A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper analyzes performance criteria for competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
New method for dynamic valuation in markets with random endowments.
We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of forward performance criteria with the time-inconsistency stemming from probabili…
In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a number of properties are proved and discussed. Special attention is given to the c…
We present turnpike-type results for the risk tolerance function in an incomplete market setting under time-monotone forward performance criteria. We show that, contrary to the classical case, the temporal and spatial limits do not coincide. We also show that they depend directly on the left- and right-end of the suppo…
We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and investment horizon specification. It describes the evolution of time-consistent ambiguity…
The paper solves investment problems with uncertain factors using game theory.
We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. The dynamics of the prices of the traded assets depend on a pair of stochastic factors, namely, a slow factor (e.g. a macroeconomic indicator) and a fast factor (e.g. stochastic volatility). We …
We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. Given multiple traded assets, the prices of which depend on multiple observable stochastic factors, we construct a large class of forward performance processes with power-utility initial data, a…
Study optimal portfolios for many players in a market model with random coefficients.
Sequence discriminative training criteria have long been a standard tool in automatic speech recognition for improving the performance of acoustic models over their maximum likelihood / cross entropy trained counterparts. While previously a lattice approximation of the search space has been necessary to reduce computat…
Recent work on fairness in machine learning has focused on various statistical discrimination criteria and how they trade off. Most of these criteria are observational: They depend only on the joint distribution of predictor, protected attribute, features, and outcome. While convenient to work with, observational crite…
The linearizability of differential equations was first considered by Lie for scalar second order semi-linear ordinary differential equations. Since then there has been considerable work done on the algebraic classification of linearizable equations and even on systems of equations. However, little has been done in the…
In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process, reflecting an investor's dynamic preference. We show that the market risk premium …
The paper examines domain generalization algorithms and finds empirical risk minimization performs well.
We consider the nonlinear Kalman filtering problem using Kullback-Leibler (KL) and -divergence measures as optimization criteria. Unlike linear Kalman filters, nonlinear Kalman filters do not have closed form Gaussian posteriors because of a lack of conjugacy due to the nonlinearity in the likelihood. In this paper …
Inference-aware meta-alignment of LLMs reduces computational cost.
Develops a new class of forward performance processes for investment pools.
With the wealth of information produced by social networks, smartphones, medical or financial applications, speculations have been raised about the sensitivity of such data in terms of users' personal privacy and data security. To address the above issues, Federated Learning (FL) has been recently proposed as a means t…
New algorithms minimize risk in MNL bandits, achieving near-optimal performance.
Hour-Aware Adaptive Risk Management for Autonomous Memecoin Trading
Extends ML fairness to handle minority groups over time.
Partial (replication) index tracking is a popular passive investment strategy. It aims to replicate the performance of a given index by constructing a tracking portfolio which contains some constituents of the index. The tracking error optimisation is quadratic and NP-hard when taking the L0 constraint into account so …
GT-Score reduces overfitting in trading strategies by integrating multiple criteria.
This paper optimizes stock portfolios considering ESG criteria using Bayesian optimization.
The study examines Nash equilibria in utility maximization games with multiplicative performance criteria.
Multi-criteria recommender systems have been increasingly valuable for helping consumers identify the most relevant items based on different dimensions of user experiences. However, previously proposed multi-criteria models did not take into account latent embeddings generated from user reviews, which capture latent se…
The study compares different neural network architectures for option pricing accuracy and training time.
Paper proposes an alternative method to price American options using HJM approach.
Study of portfolio management under relative performance concerns using mean field games.
Selective regression allows abstention to improve fairness criteria.
This work explores alternative learning criteria beyond traditional risk.
Semi-supervised node classification in graphs is a fundamental problem in graph mining, and the recently proposed graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved unparalleled results on this task. Due to their massive success, GNNs have attracted a lot of attention, and many novel architectures have been put forward. In thi…
When sufficient labeled data are available, classical criteria based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) or Precision-Recall (PR) curves can be used to compare the performance of un-supervised anomaly detection algorithms. However , in many situations, few or no data are labeled. This calls for alternative crite…
Study finds no statistically significant trading edge in MNQ futures signals from OHLCV data.
Stress, edge crossings, and crossing angles play an important role in the quality and readability of graph drawings. Most standard graph drawing algorithms optimize one of these criteria which may lead to layouts that are deficient in other criteria. We introduce an optimization framework, Stress-Plus-X (SPX), that sim…
Efficiency criteria improve conformal predictors' performance.
In this paper we extend temporal difference policy evaluation algorithms to performance criteria that include the variance of the cumulative reward. Such criteria are useful for risk management, and are important in domains such as finance and process control. We propose both TD(0) and LSTD(lambda) variants with linear…
Latent DiTs improve data distribution recovery and inference efficiency under low-dimensional latent space.
The sBIC outperforms other model selection criteria in LDA topic modeling.
Forward-prediction models enhance physical reasoning, but only for specific tasks.
Reverse annealing boosts quantum matrix factorization performance.
Fairness in machine learning has predominantly been studied in static classification settings without concern for how decisions change the underlying population over time. Conventional wisdom suggests that fairness criteria promote the long-term well-being of those groups they aim to protect. We study how static fairne…
Paper presents IMRCs for evolving tasks with forward and backward learning.
Even when confronted with the same data, agents often disagree on a model of the real-world. Here, we address the question of how interacting heterogenous agents, who disagree on what model the real-world follows, optimize their trading actions. The market has latent factors that drive prices, and agents account for th…
Highly accurate interval forecasting of a stock price index is fundamental to successfully making a profit when making investment decisions, by providing a range of values rather than a point estimate. In this study, we investigate the possibility of forecasting an interval-valued stock price index series over short an…
We propose and investigate two model classes for forward power price dynamics, based on continuous branching processes with immigration, and on Hawkes processes with exponential kernel, respectively. The models proposed exhibit jumps clustering features. Models of this kind have been already proposed for the spot price…
A new method for multi-criteria recommender systems using graph attention networks.