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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2775548301,107 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Geometric effective sample size

New summary measures reveal geometric structure in weighted measures on manifolds.

problem Lack of geometric information in standard weight-only summaries.
method Heat-kernel entropy profiles, tracking nonuniformity across scales.
result Geometric effective sample size discounts nearby or duplicate particles.

Manifold Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have been introduced to sample more effectively from challenging target densities exhibiting multiple modes or strong correlations. Such algorithms exploit the local geometry of the parameter space, thus enabling chains to achieve a faster convergence rate when measured in n…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Delayed rejection HMC improves sampling efficiency for multiscale distributions.

problem Hamiltonian Monte Carlo struggles with wide-ranging distributions, especially in high-curvature areas.
method Introduces a delayed rejection variant of HMC, using geometrically smaller step sizes for retries.
result Up to five-fold performance gains in effective sample size per gradient evaluation.

MSTGD optimizes gradient descent with stratified sampling for faster convergence.

problem Fluctuation in gradient expectation and variance between iterations.
method Memory Stochastic Stratified Gradient Descent (MSTGD) with stratified sampling and variance reduction.
result MSTGD achieves an exponential convergence rate independent of dataset size and batch size.

Study optimizes step size for Metropolis algorithm in non-identifiable cases.

problem Optimizing step size for Metropolis algorithm in non-identifiable models.
method Analytical derivation of average acceptance rate for non-identifiable cases.
result Developed optimization principle for step size based on average acceptance rate.

A new method calculates intrinsic effective sample size for manifold-valued data.

problem Challenges in choosing effective sample size for manifold-valued data.
method Proposes an intrinsic effective sample size based on kernel discrepancy.
result Establishes an exact finite-sample risk interpretation and consistency of the estimator.

This paper explores how effective sample size, dimensionality, and model performance are related in covariate shift adaptation.

problem Understanding the relationship between effective sample size, dimensionality, and generalization in covariate shift adaptation.
method Building a unified theory connecting effective sample size, data dimensionality, and generalization in the context of covariate shift adaptation.
result Dimensionality reduction or feature selection can increase effective sample size, supporting the practice of reducing dimensionality before covariate shift adaptation.

Study shows how to reduce data needed for learning under geometric constraints.

problem Learning high-dimensional data with geometric priors.
method Spherical harmonic decompositions and kernel methods for invariance and geometric stability.
result Improvements in sample complexity by leveraging group invariance, with asymptotic behavior depending on spectral properties.

Privacy affects how much data is needed for CVaR optimization.

problem Privacy constraints impact the effective sample size for CVaR optimization.
method Analyzes the privacy-relevant sample size and decomposes CVaR excess risk.
result The effective private tail sample size is εnτ, affecting CVaR learning rates.

A new method reduces complexity of normalizing flows for MCMC preconditioning.

problem Improving sampling efficiency in MCMC algorithms for complex target distributions.
method Factorized preconditioning architecture combining a linear component and a conditional NF.
result Significantly better tail samples and higher effective sample sizes on various distributions.

New convergence results for NGVI with various step sizes and sample sizes.

problem Understanding convergence of stochastic NGVI for various schedules.
method Projected stochastic NGVI for exponential family variational distributions.
result Geometric convergence and $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{1}{T^ρ} ight)$ rates for different schedules.

MRI image quality affects statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.

problem Impact of MRI image quality on statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
method Systematic testing of image quality on univariate statistics and machine learning classification using three large datasets.
result Low-quality MRI data significantly affects detecting significant sex/gender differences in smaller samples, but not in larger ones.

New confidence intervals improve treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments.

problem Improving confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments.
method Systematic exploitation of negative dependence or variance adaptivity.
result Achieved nonasymptotic confidence intervals with the same effective sample size as asymptotic ones.

Study shows more data improves model explanations, aiding reliable knowledge extraction.

problem Challenges in deriving reliable knowledge from machine learning models due to the Rashōmon effect.
method Examined the influence of sample size on explanations from models in a Rashōmon set using SHAP.
result Explanations from <128 samples are highly variable, but agreement improves with more data.

SRCA reduces high-dimensional data to lower dimensions while preserving geometric structures.

problem High-dimensional datasets with underlying geometric structures.
method Spherical Rotation Component Analysis (SRCA) incorporating geometric loss functions.
result SRCA provides a low-rank spherical representation of data with general theoretic guarantees.

