Study reveals LLM personas have two distinct components: frame-robust aggregated traits and frame-dependent geometric features.
problem Evaluation of LLM personas via psychometric questionnaires discards within-instance correlation structure.
method Constructed within-instance correlation matrices from IPIP-50 responses and analyzed geometry on SPD manifolds under manipulated question orderings.
result Persona expression comprises two dissociable components: aggregated features (Big Five scores) and geometric features (SPD manifold).
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice.
problem Lack of consistent advisor expertise and difficulty in encoding it in LLM systems.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and manager interpretation than generic baselines.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
problem Lack of consistent and specific financial advisor expertise in personalized investment advice.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, holdings transitions, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and grounded manager interpretation than generic baselines.
Digital personas improve survey results for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
problem When can digital personas reliably approximate human survey findings?
method Using LISS panel, constructed personas from background variables and survey histories, tested against held-out post-cutoff answers.
result Digital personas improve alignment with human response distributions for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
LLM sandbox and persona dynamics create unethical reality gaps that shift risk to users.
problem Ethical issues arise from LLMs generating reality gaps that shift risk to uninformed users.
method Analyzes the ethical implications of LLM sandbox and persona dynamics, comparing them to financial regulation and compliance.
result Active generation of reality gaps is unethical as it shifts epistemic risk to users.
LLMs can simulate human investment attitudes based on personality traits.
problem Investigating how LLMs mimic human investment behaviors.
method Simulated investment task using LLM personas with specific Big Five personality profiles.
result LLMs can produce meaningful behavioural differences in investment tasks that align with human traits.
Study reveals LLM personality patterns but lacks behavioral consistency.
problem Understanding and validating personality traits in LLMs.
method Characterized LLM personality across three dimensions: training dynamics, self-report validity, and intervention effects.
result Self-reported traits do not reliably predict behavior, and instructional alignment affects trait expression but not behavior.
The study analyzes how large language models form and express investor risk profiles.
problem Understanding how large language models (LLMs) form and express investor risk profiles.
method Examined three LLMs (GPT, Gemini, and Llama) and assessed their responses to a standardized risk questionnaire under varying prompts.
result LLMs generally form long-term investment profiles, but they exhibit different risk tolerance levels.
A new method reduces preference distortion in LLM alignment.
problem Vulnerability of traditional LLM alignment methods to human preference heterogeneity.
method Sign Estimator: A simple, provably consistent, and efficient estimator using binary classification loss.
result Substantially reduces preference distortion over a panel of simulated personas.
The paper proposes a new method to evaluate LLM agent responses using ECDF clustering.
problem The standard evaluation of LLM agent responses via majority voting obscures response quality and distribution.
method The paper introduces a novel evaluation framework based on ECDF of cosine similarities and clustering of ECDFs using distances and k-medoids algorithm. result ECDF clustering reveals interpretable group structures in LLM responses, offering insights into agent settings.
This paper explores how LLMs can improve pipeline-based conversational agents.
problem Limitations of pipeline-based conversational agents in human-like conversations.
method Investigated LLMs' capabilities in two phases: design and development, and operations.
result LLMs can enhance pipeline-based agents in various tasks like data generation, intent classification, and auto-correction.
The current work characterizes the users of a VoD streaming space through user-personas based on a tenure timeline and temporal behavioral features in the absence of explicit user profiles. A combination of tenure timeline and temporal characteristics caters to business needs of understanding the evolution and phases o…
Adaptive querying learns user psychometrics with AI personas.
problem Learning user psychometrics within query budgets.
method Persona-induced latent variable model with AI personas and large language model response distributions.
result Persona-based posteriors deliver accurate probabilistic predictions.
Study shows LLM-advisors match human performance in eliciting preferences but struggle with conflicting needs and trust.
problem How do LLM-advisors perform in complex financial domains where domain expertise is crucial?
method Lab-based user study with 64 participants, focusing on three challenges: preference elicitation, personalized guidance, and relationship building.
result LLM-advisors can match human performance in preference elicitation but struggle with conflicting needs and trust issues.
LLMs can be influenced by unseen dataset subtexts, revealing new ways to select data subsets.
problem Understanding how datasets subtly influence LLMs and their properties.
method Logit-Linear-Selection (LLS) method to select subsets of datasets.
result LLS reveals hidden effects in LLMs that persist across different models and architectures.
New algorithm clusters LLM inputs efficiently with quality control.
problem Scaling LLM inference cost and latency for millions of users.
method Two-stage algorithm using Mini-batch K-Means and greedy selection of representatives.
result Enforces similarity and attribute guardrails exactly, scales to tens of millions of samples.
