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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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65130194259 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for experimentation

Paper proposes an unbiased optimization method for Bayesian experimental design.

problem Maximizing expected information gain in Bayesian experimental design.
method Randomized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method combined with stochastic gradient descent.
result An unbiased estimator for the gradient of expected information gain.

The paper improves experimental design by weighting diversity metrics with quality, leading to more diverse and effective discoveries.

problem Existing experimental design techniques favor exploitation over exploration, leading to local optima and insufficient diversity.
method The paper extends Vendi scores to account for quality and applies them to various experimental design problems.
result Quality-weighted Vendi scores allow for better balance between quality and diversity, resulting in 70%-170% more effective discoveries.

BOED improves SBI by optimizing experimental designs and inference functions.

problem Efficiently use experimental resources for better inference on complex models.
method Link mutual information bounds between SBI and BOED, optimizing both design and inference.
result BOED improves inference in real-world simulators in epidemiology and biology.

Paper introduces IO-NPF for efficient Bayesian experimental design.

problem Efficient Bayesian experimental design in non-exchangeable settings.
method Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF) for non-Markovian state-space models.
result IO-NPF achieves O(T2)\mathcal{O}(T^2) computational complexity, improving efficiency.

Bayesian DOE accelerates experimental design with improved efficiency.

problem Enhancing experimental design efficiency and reliability.
method Bayesian framework, conditional density estimation, informative data selection.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency of experimental design.

Study evaluates reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.

problem Lack of generalization in reinforcement learning for experimental design.
method Investigated several reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.
result Certain algorithms, using dropout or ensemble approaches, show attractive generalization properties.

New method combines experimental and observational data for causal inference.

problem Combining internal validity of experiments and larger sample sizes of observations.
method Empirical risk minimization (ERM) framework with cross-validation.
result Efficacy and reliability demonstrated on real and synthetic data.

Optimizes experimental designs for intractable models using mutual information bounds.

problem Finding optimal experimental designs for models with intractable data-generating distributions.
method Maximizes mutual information lower bounds parametrized by neural networks, updating network parameters and designs simultaneously.
result Framework enables experimental design for various tasks including parameter estimation and model discrimination.

New method uses neural networks to optimize experimental designs for complex models.

problem Designing experiments for complex, intractable models with high computational cost.
method Neural mutual information estimation for mutual information maximization.
result Optimal experimental designs and posterior inference can be jointly determined.

Unified framework for combinatorial and rounding algorithms in experimental design.

problem Designing and analyzing combinatorial and rounding algorithms for experimental design problems.
method Local search framework for combinatorial algorithms and regret minimization framework for rounding algorithms.
result Unified approach to match and improve all known results in D/A/E-design and obtain new results in unknown settings.

Develops experimental design for discovering missing physics in bioreactors.

problem Discovering missing physics in incomplete model structures of process systems.
method Combines universal differential equations and symbolic regression with sequential experimental design.
result Successfully recovered true model structure of a bioreactor using machine learning techniques.

Enhances robustness in experimental design through Generalised Bayesian inference.

problem Poor inference and estimates of information gain when statistical model is incorrectly specified.
method Generalised Bayesian (Gibbs) inference framework applied to experimental design.
result GBOED enhances robustness to outliers and incorrect assumptions about noise distribution.

New deep learning method simplifies parameter estimation design.

problem Optimal experimental design for parameter estimation with non-linear systems.
method Training a deep network as a Likelihood Free Estimator to simplify design process.
result Deep design improves parameter recovery quality and simplifies design process.

This paper uses bandit algorithms to reduce the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.

problem Reducing the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
method Modeling user interface experimentation as an opportunistic bandit problem, reducing the cost of exploration.
result Significant regret reduction and improved contextual information for testing.

DAD learns to design experiments quickly, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Real-time decision-making in sequential Bayesian experimental design.
method Amortized design network trained with contrastive information bounds.
result DAD outperforms alternative strategies on various problems.

