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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2595177761,034 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for effective sample size

A new method calculates intrinsic effective sample size for manifold-valued data.

problem Challenges in choosing effective sample size for manifold-valued data.
method Proposes an intrinsic effective sample size based on kernel discrepancy.
result Establishes an exact finite-sample risk interpretation and consistency of the estimator.

New summary measures reveal geometric structure in weighted measures on manifolds.

problem Lack of geometric information in standard weight-only summaries.
method Heat-kernel entropy profiles, tracking nonuniformity across scales.
result Geometric effective sample size discounts nearby or duplicate particles.

This paper explores how effective sample size, dimensionality, and model performance are related in covariate shift adaptation.

problem Understanding the relationship between effective sample size, dimensionality, and generalization in covariate shift adaptation.
method Building a unified theory connecting effective sample size, data dimensionality, and generalization in the context of covariate shift adaptation.
result Dimensionality reduction or feature selection can increase effective sample size, supporting the practice of reducing dimensionality before covariate shift adaptation.

Privacy affects how much data is needed for CVaR optimization.

problem Privacy constraints impact the effective sample size for CVaR optimization.
method Analyzes the privacy-relevant sample size and decomposes CVaR excess risk.
result The effective private tail sample size is εnτ, affecting CVaR learning rates.

MRI image quality affects statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.

problem Impact of MRI image quality on statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
method Systematic testing of image quality on univariate statistics and machine learning classification using three large datasets.
result Low-quality MRI data significantly affects detecting significant sex/gender differences in smaller samples, but not in larger ones.

New confidence intervals improve treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments.

problem Improving confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments.
method Systematic exploitation of negative dependence or variance adaptivity.
result Achieved nonasymptotic confidence intervals with the same effective sample size as asymptotic ones.

Study shows more data improves model explanations, aiding reliable knowledge extraction.

problem Challenges in deriving reliable knowledge from machine learning models due to the Rashōmon effect.
method Examined the influence of sample size on explanations from models in a Rashōmon set using SHAP.
result Explanations from <128 samples are highly variable, but agreement improves with more data.

The study reveals a transition in neural network performance from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior as dataset size increases.

problem Understanding the transition from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior in neural networks.
method Empirical study of the transition from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior as a function of sample size and network width.
result The critical sample size \( P^* \) is approximately \( \sqrt{N} \) for polynomial regression with ReLU networks.

SVM used for estimating treatment effects without confounding.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in the presence of confounding variables.
method Adapts SVM classifier as a kernel-based weighting procedure to balance covariates and estimate causal effects.
result SVM provides a continuous relaxation of the quadratic integer program for balancing covariates and maximizing effective sample size.

Proposes SVI for covariate-shift generalization with sparse variable independence.

problem Covariate-shift generalization with limited data and unstable variables.
method Introduces sparsity constraint and combines reweighting and selection in an iterative way.
result Improves covariate-shift generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

State-of-the-art implementations of boosting, such as XGBoost and LightGBM, can process large training sets extremely fast. However, this performance requires that the memory size is sufficient to hold a 2-3 multiple of the training set size. This paper presents an alternative approach to implementing the boosted trees…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Test partial effects in Frechet regression on Bures-Wasserstein manifolds.

problem Assessing partial effects in Frechet regression on complex manifolds.
method Sample splitting strategy to estimate covariance matrices and test statistic convergence.
result The test statistic converges to a weighted mixture of chi squared components.

Learning capacity measures model complexity, correlating with test loss and sample size.

problem Understanding model complexity and its relation to test performance.
method Formal correspondence between thermodynamics and inference; learning capacity as a measure of effective dimensionality.
result Learning capacity correlates with test loss and is a small fraction of model parameters.

Wide Bayesian neural networks have a simpler weight posterior, leading to faster MCMC sampling.

problem Sampling from the posterior of wide Bayesian neural networks is challenging.
method Introducing repriorisation, a data-dependent reparameterisation that simplifies the posterior distribution.
result The repriorisation map accelerates MCMC sampling, achieving up to 50x higher effective sample size.

SLdisco uses supervised learning to discover causal models from observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with limited samples and sparse models.
method Supervised machine learning to map observational data to causal equivalence classes.
result SLdisco is more conservative, less sensitive to sample size, and provides better model inference.

