Paper proposes a method to identify wind hazard types and predict extreme wind speeds.
problem Difficulty in identifying wind hazard types from meteorological data records.
method Numerical pattern recognition method with feature extraction and generalization.
result Algorithm performance validated using K-fold cross-validation and real-world data.
In an earlier paper, I defined a new winding number of regular closed curves on complete euclidean/hyperbolic surfaces and showed that this winding number, together with the free homotopy class, determines the regular homotopy class. In this paper, I give a Whitney-type formula for the winding number of non-null-homoto…
Geodesics near singularities either hit or wind around, with winding number dependent on singularity type.
problem Understanding geodesic behavior near singularities in Riemannian manifolds.
method Analytical study of geodesics on Riemannian manifolds near singularities.
result The winding number of geodesics around a singularity depends on the singularity type and approaches infinity as the singularity becomes cuspidal.
Study assesses risk of upward lightning at wind turbines using direct measurements and machine learning.
problem Risk underestimation of upward lightning at wind turbines due to limited detection by current standards.
method Direct UL measurements linked to meteorological reanalysis data using random forests.
result Risk maps based on case study events show high probabilities coincide with actual UL events.
Study detects anomalies in robot vision data to predict hazards.
problem Detecting unexpected hazards in robot exploration data.
method Anomaly detection using autoencoders at different scales.
result Autoencoders improve anomaly detection performance on diverse robot scenarios.
In a continuous-time setting where a risk-averse agent controls the drift of an output process driven by a Brownian motion, optimal contracts are linear in the terminal output; this result is well-known in a setting with moral hazard and -under stronger assumptions - adverse selection. We show that this result continue…
MLM models match or exceed RN in generating wind power time series without location info.
problem Generating accurate long-term wind power time series without location information.
method Applied neural networks to MERRA2 wind speed data with and without location info.
result MLM models produce time series of equal or better quality than RN.
Study examines causal properties of Finsler spacetimes with cone Killing vectors.
problem Characterize causality in Finsler spacetimes with specific Killing vectors.
method Explores the relationship between wind Riemannian structures and spacetimes with cone Killing vectors, focusing on Finsler-Kropina metrics.
result Characterizes causality properties using metric-type properties of Finslerian structures.
The notion of wind Finslerian structure is developed; this is a generalization of Finsler metrics where the indicatrices at the tangent spaces may not contain the zero vector. In the particular case that these indicatrices are ellipsoids, called here wind Riemannian structures, they admit a double interpretation which …
Study how firm liquidation regimes affect shareholder value and stability.
problem Balancing shareholder value and financial stability during firm liquidation.
method Modelled forced liquidation in reduced form, solved singular stochastic control problem.
result Combining distress regions below and above ruin threshold improves both shareholder value and firm survival.
Solves time-optimal navigation on slippery slopes with cross gravitational wind.
problem Time-optimal navigation on a slippery cross slope under gravitational wind.
method New Finsler metric derived for the problem, considering both lateral and longitudinal gravitational effects.
result Conditions for strong convexity and purely geometric solution provided.
Develops a method to estimate average hazard under non-proportional hazards without relying on proportional hazards assumption.
problem Estimation of treatment effects when hazards are non-proportional, leading to unstable hazard ratios.
method Semiparametric, doubly robust framework for covariate-adjusted average hazard estimation.
result Valid sqrt{n} inference with small bias and near-nominal confidence-interval coverage across proportional and non-proportional hazards settings.
New homology categorifies knotoid polynomial.
problem Generalizing knot theory to open-ended diagrams.
method Defined winding homology as a triply-graded invariant.
result Categorifies Turaev's polynomial invariant of knotoids.
Study explains mortgage burnout using Cox hazard models.
problem Understanding burnout in mortgage pools.
method Modeling mortgage prepayment using Cox hazard processes.
result Observed pool hazard is a survival-weighted mean of individual hazards with a selection term.
Let P be a knot in a solid torus, K a knot in 3-space and P(K) the satellite knot of K with pattern P. This defines an operator on the set of knot types and induces a satellite operator P:C--> C on the set of smooth concordance classes of knots. There has been considerable interest in whether certain such functions are…
We prove that the Garside length a braid is equal to a winding-number type invariant of the curve diagram of the braid.
DeepMIDE forecasts wind speeds across space, time, and height for offshore wind energy.
problem Forecasting wind speeds across multiple heights for large offshore wind turbines.
method Statistical deep learning model that jointly models wind speeds at different heights using a multi-output integro-difference equation.
result DeepMIDE forecasts outperform traditional methods in real-world offshore wind energy data.
Wind energy resource quantification, air pollution monitoring, and weather forecasting all rely on rapid, accurate measurement of local wind conditions. Visual observations of the effects of wind---the swaying of trees and flapping of flags, for example---encode information regarding local wind conditions that can pote…
Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.
problem Accurate short-term wind power and speed predictions for energy systems.
method Combining numerical weather prediction models with local observations, using machine learning for variable selection and forecasting.
result Improved wind power and speed predictions for 4-hour ahead using machine learning.
Being able to predict the occurrence of extreme returns is important in financial risk management. Using the distribution of recurrence intervals---the waiting time between consecutive extremes---we show that these extreme returns are predictable on the short term. Examining a range of different types of returns and th…
Study compares machine learning methods for improving wind gust forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of wind gust forecasts from ensemble models.
method Comprehensive comparison of 8 statistical and machine learning methods.
result Locally adaptive neural networks significantly outperform other methods.
