Enhances robustness in experimental design through Generalised Bayesian inference.
problem Poor inference and estimates of information gain when statistical model is incorrectly specified.
method Generalised Bayesian (Gibbs) inference framework applied to experimental design.
result GBOED enhances robustness to outliers and incorrect assumptions about noise distribution.
Develops methods to estimate gradient of EIG for Bayesian Experimental Design.
problem Optimizing Bayesian inference through efficient experimental design.
method Introduces UEEG-MCMC and BEEG-AP methods for estimating EIG gradient.
result Both methods improve upon existing benchmarks in EIG optimization.
New method improves robustness of Bayesian experimental design.
problem Bayesian experimental design's sensitivity to prior distribution changes.
method Introduces robust expected information gain (REIG) and uses KL-divergence ambiguity sets.
result REIG stabilizes sampling-based EIG estimation and compensates for prior variability.
Estimates expected information gain using density approximations and dimension reduction.
problem Estimating expected information gain in nonlinear and non-Gaussian settings.
method Flexible transport-based schemes for EIG estimation, optimal sample allocation, and gradient-based upper bounds on mutual information.
result Optimal sample allocation and dimension reduction schemes improve EIG estimation accuracy and convergence rate.
New method boosts BOED using SBI and neural likelihood.
problem Maximizing EIG in BOED with intractable likelihood.
method Neural likelihood estimation, multi-start gradient ascent.
result Significantly improved BOED performance over state-of-the-art.
This paper tackles batch Bayesian optimal experimental design by using Wasserstein gradient flows.
problem The challenge of optimising high-dimensional, strongly non-convex expected information gain in batch settings.
method Probabilistic lifting to the space of probability measures, entropic regularisation, Wasserstein gradient flow, and particle-based algorithms.
result The proposed approach can be used directly as a randomised batch-design policy or as a computational relaxation.
New method visualizes noisy data better than existing techniques.
problem Noisy data impairs data visualization methods.
method Functional Information Geometry (FIG) adapts EIG framework using functional data analysis.
result FIG outperforms EIG variant in capturing true structure, robustness, and speed.
Novel neural architecture improves Bayesian experimental design efficiency.
problem Intractable evaluation of expected information gain (EIG) in Bayesian optimal experimental design.
method Develops a neural architecture that optimizes a single variational model for estimating EIG across many designs, using a lower bound for computational efficiency.
result Significantly improves accuracy in Bayesian experimental design with better sample efficiency.
A new method for experimental design focuses on predicting downstream quantities of interest.
problem Designs that maximize parameter learning may not maximize downstream quantity prediction.
method Likelihood-free goal-oriented optimal experimental design (LF-GO-OED) using ABC density ratio estimation.
result LF-GO-OED maximizes the expected information gain for downstream quantities.
In this paper we present a hybrid active sampling strategy for pairwise preference aggregation, which aims at recovering the underlying rating of the test candidates from sparse and noisy pairwise labelling. Our method employs Bayesian optimization framework and Bradley-Terry model to construct the utility function, th…
GO-OED maximizes predictive information gain on nonlinear QoIs.
problem Maximizing information gain on nonlinear predictive quantities.
method Nested Monte Carlo estimator, Markov chain Monte Carlo, kernel density estimation, Bayesian optimization.
result GO-OED outperforms conventional OED in nonlinear settings.
Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a principled framework for making efficient use of limited experimental resources. Unfortunately, its applicability is hampered by the difficulty of obtaining accurate estimates of the expected information gain (EIG) of an experiment. To address this, we introduce several …
PASOA optimizes Bayesian design by improving SMC samplers and EIG.
problem Sequential design optimization for accurate parameter inference.
method Sequential optimization using contrastive estimation, SMC samplers, and tempering.
result PASOA optimizes design and inference with improved consistency.
vOED-NFs uses normalizing flows to improve Bayesian OED without likelihood evaluations.
problem Optimizing experiments to maximize information gain in model parameters.
method vOED-NFs combines variational approximations with normalizing flows for efficient EIG estimation.
result vOED-NFs achieves lower EIG estimation bias compared to previous methods.
New method uses diffusion models to optimize experimental design efficiently.
problem Optimizing experimental design for high-dimensional and complex settings.
method Introduces a pooled posterior distribution and uses diffusion-based samplers for efficient sampling and optimization.
result Extends Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design to practical scenarios.
