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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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8162432 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayes

New uniqueness concept for adversarial Bayes classifier.

problem Understanding adversarial Bayes classifiers in binary classification.
method Developed a new notion of uniqueness and analyzed it for a family of one-dimensional data distributions.
result Improved regularity of adversarial Bayes classifiers as perturbation radius increases.

The study compares clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models, showing the Bayes classifier is nearly optimal.

problem Comparing clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.
method Analysis of Bayes risk, theoretical bounds, and simulations.
result The Bayes classifier is nearly optimal for clustering in both Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.

Despite its simplicity, the naive Bayes classifier has surprised machine learning researchers by exhibiting good performance on a variety of learning problems. Encouraged by these results, researchers have looked to overcome naive Bayes primary weakness - attribute independence - and improve the performance of the algo…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.

problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.

New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.

problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.

Smart Bayes integrates generative and discriminative features for improved classification.

problem Improving classification performance by combining generative and discriminative modeling.
method Integrates generative likelihood-ratio features into a logistic-regression-style classifier.
result Often outperforms logistic regression and Naive Bayes in simulations and real data.

This work bounds classification error in machine learning for low Bayes error conditions.

problem Understanding the error mismatch between Bayes error and model-based classification error.
method Applying classification error bounds to study the relationship with Kullback-Leibler divergence and proposing a linear approximation for low Bayes error conditions.
result A linear approximation of the classification error bound for low Bayes error conditions is proposed.

We extend a recently proposed 1-nearest-neighbor based multiclass learning algorithm and prove that our modification is universally strongly Bayes-consistent in all metric spaces admitting any such learner, making it an "optimistically universal" Bayes-consistent learner. This is the first learning algorithm known to e…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified derivation of PAC-Bayes and MI bounds for general VC classes with fast rates.

problem Generalization bounds for machine learning models with VC classes.
method Unified derivation of conditional PAC-Bayesian and mutual information bounds, including MAC-Bayesian bounds.
result Nontrivial bounds for general VC classes and faster rates for specific conditions.

Bayes classifier cannot be learned from noisy labels without knowing noise distribution.

problem Learning a Bayes classifier from noisy labels when the noise distribution is unknown.
method Demonstrates the identifiability issues and proposes a simple algorithm for learning the Bayes decision rule.
result The Bayes decision rule is generally unidentified and cannot be learned without knowing the noise distribution.

New PAC-Bayes training method improves model generalization for unbounded loss.

problem Improving generalization of complex models under unbounded loss.
method Established new PAC-Bayes bound for unbounded loss, jointly training prior and posterior.
result Outperforms existing PAC-Bayes training algorithms and matches ERM accuracy.

A new method estimates Bayes error for deep networks, suggesting they may have reached the limit.

problem Evaluating the performance of deep learning models and detecting overfitting.
method A simple and direct Bayes error estimator based on uncertainty of class assignments.
result Deep networks may have reached the Bayes error limit for benchmark datasets.

Kernel Bayes' rule has been proposed as a nonparametric kernel-based method to realize Bayesian inference in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. However, we demonstrate both theoretically and experimentally that the prediction result by kernel Bayes' rule is in some cases unnatural. We consider that this phenomenon is i…

2015-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces Bayes Hilbert spaces for efficient posterior approximation.

problem Efficient posterior approximation in Bayesian models for large datasets.
method Develops Bayes Hilbert spaces for posterior approximation and connects them to Bayesian coresets and kernel-based distances.
result Bayes Hilbert spaces provide a novel framework for posterior approximation that is computationally efficient.

Unified empirical and variational Bayes for unnormalized densities.

problem Approximating unnormalized densities using latent variable models.
method Formulate a latent variable model for Y=X+N(0,σ2Id)Y=X+N(0,σ^2 I_d), use ELBO as parametrization of YY's energy function, and estimate XX with empirical Bayes least-squares.
result UVB has higher capacity to approximate energy functions than MLPs in DEEN.

Researchers estimate optimal PAC-Bayes bounds using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.

problem Estimating tight PAC-Bayes bounds with restricted posterior families.
method Sampling from optimal Gibbs posterior using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, estimating KL divergence, and proposing high-probability bounds.
result Significant tightness gaps in PAC-Bayes bounds, up to 5-6% in some cases.

Naive Bayes estimator is widely used in text classification problems. However, it doesn't perform well with small-size training dataset. We propose a new method based on Naive Bayes estimator to solve this problem. A correlation factor is introduced to incorporate the correlation among different classes. Experimental r…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive variational Bayes framework improves inference adaptively.

problem Lack of general and computationally tractable variational Bayes method for adaptive inference.
method Proposes a novel adaptive variational Bayes framework combining variational posteriors over individual models.
result Adaptive variational Bayes achieves optimal contraction rates adaptively under general conditions.

Bayesian Empirical Bayes extends EB to complex structures using probabilistic symmetry.

problem Improving simultaneous inference in complex settings like arrays and graphs.
method Generalized empirical Bayes approach based on probabilistic symmetry.
result BEB outperforms existing methods in denoising arrays and spatial data.

Bayes-TrEx finds in-distribution examples for model inspection.

problem Challenges in interpreting neural networks, especially high-confidence failures and ambiguous classifications.
method Bayesian sampling approach to find in-distribution examples with specified prediction confidence.
result Bayes-TrEx enables more flexible holistic model analysis than just inspecting the test set.

Bayes factors and relative belief ratios are compared as measures of statistical evidence.

problem Which measure of evidence is more appropriate: Bayes factors or relative belief ratios?
method Comparison of Bayes factors and relative belief ratios, considering properties and restrictions.
result Relative belief ratio has better properties as a measure of evidence.

Neural Empirical Bayes estimates source distributions from noisy simulations.

problem Estimating source distributions from noisy, simulated data.
method Uses neural density estimators to estimate a prior or source distribution over uncorrupted samples, then performs posterior inference.
result Recovering ground truth source distributions up to symmetries.

Adversarial consistency depends on the uniqueness of adversarial Bayes classifiers.

problem Consistency of adversarial surrogate losses is not guaranteed.
method Connected consistency of adversarial surrogate losses to the uniqueness of adversarial Bayes classifiers.
result A convex surrogate loss is statistically consistent for adversarial learning if and only if the adversarial Bayes classifier is unique.

Researchers compute Bayes error for classification models using normalizing flows.

problem Evaluating the inherent difficulty of classification problems.
method Invertible transformations and Gaussian base distributions to compute Bayes error.
result State-of-the-art models can achieve near-optimal accuracy but not always.

The paper compares one-hot encoding to Naïve Bayes for categorical variables.

problem Incorrect one-hot encoding affects Naïve Bayes performance.
method Mathematical and experimental analysis of PoB vs. categorical Naïve Bayes.
result Posterior probabilities are usually greater in the PoB case, but agree on the maximum a posteriori class label.

Proposes a non-convex optimization method for a parsimonious weighted naive Bayes classifier.

problem Improving naïve Bayes classifier performance with a large number of input variables.
method Sparse regularization of model log-likelihood for direct estimation of variable weights.
result Optimization-based weighted naïve Bayes classifiers achieve equivalent performance to averaging-based classifiers.

New method for high-dimensional linear regression using empirical Bayes.

problem Estimating prior in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Variational empirical Bayes approach with NPMLE and mean field approximation.
result Established asymptotic consistency and computational efficiency of the method.

Paper extends Bayes Theorem for interval probability estimates.

problem Real-world input probabilities are often interval estimates, not precise.
method Developed IT2 version of Bayes Theorem and a novel algorithm for encoding intervals.
result Conservative method avoids invalid output results from inconsistent input.