New method estimates hazard ratios without bias in observational studies.
problem Uninterpretable hazard ratios due to unspecified baseline hazard.
method Kernel-based machine learning to model risk set changes.
result Debiased maximum-likelihood estimators identify true hazard ratios.
WindDragon forecasts wind power with deep learning.
problem Accurate short-term wind power forecasting is crucial for grid operation.
method Automated Deep Learning combined with Numerical Weather Predictions.
result Automated Deep Learning improves wind power forecasting accuracy.
The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
problem Clustering survival data based on instantaneous risk dynamics.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis applied to B-spline smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
result The proposed method provides an interpretable representation of relative temporal risk dynamics.
Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper proposed a multi-variable stacked LSTMs model (MSLSTM). The proposed method uti…
New method calculates winding of geodesics on surfaces.
problem Understanding the distribution of geodesics on surfaces.
method Introducing a new construction of winding numbers for geodesics on cusped hyperbolic orbifolds.
result Winding numbers can be expressed by Rademacher symbols for various arithmetic families of surfaces.
Novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using SCMs and backdoor adjustment.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data using hazard ratios.
method Backdoor adjustment through structural causal models (SCMs) and do-calculus.
result Novel approach for computing hazard ratios from observational studies.
Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.
problem Improving the accuracy and reliability of wind speed predictions for power generation.
method A novel machine learning approach for calibrating wind speed ensemble forecasts.
result The proposed method improves the calibration and accuracy of probabilistic and point forecasts.
DA improves solar wind forecasts by updating model boundary conditions.
problem Improving solar wind forecasting accuracy.
method Variational Data Assimilation with solar wind model and in-situ observations.
result DA forecasts are more accurate than non-DA forecasts, especially when STEREO-B's latitude is offset from Earth.
Unified model estimates landslide hazard combining susceptibility, intensity, and frequency.
problem Lack of unified statistical models for landslide hazard estimation.
method Deep learning combined with extreme-value theory.
result Model performs excellently and can estimate hazard for multiple return periods.
EdgeLite detects hazardous supermarket floors, improving safety.
problem Detecting hazardous conditions on supermarket floors to prevent injuries.
method Developed a lightweight deep learning model, EdgeLite, for edge devices.
result EdgeLite outperformed state-of-the-art models in detecting hazards on supermarket floors.
Wind power, as an alternative to burning fossil fuels, is abundant and inexhaustible. To fully utilize wind power, wind farms are usually located in areas of high altitude and facing serious ice conditions, which can lead to serious consequences. Quick detection of blade ice accretion is crucial for the maintenance of …
Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.
problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.
Method reconstructs missing wind farm data using graph theory and nearest neighbors.
problem Missing data in wind farm records due to sensor failures.
method Combines spectral graph theory and k-Nearest Neighbors to estimate missing data.
result Significant improvement in data reconstruction over existing methods.
Study predicts wind energy potential in Gulf of Oman using climate models.
problem Predicting future wind energy potential in the Gulf of Oman.
method Used ERA5 and MENA simulations to project historical and future wind energy variability.
result Selected locations have suitable potential for wind power turbine construction.
New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.
problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.
Bayesian method models multivalued power data from wind farms.
problem Accurate modeling of power curves with multivalued relationships.
method Overlapping mixture of probabilistic regression models.
result Model accurately represents practical power data.
Study uses ANFIS to assess wind power under climate change.
problem Tackles climate change impact on wind power potential.
method Employed ANFIS to match climate model data with reference data.
result Real wind power potential lower than projected.
We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{ï}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to wind speed are outperformed by intelligent learning algorithms. In particular, the CA…
Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.
problem Limited spatial resolution and biases in GCMs for wind energy studies.
method SerpentFlow for domain alignment and conditional fine-scale learning.
result Improved spatial coherence, inter-variable consistency, robustness under climate change.
Recent work on follow the perturbed leader (FTPL) algorithms for the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem has highlighted the role of the hazard rate of the distribution generating the perturbations. Assuming that the hazard rate is bounded, it is possible to provide regret analyses for a variety of FTPL algorithms f…
Boosting algorithms predict financial vulnerability of farmers in Chile and Tunisia.
problem Predict financial vulnerability of farmers in Chile and Tunisia using environmental data.
method Interpretable boosting algorithms based on ridge-regularized generalized linear models.
result Interaction effects improve predictive power only when included in two-step boosting.
Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes of wind, which fundamentally hinders the advance of wind power prediction. In th…
A detailed understanding of wind turbine performance status classification can improve operations and maintenance in the wind energy industry. Due to different engineering properties of wind turbines, the standard supervised learning models used for classification do not generalize across data sets obtained from differ…
Numerous studies have been carried out to measure wind pressures around circular cylinders since the early 20th century due to its engineering significance. Consequently, a large amount of wind pressure data sets have accumulated, which presents an excellent opportunity for using machine learning (ML) techniques to tra…
We study periodic wind-tree models, billiards in the plane endowed with Z2-periodically located identical connected symmetric right-angled obstacles. We show asymptotic formulas for the number of (isotopy classes of) closed billiard trajectories (up to Z2-translations) on the wind-tree billiard.…
Machine learning analyzes AIS data to track offshore wind turbine installations.
problem Tracking and optimizing the installation of offshore wind turbines using jack-up vessels.
method Applied machine learning to AIS data from jack-up vessels to identify turbine locations and installation times.
result Automated identification of turbine locations and installation times using only AIS data.
We introduce a measure for estimating the best risk-return relation of power production in wind farms within a given time-lag, conditioned to the velocity field. The velocity field is represented by a scalar that weighs the influence of the velocity at each wind turbine at present and previous time-steps for the presen…