Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Dec 201819922001200920172026
48 results for fatality

Enhances conformal prediction for better uncertainty estimates in armed conflict fatalities.

problem Lack of individual-level uncertainty estimates in existing forecasting models.
method Introduces bin-conditional conformal prediction (BCCP) to improve coverage rates across subsets of the outcome variable.
result Demonstrates improved local coverage and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates across various ranges of fatalities.

This study uses ARM to analyze pedestrian crashes under different lighting conditions.

problem Identifying crash risk factors under varying lighting conditions.
method Applied Association Rules Mining to Louisiana pedestrian crash data.
result Daylight crashes are associated with children, seniors, and older drivers.

This study identifies RwD crash patterns on rural two-lane highways under different lighting conditions.

problem Insufficient investigation of RwD crashes under varying lighting conditions.
method Data mining using association rules mining (ARM) on crash database.
result Interesting crash patterns and risk factors identified under different lighting conditions.

Autonomous Vehicles(AV) are one of the brightest promises of the future which would help cut down fatalities and improve travel time while working in harmony. Autonomous vehicles will face with challenging situations and experiences not seen before. These experiences should be converted to knowledge and help the vehicl…

2018-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a class of dependence structures, that we call the Multiple Risk Factor (MRF) dependence structures. On the one hand, the new constructions extend the popular CreditRisk+ approach, and as such they formally describe default risk portfolios exposed to an arbitrary number of fatal risk factors with condition…

2016-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings on curvature and null spaces of Laplacians.

problem Relationship between sectional curvature and Laplacian null spaces.
method Analysis of curvature operators and Laplacians on Riemannian manifolds.
result Curvature operator's positivity implies sectional curvature positivity.

Specialists tolerate defects to gain flexibility, which can be removed when needed.

problem The economic benefits and limitations of deliberately tolerating defects in decision-making.
method Analyzes the conditions under which defects can be kept and removed, using economic models and structural analysis.
result A defect is profitably removable if certain conditions are met, and the premium is the support function of the class's ROC set.

Specialists tolerate defects to gain flexibility, which can be removed when needed.

problem The economic benefits and limits of deliberately tolerating defects in decision-making.
method Analyzes the economic position of keeping and removing defects, using a coupling lemma and structural economic models.
result A defect is profitably removable if the detector-relevant distinction survives a restriction and the advantage condition holds.

A new framework promotes trustworthy user-generated datasets by ensuring no user benefits from misreporting.

problem Incentivizing data misreporting in user-generated datasets.
method Proposes Licchavi, a global and personalized learning framework with provable strategyproofness guarantees.
result Proves that no user can gain much by replying to Licchavi's queries with deviated answers.

Deep learning improves CVD risk prediction from health records.

problem Predicting cardiovascular disease risk from administrative health data.
method Combined survival analysis and deep learning models.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional Cox models in accuracy and explained time-to-event occurrence.

Study uses healthcare claims data to identify Covid-19 risk factors without prior selection.

problem Identify risk factors for severe Covid-19 cases.
method Fine-grained hierarchical information from medical classification systems used to analyze over 33,000 covariates.
result Method has better predictive ability than pre-specified morbidity groups.

Sequence-to-sequence text-to-speech (TTS) is dominated by soft-attention-based methods. Recently, hard-attention-based methods have been proposed to prevent fatal alignment errors, but their sampling method of discrete alignment is poorly investigated. This research investigates various combinations of sampling methods…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Calculates winning probability for three candidates based on support rates and information timing.

problem Determining optimal strategy for three candidates in an election.
method Closed-form solution using support rates, political spectrum positioning, time left, and information revelation rate.
result Optimal strategy can be complex, especially for candidates in the center of a polarized electorate.

