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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for wind capacity factor

Estimates graph process with high-frequency data, proving asymptotic properties.

problem Estimating graph process with high-frequency data.
method Discretized maximum likelihood estimators for GrOU process under high-frequency sampling.
result Asymptotic central limit theorems for estimators under finite and infinite jump activity.

Case study shows impact of co-optimizing energy and reserve for wind energy.

problem Impact of lack of co-optimization of energy and reserve in high wind penetration scenarios.
method Developed two models with and without co-optimization, calibrated with Spanish market parameters.
result Models show significant differences in energy and reserve management.

Study uses CNNs to upscale wind speed data from 100 km to 3 km, improving subgrid-scale variability.

problem Recovering fine-scale wind speed information from coarse data.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with different input configurations (coarse wind speed, fine-scale topography, diurnal cycle) were tested.
result CNN models with coarse wind and fine topography inputs perform best in generalizing to unseen regions.

Study builds dataset and benchmarks ML models for accurate solar and wind power forecasting in France.

problem Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources for grid stability and price prediction.
method Comprehensive methodology using machine learning models trained with spatially explicit weather data and production site capacity.
result Neural networks outperform traditional models in forecasting solar and wind power production in France.

Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.

problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.

Divides state space into regions with identical term structure shapes.

problem Classifying term structure shapes in the two-factor Vasicek model.
method Using envelopes and winding numbers to divide and classify the state space.
result Nearly complete classification of parameter space regarding term structure shapes.

Geodesics near singularities either hit or wind around, with winding number dependent on singularity type.

problem Understanding geodesic behavior near singularities in Riemannian manifolds.
method Analytical study of geodesics on Riemannian manifolds near singularities.
result The winding number of geodesics around a singularity depends on the singularity type and approaches infinity as the singularity becomes cuspidal.

In this paper, we investigate the common scenario where every candidate item for recommendation is characterized by a maximum capacity, i.e., number of seats in a Point-of-Interest (POI) or size of an item's inventory. Despite the prevalence of the task of recommending items under capacity constraints in a variety of s…

2017-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves wind and solar energy forecasts by 48 hours.

problem Volatility of wind and solar energy makes accurate forecasts difficult.
method Two-step machine learning approach to calibrate ensemble forecasts.
result Statistical post-processing improves forecast skill by at least 48 hours.

Unweighted matrix factorization can match or outperform weighted methods in recommender systems.

problem Improving recommendation performance with matrix factorization on implicit feedback data.
method Systematic study of various weighting schemes and matrix factorization algorithms.
result Training with unweighted data can perform comparably to, and sometimes outperform, training with weighted data.

We study the knot invariant called trunk, as defined by Ozawa, and the relation of the trunk of a satellite knot with the trunk of its companion knot. Our first result is trunk(K)ntrunk(J){\rm trunk}(K) \geq n \cdot {\rm trunk}(J) where trunk(){\rm trunk}(\cdot) denotes the trunk of a knot, KK is a satellite knot with companion JJ, and …

2018-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepMIDE forecasts wind speeds across space, time, and height for offshore wind energy.

problem Forecasting wind speeds across multiple heights for large offshore wind turbines.
method Statistical deep learning model that jointly models wind speeds at different heights using a multi-output integro-difference equation.
result DeepMIDE forecasts outperform traditional methods in real-world offshore wind energy data.

Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.

problem Accurate short-term wind power and speed predictions for energy systems.
method Combining numerical weather prediction models with local observations, using machine learning for variable selection and forecasting.
result Improved wind power and speed predictions for 4-hour ahead using machine learning.

Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.

problem Improving the accuracy and reliability of wind speed predictions for power generation.
method A novel machine learning approach for calibrating wind speed ensemble forecasts.
result The proposed method improves the calibration and accuracy of probabilistic and point forecasts.

Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.

problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.

Method reconstructs missing wind farm data using graph theory and nearest neighbors.

problem Missing data in wind farm records due to sensor failures.
method Combines spectral graph theory and k-Nearest Neighbors to estimate missing data.
result Significant improvement in data reconstruction over existing methods.

New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.

problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.

Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.

problem Limited spatial resolution and biases in GCMs for wind energy studies.
method SerpentFlow for domain alignment and conditional fine-scale learning.
result Improved spatial coherence, inter-variable consistency, robustness under climate change.

We study periodic wind-tree models, billiards in the plane endowed with Z2\mathbb{Z}^2-periodically located identical connected symmetric right-angled obstacles. We show asymptotic formulas for the number of (isotopy classes of) closed billiard trajectories (up to Z2\mathbb{Z}^2-translations) on the wind-tree billiard.…

2016-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Capacity analysis has been recently introduced as a way to analyze how linear models distribute their modelling capacity across the input space. In this paper, we extend the notion of capacity allocation to the case of neural networks with non-linear layers. We show that under some hypotheses the problem is equivalent …

2019-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

CESAR improves wind speed and power forecasting for high-resolution simulations.

problem Accurate high-resolution wind forecasting for efficient power grid management.
method A spatio-temporal neural network model using deep convolutional autoencoder and echo state network.
result CESAR provides up to 17% improvement in wind speed and power forecasting compared to best alternatives.

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

Novel framework improves wind power forecasts by bundling assets and using machine learning.

problem Inaccurate forecasts of intermittent renewable generation, especially wind power.
method Bundle-Predict-Reconcile (BPR) framework integrating asset bundling, machine learning, and forecast reconciliation.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy, especially at the fleet level.