We present a framework for describing the evolution of stochastic observables having a non-stationary distribution of values. The framework is applied to empirical volume-prices from assets traded at the New York stock exchange. Using Kullback-Leibler divergence we evaluate the best model out from four biparametric mod…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
169,291 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “volume-price distributions”
Using available data from the New York stock market (NYSM) we test four different bi-parametric models to fit the correspondent volume-price distributions at each -minute lag: the Gamma distribution, the inverse Gamma distribution, the Weibull distribution and the log-normal distribution. The volume-price data, whi…
We present evidence that the best model for empirical volume-price distributions is not always the same and it strongly depends in (i) the region of the volume-price spectrum that one wants to model and (ii) the period in time that is being modelled. To show these two features we analyze stocks of the New York stock ma…
Model non-stationary financial data using log-normal distributions and Langevin equations.
problem Modeling non-stationary volume-price distributions in finance.
method Model non-stationary volume-price distributions with a log-normal distribution. Derive Langevin equations from the series of log-normal parameters.
result Reconstructed statistics of volume-price distributions fit well empirical data.
Motivated by how transaction amount constrain trading volume and price volatility in stock market, we, in this paper, study the relation between volume and price if amount of transaction is given. We find that accumulative trading volume gradually emerges a kurtosis near the price mean value over a trading price range …
A Volume-Price-Adjusted MACD Trading Strategy with Sensitivity Calibration for U.S. Equity Indicesq-fin.TR
Study improves MACD trading strategy with volume and price adjustments.
problem Signal lag and false signals in traditional MACD trading rules.
method Develops VP-MACD framework with sensitivity calibration.
result Proposed framework outperforms baseline MACD in profitability and risk-adjusted return.
We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use transaction volume probability to describe price volatility uncertainty and intens…
Study proposes a new financial market representation for machine learning.
problem Complex analysis of financial time series for machine learning.
method Volume-price-based statistical approach.
result Proposed method outperforms price levels-based method on liquid markets.
New model for market making under inconsistent LOB prices.
problem Inconsistent price movements in LOBs.
method Optimal switching and impulse control on marked point processes, solving HJBQVI numerically.
result Profit from market making can be severely overstated under inconsistent LOBs.
Study on price-volume correlation fractal features and market type effects.
problem Understanding the fractal features and market type effects of price-volume correlation.
method Applied MF-DXA method to analyze price, trading volume, and their coupling.
result Price, trading volume, and price-volume coupling exhibit power law and multifractal properties.
A Theory of Complex Adaptive Learning and a Non-Localized Wave Equation in Quantum Mechanicsq-fin.GN
The abstract explores a new wave equation linking quantum mechanics and complex adaptive systems.
problem Understanding the underlying mechanism of distribution formation in complex quantum entanglement.
method Exploring the logical relationship between Schrödinger's wave equation and Shi's trading volume-price wave equation in finance.
result A non-localized wave equation in quantum mechanics reveals the invariance of interaction as a universal law.
Deep Learning for Short Term Equity Trend Forecasting: A Behavior Driven Multi Factor Approachq-fin.TR
Study uses deep learning to predict stock trends with superior performance.
problem Predicting short-term equity trends with high accuracy.
method Dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) integrating technical signals and deep learning.
result Deep learning model outperforms linear baselines in multi-factor stock selection.
The paper explores solutions to the distributional Bellman equation in reinforcement learning.
problem Distributional reinforcement learning considers complete return distributions, not just expected returns.
method Study existence and uniqueness of solutions to general distributional Bellman equations, linking them to multivariate affine equations.
result Any solution to a distributional Bellman equation can be derived from a multivariate affine distributional equation.
Proposes vMF distribution for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Skewed distributions not adequately modeled by symmetric distributions.
method Introduces von-Mises-Fisher (vMF) distribution to represent skewed elliptical distributions.
result vMF distribution provides an explicit and simple probability representation of skewed elliptical distributions.
This paper examines how the choice of prior distribution affects likelihoods of out-of-distribution inputs in deep generative models.
problem Mismatch between prior and data distributions causes deep generative models to assign higher likelihoods to out-of-distribution inputs.
method Proposes using a mixture distribution as a prior to make likelihoods of out-of-distribution inputs more sensitive.
result A mixture prior lowers the out-of-distribution likelihood with respect to real image data sets.
