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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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491317 · Oct 202419922001200920172026
48 results for Kullback-Leibler

Study shows the corrected Akaike criterion is inadmissible for estimating Kullback-Leibler discrepancy.

problem Inadmissibility of the corrected Akaike information criterion for estimating Kullback-Leibler discrepancy.
method Loss estimation framework to demonstrate inadmissibility and provide improved estimators.
result Improved estimators of Kullback-Leibler discrepancy are provided and perform well in reduced-rank situations.

New dispersion indices based on inaccuracy and divergence introduced for information measures.

problem Measuring variability in uncertainty measures.
method Introducing new dispersion indices based on Kerridge inaccuracy and Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Properties, bounds, and examples of new dispersion indices presented.

Rényi divergence is related to Rényi entropy much like Kullback-Leibler divergence is related to Shannon's entropy, and comes up in many settings. It was introduced by Rényi as a measure of information that satisfies almost the same axioms as Kullback-Leibler divergence, and depends on a parameter that is called its or…

2012-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method optimizes a generalized Kullback-Leibler divergence for better simulation-based inference.

problem Optimizing likelihood functions when they are only known implicitly.
method Optimizes a generalized Kullback-Leibler divergence that accounts for normalization constants in unnormalized distributions.
result Unified approach that combines Neural Posterior Estimation and Neural Ratio Estimation.

Paper studies regularized KKL divergence for distributions with disjoint supports.

problem Inability of original KKL divergence to handle distributions with disjoint supports.
method Proposes a regularized variant of KKL divergence, derives bounds, and provides closed-form expression.
result Regularized KKL divergence is well-defined for all distributions and has finite-sample bounds.

Paper analyzes sparse aggregation in GLMs with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.

problem Sparse aggregation in GLMs for parameter approximation.
method Exponential weighted aggregation scheme with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
result Sharp oracle inequality for Kullback-Leibler risk with leading constant 1 and minimax-optimal rate of aggregation.

Proposes a guaranteed regularization method for maximum likelihood estimation using gauge symmetry in Kullback-Leibler divergence.

problem Overfitting in maximum likelihood estimation.
method Introduces a regularization approach based on gauge symmetry in Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result The method provides a theoretically guaranteed optimal model without frequent hyperparameter tuning.

A new method for efficient Gaussian process inference using sparse approximations.

problem Scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes.
method Variational approximation with sparse inverse Cholesky factors and double Kullback-Leibler minimization.
result The proposed method can achieve highly accurate approximations with polylogarithmic time complexity.

The paper proposes a new method to approximate Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao flows using Monte Carlo techniques.

problem Sampling from probability distributions and minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence.
method Sequential Monte Carlo approximations of Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao gradient flows.
result The proposed method outperforms other Monte Carlo algorithms in certain conditions.

Study compares statistical properties and power of divergence measures for credit risk monitoring.

problem Detecting distributional shifts in credit risk models.
method Derives statistical properties and chi-square benchmark values for Jensen-Shannon Divergence and Kullback-Leibler Divergence, demonstrating their applicability in credit risk monitoring.
result Jensen-Shannon Divergence and Kullback-Leibler Divergence follow chi-square distributions and reveal practical trade-offs in minimizing false positives vs. detecting changes.

This paper improves active learning by using robust divergences for committee disagreement.

problem Active learning with high measurement costs.
method Query by committee with Bregman divergence (including Kullback-Leibler divergence as a special case).
result The proposed method is more robust and performs as well as or better than conventional methods.

Machine learning classification limits estimated using Kullback-Leibler divergence and Cohen's Kappa.

problem Estimating the best possible performance of machine learning classification algorithms.
method Relating Kullback-Leibler divergence to Cohen's Kappa and using the Chernoff-Stein Lemma to estimate error rates.
result Classification algorithms could not have performed any better due to underlying probability density functions for the two classes.

The paper optimizes distribution estimation with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence.

problem Estimating discrete distributions with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence.
method Uses online learning techniques for novel estimator construction via online-to-batch conversion.
result Optimal rate of estimation is pinned down up to a doubly logarithmic factor of K.

Entropy measure quantifies volatility correlation and risk diversity in asset portfolios.

problem Quantifying volatility correlation and risk diversity in asset portfolios.
method Kullback-Leibler cluster entropy DC[PQ]\mathcal{D_{C}}[P \| Q] for empirical and model probability distributions of realized volatility.
result Portfolio built on diversity indexes derived from Kullback-Leibler entropy measure of realized volatility exhibits better performance.

New ONMF model minimizes KL divergence for better sparse data modeling.

problem Clustering and data modeling with sparse vectors.
method Developed KL-ONMF algorithm based on alternating optimization.
result KL-ONMF outperforms Frobenius-norm ONMF for document classification and hyperspectral image unmixing.

