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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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3517021,0531,404 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for POMDP models

New method approximates POMDPs with PB-MDPs, providing error bounds and practical algorithms.

problem Difficulty in solving POMDPs with continuous or hybrid state and observation spaces.
method Bounding particle filtering error and adapting MDP algorithms to POMDPs.
result General theory and practical algorithms for POMDPs with no direct dependence on state and observation space sizes.

PS4POMDPs algorithm simplifies online learning for episodic POMDPs with unknown models.

problem Learning in POMDPs is harder than in MDPs; online learning is especially challenging.
method Posterior Sampling-based reinforcement learning algorithm (PS4POMDPs)
result Bayesian regret scales as √number of episodes and is polynomial in other parameters.

We propose a new reinforcement learning algorithm for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP) based on spectral decomposition methods. While spectral methods have been previously employed for consistent learning of (passive) latent variable models such as hidden Markov models, POMDPs are more challenging…

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This work studies the problem of batch off-policy evaluation for Reinforcement Learning in partially observable environments. Off-policy evaluation under partial observability is inherently prone to bias, with risk of arbitrarily large errors. We define the problem of off-policy evaluation for Partially Observable Mark…

2019-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm learns POMDPs with known observation model efficiently.

problem Learning POMDPs with unknown transition model in average-reward setting.
method OAS estimation technique and OAS-UCRL algorithm balancing exploration-exploitation.
result Regret guarantee of order O(Tlog(T))\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T \log(T)}) for OAS-UCRL algorithm.

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a powerful abstraction for tasks that require decision making under uncertainty, and capture a wide range of real world tasks. Today, effective planning approaches exist that generate effective strategies given black-box models of a POMDP task. Yet, an open qu…

2018-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve a broad class of sequential decision-making problems with partially observed states.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with partially observed states.
method Modeling as a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) and separating state and modulation process.
result The approach allows for specialized approximate solution procedures.

FORBES learns flexible belief states for POMDPs using normalizing flows.

problem Accurately modeling belief states in POMDPs for high-dimensional, continuous spaces.
method Integrates normalizing flows into variational inference for continuous belief state learning.
result FORBES learns flexible belief states that enable multi-modal predictions and high-quality reconstructions.

This research develops an efficient reinforcement learning method for undercomplete POMDPs.

problem Learning undercomplete Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) is computationally hard.
method OOM-UCB algorithm for episodic finite undercomplete POMDPs.
result Achieves optimal sample complexity of ildeO(1/ε2) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/\varepsilon^2) for finding an ε\varepsilon-optimal policy.

We consider the problem of imitation learning from expert demonstrations in partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). Belief representations, which characterize the distribution over the latent states in a POMDP, have been modeled using recurrent neural networks and probabilistic latent variable models, …

2019-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms learn POMDPs efficiently with hindsight observability.

problem Hardness of learning in POMDPs due to partial observability.
method Hindsight Observable Markov Decision Process (HOMDP) and new algorithms for tabular and function approximation settings.
result Sample-efficient learning in POMDPs with optimal dependence on latent state and observation cardinalities.

Expectation maximization (EM) has recently been shown to be an efficient algorithm for learning finite-state controllers (FSCs) in large decentralized POMDPs (Dec-POMDPs). However, current methods use fixed-size FSCs and often converge to maxima that are far from optimal. This paper considers a variable-size FSC to rep…

2015-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a policy gradient method for confounded POMDPs.

problem Estimating policy gradients for confounded POMDPs with continuous state and observation spaces.
method Developed a novel identification result to estimate policy gradients using offline data, solved conditional moment restrictions, and applied min-max learning with function approximation.
result Showed global convergence of the proposed algorithm in finding the optimal policy.

Efficient RL in large POMDPs with latent determinism and embeddings.

problem Efficient reinforcement learning in large-scale POMDPs with latent states and observations.
method Conditional Hilbert space embeddings, linear optimal QQ-function, deterministic latent transitions, gap assumption.
result Computationally and statistically efficient algorithm for exact optimal policy.

