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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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131262392523 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for adaptive design

Adaptive designs achieve strong Neyman regret guarantees for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating unbiased average treatment effect in sequential experiments.
method Proposed adaptive designs with O~(logT)\widetilde{O}(\log T) Neyman regret under boundedness assumptions and O~(T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) multigroup Neyman regret in covariate-based settings.
result Adaptive designs outperform non-adaptive designs in terms of Neyman regret, especially in covariate-based settings.

iDAD uses neural networks to quickly adapt experiments without likelihoods.

problem Performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models.
method iDAD learns a design policy network upfront to make quick design decisions.
result iDAD can make design decisions in milliseconds, unlike traditional BOED approaches.

Adaptive batching improves Gaussian process surrogates for noisy level set estimation.

problem Learning the level set of noisy simulator responses.
method Developed four novel adaptive batching schemes for Gaussian process metamodels.
result Adaptive batching brings significant computational speed-ups with minimal loss of modeling fidelity.

DAD learns to design experiments quickly, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Real-time decision-making in sequential Bayesian experimental design.
method Amortized design network trained with contrastive information bounds.
result DAD outperforms alternative strategies on various problems.

New study shows non-adaptive trials can be outperformed by adaptive designs in treatment selection.

problem Determining the best allocation of resources in clinical trials.
method Analysis of batched arm elimination designs and comparison with completely randomized trials.
result Simple adaptive designs universally and strictly dominate non-adaptive completely randomized trials for at least three treatment arms.

JADAI optimizes design and inference for parameter estimation.

problem Parameter estimation with active optimization of design variables.
method Jointly trains a policy, history network, and inference network to minimize posterior error.
result Achieves superior or competitive performance across benchmarks.

Study designs for estimating treatment effects in adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating treatment effects under adaptive treatment assignment.
method Propose and analyze IPW and AIPW estimators, establish CLTs under design stability.
result Central limit theorems for IPW and AIPW estimators under design stability.

DABS uses a policy network to select experiments in high-dimensional design spaces.

problem Adaptive factorial screening in high-dimensional discrete design spaces.
method DABS learns a policy network offline to sequentially select experiments, incorporating sparsity and interactions via a spike-and-slab prior.
result DABS achieves superior accuracy and scalability over classical and Bayesian baselines under tight experimental budgets.

Step-DAD improves BED by periodically updating a design policy during experiments.

problem Improving flexibility and robustness in Bayesian experimental design.
method Semi-amortized, policy-based approach that updates a design policy during data collection.
result Consistently superior decision-making and robustness compared to current BED methods.

Paper proposes a new method to optimize robot body structure and control policy.

problem Optimizing robot body structure and control policy in a coupled manner.
method Revisits co-design problem as a Stackelberg game, incorporating control adaptation dynamics.
result Stackelberg PPO outperforms standard PPO in stability and performance.

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and utilizes the expected improvement idea from Bayesian global optimization. We adapt…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian adaptive designs can be biased by active learning, especially with misspecified models.

problem Active learning bias in Bayesian adaptive experimental designs.
method Analysis of linear and preference learning models, empirical testing.
result Model misspecification and noise influence active learning bias in Bayesian designs.

GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.

problem Designing products to meet consumer preferences.
method GBS is a discrete choice experiment that uses machine learning to adaptively construct paired comparison questions.
result GBS outperforms existing methods in accuracy and sample efficiency.

Study on adaptivity constraints in linear contextual bandits with optimal design.

problem Impact of adaptivity constraints on linear contextual bandits.
method Two models of limited adaptivity: batch learning and rare policy switches. Proposed distributional optimal design.
result Achieves minimax-optimal regret with optimal number of policy switches and batches.

In this paper, we study the design and analysis of experiments conducted on a set of units over multiple time periods where the starting time of the treatment may vary by unit. The design problem involves selecting an initial treatment time for each unit in order to most precisely estimate both the instantaneous and cu…

2019-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive IP approach optimizes intervention design for causal graph recovery.

problem Designing efficient interventions to recover causal relationships from data.
method Iterative integer programming approach for optimizing information gain.
result Adaptive IP approach achieves full causal graph recovery with fewer interventions.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

Algorithm identifies Pareto optimal designs efficiently for noisy, multi-objective functions.

problem Optimizing multi-objective functions with noisy data and large design spaces.
method Adaptive discretization and tree-based approach to identify Pareto optimal designs.
result Algorithm identifies Pareto optimal designs with fewer evaluations than exhaustive search.

Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a regression model when the underlying regression function is discontinuous. The fi…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This study optimizes covariate density and propensity score for efficient ATE estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal variance.
method Adaptive experiment optimizing both covariate density and propensity score.
result Proposed method minimizes the semiparametric efficiency bound for ATE estimation.

Bayesian optimization reduces hyperparameters for mixed variable design problems.

problem Optimizing designs with a large number of mixed continuous, integer, and categorical variables.
method Adaptive dimension reduction using partial least squares for fewer hyperparameters.
result Significant improvement in performance compared to genetic algorithms.

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects, recent work has instead sought to design classifiers that incentivize individuals…

2019-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.

problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.

New robust control method for uncertain systems using bootstrapped noise.

problem Designing controllers robust to model uncertainties in finite data.
method Least-squares model estimator, bootstrap resampling, multiplicative noise LQR.
result Significantly outperforms certainty equivalent controllers in numerical tests.

Entropy-based GP adaptive design improves failure probability estimation.

problem Limited accuracy in failure probability estimation due to model evaluation costs.
method Entropy-based Gaussian process (GP) adaptive design combined with multifidelity importance sampling (MFIS).
result More accurate failure probability estimates and higher confidence.

Learn to automatically plug domain-specific modules into a common network.

problem Learning inflexibility and computational intensiveness in multi-domain learning.
method Neural Architecture Search (NAS) for data-driven adapter plugging and structure design.
result NAS-driven MDL model achieves comparable performance to existing approaches.

Study adaptive clinical trial methods for identifying patient subpopulations with treatment benefit.

problem Adaptive identification of patient subpopulations with treatment benefit in clinical trials.
method Proposes AdaGGI and AdaGCPI meta-algorithms for subpopulation construction.
result Empirical investigation of AdaGGI and AdaGCPI performance across various simulation scenarios.

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials. Inferential challenges are exacerbated when our parameter of interest differs from the pa…

2019-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a powerful general framework for designing data-dependent optimization algorithms, building upon and unifying recent techniques in adaptive regularization, optimistic gradient predictions, and problem-dependent randomization. We first present a series of new regret guarantees that hold at any time and under …

2015-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In radar systems, unimodular (or constant-modulus) waveform design plays an important role in achieving better clutter/interference rejection, as well as a more accurate estimation of the target parameters. The design of such sequences has been studied widely in the last few decades, with most design algorithms requiri…

2019-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive Bayesian Optimization for resource-constrained experiments with switching costs.

problem Sequential experimental design with varying costs for changing design variables.
method Adapted batch algorithms to sequential problem, proposing cost-aware and cost-ignorant methods.
result Cost-aware algorithm outperforms tuned process-constrained algorithms in all settings considered.

Automates design of lightweight neural networks for image classification.

problem Designing efficient neural networks for edge devices with limited computational resources.
method Uses the Mesh Adaptive Direct Search (MADS) algorithm to optimize network architecture.
result Achieves comparable performance to standard methods with fewer design trials.

Proposes novel losses for fine-grained categorical domain adaptation.

problem Fine-grained alignment of categories across domains in unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Joint category-domain classifier with adversarial training losses for both domain and category levels, and vicinal domain adaptation.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on benchmark datasets.

DIVA generates diverse tasks for complex simulators, enabling adaptive agent training.

problem Lack of diverse training data for complex, open-ended simulators.
method Evolutionary approach using domain randomization and procedural generation.
result Successfully trains adaptive agent behavior in complex simulators.

The paper develops classifiers that encourage positive adaptation in machine learning settings.

problem Strategic behavior by decision subjects leads to performance loss in machine learning models.
method Formulates a two-stage game to characterize optimal strategies for model designers and decision subjects.
result Trained classifiers maintain accuracy while inducing higher improvement and less manipulation.

The paper analyzes sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance, providing adaptiveness and concentration rates.

problem Sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance.
method Analysis of posterior concentration rates, employing techniques to address model misspecification.
result Adaptiveness and concentration rates of the posterior for sparse high-dimensional linear regression.