Study predicts wind energy potential in Gulf of Oman using climate models.
problem Predicting future wind energy potential in the Gulf of Oman.
method Used ERA5 and MENA simulations to project historical and future wind energy variability.
result Selected locations have suitable potential for wind power turbine construction.
Deep learning model predicts European weather parameters.
problem Ensemble weather prediction using deep learning.
method Conditional deep convolutional generative adversarial network (GAN) and Monte-Carlo dropout.
result Forecast skill for geopotential height and two-meter temperature is good, but precipitation is challenging.
Neural network predicts weather probabilities with added uncertainty.
problem Inferring uncertainty from weather predictions.
method Data-driven neural network trained on WeatherBench dataset, combining outputs from subsets of variables.
result More accurate than some numerical models, provides probabilistic information.
We propose a novel method to forecast the future from the present using time-reversed data.
problem Forecasting the future from past data, exploiting temporal asymmetry.
method Retrodictive forecasting via inverse MAP optimization over a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE).
result The method successfully predicts future events in time-reversible and irreversible processes.
Measures time-delay embedding for noisy, sparse data.
problem Applying Takens' embedding theorem to real-world, noisy data.
method Formulated a measure-theoretic generalization of the embedding theorem, using optimal transport.
result Reconstructed full state of dynamical systems from time-lagged partial observations robust to noise and sparsity.
Data-driven approaches, most prominently deep learning, have become powerful tools for prediction in many domains. A natural question to ask is whether data-driven methods could also be used to predict global weather patterns days in advance. First studies show promise but the lack of a common dataset and evaluation me…
Statistical analysis reveals pitfalls in climate network construction.
problem Uncertainty in correlation estimates affects network characteristics.
method Simulated isotropic random fields and resampling procedures.
result Spurious link bundles and high-degree clusters are common.
Signature kernel scoring rule improves weather forecasting by capturing temporal and spatial dependencies.
problem Lack of suitable scoring rules for probabilistic weather forecasting.
method Reframe weather variables as continuous paths using iterated integrals (signature kernels) to capture temporal and spatial dependencies.
result Signature kernel scoring rule outperforms conventional methods in weather forecasting, especially for long-term forecasts.
New method reconstructs past foehn occurrences using unsupervised and supervised learning.
problem Reconstructing past foehn occurrences due to lack of direct measurement.
method Combining unsupervised and supervised learning methods to infer foehn occurrences from reanalysis data.
result Accurate hourly reconstructions of past foehn occurrences for 83 years.
FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.
problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.
ERDM integrates rolling forecasts with diffusion models for complex dynamics.
problem Forecasting complex dynamics with rolling forecasts and diffusion models.
method Adapting EDM components for rolling forecasts, introducing novel loss weighting, efficient initialization, and hybrid architecture.
result ERDM outperforms diffusion-based baselines in 2D Navier-Stokes simulations and ERA5 weather forecasting.
Study combines variational inference and transformers for seasonal climate predictions.
problem Lack of robust seasonal predictions due to limited historical records and computational constraints.
method Combines variational inference with transformer models trained on climate model output.
result Method provides skilful predictions beyond climate change-induced trends in various regions.
Machine learning predicts Atlantic blocking using limited data.
problem Underestimation of blocking event duration in climate models.
method Transfer Learning and Explainable AI (SHAP analysis)
result High-pressure anomalies in specific regions contribute to blocking events.
Study builds dataset and benchmarks ML models for accurate solar and wind power forecasting in France.
problem Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources for grid stability and price prediction.
method Comprehensive methodology using machine learning models trained with spatially explicit weather data and production site capacity.
result Neural networks outperform traditional models in forecasting solar and wind power production in France.
New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.
problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.