We propose a new blind source separation algorithm based on mixtures of alpha-stable distributions. Complex symmetric alpha-stable distributions have been recently showed to better model audio signals in the time-frequency domain than classical Gaussian distributions thanks to their larger dynamic range. However, infer…
arXiv research
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Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.
We consider a statistical model for pairs of traded assets, based on a Cointegrated Vector Auto Regression (CVAR) Model. We extend standard CVAR models to incorporate estimation of model parameters in the presence of price series level shifts which are not accurately modeled in the standard Gaussian error correction mo…
The study assesses how financial markets' efficiency changed during the COVID-19 crisis.
This paper focuses on single-channel semi-supervised speech enhancement. We learn a speaker-independent deep generative speech model using the framework of variational autoencoders. The noise model remains unsupervised because we do not assume prior knowledge of the noisy recording environment. In this context, our con…
This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric -stable bandits for financial and wireless data.
Adaptive estimation of alpha-Stable distribution and Hurst exponent for nonstationary time series.
Study on non-negative solutions for stochastic Volterra equations with jumps.
A new distribution family extends the -stable distribution with a degree of freedom parameter.
Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a Loss Distributional Approach (LDA) paradigm to model the individual OpRisk loss…
It has long been agreed by academics that the inversion method is the method of choice for generating random variates, given the availability of the quantile function. However for several probability distributions arising in practice a satisfactory method of approximating these functions is not available. The main focu…
Soft diamond regularizers improve deep learning performance and sparsity.
We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the relevant empirical features of spreads between different interbank rates. In particular…
This paper models cryptocurrencies using -stable distributions, outperforming other models.
The total value of domestic market capitalization of the Mexican Stock Exchange was calculated at 520 billion of dollars by the end of November 2013. To manage this system and make optimum capital investments, its dynamics needs to be predicted. However, randomness within the stock indexes makes forecasting a difficult…
A fast method for estimating radar amplitude density parameters.
The paper tackles drift identification in Lévy α-stable stochastic systems, proposing a Fourier space approach.
Study improves parameter estimation for SDEs driven by Levy noise.
MAFLA improves sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using MH-inspired corrections.
Study analyzes fluctuations in Mexican financial market index.
Neural time-series data contain a wide variety of prototypical signal waveforms (atoms) that are of significant importance in clinical and cognitive research. One of the goals for analyzing such data is hence to extract such 'shift-invariant' atoms. Even though some success has been reported with existing algorithms, t…
This work extracts stochastic dynamical systems with -stable Lévy noise.
Paper proposes a self-supervised method to denoise autoregressive signals with heavy-tailed noise.
The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that includes the Ito and Stratonovich cases. An uncoupled CTRW with zero-mean jumps is…
Data-driven discovery of "hidden physics" -- i.e., machine learning of differential equation models underlying observed data -- has recently been approached by embedding the discovery problem into a Gaussian Process regression of spatial data, treating and discovering unknown equation parameters as hyperparameters of a…
We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random variable; and (2) a mixture of Bartlett--Fejer kernels (or triangle densities) with r…
A neural network estimates sampling distributions for hard problems where classical methods fail.
Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach allows a provision for reduction of capital as a result of insurance mitigation of up to 20%. This paper studies the behaviour of different insurance policies in the context of capital reduction for a range of possible extreme los…
The paper analyzes Kernel Density Estimation in high dimensions with varying data and dimensionality.