Develops new e-processes and confidence sequences for Gaussian means with unknown variance.
problem Constructing valid t-tests and confidence sequences for Gaussian means with unknown variance.
method Explores generalized nonintegrable martingales and extended Ville's inequality, developing two new e-processes and confidence sequences.
result Analyzes the width of resulting confidence sequences with a polynomial dependence on error probability, proving it to be unavoidable and even better than classical fixed-sample t-tests.
Bayesian analysis reveals asymmetry in financial data.
problem Quantifying asymmetry in financial time series data.
method Bayesian approach, t-Test generalization, two data distribution models, sensitivity analysis.
result Statistical significance of gain/loss asymmetry amounts.
The paper improves A/B testing for non-Gaussian data, ensuring reliable results with large sample sizes.
problem Inaccurate A/B testing results due to non-normal data and unequal sample sizes.
method Derives explicit formulas for minimum sample size and introduces an Edgeworth-based correction.
result Corrected method improves reliability of A/B testing in real-world conditions.
Much work has been done on feature selection. Existing methods are based on document frequency, such as Chi-Square Statistic, Information Gain etc. However, these methods have two shortcomings: one is that they are not reliable for low-frequency terms, and the other is that they only count whether one term occurs in a …
The paper extends hypothesis testing to non-diagonalizable matrices, improving network statistics inference.
problem Testing on non-diagonalizable matrices for network statistics.
method Generalizes Wald and t-tests to non-symmetric matrices, controlling convergence rates.
result Improved inference on network statistics from directed networks.
Study examines how mergers and acquisitions affect Indian banks' financial performance and capital structure.
problem Impact of mergers and acquisitions on Indian banks' financial performance and capital structure.
method Statistical analysis using paired t-test on selected banks' annual reports.
result Mergers and acquisitions significantly impact financial performance and capital structure of Indian banks.
A new method learns proper multiclass losses and probabilities.
problem Learning proper multiclass losses for complex classification tasks.
method Extends monotonicity to multiclass problems using convex functions.
result Consistently outperforms natural multiclass baseline on up to 1,000 class datasets.
The paper presents new metrics to quantify and test for (i) the equality of distributions and (ii) the independence between two high-dimensional random vectors. We show that the energy distance based on the usual Euclidean distance cannot completely characterize the homogeneity of two high-dimensional distributions in …
Electroencephalogram, an influential equipment for analyzing humans activities and recognition of seizure attacks can play a crucial role in designing accurate systems which can distinguish ictal seizures from regular brain alertness, since it is the first step towards accomplishing a high accuracy computer aided diagn…
Due to the rapid innovation of technology and the desire to find and employ biomarkers for neurodegenerative disease, high-dimensional data classification problems are routinely encountered in neuroimaging studies. To avoid over-fitting and to explore relationships between disease and potential biomarkers, feature lear…
Nonparametric two sample testing is a decision theoretic problem that involves identifying differences between two random variables without making parametric assumptions about their underlying distributions. We refer to the most common settings as mean difference alternatives (MDA), for testing differences only in firs…
Consistently checking the statistical significance of experimental results is one of the mandatory methodological steps to address the so-called "reproducibility crisis" in deep reinforcement learning. In this tutorial paper, we explain how the number of random seeds relates to the probabilities of statistical errors. …
Neuroimaging research has predominantly drawn conclusions based on classical statistics, including null-hypothesis testing, t-tests, and ANOVA. Throughout recent years, statistical learning methods enjoy increasing popularity, including cross-validation, pattern classification, and sparsity-inducing regression. These t…
In this article, we investigate the features which enhanced discriminate the survival in the micro and small business (MSE) using the approach of data mining with feature selection. According to the complexity of the data set, we proposed a comparison of three data imputation methods such as mean imputation (MI), k-nea…
Motivation: Biomarker discovery from high-dimensional data is a crucial problem with enormous applications in biology and medicine. It is also extremely challenging from a statistical viewpoint, but surprisingly few studies have investigated the relative strengths and weaknesses of the plethora of existing feature sele…