Delayed rejection HMC improves sampling efficiency for multiscale distributions.

problem Hamiltonian Monte Carlo struggles with wide-ranging distributions, especially in high-curvature areas.
method Introduces a delayed rejection variant of HMC, using geometrically smaller step sizes for retries.
result Up to five-fold performance gains in effective sample size per gradient evaluation.

MDCN improves treatment effect estimation in multicenter observational studies.

problem Incongruities in multicenter observational studies due to center-specific protocols and treatment reactions.
method MDCN learns a new feature embedding to address selection bias and strengthen information sharing between similar centers.
result MDCN provides more accurate treatment insights for new, unobserved centers compared to existing methods.

Recent hardware developments have dramatically increased the scale of data parallelism available for neural network training. Among the simplest ways to harness next-generation hardware is to increase the batch size in standard mini-batch neural network training algorithms. In this work, we aim to experimentally charac…

2018-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

MSTGD optimizes gradient descent with stratified sampling for faster convergence.

problem Fluctuation in gradient expectation and variance between iterations.
method Memory Stochastic Stratified Gradient Descent (MSTGD) with stratified sampling and variance reduction.
result MSTGD achieves an exponential convergence rate independent of dataset size and batch size.

New theory shows how learning algorithms can create a bias towards negative outcomes.

problem Negativity bias in adaptive learning algorithms.
method Generalization of the Hot Stove Effect to settings with negative estimates leading to smaller sample sizes.
result Negativity bias persists even when negative estimates do not lead to avoidance.

Study shows annealing with adaptive schedule reduces mode collapse in NFs for parameter estimation.

problem Mode collapse in normalizing flows for multimodal distributions.
method Annealing with an adaptive schedule based on effective sample size (ESS).
result Our approach reduces mode collapse and converges marginal likelihood faster than MCMC methods.

Unrolled neural networks emerged recently as an effective model for learning inverse maps appearing in image restoration tasks. However, their generalization risk (i.e., test mean-squared-error) and its link to network design and train sample size remains mysterious. Leveraging the Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves A/B testing for non-Gaussian data, ensuring reliable results with large sample sizes.

problem Inaccurate A/B testing results due to non-normal data and unequal sample sizes.
method Derives explicit formulas for minimum sample size and introduces an Edgeworth-based correction.
result Corrected method improves reliability of A/B testing in real-world conditions.

Adversarial training can hurt robust accuracy in small sample size scenarios.

problem Adversarial training improves test accuracy but may degrade robustness in limited data settings.
method Analyzes high-dimensional linear classification with noiseless observations, and observes perceptible attacks on image datasets.
result Adversarial training can negatively impact robust generalization in small sample size regimes.

High-dimensional data models, often with low sample size, abound in many interdisciplinary studies, genomics and large biological systems being most noteworthy. The conventional assumption of multinormality or linearity of regression may not be plausible for such models which are likely to be statistically complex due …

2008-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds that only a fraction of data is needed for accurate patient-level prediction models.

problem Developing predictive models for patient-level outcomes using large observational data.
method Empirical assessment of sample size effects on model performance and complexity using learning curves.
result A median reduction of 9.5% to 78.5% in the number of observations and 8.6% to 68.3% in the number of predictors can be achieved with adequate sample size.

Determining the appropriate batch size for mini-batch gradient descent is always time consuming as it often relies on grid search. This paper considers a resizable mini-batch gradient descent (RMGD) algorithm based on a multi-armed bandit for achieving best performance in grid search by selecting an appropriate batch s…

2017-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves sample efficiency in noisy inductive matrix completion with side-information.

problem Improving sample efficiency in noisy inductive matrix completion with side-information.
method Nonconvex projected gradient descent algorithm with spectral initialization.
result Achieves linear convergence and stable recovery at a sample complexity governed by the effective side-information dimension.

This paper addresses the problem of filtering with a state-space model. Standard approaches for filtering assume that a probabilistic model for observations (i.e. the observation model) is given explicitly or at least parametrically. We consider a setting where this assumption is not satisfied; we assume that the knowl…

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Reduces policy space complexity for reinforcement learning.

problem Efficiency in exploring vast policy spaces in reinforcement learning.
method Uses Rényi divergence and l1l_1 norm to determine sample size for accurate policy approximation.
result Established error bounds for sample size requirements in model-based and model-free settings.