A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New methods correct spectral distortions using known analyte concentrations.
Paper finds Dutch Draw optimal baseline for binary classification.
Enhanced visual feature attribution via adaptive baseline weighting.
Paper presents a universal baseline for binary prediction models.
Previous work has shown the unreliability of existing algorithms in the batch Reinforcement Learning setting, and proposed the theoretically-grounded Safe Policy Improvement with Baseline Bootstrapping (SPIBB) fix: reproduce the baseline policy in the uncertain state-action pairs, in order to control the variance on th…
The study introduces backward baselines to distinguish past prediction from future prediction in machine learning models.
Algorithm safely learns from sub-optimal baseline policies while satisfying constraints.
Paper uses tensor completion to estimate HVAC fan power baselines.
A new baseline for Shapley values in MLPs considers model use.
Bayesian algorithm detects changes in fluctuating baselines.
How can we design safe reinforcement learning agents that avoid unnecessary disruptions to their environment? We show that current approaches to penalizing side effects can introduce bad incentives, e.g. to prevent any irreversible changes in the environment, including the actions of other agents. To isolate the source…
Recent work establishes dataset difficulty and removes annotation artifacts via partial-input baselines (e.g., hypothesis-only models for SNLI or question-only models for VQA). When a partial-input baseline gets high accuracy, a dataset is cheatable. However, the converse is not necessarily true: the failure of a parti…
Policy gradient methods have enjoyed great success in deep reinforcement learning but suffer from high variance of gradient estimates. The high variance problem is particularly exasperated in problems with long horizons or high-dimensional action spaces. To mitigate this issue, we derive a bias-free action-dependent ba…
We consider reinforcement learning in input-driven environments, where an exogenous, stochastic input process affects the dynamics of the system. Input processes arise in many applications, including queuing systems, robotics control with disturbances, and object tracking. Since the state dynamics and rewards depend on…
A new model predicts discrete events with flexible, nonparametric baseline and excitation.
An important problem in sequential decision-making under uncertainty is to use limited data to compute a safe policy, i.e., a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as a given baseline strategy. In this paper, we develop and analyze a new model-based approach to compute a safe policy when we have access …
Bayesian Scattering offers a simple baseline for image data uncertainty.
Investigates Q value evolution in Stable Baselines for DQL in simple vs complex environments.
Like all sub-fields of machine learning Bayesian Deep Learning is driven by empirical validation of its theoretical proposals. Given the many aspects of an experiment it is always possible that minor or even major experimental flaws can slip by both authors and reviewers. One of the most popular experiments used to eva…
Policy gradient methods are a widely used class of model-free reinforcement learning algorithms where a state-dependent baseline is used to reduce gradient estimator variance. Several recent papers extend the baseline to depend on both the state and action and suggest that this significantly reduces variance and improv…
Paper identifies problematic baselines in Shapley value explanations and proposes a reweighting mechanism.
Paper tackles online learning for DR management with incentives.
Study approximates worst-case stock trading under uncertainty, quantifying sensitivity.
In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric model, namely Gaussian process modulated Hawkes process and propose an EM-variation…
Patients initially diagnosed with early mild cognitive impairment (eMCI) are known to be a clinically heterogeneous group with very subtle patterns of brain atrophy. To examine the boarders between normal controls (NC) and eMCI, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) was extensively used as a non-invasive imaging modality to…
Improves policies with high certainty, even in small samples.
A training-free conformal interval is a mandatory baseline for probabilistic time-series forecasting.
Human language is a rich multimodal signal consisting of spoken words, facial expressions, body gestures, and vocal intonations. Learning representations for these spoken utterances is a complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Recent advances in multimodal learning…
Study shows popular RL methods are inefficient due to unfair baselines.
New benchmark for EEG-eye movement reconstruction from functional data.
Dark Experience improves continual learning with a simple, strong baseline.
Two-stage TMLE reduces bias and improves efficiency in CRTs.
This work provides a strong baseline for the problem of multi-source multi-target domain adaptation and generalization in medical imaging. Using a diverse collection of ten chest X-ray datasets, we empirically demonstrate the benefits of training medical imaging deep learning models on varied patient populations for ge…
Proposes baselines for joint NAS and HPO optimization.
Study identifies and analyzes spurious correlations in data-driven models.
This work establishes safe reinforcement learning for LQR with nonlinear baselines.
Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.
RL agents outperform baselines in asset allocation.
There exist a number of reinforcement learning algorithms which learnby climbing the gradient of expected reward. Their long-runconvergence has been proved, even in partially observableenvironments with non-deterministic actions, and without the need fora system model. However, the variance of the gradient estimator ha…
This paper considers Safe Policy Improvement (SPI) in Batch Reinforcement Learning (Batch RL): from a fixed dataset and without direct access to the true environment, train a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as the baseline policy used to collect the data. Our approach, called SPI with Baseline Boo…
Integrated gradients are widely employed to evaluate the contribution of input features in classification models because it satisfies the axioms for attribution of prediction. This method, however, requires an appropriate baseline for reliable determination of the contributions. We propose a compensated integrated grad…
Extracting and detecting spike activities from the fluorescence observations is an important step in understanding how neuron systems work. The main challenge lies in that the combination of the ambient noise with dynamic baseline fluctuation, often contaminates the observations, thereby deteriorating the reliability o…
We show that several popular few-shot learning benchmarks can be solved with varying degrees of success without using support set Labels at Test-time (LT). To this end, we introduce a new baseline called Centroid Networks, a modification of Prototypical Networks in which the support set labels are hidden from the metho…
Paper compares two local explanation methods for machine learning models.
This paper presents a new Graph Neural Network (GNN) type using feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM). Many standard GNN variants propagate information along the edges of a graph by computing "messages" based only on the representation of the source of each edge. In GNN-FiLM, the representation of the target node of an…
Novel neural models have been proposed in recent years for learning under domain shift. Most models, however, only evaluate on a single task, on proprietary datasets, or compare to weak baselines, which makes comparison of models difficult. In this paper, we re-evaluate classic general-purpose bootstrapping approaches …
We propose a method to predict the subject-specific longitudinal progression of brain structures extracted from baseline MRI, and evaluate its performance on Alzheimer's disease data. The disease progression is modeled as a trajectory on a group of diffeomorphisms in the context of large deformation diffeomorphic metri…
We propose a simple but strong baseline for time series classification from scratch with deep neural networks. Our proposed baseline models are pure end-to-end without any heavy preprocessing on the raw data or feature crafting. The proposed Fully Convolutional Network (FCN) achieves premium performance to other state-…