Initial margin requirements are becoming an increasingly common feature of derivative markets. However, while the valuation of derivatives under collateralisation (Piterbarg 2010, Piterbarg2012), under counterparty risk with unsecured funding costs (FVA) (Burgard2011, Burgard2011, Burgard2013) and in the presence of re…
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48 results for “Margin Adjustment”
Adjustment reduces bias in widely applicable Bayesian information criterion.
problem Overestimation of widely applicable Bayesian information criterion.
method Identified and adjusted an overestimating term in the criterion.
result Asymptotically unbiased estimator of log marginal likelihood.
Practical Portfolio Optimization with Metaheuristics:Pre-assignment Constraint and Margin Tradingq-fin.PM
Metaheuristics optimize portfolios with pre-assignment and margin trading for better risk-adjusted returns.
problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in portfolio optimization.
method Incorporates pre-assignment constraints and margin trading strategies using Genetic Algorithms and Particle Swarm Optimization.
result Metaheuristic-based portfolio optimization yields superior risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional methods.
We analyze the counterparty risk embedded in CDS contracts, in presence of a bilateral margin agreement. First, we investigate the pricing of collateralized counterparty risk and we derive the bilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), unilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (UCVA) and Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA).…
Robust HVA adjusts deep hedging policies for market frictions and transaction costs.
problem Ensuring deep hedging policies are financially feasible under market frictions and transaction costs.
method Applying a robust hedging valuation adjustment (HVA) post-training to evaluate and adjust policies for funding and margin add-ons.
result A single HVA computation provides a consistent reserve for funding and margin, improving financial feasibility of deep hedging policies.
A deep BSDE approach tackles multi-layered xVA calculations for portfolio valuation.
problem Computational intractability in nested simulations for multi-layered xVA calculations.
method Iterative deep BSDE approach, change-of-measure method, quantile regression for margin computation.
result Reduces computational demands and successfully scales to high-dimensional portfolios.
Paper tackles long-tailed labels in classification problems.
problem Imbalanced or long-tailed label distribution in real-world classification problems.
method Logit adjustment applied post-hoc or during training to encourage a large relative margin between rare and dominant labels.
result Unified and generalised techniques for coping with long-tailed labels, improving generalisation and performance.
This paper generalizes the framework for arbitrage-free valuation of bilateral counterparty risk to the case where collateral is included, with possible re-hypotecation. We analyze how the payout of claims is modified when collateral margining is included in agreement with current ISDA documentation. We then specialize…
In this paper we discuss the issue of computation of the bilateral credit valuation adjustment (CVA) under rating triggers, and in presence of ratings-linked margin agreements. Specifically, we consider collateralized OTC contracts, that are subject to rating triggers, between two parties -- an investor and a counterpa…
In this paper we describe how to include funding and margining costs into a risk-neutral pricing framework for counterparty credit risk. We consider realistic settings and we include in our models the common market practices suggested by the ISDA documentation without assuming restrictive constraints on margining proce…
We present a dialogue on Counterparty Credit Risk touching on Credit Value at Risk (Credit VaR), Potential Future Exposure (PFE), Expected Exposure (EE), Expected Positive Exposure (EPE), Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA), DVA Hedging, Closeout conventions, Netting clauses, Collateral …
Paper creates transparent, safe synthetic data from coarsened margins.
problem Creating synthetic data that maintains original relationships and is safe from disclosure.
method Defining and curating margins, applying SDC, coarsening counts, and using IPF algorithm.
result Synthetic data derived from safe, coarsened margins maintains original relationships.
New algorithm improves latent variable model estimation.
problem Estimating parameters in latent variable models.
method Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin algorithm (JALA) for SMC methods.
result JALA-EM provides maximum marginal likelihood estimate.
The paper tackles fVaR prediction methods in finance.
problem Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) in finance.
method Various methods including Nested MC-empirical quantile, percentiles from distributions, quantile regressions, and limited inner simulations.
result Improved methods for predicting fVaRs, including those that are computationally efficient.
New PFL method addresses counterparty risk challenges.
problem Challenges with PFE for counterparty limits.
method Introducing PFL combining ES and LGD, and variants aPFL and paPFL.
result PFL and variants provide a better measure of counterparty risk.
Prognostic scores improve logistic regression analysis in RCTs with binary outcomes.
problem Non-collapsibility in logistic regression analysis of RCTs with binary endpoints.
method Prognostic score adjustment using AI predictions to address non-collapsibility.
result Prognostic score adjustment increases power or reduces sample size for estimating conditional odds ratios.