Experimental design is a process of obtaining a product with target property via experimentation. Bayesian optimization offers a sample-efficient tool for experimental design when experiments are expensive. Often, expert experimenters have 'hunches' about the behavior of the experimental system, offering potentials to …

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for experimental design focuses on predicting downstream quantities of interest.

problem Designs that maximize parameter learning may not maximize downstream quantity prediction.
method Likelihood-free goal-oriented optimal experimental design (LF-GO-OED) using ABC density ratio estimation.
result LF-GO-OED maximizes the expected information gain for downstream quantities.

Optimizes expensive experiments by incorporating expert knowledge.

problem Expensive experiments require minimizing the number of trials.
method Bayesian optimization with posterior sampling of expert knowledge.
result Demonstrates significant efficiency gains in experiments and hyperparameter tuning.

GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.

problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.

Theoretical limits show experimental data can falsify but not validate causal estimates from observational studies.

problem Fundamental limits on validating causal estimates using experimental data in observational studies.
method Impossible inference framework, Gaussian Process based approach.
result Experimental data can falsify but not validate causal estimates from observational studies.

Combines experimental and historical data for robust policy evaluation.

problem Policy evaluation with mixed data sources, especially experimental vs historical.
method Linear integration of estimators from experimental and historical data, optimized for MSE minimization.
result Proposed estimators outperform traditional methods in ridesharing company data.

Optimal adaptive experiment for choosing best treatment with binary outcomes.

problem Choosing the best treatment from binary options in an adaptive experiment.
method Adaptive experiment with two phases: treatment allocation and choice. Neyman allocation method used.
result Neyman allocation is minimax and Bayes optimal, matching lower bounds for regret.

Gradient-free framework for Bayesian experimental design in complex systems.

problem Optimal experimental design in systems where gradient information is unavailable.
method Combines EKI and ALDI for optimization and sampling, with approximations for scalable utility estimation.
result Demonstrates robust, accurate, and efficient experimental design in various complex systems.

Expands experimental design for causal discovery from limited data.

problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational and interventional data.
method Bayesian optimal experimental design incorporating recent advances in causal discovery.
result Active causal discovery of large, nonlinear SCMs with both intervention target and value selection.

Neyman's framework evaluates personalized treatment rules using experiments.

problem Evaluating the efficacy of individualized treatment rules derived by machine learning.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework applied to cross-fitted ITRs.
result Ex-post evaluation of ITRs can be more efficient than random assignment.

Step-DAD improves BED by periodically updating a design policy during experiments.

problem Improving flexibility and robustness in Bayesian experimental design.
method Semi-amortized, policy-based approach that updates a design policy during data collection.
result Consistently superior decision-making and robustness compared to current BED methods.

Introduces a new geometric method for optimal experimental design.

problem Restrictive invariance properties of traditional OED approaches based on probability densities.
method Mutual transport dependence (MTD) using optimal transport theory.
result Demonstrates high-quality designs and flexibility compared to standard methods.

GEAR uses auxiliary data to estimate optimal decisions in studies with limited primary outcomes.

problem Estimating optimal decisions when primary outcomes are not available in experimental samples.
method GEAR uses augmented inverse propensity weighting to estimate optimal decisions based on auxiliary data.
result GEAR estimators and value estimators have established asymptotic properties and are validated in simulations and a real application.

A new experimental design method for combinatorial interventions reduces complexity and improves accuracy.

problem Efficiently conducting all possible combinatorial interventions with multiple treatments and potential interactions.
method Probabilistic factorial experimental design, applying random combinations of treatments and adapting over multiple rounds.
result Optimal dosage of 1/2 for each treatment yields near-optimal design for estimating any k-way interaction model.

Adapts deep learning models trained on simulated images for use with real images.

problem Difficulty in training deep neural networks on large amounts of experimental data.
method Adversarial domain adaptation method to mitigate domain shift between simulated and experimental image data.
result Adversarial domain adaptation successfully mitigates domain shift and improves numerical observer performance.

Observational data is increasingly used as a means for making individual-level causal predictions and intervention recommendations. The foremost challenge of causal inference from observational data is hidden confounding, whose presence cannot be tested in data and can invalidate any causal conclusion. Experimental dat…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes experimental design using synthetic controls for better outcomes.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in studies with pre-treatment data.
method Mixed-integer programming for selecting treated and control units and weights.
result Improves mean squared error and statistical power compared to simple alternatives.