Bayesian reinforcement learning (BRL) encodes prior knowledge of the world in a model and represents uncertainty in model parameters by maintaining a probability distribution over them. This paper presents Monte Carlo BRL (MC-BRL), a simple and general approach to BRL. MC-BRL samples a priori a finite set of hypotheses…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper establishes strong lower bounds for learning in revealing POMDPs.

problem Understanding the fundamental limits of reinforcement learning in revealing partially observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs).
method Develops strong PAC and regret lower bounds for learning in revealing POMDPs using multi-step revealing POMDPs as a case study.
result Strong polynomial lower bounds for learning in revealing POMDPs, achieving significantly smaller gaps against current upper bounds.

RL struggles with generalization due to implicit partial observability.

problem Generalization in RL is difficult due to implicit partial observability.
method Re-cast RL problem as solving epistemic POMDPs and propose ensemble-based techniques.
result Simple ensemble-based technique achieves significant generalization gains.

Improved POMDP regret to sqrt(T) with known observation model.

problem Average-reward POMDPs with unknown transition model but known observation model.
method Optimistic algorithm using deterministic policies and novel estimation techniques.
result First approach with regret guarantee of sqrt(T) against optimal policy.

ETC learns minimal representations for reinforcement learning in POMDPs.

problem Sample complexity challenges in reinforcement learning for POMDPs.
method ETC learns low-dimensional features and embeddings at two levels, optimizing policy.
result ETC achieves polynomial sample complexity for POMDPs with low-rank transition kernels.

A new model validation framework for agentic AI systems based on POMDPs.

problem Model validation of agentic AI systems.
method A POMDP-based framework for belief-state, forecast, and policy validation.
result The framework decomposes autonomous decision making into information, beliefs, forecasts, actions, and utility.

In Passive POMDPs actions do not affect the world state, but still incur costs. When the agent is bounded by information-processing constraints, it can only keep an approximation of the belief. We present a variational principle for the problem of maintaining the information which is most useful for minimizing the cost…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper advances sample-efficient learning for partially observable RL by introducing B-stability and new algorithms.

problem Hard sample complexity for learning near-optimal policies in partially observable RL.
method Proposes B-stability as a unified structural condition and develops new algorithms for sample-efficient learning.
result Any B-stable PSR can be learned with polynomial samples, improving over current best complexities.

Study evaluates policies in partially observable environments without full model specification.

problem Evaluating policies in partially observable environments without full model specification.
method Developed non-parametric identification and recursive fitted-Q-evaluation algorithm.
result Established finite-sample error bounds for policy value estimation.

Many interesting real world domains involve reinforcement learning (RL) in partially observable environments. Efficient learning in such domains is important, but existing sample complexity bounds for partially observable RL are at least exponential in the episode length. We give, to our knowledge, the first partially …

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new framework to improve sample efficiency in POMDPs learning.

problem Challenges in off-policy evaluation for POMDPs, especially with hidden states.
method Exploits the metric structure of belief space to relax coverage assumptions.
result Unified analysis technique yields tighter error bounds and sample efficiency improvements.

New method for evaluating policies in complex decision-making models with hidden variables.

problem Evaluating policies in partially observable Markov decision processes with hidden confounders.
method Introduces novel identification methods and minimax estimation techniques for linking target policy's value and observed data distribution.
result Proposes three estimators for off-policy evaluation in POMDPs with latent confounders, demonstrating their effectiveness through nonasymptotic and asymptotic analysis.

OMLE combines optimism and MLE for efficient sequential decision making.

problem Efficiently solving sequential decision making problems, especially in partially observable settings.
method Combines optimism for exploration and maximum likelihood estimation for model learning.
result OMLE learns near-optimal policies for a wide range of sequential decision making problems.