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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,922 papers · 148 categories

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4539061,3581,811 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Generative aggregation model

Paper analyzes sparse aggregation in GLMs with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.

problem Sparse aggregation in GLMs for parameter approximation.
method Exponential weighted aggregation scheme with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
result Sharp oracle inequality for Kullback-Leibler risk with leading constant 1 and minimax-optimal rate of aggregation.

SACP aggregates nonconformity scores from multiple predictors to create more efficient uncertainty sets.

problem Combining predictive uncertainties from multiple models for efficient and reliable uncertainty quantification.
method SACP (Symmetric Aggregated Conformal Prediction) aggregates nonconformity scores using a flexible symmetric aggregation function.
result SACP consistently improves efficiency and often outperforms state-of-the-art model aggregation baselines.

Aggregates models from different datasets using shared latent structures.

problem Aggregating models from heterogeneous datasets with shared latent structures.
method Bayesian nonparametrics for identifying correspondences among local model parameterizations.
result Framework successfully aggregates various model types across different applications.

Early-stopped aggregation improves computational efficiency in adaptive statistical inference.

problem Computational inefficiency in model selection and aggregation for adaptive inference.
method Early-stopped aggregation (ESA) framework: compute only a few simpler models using early-stopping criteria.
result ESA achieves optimal adaptive contraction rates in variational Bayes and frequentist settings.

Partial fusion combines neural networks to balance accuracy and efficiency.

problem Balancing accuracy and computational cost in neural networks.
method Extending weight aggregation methods based on neuron-level similarity, using partial optimal transport to match similar neurons.
result Achieves a flexible tradeoff between computational cost and performance.

SCHA-VAE generates novel data from limited examples using hierarchical context aggregation.

problem Generating data from a novel distribution with limited examples.
method Hierarchical context aggregation with attention-based point to set-level aggregation.
result Hierarchical approach better captures intrinsic variability in small data.

Productivity and credit limits affect aggregate production in non-monotonic ways.

problem Understanding how aggregate production is influenced by individual characteristics and financial constraints.
method Analytical proof of non-monotonic effects of productivity and credit limits on aggregate production in a general equilibrium model.
result Equilibrium aggregate production can be non-monotonic in both individual productivity and credit limit.

This paper solves aggregation of Pareto optimal models by using Bayesian priors and weighted averaging.

problem How to rationally aggregate Pareto optimal models while preserving Pareto efficiency.
method Four logical steps: 1) Bayesian models, 2) Prior as preference ranking, 3) Consistent aggregation, 4) Weighted average of priors.
result All rational/consistent aggregation rules follow a generalized hierarchical Bayesian model.

Paper uses a new copula to model risk aggregation and capital allocation.

problem Modeling dependence between risks for risk aggregation and capital allocation.
method Uses a generalized Archimedean copula (mixed Bernstein copula) to define dependence structure and derives closed-form risk measures.
result Closed-form expressions for tail value-at-risk and allocations are derived.

In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating prior knowledge about the event being forecasted and about salient properties o…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a finite family of functions, the goal of model selection aggregation is to construct a procedure that mimics the function from this family that is the closest to an unknown regression function. More precisely, we consider a general regression model with fixed design and measure the distance between functions by …

2012-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends on the data analysts' knowledge and is largely ad hoc. In this paper, we propos…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Turbo-Aggregate reduces secure aggregation time from quadratic to nearly linear.

problem Quadratic overhead in secure model aggregation for federated learning.
method Multi-group circular strategy, additive secret sharing, and coding techniques.
result Achieves O(NlogN)O(N\log{N}) overhead, compared to O(N2)O(N^2), for up to 50% user dropout.

The paper examines risk aggregation under mixtures of marginals, finding that more homogeneous distributions lead to larger uncertainty.

problem Investigating the impact of mixing on risk aggregation uncertainty.
method Analyzes ordering relations and inequalities for aggregation sets under distribution and quantile mixtures.
result More homogeneous marginals result in larger aggregation sets, indicating greater model uncertainty.

Databases in domains such as healthcare are routinely released to the public in aggregated form. Unfortunately, naive modeling with aggregated data may significantly diminish the accuracy of inferences at the individual level. This paper addresses the scenario where features are provided at the individual level, but th…

2016-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved defense against data poisoning attacks by aggregating smaller subsets.

problem Mitigating the impact of poisoned data on model robustness.
method Finite Aggregation method that combines duplicates of smaller disjoint subsets for training.
result Consistent improvement in certified robustness bounds, up to 4.77% on GTSRB.

Improved local explainer aggregation for interpretable machine learning models.

problem Improving the interpretability of black box machine learning models.
method Non-convex optimization and integer optimization framework for local explainer aggregation.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in terms of coverage and fidelity, particularly in multi-class settings.