Deep Neural Networks are built to generalize outside of training set in mind by using techniques such as regularization, early stopping and dropout. But considerations to make them more resilient to adversarial examples are rarely taken. As deep neural networks become more prevalent in mission-critical and real-time sy…

2017-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Overrides of credit ratings are important correctives of ratings that are determined by statistical rating models. Financial institutions and banking regulators agree on this because on the one hand errors with ratings of corporates or banks can have fatal consequences for the lending institutions and on the other hand…

2012-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Brain cancer can be very fatal, but chances of survival increase through early detection and treatment. Doctors use Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) to detect and locate tumors in the brain, and very carefully analyze scans to segment brain tumors. Manual segmentation is time consuming and tiring for doctors, and it ca…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers find a timing error in Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model.

problem Timing error in Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
method Discovered a timing mistake in Merton's 1971 model and showed misspecification in continuous and discrete time.
result Invalidates seminal contributions to the literature including Black-Scholes (1973) and Merton (1971).

Debiased learners estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounders.
method Debiased Front-Door (FD) learners, FD-DR-Learner and FD-R-Learner, under specific assumptions.
result Debiased learners satisfy error bounds and stage-error decompositions, delivering reliable HTE estimates.

New method avoids failures in physics-constrained systems using active learning.

problem Handling fatal failures in systems governed by physics constraints.
method Develops a novel active learning method that considers implicit physics constraints.
result Achieves zero-failure in composite fuselage assembly process without explicit failure regions.

Simple attack bypasses state-of-the-art DNN watermarking.

problem Protecting DNN models from watermark removal attacks.
method Combining imperceptible pattern embedding and spatial-level transformations for a simple yet effective watermark removal.
result Our attack bypasses state-of-the-art watermarking solutions with high success rates.

We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data, accounting for both the non-iid nature of the data and the fact that detecting subtle p…

2017-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This work introduces an integrative approach based on Q-analysis with machine learning. The new approach, called Neural Hypernetwork, has been applied to a case study of pulmonary embolism diagnosis. The objective of the application of neural hyper-network to pulmonary embolism (PE) is to improve diagnose for reducing …

2014-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New varifold solutions for mean curvature flow converge and are unique.

problem Mean curvature flow and Allen-Cahn equation convergence and uniqueness.
method Evolving varifolds coupled to phase volumes, weak-strong uniqueness principle.
result Limits of Allen-Cahn solutions are varifold solutions, and classical flows are unique.

Popular deep learning uncertainty estimation methods often mislead on out-of-distribution data.

problem Misleading uncertainty estimates on out-of-distribution data.
method Analysis of Gaussian process, Bayesian neural networks, and Monte Carlo dropout methods.
result BNNs and MCDropout do not always provide high uncertainty estimates on out-of-distribution samples.

Neural ODEs' performance varies with numerical method, requiring adaptive step size control.

problem Neural ODEs' performance depends on the numerical method used during training.
method Proposes an adaptive step size control algorithm to ensure a valid ODE without increasing computational cost.
result Valid Neural ODEs require careful numerical method selection and step size adaptation.

Unified model bridges mechanistic and non-mechanistic epidemic approaches.

problem Understanding the dynamics of epidemics with flexibility and interpretability.
method A mixture-based model representing time series as Gaussian mixtures, derived from a networked SIR framework.
result The model provides interpretable parameters and low prediction error, validating its use in understanding interventions.

Neural networks are increasingly deployed in real-world safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving, aircraft collision avoidance, and malware detection. However, these networks have been shown to often mispredict on inputs with minor adversarial or even accidental perturbations. Consequences of such errors can …

2018-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

PEREGRiNN verifies safety of ReLU NNs by penalizing relaxation in a greedy manner.

problem Formal verification of safety specifications for ReLU NNs.
method Uses a relaxed convex program to verify polytopic input/output constraints, penalizing relaxation and forcing largest relaxations to early layers.
result Significantly faster and more properties verified compared to other approaches.

CovidCare uses EMR data to predict patient outcomes in emerging epidemics.

problem Intelligent prognosis for patients with emerging infectious diseases during rapid epidemics.
method Transfer learning and knowledge distillation from existing EMR data.
result CovidCare outperforms baseline methods in predicting patient length of stay.

Modeling aortic wall inhomogeneities to predict dissection risks.

problem Predicting localized stress accumulations in the aortic wall due to inhomogeneities.
method Stochastic constitutive model with random field realizations, coupled with a convolutional neural network surrogate.
result The neural network accurately predicts stress distributions and assesses uncertainty in aortic wall stress.