Margin system for margin loans using cash and stock as collateral is considered in this paper, which is the line of defence for brokers against risk associated with margin trading. The conditional probability of negative return is used as risk measure, and a recursive algorithm is proposed to realize this measure under…
New method tests causal association using noise contrastive backdoor adjustment.
problem Testing causal association in complex settings with many confounders.
method Backdoor-HSIC (bd-HSIC) using HSIC for independence testing.
result Calibrated and powerful for binary and continuous treatments with many confounders.
In this article, we combine replication pricing with expectation pricing for derivative trades that are partially collateralized by cash. The derivatives are replicated by underlying assets and cash, using repurchasing agreement (repo) and margining, which incur funding costs. We derive a partial differential equation …
An active margin system for margin loans is proposed for Chinese margin lending market, which uses cash and randomly selected stock as collateral. The conditional probability of negative return(CPNR) after a forced sale of securities from under-margined account in a falling market is used to measure the risk faced by t…
An Algorithm to perform Covariance-Adjusted Support Vector Classification in Non-Euclidean Spacescs.LG
Algorithm improves SVM classification in non-Euclidean spaces.
problem Limitations of traditional SVM in non-Euclidean spaces.
method Covariance-adjusted SVM using Cholesky Decomposition.
result Cholesky-SVM outperforms traditional SVM in non-Euclidean spaces.
The introduction of CCPs in most derivative transactions will dramatically change the landscape of derivatives pricing, hedging and risk management, and, according to the TABB group, will lead to an overall liquidity impact about 2 USD trillions. In this article we develop for the first time a comprehensive approach fo…
New loss function improves classification for imbalanced and sensitive groups.
problem Optimizing metrics like balanced error and equal opportunity in imbalanced and sensitive classification.
method Developed a principled vector-scaling (VS) loss function that addresses multiplicative adjustments necessary at terminal training phase.
result The VS loss function improves minority class performance and generalizes to different types of imbalances.
Paper calculates robust FVA for OTC derivatives under distributional uncertainty.
problem Distributional uncertainty in over the counter derivatives valuation.
method Wasserstein distance as ambiguity measure, dual formulation of robust FVA optimization.
result Additional FVA charge due to distributional uncertainty measured under various configurations.
Paper introduces md-vtrees for efficient probabilistic and causal inference.
problem Efficient inference in complex probabilistic models.
method Introduces md-vtrees to generalize tractability conditions for advanced inference queries.
result Derives first polytime algorithms for causal inference queries.
The main result of this paper is a collateralized counterparty valuation adjusted pricing equation, which allows to price a deal while taking into account credit and debit valuation adjustments (CVA, DVA) along with margining and funding costs, all in a consistent way. Funding risk breaks the bilateral nature of the va…
A new explicit scheme calculates XVA adjustments using neural networks and conditional expectations.
problem Calculating cross valuation adjustments (XVA) in realistic financial scenarios.
method Simulation/regression scheme for BSDEs, using neural networks and quantile regressions.
result The scheme outperforms Picard iterations in high-dimensional and hybrid market risks.
Proposes L-Softmax loss for CNNs to improve feature discriminativeness.
problem Lack of explicit feature discriminativeness in cross-entropy loss.
method Introduces L-Softmax loss that encourages intra-class compactness and inter-class separability.
result Deeply learned features with L-Softmax loss are more discriminative, boosting performance.
Study analyzes shunt thrombosis recurrence in dialysis patients, adjusting for competing risks.
problem Analyzing shunt thrombosis recurrence in dialysis patients with competing risks.
method Formulated under recurrent events data framework, applied IPCW for adjusted inference, used bootstrap for further inference.
result Validated large sample properties and finite-sample performances of proposed methods.
FMP improves personalized ASR models on private devices.
problem Limited accuracy and privacy in federated fine-tuning of ASR models.
method FMP estimates global and personalized marginal distributions and adjusts NNLM probabilities.
result FMP achieves modest WER reductions on ASR rescoring tasks.
We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.
problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.
Triangle Feesq-fin.MF
Triangle fees adjust fees based on trade size and price movement, improving price accuracy and revenue.
problem Price staleness and low fee revenue in AMMs.
method Decreasing marginal fees proportional to price movement, creating incentives for price accuracy.
result Triangle fees strictly improve the Pareto frontier of price accuracy versus losses.
