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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Oct 202119922001200920172026
25 results for zero-variance

This work proposes using zero-variance control variates to reduce variance in pathwise gradient estimators for variational inference.

problem Pathwise gradient estimators in variational inference have high variance, leading to inefficient optimization.
method Apply zero-variance control variates to pathwise gradient estimators.
result Zero-variance control variates can significantly reduce the variance of pathwise gradient estimators without requiring complex assumptions.

Develops a method for non-equilibrium importance sampling to estimate expectations and constants.

problem Estimating expectations and normalization constants for complex high-dimensional distributions.
method Generates samples from a base distribution, transports them using a velocity field, and averages along flowlines.
result The method can achieve zero-variance estimation and significantly reduces variance compared to vanilla estimators.

It is well known that Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods scale poorly with dataset size. A popular class of methods for solving this issue is stochastic gradient MCMC. These methods use a noisy estimate of the gradient of the log posterior, which reduces the per iteration computational cost of the algorithm. Despi…

2017-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

HDT improves MCMC on graphs with history-dependent sampling.

problem Efficient sampling from target distributions on general graphs with low computational overhead.
method History-driven target (HDT) framework that replaces the original target distribution with a history-dependent one.
result Near-zero variance performance and scalability to large graphs with memory-efficient implementation.

We develop a scalable method for Bayesian neural networks with stochastic differential equations.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Gradient-based stochastic variational inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks.
result Gradient estimator with zero variance as the approximation improves.

In this note we answer a question of G. Lecué, by showing that column normalization of a random matrix with iid entries need not lead to good sparse recovery properties, even if the generating random variable has a reasonable moment growth. Specifically, for every 2pc1logd2 \leq p \leq c_1\log d we construct a random vector …

2017-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, several methods have been proposed for the discovery of causal structure from non-experimental data (Spirtes et al. 2000; Pearl 2000). Such methods make various assumptions on the data generating process to facilitate its identification from purely observational data. Continuing this line of research, …

2012-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.

problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.

In this paper we consider online mirror descent (OMD) algorithms, a class of scalable online learning algorithms exploiting data geometric structures through mirror maps. Necessary and sufficient conditions are presented in terms of the step size sequence {ηt}t\{η_t\}_{t} for the convergence of an OMD algorithm with respe…

2018-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This study optimizes model averaging for personalized collaborative learning.

problem Differences in data or objectives between nodes in federated learning.
method Weighted averaging between local and global models for scalar mean estimation.
result There is always some positive model averaging that reduces expected squared error.

We show that kk-means (Lloyd's algorithm) is obtained as a special case when truncated variational EM approximations are applied to Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) with isotropic Gaussians. In contrast to the standard way to relate kk-means and GMMs, the provided derivation shows that it is not required to consider Gau…

2017-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a general yet simple theorem describing the convergence of SGD under the arbitrary sampling paradigm. Our theorem describes the convergence of an infinite array of variants of SGD, each of which is associated with a specific probability law governing the data selection rule used to form mini-batches. This is…

2019-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves distribution recovery from sparse data using Random Forest implicit regularization.

problem Distribution recovery from limited statistics.
method Closed-form estimator for scaled beta distributions, using composite quantile and moment matching.
result Improved classification accuracy through closed-form distribution recovery and implicit regularization.

Extends linear structural causal models to include deterministic relations and latent confounders for causal discovery.

problem Causal discovery in linear SCMs with deterministic relations and latent confounders.
method Extended existing results to include deterministic relations and latent confounders, derived necessary and sufficient conditions for unique identifiability, proposed an algorithm for recovery.
result First work on identifiability results for causal discovery under latent confounding and deterministic relationships.

HAMD optimizes cubic portfolios without quadratization, achieving better results.

problem Optimizing higher-order portfolio models with reduced distortion.
method Hybrid pipeline combining continuous Hamiltonian search, cardinality-preserving projection, and iterated local search.
result HAMD achieves significantly lower native cubic objective values than classical heuristics.

SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.

problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional discrete or continuous state spaces.
method Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes history through running average of score evaluations.
result Improves estimator variance and mode coverage with constant memory usage.

Improves inference-time alignment for diffusion models without updating weights.

problem Aligning diffusion models without updating weights for high-reward outputs.
method Trust-Region Iterative Twisted Sequential Monte Carlo (TRI-TSMC) for variance reduction and efficiency.
result Improves primary alignment objectives on text generation tasks.