Study calculates tail risk for various mixture distributions.
problem Estimating tail risk for complex distribution mixtures.
method Analyzes tail conditional expectation for location-scale mixtures of elliptical distributions.
result Developed methods for calculating tail risk in various distributions.
We realise the first and second Grushin distributions as symmetry reductions of the 3-dimensional Heisenberg distribution and 4-dimensional Engel distribution respectively. Similarly, we realise the Martinet distribution as an alternative symmetry reduction of the Engel distribution. These reductions allow us to derive…
New wealth distribution model based on -deformation of Gamma distribution.
problem Modeling wealth distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models.
method Proposed a new four-parameter statistical distribution based on -deformation of the Generalized Gamma distribution.
result The new distribution accurately represents wealth distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models.
Ising distribution as a latent variable modelcond-mat.dis-nn
This study suggests replacing Ising distribution with Cox distribution.
problem Handling correlated binary data efficiently.
method Exploring conditions for replacing Ising distribution with Cox distribution as a latent variable model.
result The Ising distribution can be treated as a latent variable model with a quasi-normal distribution.
New algorithms for learning under s-concave distributions, including Pareto and t-distributions.
problem Learning under broad and natural generalizations of log-concave distributions, including fat-tailed ones.
method Introduce new convex geometry tools to study -concave distributions and use these properties to provide bounds on learning quantities.
result Significantly generalize prior results for margin-based, disagreement-based, and passive learning of intersections of halfspaces.
Method uses optimal transport to complete distributional matrices.
problem Matrix completion for distributional data.
method Nearest neighbors in Wasserstein space.
result Method recovers distributions in Wasserstein metric.
Income and wealth distribution affect stability of a society to a large extent and high inequality affects it negatively. Moreover, in the case of developed countries, recently has been proven that inequality is closely related to all negative phenomena affecting society. So far, Econophysics papers tried to analyse in…
Study clusters distributions with known or unknown clusters using distribution testing.
problem Cluster distributions that are -far in total variation.
method Distribution testing approach to establish upper and lower bounds on sample complexity.
result Achieves tight sample complexity bounds for all regimes (up to a logarithmic factor).
Gradually Truncated Log-normal distribution - Size distribution of firmscond-mat.stat-mech
Gradually Truncated Log-normal distribution - Size distribution of firms Abstract Many natural and economical phenomena are described through power law or log- normal distributions. In these cases, probability decreases very slowly with step size compared to normal distribution. Thus it is essential to cut-off these di…
A new distributed learning method for high-dimensional linear classification.
problem Efficiently performing linear classification on large-scale, high-dimensional data.
method Feature-distributed stochastic variance reduced gradient (FD-SVRG) for high-dimensional linear classification.
result FD-SVRG outperforms other distributed methods in terms of communication cost and wall-clock time.
A new distribution family extends the -stable distribution with a degree of freedom parameter.
problem Lack of moments in the -stable distribution.
method Wright function framework to combine and extend distribution families.
result Generalized -stable distribution with valid moments.
Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.
A new clustering method preserves data distribution.
problem Distorted cluster centers in k-means clustering.
method Distributional Clustering method ensuring cluster centers mimic data distribution.
result Cluster centers converge to data generating distribution.
New class of heavy-tailed distributions shows weighted averages dominate individual variables.
problem Understanding and comparing risks in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Introducing a new class of heavy-tailed distributions and proving stochastic dominance relations.
result Weighted averages of random variables in this class are stochastically larger than individual variables.
Researchers derived formulas for joint moments of elliptical distributions.
problem Calculating joint moments of elliptical distributions.
method Used Stein's lemma and two different methods to derive expressions.
result New formulae for expectations of product of normally distributed random variables and simplified expressions for other distributions.
Data-driven topology design using a deep generative modelphysics.comp-ph
Paper proposes a new method for designing materials using deep learning.
problem Designing high-performance material distributions from given distributions.
method Iterative process of selecting, generating, and merging material distributions using a deep generative model.
result The method improves material performance through iterative refinement.
One-shot algorithm for feature-distributed kernel PCA reduces communication costs.
problem Efficiently perform kernel PCA in distributed computing environments.
method Inspired by dual relationship between sample-distributed and feature-distributed scenarios, proposes a one-shot algorithm for feature-distributed kernel PCA.
result The algorithm provides high-quality results with low communication costs, especially when eigenvalues decay fast.
