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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1345 · Apr 201919922001200920172026
32 results for CMA-ES

This paper introduces a novel theoretically sound approach for the celebrated CMA-ES algorithm. Assuming the parameters of the multi variate normal distribution for the minimum follow a conjugate prior distribution, we derive their optimal update at each iteration step. Not only provides this Bayesian framework a justi…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a scalable, black box, perception-in-the-loop technique to find adversarial examples for deep neural network classifiers. Black box means that our procedure only has input-output access to the classifier, and not to the internal structure, parameters, or intermediate confidence values. Perception-in-the-loop…

2019-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper revisits the Bayesian CMA-ES and provides updates for normal Wishart. It emphasizes the difference between a normal and normal inverse Wishart prior. After some computation, we prove that the only difference relies surprisingly in the expected covariance. We prove that the expected covariance should be lower…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Modern machine learning uses more and more advanced optimization techniques to find optimal hyper parameters. Whenever the objective function is non-convex, non continuous and with potentially multiple local minima, standard gradient descent optimization methods fail. A last resource and very different method is to ass…

2018-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Black-box optimization is primarily important for many compute-intensive applications, including reinforcement learning (RL), robot control, etc. This paper presents a novel theoretical framework for black-box optimization, in which our method performs stochastic update with the implicit natural gradient of an exponent…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs struggle to optimize hyperparameters efficiently, but hybrid methods can improve performance.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters of small language models using LLMs.
method Comparison of classical HPO algorithms and LLM-based methods, introducing Centaur hybrid approach.
result Hybrid Centaur approach achieves best results, outperforming classical and pure LLM methods.

This tutorial introduces the CMA Evolution Strategy (ES), where CMA stands for Covariance Matrix Adaptation. The CMA-ES is a stochastic, or randomized, method for real-parameter (continuous domain) optimization of non-linear, non-convex functions. We try to motivate and derive the algorithm from intuitive concepts and …

2016-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum neural networks improve causal inference in biomedical studies, especially for small samples.

problem Addressing selection bias in comparing surgical techniques using observational data.
method Developed QNN-based propensity score models focusing on four key covariates (Age, Sex, Stage, BMI). Employed a linear ZFeatureMap for data encoding, SummedPaulis for predictions, and CMA-ES for optimization. Integrated noise modeling to enhance predictive stability.
result QNNs, particularly with noise-aware strategies, outperformed classical models in small samples, achieving AUC up to 0.750 for n=100.

New deep learning model optimizes energy use in buildings.

problem Optimizing energy use and comfort in large buildings.
method Transformer-based metamodel trained with simulation and sensor data, calibrated with CMA-ES, optimized with multi-objective algorithms.
result Optimal settings reduce energy loads while maintaining thermal comfort and air quality.

We present an off-policy actor-critic algorithm for Reinforcement Learning (RL) that combines ideas from gradient-free optimization via stochastic search with learned action-value function. The result is a simple procedure consisting of three steps: i) policy evaluation by estimating a parametric action-value function;…

2018-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Information-Geometric Optimization (IGO) is a unified framework of stochastic algorithms for optimization problems. Given a family of probability distributions, IGO turns the original optimization problem into a new maximization problem on the parameter space of the probability distributions. IGO updates the parameter …

2012-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

In statistical modelling the biggest threat is concept drift which makes the model gradually showing deteriorating performance over time. There are state of the art methodologies to detect the impact of concept drift, however general strategy considered to overcome the issue in performance is to rebuild or re-calibrate…

2018-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we revisit the parameter learning problem, namely the estimation of model parameters for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). DBNs are directed graphical models of stochastic processes that encompasses and generalize Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and Linear Dynamical Systems (LDSs). Whenever we apply these mo…

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this study, we perform a novel analysis of the 2015 financial bubble in the Chinese stock market by calibrating the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to two important Chinese stock indices, SSEC and SZSC, from early 2014 to June 2015. The back tests of the 2015 Chinese stock market bubbles indicates t…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved MORE algorithm reduces regret in black-box optimization and RL tasks.

problem Noisy fitness evaluations and poor sample quality in black-box optimization.
method Decouples mean and covariance updates, uses entropy scheduling, and simplifies model learning.
result Significantly reduces regret in black-box optimization and RL tasks.