Kurdistan Region is a tourist hub. This research analyzes other Non-Oil Sectors that have huge attractions of Foreign Direct Investments into the Kurdistan Region from 2005 to 2013. Comparative analysis was carried out between Iraq and the Region, and among influential Sectors of the Economy. T-test and ANOVA are stati…
We reproduced the results of CheXNet with fixed hyperparameters and 50 different random seeds to identify 14 finding in chest radiographs (x-rays). Because CheXNet fine-tunes a pre-trained DenseNet, the random seed affects the ordering of the batches of training data but not the initialized model weights. We found subs…
Identifying significant subsets of the genes, gene shaving is an essential and challenging issue for biomedical research for a huge number of genes and the complex nature of biological networks,. Since positive definite kernel based methods on genomic information can improve the prediction of diseases, in this paper we…
This paper introduces an approach for detecting differences in the first-order structures of spatial point patterns. The proposed approach leverages the kernel mean embedding in a novel way by introducing its approximate version tailored to spatial point processes. While the original embedding is infinite-dimensional a…
Stress research is a rapidly emerging area in thefield of electroencephalography (EEG) based signal processing.The use of EEG as an objective measure for cost effective andpersonalized stress management becomes important in particularsituations such as the non-availability of mental health facilities.In this study, lon…
Variable selection in high-dimensional space characterizes many contemporary problems in scientific discovery and decision making. Many frequently-used techniques are based on independence screening; examples include correlation ranking (Fan and Lv, 2008) or feature selection using a two-sample t-test in high-dimension…
The International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health for Children and Youth (ICF-CY) is a scaffold for designating and systematizing data on functioning and disability. It offers a standard semantic and a theoretical foundation for the demarcation and extent of wellbeing and infirmity. The multidimen…
Unified platform for statistical and machine learning in bioinformatics.
problem Workflow inefficiencies in using multiple tools for data analysis.
method Automated hyperparameter optimization, feature importance analysis, statistical tests.
result Accelerates biological discovery workflows with methodological soundness.
The two-sample hypothesis testing problem is studied for the challenging scenario of high dimensional data sets with small sample sizes. We show that the two-sample hypothesis testing problem can be posed as a one-class set classification problem. In the set classification problem the goal is to classify a set of data …
Although technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets, their profitability still remains controversial. We here investigate the profitability of moving average (MA) and trading range break (TRB) rules by using the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCI) from May 21, 1992 th…
Subset selection for multiple linear regression aims to construct a regression model that minimizes errors by selecting a small number of explanatory variables. Once a model is built, various statistical tests and diagnostics are conducted to validate the model and to determine whether the regression assumptions are me…
Background: Fluctuating hearing loss is characteristic of Meniere's Disease (MD) during acute episodes. However, no reliable audiometric hallmarks are available for counselling the hearing recovery possibility. Aims/Objectives: To find parameters for predicting MD hearing outcomes. Material and Methods: We applied mach…
A new protocol evaluates small machine learning improvements conservatively.
problem Uncertainty in small gains reported in machine learning papers.
method Paired bootstrap protocol with BCa confidence intervals and sign-flip permutation tests.
result Conservative evaluation reduces over-claiming of small improvements.
Study forecasts Bitcoin prices using ML algorithms.
problem Accurately predicting Bitcoin price movements.
method Applied four ML algorithms: SVM, ANN, NB, RF, and LR.
result RF outperforms other models in continuous dataset, NB in discrete.
Background: Virtual reality simulators and machine learning have the potential to augment understanding, assessment and training of psychomotor performance in neurosurgery residents. Objective: This study outlines the first application of machine learning to distinguish "skilled" and "novice" psychomotor performance du…
We study the problem of predicting whether the price of the 21 most popular cryptocurrencies (according to coinmarketcap.com) will go up or down on day d, using data up to day d-1. Our C2P2 algorithm is the first algorithm to consider the fact that the price of a cryptocurrency c might depend not only on historical pri…
Paper compares econometric models with machine learning for energy forecasting.
problem Tackles the trade-off between predictive accuracy and interpretability in energy markets.
method Integrates TVP-SVAR with copulas for forecasting energy--macro dynamics.
result Copula-enhanced econometric models provide interpretable insights while matching machine learning accuracy.
