method Paired bootstrap protocol with BCa confidence intervals and sign-flip permutation tests.
result Conservative evaluation reduces over-claiming of small improvements.

REGAIN learns optimal auxiliary directions for forecast reconciliation.

problem Forecast reconciliation from fixed systems; identifying useful auxiliary directions.
method REGAIN learns normalized auxiliary directions, forecasts induced series, and selects directions by loss reduction.
result Gain-selected auxiliary directions improve forecast quality, especially for residual uncertainty.

Proposes a new method to enhance neural learning by maximizing information gain.

problem Improving neural learning by selecting key variables to maximize information gain.
method Adaptive Ensemble Kalman Filter to quantify uncertainty and maximize information gain.
result The proposed method enables the neural network to learn more effectively from stochastic systems.

ICYM2I corrects missingness bias in multimodal learning.

problem Missingness patterns between source and target environments affect multimodal learning performance.
method ICYM2I uses inverse probability weighting to correct missingness bias in predictive performance and information gain.
result ICYM2I improves multimodal learning performance by accounting for missingness.

We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It makes specific predictions about the volume of gains and losses, the holding periods…

2014-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Active inference selects actions to maximize information gain, aiding structure learning.

problem Learning the structure of underlying world models.
method Active inference selects actions based on expected free energy, which includes information gain and value.
result Actions that maximize information gain help disambiguate among alternative models.

We consider a financial contract that delivers a single cash flow given by the terminal value of a cumulative gains process. The problem of modelling and pricing such an asset and associated derivatives is important, for example, in the determination of optimal insurance claims reserve policies, and in the pricing of r…

2007-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New trading strategies yield gains on average in various market scenarios.

problem Developing trading strategies that consistently yield positive gains in different market conditions.
method Introducing generalized statistical arbitrage concepts and profitable strategies based on information systems.
result Constructed profitable generalized strategies with good performance on simulated and real market data.

Study shows gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices using a q-spin Potts model.

problem Understanding the dynamics of stock indices in complex markets.
method Developed a q-spin Potts model to represent stock market dynamics.
result Observed a self-organized gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices.

Study optimal stopping problems with finite-time horizon and proves continuity and strict monotonicity of the boundary.

problem Optimal stopping problems with finite-time horizon and state-dependent discounting.
method Linear diffusion process, time-homogeneous gain function, fine regularity properties, continuity and strict monotonicity proof.
result Proves continuity and strict monotonicity of the optimal stopping boundary under mild assumptions.

We note a simple mechanism that may at least partially resolve several outstanding economic puzzles, including why the cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratio of the S&P 500 index has been oddly high for the past two decades, why gains to capital have outpaced gains to wages, and the persistence of the equity premi…

2016-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Active sampling algorithm improves accuracy of inferred scores from pairwise comparisons.

problem Inference of accurate scores from time-consuming pairwise comparisons.
method Approximate message passing and expected information gain maximization.
result ASAP offers the highest accuracy of inferred scores compared to existing methods.

DO-IQS recovers optimal stopping region from expert trajectories, addressing specific challenges.

problem Recovering optimal stopping region from expert trajectories with unknown gain functions.
method Dynamics-Aware Offline Inverse Q-Learning incorporating temporal information and confidence-based oversampling.
result Demonstrated performance on real and artificial data, including optimal intervention for critical events.

New method improves robustness of Bayesian experimental design.

problem Bayesian experimental design's sensitivity to prior distribution changes.
method Introduces robust expected information gain (REIG) and uses KL-divergence ambiguity sets.
result REIG stabilizes sampling-based EIG estimation and compensates for prior variability.

Proposes EPIG for active learning to improve predictive performance.

problem Suboptimal predictive performance of traditional active learning methods.
method Introduces EPIG, a new acquisition function measuring information gain in the space of predictions.
result EPIG leads to stronger predictive performance compared to BALD across various datasets and models.

Expands Bayesian experiment design framework to account for model discrepancies.

problem Model misspecification in Bayesian optimal experiment design.
method Introduces Expected General Information Gain and Expected Discriminatory Information criteria.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and detection capabilities in experiment design.

The aim of this article is to study effective Reifenberg theorems for measures in a Hilbert or Banach space. For Hilbert spaces, we see all the results from Rn\mathbb{R}^n continue to hold with no additional restrictions. For a general Banach spaces we will see that the classical Reifenberg theorem holds, and that a we…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study asset pricing with reference-dependent preferences, finding matching equity premia.

problem Understanding asset pricing under reference-dependent preferences.
method Discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model with reference-dependent preferences.
result Models can generate equity premia matching empirical estimates, showing procyclical price-dividend ratio and countercyclical equity premium.

Active inference minimizes expected free energy for optimal behavior.

problem Understanding and optimizing behavior in complex systems.
method Combines Bayesian decision theory, optimal Bayesian design, and the free energy principle.
result Active inference emerges as a unified framework for information-seeking, utility maximization, and goal-directed behavior.