A new distributed clustering framework using distributional kernel.
problem Clustering in distributed networks with arbitrary shapes, sizes, and densities.
method Distributed Clustering based on Distributional Kernel (KDC) using similarity of distributions.
result KDC guarantees equivalent clustering outcomes to centralized methods, reduces runtime, and discovers arbitrary clusters.
Paper finds how many neurons are needed to approximate histogram distributions.
problem How many neurons are needed to approximate a target probability distribution?
method Examined for uniform input distribution and histogram target distributions, using efficient neural net construction.
result Obtained a new upper bound on the number of required neurons, strictly better than previous bounds.
Paper analyzes origami slope gaps and their distribution, finding a unique pattern.
problem Analyzing slope gaps in origami surfaces.
method Derived slope gap distribution of a specific origami by considering return times under the horocycle flow.
result Found a unique distribution of origami slope gaps, not a sum of scaled Hall distributions.
Paper introduces a new distributional successor measure for reinforcement learning.
problem Learning the distributional consequences of behavior in reinforcement learning.
method Formulates distributional successor measure as a distribution over distributions, proposes algorithm to learn it from data.
result Demonstrates zero-shot risk-sensitive policy evaluation.
TonY simplifies distributed ML job management.
problem Managing distributed ML jobs is complex and resource-intensive.
method TonY is an open-source orchestrator for distributed ML jobs.
result TonY simplifies distributed ML job management.
New Classes of the Greedy-Applicable Arm Feature Distributions in the Sparse Linear Bandit Problemcs.LG
New distributions allow greedy arm selection in sparse bandit problems.
problem Sparse contextual bandit problem with sparse parameters and feature distributions.
method Introduced new distribution classes and demonstrated that mixtures of these distributions are also greedy-applicable.
result Greedy algorithm applicable to a wider range of arm feature distributions, including those with origin-asymmetric support.
The paper extends distributions by singular curves, revealing structural equivalences.
problem Extending -distributions using singular curves.
method Using data from singular curves, the paper extends -distributions to higher rank distributions.
result The equivalence of classification problems for four extended distribution classes.
Eigen, singular, cosine-sine, and Autonne--Takagi vectors distributions of random matrix ensemblesmath.PR
Random matrix ensembles yield uniform distributions on manifolds.
problem Understanding distributions of vectors in random matrix ensembles.
method Analyzing eigenvalues, singular values, and Autonne-Takagi vectors of various random matrix ensembles.
result Uniform distributions on specific manifolds for different types of random matrix ensembles.
Study on continuous sequence classification with distribution uncertainty.
problem Classifying continuous sequences with varying distribution uncertainty.
method Proposes distribution-free tests for three test designs: fixed-length, sequential, and two-phase tests.
result Error probabilities decay exponentially fast for all test designs.
Study error bounds in evaluating distributional computational graphs.
problem Error analysis in evaluating graphs with inputs as probability distributions.
method Establish non-asymptotic error bounds using Wasserstein-1 distance.
result Non-asymptotic error bounds for discretization errors in distributional computational graphs.
The paper shows strong correlation between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance in various machine learning models.
problem Understanding reliability of machine learning systems in unseen environments.
method Empirical analysis of various models and distribution shifts on CIFAR-10, ImageNet, and other datasets.
result Out-of-distribution performance is strongly correlated with in-distribution performance across different models and distribution shifts.
Study explores geometric structure and prior for beta-logistic distribution.
problem Understanding the geometric structure and prior distributions of the beta-logistic distribution.
method Exploring dual geometric structure and uncovering -parallel prior.
result The beta-logistic distribution admits an -parallel prior for any real number .
The paper finds the normal distribution unsuitable for modeling daily stock returns and suggests using the Laplace distribution instead.
problem The difficulty in modeling the distribution of daily stock returns, especially for extreme outliers.
method Investigation of daily stock returns of major indices using both normal and Laplace distributions.
result The normal distribution is not a good model for stock returns, even over long periods of data.
Measuring Model Riskq-fin.RM
We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The…
Study non-integrable distributions with various affine connections.
problem Characterize non-integrable distributions in Riemannian manifolds with different connections.
method Obtain Gauss, Codazzi, and Ricci equations for non-integrable distributions with semi-symmetric metric, non-metric, and statistical connections.
result Find new examples of Einstein and distributions with constant scalar curvature.
Method learns statistics of return distributions via neural networks and maximum mean discrepancy.
problem Learning probability distributions in reinforcement learning.
method Maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) for learning unrestricted statistics of return distributions.
result Method outperforms standard distributional RL baselines on Atari games.