New method identifies drift and diffusivity from SDE marginals.
problem Challenging task to identify drift and diffusion from SDE population dynamics.
method Proposes nn-APPEX, a Schrodinger Bridge-based inference method.
result Gradient-flow drift and Brownian diffusivity jointly identifiable from marginals.
MVA Transfer Pricingq-fin.PR
This article prices OTC derivatives with either an exogenously determined initial margin profile or endogenously approximated initial margin. In the former case, margin valuation adjustment (MVA) is defined as the liability-side discounted expected margin profile, while in the latter, an extended partial differential e…
The purpose of this paper is introducing rigorous methods and formulas for bilateral counterparty risk credit valuation adjustments (CVA's) on interest-rate portfolios. In doing so, we summarize the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, as de…
New conformal prediction methods for long-tailed classification problems.
problem Rare classes are systematically omitted in existing conformal prediction methods.
method Introduced a new conformal score function and a new interpolation procedure.
result Smoothly trade off set size and class-conditional coverage.
Implementation of an Asymmetric Adjusted Activation Function for Class Imbalance Credit Scoringcs.LG
A new activation function improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced datasets.
problem Imbalanced datasets in credit scoring lead to underestimation of misclassification costs.
method Introduces ASIG, an asymmetric adjusted Sigmoid function.
result ASIG-embedded classifier outperforms traditional classifiers across various imbalance ratios.
We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit Valuation Adjustments (CVA and DVA). Depending on how the default contingency is accoun…
Modified SVM improves classification accuracy for imbalanced classes.
problem Improper SVM handling of class variances leads to misclassification.
method Adjust SVM margins to reflect class variances, proportional to standard deviation.
result Improved predictive performance for imbalanced classes.
Machine learning improves trial analysis precision by adjusting for prognostic variables.
problem Improving precision in randomized trial analyses using covariate adjustment.
method Targeted machine learning estimation (TMLE) with adaptive pre-specification.
result Maximized empirical efficiency through cross-validated variance minimization.
This study explains and mitigates inflated returns and turnover in SPO-based portfolio optimization.
problem Inflated returns and excessive turnover in SPO-based portfolio optimization.
method KKT-based interpretation of portfolio decisions as ranking over adjusted scores, empirical evaluation of stabilization mechanisms.
result Realistic output constraints and portfolio-level turnover control improve SPO-based strategies.
Improved robustness of machine learning models with controlled Lipschitz constants.
problem Vulnerability of state-of-the-art models to adversarial attacks.
method Proposes a CLL loss that calibrates the margin and Lipschitz constant penalties, improving robustness certificates.
result Consistently outperforms other losses on CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and Tiny-ImageNet datasets.
This work reduces DIM computation costs by training neural networks on single MC paths.
problem Training neural networks for Dynamic Initial Margin (DIM) computation in counterparty credit risk.
method Constructing a training dataset with noisy but unbiased DIM samples from single MC paths, employing a multi-output neural network structure.
result The approach reduces dataset generation cost to a single MC execution and validates its general applicability and efficiency.
Corrects XVA framework for derivative pricing, including credit and funding costs.
problem Inaccuracies in XVA valuation adjustments for costs of capital and initial margin.
method Clarifies and rectifies XVA framework, presenting corrected formulae for KVA and MVA.
result Corrected formulae for KVA and MVA accounting for costs of capital and initial margin.
We study the problem of finding the worst-case joint distribution of a set of risk factors given prescribed multivariate marginals and a nonlinear loss function. We show that when the risk measure is CVaR, and the distributions are discretized, the problem can be conveniently solved using linear programming technique. …
New method improves sampling from score-based models by correcting bias.
problem Bias in sampling from score-based diffusion models.
method Metropolis-Hastings or Barker's accept-reject steps to correct bias, using the score function.
result Improves sample quality on synthetic and image datasets, yielding consistent gains in FID.
Paper introduces CWDAE for better synthetic data generation.
problem Measuring discrepancy between generative and ground-truth distributions.
method Introduces mixture Cramer-Wold distance for joint and marginal distributional learning.
result CWDAE shows remarkable performance in generating synthetic data.
Adaptive Margin Ranking Loss for Knowledge Graph Embeddings via a Correntropy Objective Functioncs.CL
Proposes AML loss function for TransE to improve link prediction in knowledge graphs.
problem Low performance of TransE due to insufficient scores of positive triples.
method Introduces Adaptive Margin Loss (AML) to automatically adjust margin during training.
result AML improves TransE's performance on link prediction tasks in knowledge graphs.