Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.
problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.
Model handles missing data in partial blackouts for multivariate time series.
problem Missing values in multivariate time series data.
method Two-stage imputation process using self-attention and diffusion processes.
result Model effectively handles missing data during training and outperforms state-of-the-art.
We propose BlackOut, an approximation algorithm to efficiently train massive recurrent neural network language models (RNNLMs) with million word vocabularies. BlackOut is motivated by using a discriminative loss, and we describe a new sampling strategy which significantly reduces computation while improving stability, …
Proposes a framework to handle missing data in traffic forecasting with sensor blackouts.
problem Missing data in traffic forecasting due to sensor blackouts, especially when correlated with traffic conditions.
method Latent state-space framework that models traffic dynamics and sensor dropout probabilities.
result Improves traffic forecasting by reducing blackout imputation RMSE from 7.02 to 4.23, with MNAR modeling providing additional gains.
Implements SSSD for missing value imputation and forecasting in time series data.
problem Missing values in time series data.
method Structured state space models combined with conditional diffusion models.
result SSSD outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various data sets and missingness scenarios.
We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while maintaining low probability of blackouts. The key question we investigate are empi…
AutoML improves electricity demand forecasting models.
problem Optimizing GAM and state-space model parameters for short-term forecasting.
method Automated online generalized additive model selection using DRAGON package.
result The approach enhances predictive performance of adaptive models.
This paper optimizes power grid protection settings to maximize network degradation due to cascading attacks.
problem Cascading attacks on power grids and their undetected nature.
method Constrained Bayesian Optimization applied to transmission line protection settings.
result Even limited misconfiguration of protection settings can cause severe cascading attacks.
C-FAR automates clustering assessment for neural tracking.
problem Manual assessment of clusters by humans is slow and impractical for large datasets.
method C-FAR uses automated feedback queries to select optimal clustering from multiple algorithms.
result C-FAR produces near-perfect clustering on simulated neural data.
Successful implementation of California's Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) mandating 33 percent renewable energy generation by 2020 requires inclusion of a robust strategy to mitigate increased risk of energy deficits (blackouts) due to short time-scale (sub 1 hour) intermittencies in renewable energy sources. Of the…
PowRL uses RL to manage power grids robustly, reducing overloads and maintaining power reliability.
problem Managing transient stability and preventing blackouts in power networks with uncertain generation and load demands.
method PowRL leverages a novel heuristic for overload management and RL-guided topology selection to ensure safe and reliable operation.
result PowRL outperforms other agents in L2RPN challenges, demonstrating robust performance in various scenarios.
New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.
problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.
A new method for filling in missing traffic data improves accuracy over existing techniques.
problem Incomplete spatiotemporal traffic data.
method Low-rank autoregressive tensor completion (LATC) framework.
result LATC framework better captures spatiotemporal consistency and local consistency.