We introduce a fully stochastic gradient based approach to Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED). Our approach utilizes variational lower bounds on the expected information gain (EIG) of an experiment that can be simultaneously optimized with respect to both the variational and design parameters. This allows the …
New framework improves experimental design using integral probability metrics.
problem Challenges in Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) with KL divergence.
method Integrates integral probability metrics (IPMs) for stability and flexibility.
result IPM-based designs yield more robust and accurate credible sets.
Optimizes seismic monitoring networks using Bayesian OED.
problem Improve seismic event identification and location.
method Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) to configure sensor networks.
result Optimized sensor network improves seismic event identification and location.
GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.
problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.
New BED method handles online inference for partially observed dynamical systems.
problem Optimizing data collection for partially observable, partially online dynamical systems.
method Derived estimators of expected information gain and its gradient for SSMs, using nested particle filters.
result Successfully handles both partial observability and online inference in realistic models.
BED-LLM uses Bayesian experimental design to improve LLMs' information gathering.
problem Improving LLMs' ability to gather information adaptively.
method Iteratively choosing questions to maximize expected information gain using a probabilistic model.
result BED-LLM achieves substantial performance gains compared to other adaptive design strategies.
The Gibbs sampler is one of the most popular algorithms for inference in statistical models. In this paper, we introduce a herding variant of this algorithm, called herded Gibbs, that is entirely deterministic. We prove that herded Gibbs has an O(1/T) convergence rate for models with independent variables and for ful…
Bayesian design improves by reducing policy training cost.
problem Double intractability in expected information gain limits policy learning.
method Score matching to isolate EIG, then train policy singly intractably.
result Reduced computational burden for policy training, allowing multiple iterations.
Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo method that is often used for learning and inference on graphical models. Minibatching, in which a small random subset of the graph is used at each iteration, can help make Gibbs sampling scale to large graphical models by reducing its computational cost. In this paper, we p…
Bayesian calibration for BCP self-assembly models using image data and measure transport.
problem Calibrating models of BCP self-assembly from image data with aleatory uncertainty.
method Likelihood-free inference via measure transport and summary statistics.
result Expected information gains can be computed efficiently for model calibration.
We prove a large deviation principle for a sequence of point processes defined by Gibbs probability measures on a Polish space. This is obtained as a consequence of a more general Laplace principle for the non-normalized Gibbs measures. We consider three main applications: Conditional Gibbs measures on compact spaces, …
We develop a framework for approximating collapsed Gibbs sampling in generative latent variable cluster models. Collapsed Gibbs is a popular MCMC method, which integrates out variables in the posterior to improve mixing. Unfortunately for many complex models, integrating out these variables is either analytically or co…
The pairwise influence matrix of Dobrushin has long been used as an analytical tool to bound the rate of convergence of Gibbs sampling. In this work, we use Dobrushin influence as the basis of a practical tool to certify and efficiently improve the quality of a discrete Gibbs sampler. Our Dobrushin-optimized Gibbs samp…
We review a simple model of closed economy, where the economic agents make money transactions and a saving criterion is present. We observe the Gibbs distribution for zero saving propensity, and non-Gibbs distributions otherwise. While the exact solution in the case of zero saving propensity is already known to be give…
For large scale on-line inference problems the update strategy is critical for performance. We derive an adaptive scan Gibbs sampler that optimizes the update frequency by selecting an optimum mini-batch size. We demonstrate performance of our adaptive batch-size Gibbs sampler by comparing it against the collapsed Gibb…
New Gibbs sampling method improves MCMC efficiency.
problem Improving efficiency of Gibbs sampling.
method Non-uniform random scan with selection probability optimization.
result Non-uniform scan improves mixing time of Markov chain.
We prove a generalization of the fundamental inequality of Guivarc'h relating entropy, drift and critical exponent to Gibbs measures on geometrically finite quotients of CAT(-1) metric spaces. For random walks with finite superexponential moment, we show that the equality is achieved if and only if the Gibbs density is…
Gibbs sampler contracts entropy under strong log-concavity, improving mixing time.
problem Improving the mixing time of Gibbs sampler under strong log-concavity.
method Analyzing Gibbs sampler contraction under strong log-concavity, providing sharp contraction rate.
result Gibbs sampler contracts entropy linearly with condition number and independent of dimension under strong log-concavity.