Metric learning enhances combinatorial coverage metrics' ability to predict classification errors.
problem Dataset dependence of combinatorial coverage metrics in anticipating classification errors.
method Metric learning to improve latent space separation of data classes.
result Metric learning increases SDCCMs' ability to distinguish between correctly and incorrectly classified data.
CopulaSMOTE addresses class imbalance in diabetes prediction models.
problem Class imbalance in diabetes prediction models, especially with fewer confirmed cases.
method Copula-based oversampling approach that models joint dependence structure.
result CopulaSMOTE improves minority-class recovery in larger diabetes datasets.
Feature selection is among the most important components because it not only helps enhance the classification accuracy, but also or even more important provides potential biomarker discovery. However, traditional multivariate methods is likely to obtain unstable and unreliable results in case of an extremely high dimen…
Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not falsified by the data. Extending the selected-model tests of Fithian et al. (2014)…
The paper models ATM cash withdrawal chaos and forecasts using deep learning.
problem Forecasting ATM cash withdrawals in an Indian bank.
method Chaos modeling of ATM cash withdrawal time series, deep learning methods (ARIMA, RF, SVR, MLP, GMDH, GRNN, LSTM, 1D CNN).
result Deep learning models show similar performance to random forest in forecasting ATM cash withdrawals.
Robust subgroup discovery finds non-redundant, statistically significant subgroups.
problem Finding interpretable, robust subgroups from data.
method Formulated subgroup lists for univariate and multivariate targets, used MDL principle and greedy heuristic SSD++.
result SSD++ outperforms previous methods in quality and size of subgroup lists.
MRI image quality affects statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
problem Impact of MRI image quality on statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
method Systematic testing of image quality on univariate statistics and machine learning classification using three large datasets.
result Low-quality MRI data significantly affects detecting significant sex/gender differences in smaller samples, but not in larger ones.
Combines model-based and model-free RL for better financial market performance.
problem Challenges of Reinforcement Learning in volatile financial markets.
method Adapts model-based RL with model-free RL, incorporating contextual signals and walk-forward analysis.
result Outperforms traditional financial models in various metrics.
ART adapts class-wise resampling to improve imbalanced classification performance.
problem Class imbalance in classification tasks limits model performance.
method ART uses adaptive resampling based on class-wise performance metrics.
result ART consistently outperforms other methods on diverse benchmarks.
Extracting the risk neutral density (RND) function from option prices is well defined in principle, but is very sensitive to errors in practice. For risk management, knowledge of the entire RND provides more information for Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations than implied volatility alone [1]. Typically, RNDs are deduced …
Boosts A/B test precision using auxiliary data from historical users.
problem Small sample sizes and imprecise estimates in A/B tests.
method Coupling design-based causal estimation with machine-learning models of historical user data.
result Effect estimates using auxiliary data are roughly equivalent to increasing sample size by 20%, or up to 50-80% in some cases.
ROOFS helps researchers select robust biomarker features from complex data.
problem Challenges in feature selection for biomarker discovery and clinical models.
method ROOFS is a Python package that benchmarks multiple feature selection methods on user data.
result ROOFS identifies a filter method as optimal for identifying predictors of lung cancer resistance.
FSA improves financial time series forecasting accuracy.
problem Complexity and unreliability in financial time series forecasting.
method Feature selection with annealing (FSA) using Lasso and Boruta methods.
result FSA enhances ML model performance in financial forecasting.
To ensure the security of the general mass, crime prevention is one of the most higher priorities for any government. An accurate crime prediction model can help the government, law enforcement to prevent violence, detect the criminals in advance, allocate the government resources, and recognize problems causing crimes…
This paper combines a node transformer with BERT sentiment analysis for more accurate stock market predictions.
problem Challenges in predicting stock markets due to noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics.
method Integrates a node transformer architecture with BERT sentiment analysis to forecast stock prices.
result The integrated model reduces prediction error by 10% overall and 25% during earnings announcements.
Scaling and multiscaling financial time series have been widely studied in the literature. The research on this topic is vast and still flourishing. One way to analyze the scaling properties of time series is through the estimation of their scaling exponents, that are recognized as being valuable measures to discrimina…