arXiv research

Graphs with fat minors have a limited large-scale structure.

The study combines graph-minors and metric spaces, answering some questions and conjectures.

The book examines statistical issues with fat-tailed distributions and proposes remedies.

We present and study a Minority Game based model of a financial market where adaptive agents -- the speculators -- interact with deterministic agents -- called producers. Speculators trade only if they detect predictable patterns which grant them a positive gain. Indeed the average number of active speculators grows wi…

We address the question of market efficiency using the Minority Game (MG) model. First we show that removing unrealistic features of the MG leads to models which reproduce a scaling behavior close to what is observed in real markets. In particular we find that i) fat tails and clustered volatility arise at the phase tr…

We perform a systematic investigation on the components of the empirical multifractality of financial returns using the daily data of Dow Jones Industrial Average from 26 May 1896 to 27 April 2007 as an example. The temporal structure and fat-tailed distribution of the returns are considered as possible influence facto…

Paper classifies fibers of fat Riemannian submersions with non-negative curvature.

Constructs fat, shellable 3-spheres with specific $f$-vectors.

Paper introduces fat CW complexes including all closed manifolds.

Introduces fat Lie theory for Lie groupoids and algebroids.

New rigidity result for fat bundles with equal vertical curvatures.

The article proves the existence of horizontal immersions into fat distributions and contact structures.

Improved uniform convergence bound with fat-shattering dimension reduces sample complexity gap.

A classic problem in physics is the origin of fat tailed distributions generated by complex systems. We study the distributions of stock returns measured over different time lags $τ.$ We find that destroying all correlations without changing the $τ= 1$ d distribution, by shuffling the order of the daily returns, causes…

This work is devoted to new constructions of symplectically fat fiber bundles. The latter are constructed in two ways: using the Kirwan map and expressing the fatness condition in terms of the isotropy representation related to the G-structure over some homogeneous spaces.

Godin introduced the categories of open closed fat graphs $Fat^{oc}$ and admissible fat graphs $Fat^{ad}$ as models of the mapping class group of open closed cobordism. We use the contractibility of the arc complex to give a new proof of Godin's result that $Fat^{ad}$ is a model of the mapping class group of open-close…

Study horizontal discs in fat distributions, proving their existence.

New example disproves complex contact theory for fat distributions with Reeb directions.

Estimates fat-shattering dimension of aggregated function classes.

We study closed non-positively curved Riemannian manifolds $M$ which admit `fat $k$-flats': that is, the universal cover $\tilde M$ contains a positive radius neighborhood of a $k$-flat on which the sectional curvatures are identically zero. We investigate how the fat $k$-flats affect the cardinality of the collection …

New bounds on inscribed triangles in arbitrary planar domains.

The h-principle fails for prelegendrians in fat distributions of corank 2.

In this paper we consider minors of ribbon graphs (or, equivalently, cellularly embedded graphs). The theory of minors of ribbon graphs differs from that of graphs in that contracting loops is necessary and doing this can create additional vertices and components. Thus the ribbon graph minor relation is incompatible wi…

This article deals with fat bundles. Berard-Bergery classified all homogeneous bundles of that type. We ask a question of a possibility to generalize his description in the case of arbitrary G-structures over homogeneous spaces. We obtain necessary conditions for the existence of such bundles. These conditions yield a …

This study empirically re-examines fat tails in stock return distributions by applying statistical methods to an extensive dataset taken from the Korean stock market. The tails of the return distributions are shown to be much fatter in recent periods than in past periods and much fatter for small-capitalization stocks …

Geometrically, Kostant's Convexity Theorem is extended to submetries with a fat section.

We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and correlations can be estimated robustly and that all distributions are approximately normal.…

The literature of heavy tails (typically) starts with a random walk and finds mechanisms that lead to fat tails under aggregation. We follow the inverse route and show how starting with fat tails we get to thin-tails when deriving the probability distribution of the response to a random variable. We introduce a general…

We define "fat" train tracks and use them to give a combinatorial criterion for the Hempel distance of Heegaard splittings for closed orientable 3-manifolds. We apply this criterion to 3-manifolds obtained from surgery on knots in the three sphere.

Optimal portfolios for fat-tailed risks using a new tail risk measure.

A new oversampling framework generates minority samples by perturbing majority classes.

Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.

Improves generation of minority samples using diffusion models.

Characterizes minor-minimal separating projective planar graphs and their generalizations.

Every infinitely edge-connected graph has a minor of Farey graph or $T_{\aleph_0}\ast t$.

Boost-and-Skip generates minority samples without guidance, faster and more effectively.

Paper determines Assouad-Nagata dimension for all minor-closed metrics.

We prove that a Kleinian group $G$ acting upon $\mathbb{H}^{n}$ admits a non-constant $G$-automorphic function, even if it has torsion elements, provided that the orders of the elliptic (torsion) elements are uniformly bounded. This is accomplished by developing a technique for mashing distinct fat triangulations while…

We study the differential geometric consequences of our previous result on the existence of fat triangulations, in conjunction with a result of Cheeger, Müller and Schrader, regarding the convergence of Lipschitz-Killing curvatures of piecewise-flat approximations of smooth Riemannian manifolds. A further application t…

Study finds sales forecasters overreact to extreme news.

In this paper we study the continuum time dynamics of a stock in a market where agents behavior is modeled by a Minority Game and a Grand Canonical Minority Game. The dynamics derived is a generalized geometric Brownian motion; from the Black & Scholes formula the calibration of both the Minority Game and the Grand Can…

Starting from an exact relationship between news, threshold and price return distributions in the stationary state, I discuss the ability of the Ghoulmie-Cont-Nadal model of traders to produce fat-tailed price returns. Under normal conditions, this model is not able to transform Gaussian news into fat-tailed price retu…

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward, flexible and effective. Even when working with far fewer data points than are rou…

This paper gives a critical account of the minority game literature. The minority game is a simple congestion game: players need to choose between two options, and those who have selected the option chosen by the minority win. The learning model proposed in this literature seems to differ markedly from the learning mod…

Given a hyperbolic surface, the set of all closed geodesics whose length is minimal form a graph on the surface, in fact a so-called fat graph, which we call the systolic graph. We study which fat graphs are systolic graphs for some surface (we call these admissible). There is a natural necessary condition on such grap…

The study explains stock return distributions using reaction functions.

Given a smooth closed manifold M with a family {L_i} of closed submanifolds, we consider the free loop space LM and the spaces PM(L_i,L_j) of open strings (paths g:[0,1]->M with g(0) in L_i, and g(1) in L_j). We construct string topology operations resulting in an open-closed TQFT on the family (h_*(LM),h_*(PM(L_i,L_j)…

New method models fat-tailed distributions with anisotropic tail-adaptive flows.