U-aggregation combines multiple models without labels for better risk prediction.

problem Challenges in selecting best model for new populations due to limited data and lack of true labels.
method U-aggregation, an unsupervised model aggregation method that integrates pre-trained models without observed labels.
result U-aggregation improves genetic risk prediction of complex traits using publicly available models.

Estimates variance function using aggregation methods in regression models.

problem Estimating variance function in regression models.
method Two-step procedure involving model selection or convex aggregation, using two independent samples.
result Consistency of the proposed method in L2 error for MS and C aggregations.

The paper develops a method for forecasting power consumption at various levels of aggregation.

problem Forecasting power consumption at different levels of household aggregation.
method Three-step process: feature generation, aggregation, and projection.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on prediction error and performs well on real data.

MEVA aggregates model predictions to improve accuracy without needing model details.

problem Improving model accuracy by combining multiple models.
method Non-intrusive, data-driven framework that treats models as black boxes and optimizes aggregation methods.
result MVA outperforms MEA in estimating aggregated predictions, enhancing robustness and accuracy.

While a typical supervised learning framework assumes that the inputs and the outputs are measured at the same levels of granularity, many applications, including global mapping of disease, only have access to outputs at a much coarser level than that of the inputs. Aggregation of outputs makes generalization to new in…

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm for aggregate inference in HMMs with continuous observations.

problem Inference in large populations with indistinguishable individuals and continuous measurements.
method Continuous observation collective forward-backward algorithm extending existing discrete case algorithm.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical experiments.

New algorithm for collective Gaussian hidden Markov models inference.

problem Inference of collective Gaussian hidden Markov models from aggregate data.
method Collective Gaussian forward-backward algorithm, extending Sinkhorn belief propagation.
result Convergence guarantee and applicability to single individual Kalman filter.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

BOA improves financial forecasting by combining expert models.

problem Challenges in choosing between multiple machine learning models for financial forecasting.
method Online aggregation of expert models using Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA) procedure.
result BOA leads to better portfolio performance, higher Sharpe Ratio, and lower shortfall.

Aggregation challenges causal interpretation of IV estimators.

problem Aggregation of fine-grained components into an aggregate treatment variable.
method Characterization of conditions for identifying aggregate causal effects.
result Standard IV estimators cannot identify aggregate causal effects due to ambiguous dependencies.

The paper proposes criteria and methods for evaluating and aggregating feature-based model explanations.

problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for feature-based model explanations.
method Developed quantitative evaluation criteria (low sensitivity, high faithfulness, low complexity), devised a framework for aggregation, and derived a new aggregate Shapley value explanation function.
result A new aggregate Shapley value explanation function that minimizes sensitivity.

FRESH combines patient-level and aggregate-level data for better clinical decision making.

problem Combining patient-level and aggregate-level data for clinical decision making.
method FRESH method that re-calibrates a patient-level model to match specified aggregate statistics.
result Unified data-efficient model for clinical decision making.

A robust aggregation method improves federated learning's accuracy in corrupted settings.

problem Making federated learning robust to corrupted updates from devices.
method Robust aggregation oracle based on geometric median for constant iterations of non-robust averaging.
result The robust aggregation oracle outperforms classical methods in high corruption levels.

Model infers functions for attributes using multi-aggregate datasets with knowledge transfer.

problem Modeling aggregate data with varying granularities and spatial supports.
method Multi-output Gaussian process (MoGP) with linear mixing of independent latent GPs, aggregation process, and prior distribution of mixing weights.
result Proposed model outperforms in refining coarse-grained aggregate data.

The paper evaluates various forecasting methods for inflation, finding ML models superior.

problem Forecasting inflation using disaggregated data and machine learning.
method Examines traditional and machine learning models, including random forest, for disaggregated and aggregated inflation forecasts.
result Aggregating disaggregated forecasts performs similarly to survey-based expectations and aggregate models.

G-PATE generates private data with high utility using teacher-discriminator aggregation.

problem Privacy concerns in large-scale data sharing for machine learning.
method Generative adversarial nets combined with private gradient aggregation among discriminators.
result Significantly improves privacy budget efficiency and data utility.

Proposes a novel MTL approach based on bias-variance analysis.

problem Improving multi-task learning performance through shared knowledge.
method Two-phase iterative aggregation of targets and features using bias-variance analysis.
result Validation on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method.

More frequent model updates in FL increase generalization error.

problem Negative impact of frequent communication on FL model generalization.
method Analyzed the effect of the number of rounds of model aggregation on generalization error.
result Generalization error increases with more frequent model updates.