This paper provides efficient algorithms for computing entropy and KL divergence in Bayesian networks.

problem Computing entropy and KL divergence for Bayesian networks efficiently.
method Leveraging the graphical structure of Bayesian networks, the paper provides computationally efficient algorithms.
result Reduces computational complexity of KL divergence from cubic to quadratic for Gaussian BNs.

Study measures irreversibility in crypto trends using Kullback-Leibler divergence.

problem Assessing irreversibility in cryptocurrency trends.
method Defined irreversibility index using Kullback-Leibler divergence between uptrend and downtrend distributions.
result Strong irreversibility in all analyzed cryptocurrencies, with trends evolving over time.

We propose a robust estimator to improve maximum likelihood in probabilistic models.

problem Overfitting and sensitivity to noise in maximum likelihood estimation.
method Distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimator that minimizes worst-case expected log-loss.
result The robust estimator is statistically consistent and performs well in regression and classification tasks.

The paper develops inequalities for log-concave functions and related surface areas.

problem Understanding log-concave functions and their inequalities.
method Establishing new inequalities through f-divergences and functional affine surface areas.
result New inequalities on functional affine surface area and bounds for Kullback-Leibler divergence.

Model financial markets using information theory with a single parameter.

problem Capture the complexity of financial markets with a simple model.
method Derive an idealized model based on four information-theoretic assumptions, minimizing surprisal and divergence.
result The model uses squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for state variables and their sums.

The Wasserstein probability metric has received much attention from the machine learning community. Unlike the Kullback-Leibler divergence, which strictly measures change in probability, the Wasserstein metric reflects the underlying geometry between outcomes. The value of being sensitive to this geometry has been demo…

2017-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The Kelly Criterion is applied to prediction markets to analyze risk and return.

problem Mean beliefs in prediction markets often differ from actual prices.
method Logarithmic utility and Kullback-Leibler divergence are used to study risk and return adjustments.
result Misjudgment of bias and investment fraction affect portfolio growth rate.

A new method combines VI and IS to improve Bayesian inference accuracy.

problem Bayesian inference often underestimates posterior tails, leading to miscalibration and degeneracy.
method Proposes a novel combination of optimization and sampling techniques using the forward KL divergence.
result The method guarantees asymptotic consistency and fast convergence to optimal IS and variational approximations.

A new method for Gaussian filtering using gradient flows and Wasserstein metrics.

problem Approximating Gaussian and mixture-of-Gaussians filtering for complex systems.
method Variational approximation via gradient-flow representation on Wasserstein metric space.
result Competitive performance in posterior representation and parameter estimation for systems with multiplicative noise and multi-modal distributions.

CAKD framework optimizes knowledge transfer by focusing on influential components of distillation.

problem Balancing and optimizing knowledge transfer in distillation models.
method Decouple KL divergence into BCD, SCD, and WCD; prioritize influential components.
result CAKD framework consistently outperforms baseline across diverse models and datasets.

New method for factor analysis using nuclear and 0\ell_0 norms.

problem Finding a low-rank plus sparse decomposition from noisy covariance matrix.
method Formulated an optimization problem with nuclear norm, 0\ell_0 norm, and KL divergence. Used alternating minimization algorithm.
result Algorithm effectively decomposes covariance matrices in synthetic and real datasets.

Proposes a new learning method for RBMs that combines strengths of forward and reverse KLD.

problem Underfitting and mode-collapse issues in RBM learning.
method Ratio divergence learning using target energy.
result Significantly outperforms other learning methods in energy function fitting, mode-covering, and stability.

Due to the success of the bag-of-word modeling paradigm, clustering histograms has become an important ingredient of modern information processing. Clustering histograms can be performed using the celebrated kk-means centroid-based algorithm. From the viewpoint of applications, it is usually required to deal with symm…

2013-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves variational inference on Boolean hypercube using quantum methods.

problem Improving variational inference for pairwise Markov random fields on the Boolean hypercube.
method Quantum relaxations of the Kullback-Leibler divergence for upper-bounds, primal-dual optimization, and greedy selection of hierarchies.
result Efficient algorithm and improved bounds for variational inference.

The paper addresses instability in KL divergence estimation using a neural network discriminator.

problem Unstable estimation of KL divergence due to discriminator complexity.
method Using a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) to control discriminator complexity.
result Theoretical bound on error probability of KL estimates based on discriminator complexity in RKHS.

Method uses normalizing flows to efficiently sample from complex target densities.

problem Sampling from complex target densities with zero values in regions of transformation.
method Normalizing flows to address exploding reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Demonstrated efficient sampling from multi-mode complex density function.

Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.

problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.

Improved Monte-Carlo models by constraining mutual information between latent and observable variables.

problem Training density models leads to latent variables being useless.
method Weave tighter Monte-Carlo bounds with mutual information constraints.
result Improved training of models with continuous and discrete latent variables.