The notion of Berman-Gibbs stability was originally introduced by Robert Berman for Q-Fano varieties X. We show that the pair (X,−KX) is K-stable (resp. K-semistable) provided that X is Berman-Gibbs stable (resp. semistable).
Souriau studies Gibbs states for symplectic manifolds with group actions.
problem Understanding Gibbs states for symplectic manifolds with symmetries.
method Adaptation of cross product for pseudo-Euclidean spaces, detailed proofs, examples of Gibbs states.
result Presentation of Gibbs states and associated thermodynamic functions for various symplectic manifolds.
New model estimates Gibbs free energies using machine learning and isobaric-isothermal flows.
problem Estimating Gibbs free energies for complex systems.
method Normalizing flows trained to sample isobaric-isothermal ensemble.
result Excellent agreement with established baselines for water phases.
Modified Gibbs-Helmholtz equation geometric models for thermodynamics.
problem Geometric interpretation of Gibbs-Helmholtz equation in thermodynamics.
method Developed new holonomic and non-holonomic geometric models associated to Gibbs-Helmholtz equation.
result Characterized equivalence between Gibbs-Helmholtz entropy and other entropies.
Study on Metropolis-within-Gibbs schemes for high-dimensional Bayesian models.
problem Improving the scalability of MCMC methods for complex Bayesian models.
method Relating convergence properties to conditional conductance for non-conjugate hierarchical models.
result Established dimension-free convergence results for Metropolis-within-Gibbs schemes.
Introduces HMC method for sampling Gibbs densities.
problem Sampling from Gibbs densities efficiently.
method Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method based on Hamiltonian dynamics.
result Idealized HMC preserves the target distribution and converges under certain conditions.
New method improves uncertainty quantification in latent variable models.
problem Uncertainty quantification in latent variable models with SGLD-Gibbs.
method Statistical scaling limit theory for SGLD-Gibbs, proposing hyperparameter tuning.
result Explicit guidance on hyperparameter tuning for SGLD-Gibbs ensures meaningful uncertainty quantification.
DiGS improves sampling from multi-modal distributions.
problem Inadequate mixing in MCMC methods for multi-modal distributions.
method Integrates diffusion models and Gibbs sampling to create an auxiliary noisy distribution.
result DiGS exhibits better mixing for multi-modal distributions than state-of-the-art methods.
The Gibbs sampler is a particularly popular Markov chain used for learning and inference problems in Graphical Models (GMs). These tasks are computationally intractable in general, and the Gibbs sampler often suffers from slow mixing. In this paper, we study the Swendsen-Wang dynamics which is a more sophisticated Mark…
Improved MALA method for neural networks uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks.
method Corrected Stochastic MALA (csMALA) with a simplified correction term.
result Improved surrogate posterior for quantifying uncertainties in neural networks.
This work analyzes Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models without dimensionality constraints.
problem Analyzing convergence properties of Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Using Bayesian asymptotics and total variation mixing times, the study provides dimension-free convergence results.
result Dimension-free convergence results for Gibbs samplers targeting hierarchical models under random data-generating assumptions.
Bayesian inference for Levy density with Gibbs posterior in discrete sampling.
problem Inference on Levy density for financial models with jumps.
method Gibbs posterior framework using a loss function for intractable likelihood.
result Gibbs posterior achieves nearly optimal rate of convergence under certain conditions.
Gibbs sampling is the de facto Markov chain Monte Carlo method used for inference and learning on large scale graphical models. For complicated factor graphs with lots of factors, the performance of Gibbs sampling can be limited by the computational cost of executing a single update step of the Markov chain. This cost …
A new algorithm for sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from high-dimensional multivariate probability densities.
method Combines kernel herding and Gibbs sampling for deterministic sampling.
result Significantly lower computation time compared to kernel herding.
Gibbs sampler mixes quickly for certain smooth distributions.
problem Drawing samples from log-smooth log-concave distributions.
method Analyzes Gibbs sampler on log-smooth and strongly log-concave distributions.
result Gibbs sampler mixes in O⋆(κ2n7.5) steps.