In this paper, we extend the persona-based sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) neural network conversation model to multi-turn dialogue by modifying the state-of-the-art hredGAN architecture. To achieve this, we introduce an additional input modality into the encoder and decoder of hredGAN to capture other attributes such a…
Topic modeling enables exploration and compact representation of a corpus. The CaringBridge (CB) dataset is a massive collection of journals written by patients and caregivers during a health crisis. Topic modeling on the CB dataset, however, is challenging due to the asynchronous nature of multiple authors writing abo…
PolySwarm uses a swarm of LLMs to predict and arbitrage prediction markets.
problem Real-time prediction market trading and latency arbitrage inefficiencies.
method PolySwarm employs a swarm of 50 diverse LLMs, Bayesian combination, and risk-controlled execution.
result Swarm aggregation outperforms single-model baselines in prediction tasks.
In this paper, we extend the persona-based sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) neural network conversation model to a multi-turn dialogue scenario by modifying the state-of-the-art hredGAN architecture to simultaneously capture utterance attributes such as speaker identity, dialogue topic, speaker sentiments and so on. The …
Proposes a Siamese NN for algorithm selection focusing on alike performing instances.
problem Lack of effective meta-features for algorithm selection via meta-learning.
method Siamese Neural Network architecture with 'Algorithm-Performance Personas' concept.
result Proposed metric outperforms standard performance metrics in training sample selection.
GeomHerd predicts herding behavior before market prices move, using Ricci curvature of agent interaction graphs.
problem Quantifying herding behavior in markets that lags behind actual price movements.
method Develops a geometric framework to track coordination on agent interaction graphs, bypassing lag in price-correlation statistics.
result GeomHerd anticipates herding long before market baselines, with significant lead times in predictions.
Extracting common narratives from multi-author dynamic text corpora requires complex models, such as the Dynamic Author Persona (DAP) topic model. However, such models are complex and can struggle to scale to large corpora, often because of challenging non-conjugate terms. To overcome such challenges, in this paper we …
Traditional methods outperform LLMs in forecasting corporate credit ratings.
problem Forecasting corporate credit ratings using LLMs.
method Comparison of traditional methods (XGBoost) and LLMs (LLaMA) on credit rating forecasting.
result XGBoost outperforms LLMs in forecasting corporate credit ratings.
Unified framework to bridge human and LLM judgments.
problem Systematic discrepancies between human and LLM evaluations.
method Latent human preference score and linear transformations of covariates.
result Higher agreement with human ratings and exposure of systematic gaps.
LLM-Lasso uses LLMs to improve feature selection in Lasso regression.
problem Improving feature selection in Lasso regression with domain-specific knowledge.
method Combines LLMs with Lasso regularization to generate feature weights.
result Outperforms standard Lasso and feature selection baselines in biomedical studies.
THERMOMETER calibrates LLMs efficiently for diverse tasks.
problem Calibrating large language models is challenging due to computational and versatility issues.
method THERMOMETER learns an auxiliary model for calibrating a LLM using data from multiple tasks.
result THERMOMETER produces better-calibrated responses for new tasks.
Regurgitative training with synthetic data harms LLM performance.
problem The impact of training LLMs with synthetic data generated by other LLMs.
method Fine-tuning GPT-3.5 with synthetic and real data in a machine translation task.
result Regurgitative training significantly reduces LLM performance.
FLUID-LLM uses LLMs to predict fluid dynamics with improved accuracy.
problem Leveraging LLMs for CFD due to their pattern recognition abilities but struggles with fluid dynamics complexities.
method Combines pre-trained LLMs with spatiotemporal-aware encoding to predict unsteady fluid dynamics.
result Significant performance improvements in CFD predictions across various datasets.
This paper improves continuous adversarial training for LLMs using in-context learning theory.
problem Efficiently defending large language models (LLMs) against jailbreak attacks.
method The paper presents a theoretical analysis of continuous adversarial training (CAT) for LLMs based on in-context learning (ICL) theory, proving a robust generalization bound and proposing an improved regularization term.
result The robust generalization bound explains why CAT can defend against jailbreak prompts and shows that LLM robustness is related to embedding matrix singular values.
LLMs mimic human traders in finance, but not as much as expected.
problem Evaluating how LLMs behave in financial markets.
method Adapted experimental design with LLMs and human traders, analyzed in single and mixed model settings.
result LLMs tend to price assets near their fundamental value, but not as much as humans, and show less trading strategy variance.