For sampling from a log-concave density, we study implicit integrators resulting from θθ-method discretization of the overdamped Langevin diffusion stochastic differential equation. Theoretical and algorithmic properties of the resulting sampling methods for θ[0,1] θ\in [0,1] and a range of step sizes are established. Ou…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The study reveals a transition in neural network performance from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior as dataset size increases.

problem Understanding the transition from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior in neural networks.
method Empirical study of the transition from infinite-width to variance-limited behavior as a function of sample size and network width.
result The critical sample size \( P^* \) is approximately \( \sqrt{N} \) for polynomial regression with ReLU networks.

SVM used for estimating treatment effects without confounding.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in the presence of confounding variables.
method Adapts SVM classifier as a kernel-based weighting procedure to balance covariates and estimate causal effects.
result SVM provides a continuous relaxation of the quadratic integer program for balancing covariates and maximizing effective sample size.

Proposes SVI for covariate-shift generalization with sparse variable independence.

problem Covariate-shift generalization with limited data and unstable variables.
method Introduces sparsity constraint and combines reweighting and selection in an iterative way.
result Improves covariate-shift generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

State-of-the-art implementations of boosting, such as XGBoost and LightGBM, can process large training sets extremely fast. However, this performance requires that the memory size is sufficient to hold a 2-3 multiple of the training set size. This paper presents an alternative approach to implementing the boosted trees…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes improved classification via transfer learning with regularized linear discriminant analysis.

problem High dimensionality and small sample sizes lead to poor classification performance.
method Regularized random-effects linear discriminant analysis, combining ridge estimates from target and source models.
result Explicit derivation of asymptotic weights and classification error rates in high-dimensional settings.

Paper analyzes FTPL's effectiveness in combinatorial semi-bandit problems.

problem Optimizing FTPL policy in combinatorial semi-bandit problems.
method Geometric resampling (GR) and conditional geometric resampling (CGR) for FTPL in semi-bandit setting.
result FTPL achieves optimal regret bounds in both Fréchet and Pareto distributions.

Test partial effects in Frechet regression on Bures-Wasserstein manifolds.

problem Assessing partial effects in Frechet regression on complex manifolds.
method Sample splitting strategy to estimate covariance matrices and test statistic convergence.
result The test statistic converges to a weighted mixture of chi squared components.

High-dimensional models become unstable when sample size falls below a critical level, leading to a phase transition.

problem Instability in high-dimensional learning models when sample size is insufficient.
method Proved the necessity of a Fisher eigenvalue threshold for stability, introduced Fisher floor for verification.
result A sharp phase transition between reliable concentration and inevitable failure in high-dimensional learning.

DKN adapts to medical imaging data with limited samples and interpretable models.

problem Medical imaging data's unique nature makes general methods like CNN unsuitable.
method DKN uses a Kronecker product structure to adapt to low sample size and provide interpretable models.
result DKN achieves prediction power comparable to CNN and provides model interpretability.

Information geometry provides a geometric approach to families of statistical models. The key geometric structures are the Fisher quadratic form and the Amari-Chentsov tensor. In statistics, the notion of sufficient statistic expresses the criterion for passing from one model to another without loss of information. Thi…

2012-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning capacity measures model complexity, correlating with test loss and sample size.

problem Understanding model complexity and its relation to test performance.
method Formal correspondence between thermodynamics and inference; learning capacity as a measure of effective dimensionality.
result Learning capacity correlates with test loss and is a small fraction of model parameters.

Wide Bayesian neural networks have a simpler weight posterior, leading to faster MCMC sampling.

problem Sampling from the posterior of wide Bayesian neural networks is challenging.
method Introducing repriorisation, a data-dependent reparameterisation that simplifies the posterior distribution.
result The repriorisation map accelerates MCMC sampling, achieving up to 50x higher effective sample size.

SLdisco uses supervised learning to discover causal models from observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with limited samples and sparse models.
method Supervised machine learning to map observational data to causal equivalence classes.
result SLdisco is more conservative, less sensitive to sample size, and provides better model inference.

MDCN improves treatment effect estimation in multicenter observational studies.

problem Incongruities in multicenter observational studies due to center-specific protocols and treatment reactions.
method MDCN learns a new feature embedding to address selection bias and strengthen information sharing between similar centers.
result MDCN provides more accurate treatment insights for new, unobserved centers compared to existing methods.

Recent hardware developments have dramatically increased the scale of data parallelism available for neural network training. Among the simplest ways to harness next-generation hardware is to increase the batch size in standard mini-batch neural network training algorithms. In this work, we aim to experimentally charac…

2018-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