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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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0111 · Feb 201119922001200920172026
11 results for inadmissibility

Study shows the corrected Akaike criterion is inadmissible for estimating Kullback-Leibler discrepancy.

problem Inadmissibility of the corrected Akaike information criterion for estimating Kullback-Leibler discrepancy.
method Loss estimation framework to demonstrate inadmissibility and provide improved estimators.
result Improved estimators of Kullback-Leibler discrepancy are provided and perform well in reduced-rank situations.

Double Machine Learning estimators are asymptotically inadmissible under structure-agnostic models.

problem Minimax estimators may be inadmissible under structure-agnostic models.
method Exhibit second-order (U-statistic) estimators that asymptotically dominate DML estimators.
result Double Machine Learning estimators are asymptotically inadmissible under structure-agnostic models.

We study the effect of surgery on transverse knots in contact 3-manifolds. In particular, we investigate the effect of such surgery on open books, the Heegaard Floer contact invariant, and tightness. The overarching theme of this paper is to show that in many contexts, surgery on transverse knots is more natural than s…

2014-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a utility-maximization problem in a general semimartingale financial model, subject to constraints on the number of shares held in each risky asset. These constraints are modeled by predictable convex-set-valued processes whose values do not necessarily contain the origin; that is, it may be inadmissible fo…

2011-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Stacked regressions improve predictive accuracy by combining estimators.

problem Improve predictive accuracy in regression models.
method Analogous to least-squares, learn combination weights by minimizing regularized empirical risk with nonnegativity constraint.
result The stacked estimator has strictly smaller population risk than the best single estimator, especially when signal-to-noise ratio is small.

A method for rank verification in multivariate Gaussian data, improving on existing approaches.

problem Determining the top KK means in multivariate Gaussian data with any covariance structure.
method Selective inference tools to generalize the two-sided difference-of-means test for any KK and covariance structure.
result The method provides a generalization for rank verification in multivariate Gaussian data with any covariance structure.

Paper proposes ExsdHawkes to model LOBs, capturing volatility dynamics.

problem Modeling volatility signature plots in LOBs with high-frequency trading dynamics.
method Extended State-Dependent Hawkes Process (ExsdHawkes) with relaxed constraints.
result ExsdHawkes uniquely reproduces volatility signature plots, identifying MLOs as catalysts.

New method uses quotient predictor space for better PAC-Bayes bounds, reducing KL divergence and improving model performance.

problem Overparameterized models with continuous symmetries can lead to biased predictions.
method Perform PAC-Bayesian analysis on quotient predictor space, constructing a canonical prior that reflects model's implicit bias.
result The new prior reduces KL divergence and improves model performance in experiments.

This paper analyzes uncertainty in DFN simulations using sensitivity analysis.

problem Uncertainty in estimating QoI due to epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties in DFN simulations.
method Sensitivity analysis to attribute uncertainty to input parameters and aleatoric uncertainty.
result Characterizes uncertainty in DFN flow simulations with heteroskedastic aleatoric uncertainty.