Paper presents a probabilistic model to improve LLM cascade performance.
problem Complexity of LLM cascades and their interaction error rates.
method Probabilistic model for joint performance distribution of LLMs.
result Improves area under the error-cost curve by 4.3% on average for cascades with k≥3 models.
LLMs struggle to optimize hyperparameters efficiently, but hybrid methods can improve performance.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters of small language models using LLMs.
method Comparison of classical HPO algorithms and LLM-based methods, introducing Centaur hybrid approach.
result Hybrid Centaur approach achieves best results, outperforming classical and pure LLM methods.
Improves feature selection in high-dimensional data using LLM-generated weights.
problem Inaccurate LLM-generated weights degrade feature selection performance.
method Integrates LLM-generated weights into prior inclusion probabilities using LLM Sparsity Prior (LSP).
result Improves prediction accuracy and identifies clinically relevant features.
Telescope detects LLM generated text by measuring token repetition probability.
problem Distinguishing LLM generated text from human writing.
method Telescope Perplexity, evaluating token repetition probability.
result Telescope Perplexity enables effective zero-shot LLM detection.
BED-LLM uses Bayesian experimental design to improve LLMs' information gathering.
problem Improving LLMs' ability to gather information adaptively.
method Iteratively choosing questions to maximize expected information gain using a probabilistic model.
result BED-LLM achieves substantial performance gains compared to other adaptive design strategies.
New benchmarks show LLMs struggle with causal discovery.
problem Leveraging LLMs for causal discovery is unreliable due to dataset leakage.
method Developing science-grounded benchmarks and hybrid methods combining LLM predictions with statistical analysis.
result LLMs perform poorly on novel, real-world scientific studies compared to classical methods.
Tiny benchmarks reduce LLM evaluation costs by using fewer examples.
problem Expensive evaluation of LLMs with tens of thousands of examples.
method Developed evaluation tools and tiny versions of popular benchmarks.
result Accurately estimate LLM performance with just 100 curated examples.
SelfReflect measures LLM uncertainty by summarizing belief distribution.
problem LLMs lack transparency in expressing uncertainty.
method Developed SelfReflect metric to quantify uncertainty.
result Modern LLMs cannot reflect their uncertainty.
This paper describes a language representation model which combines the Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) learning mechanism described in Devlin et al. (2018) with a generalization of the Universal Transformer model described in Dehghani et al. (2018). We further improve this model by addin…
LLMs overestimate stock returns and are less accurate at predicting extreme outcomes.
problem Behavioral biases in LLMs' stock return forecasts.
method Comparison of LLM forecasts with crowd-sourced estimates and historical data.
result LLMs overestimate stock returns and are less accurate at predicting extreme outcomes.
Survey of LLMs in finance tasks, including adoption and performance.
problem Utilizing large language models in financial tasks.
method Review of current approaches, decision framework for adoption.
result Synthesizes state-of-the-art for LLMs in finance.
Statsformer validates and adapts LLM-derived semantic priors for improved supervised learning.
problem Unreliable semantic priors from LLMs can degrade supervised learning performance.
method Adapts LLM-derived feature scores into a family of learner-specific prior-injection mechanisms, calibrating their influence using out-of-fold validation.
result Improves prediction performance by adaptively downweighting unreliable LLM priors, ensuring a guardrailed statistical learning system.
StealthRank subtly boosts LLM rankings without detectable anomalies.
problem Adversarial manipulation of LLM-driven ranking systems.
method Energy-based optimization with Langevin dynamics for stealthy prompt generation.
result StealthRank outperforms existing methods in covertly boosting rankings.
No-knowledge alarms detect misaligned LLM judges without trusting them.
problem Monitoring LLM judges for consistency when ground truth is unknown.
method Formal logic and Linear Programming to detect disagreements.
result No false positives in detecting misaligned judges.
Fine-tunes LLMs to correct bias in predictions.
problem LLMs exhibit bias in predictions from data.
method Supervised fine-tuning with Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA).
result Fine-tuning corrects bias in both controlled and real-world settings.
AlphaPruning optimizes LLM pruning using HT-SR theory for better performance.
problem Improving pruning of large language models to reduce size without sacrificing performance.
method AlphaPruning uses HT-SR theory to allocate layerwise sparsity ratios more theoretically.
result AlphaPruning prunes LLaMA-7B to 80% sparsity with reasonable perplexity.
The paper introduces Relative Bias to quantify LLM bias systematically.
problem Quantifying bias in LLMs is challenging due to ambiguity and rapid model emergence.
method Relative Bias framework using Embedding Transformation and LLM-as-a-Judge methodologies.
result The two scoring methods show strong alignment, providing a systematic approach.