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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3978117156 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for variance profile

Study ridge regression for non-identically distributed data with varying variances.

problem Investigate high-dimensional regression with non-identical data variance.
method Propose a random effect model and use tools from random matrix theory.
result Highlight the double descent phenomenon in high-dimensional regression for certain variance profiles.

The paper analyzes ridge regression with random features for non-identically distributed data.

problem Analyzing ridge regression performance for data with heterogeneous variance profiles.
method Combining linear-plus-chaos approximation and operator-valued free probability.
result Derives asymptotic equivalents for training and test risks under non-identically distributed data.

Boundary effects inflate variance in Gaussian processes, leading to acquisition bias.

problem Boundary-induced acquisition bias in Gaussian processes.
method Traced root cause to geometric mechanism of kernel truncation at domain boundaries.
result Boundary effects create distortion that worsens with dimensionality, affecting acquisition behavior.

The paper analyzes high-dimensional kernel regression, showing different risk curves based on data and regularization.

problem Characterizing generalization properties of high-dimensional kernel ridge regression.
method Bias-variance decomposition of the expected excess risk, considering different regularization schemes and data eigen-profiles.
result The risk curve of kernel regression can be double-descent-like, bell-shaped, or monotonic, depending on n, d, and regularization level.

Method selects number of communities in weighted networks.

problem Selecting the number of communities in weighted networks.
method Proposes a novel weighted DCSBM and uses a sequential testing framework with spectral clustering and matrix scaling.
result Method is consistent in estimating the true number of communities under mild conditions.

We prove that if a geodesic metric measure space satisfies a comparison condition for isoperimetric profile and if the observable variance is maximal, then the space is foliated by minimal geodesics, where the observable variance is defined to be the supremum of the variance of 1-Lipschitz functions on the space. Our r…

2018-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose Gaussian processes for signals over graphs (GPG) using the apriori knowledge that the target vectors lie over a graph. We incorporate this information using a graph- Laplacian based regularization which enforces the target vectors to have a specific profile in terms of graph Fourier transform coeffcients, fo…

2018-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal algorithms for recovering signals through inhomogeneous low-rank channels.

problem Recovering signals through an inhomogeneous low-rank matrix channel.
method Derive and analyze an approximate message-passing algorithm (AMP) and a spectral method.
result The AMP iteration matches the conjectured optimal computational phase transition.

Method controls extrapolation in prediction profiles for statistical and machine learning models.

problem Avoiding invalid predictions due to extrapolation in prediction profiles.
method Genetic algorithm optimization over constrained factor regions.
result Optimal factor settings without constraint are often invalid and extrapolated.

Research tackles investor confusion in ESG rankings, offering tailored strategies.

problem Widespread confusion among investors regarding ESG rankings.
method Developed ESG ensemble strategies, integrated ESG scores into RL model, proposed Double-Mean-Variance model, introduced ESG-adjusted CAPMs.
result Optimized portfolios that balance financial returns and ESG-focused outcomes.

We equip many non compact non simply connected surfaces with smooth Riemannian metrics whose isoperimetric profile is smooth, a highly non generic property. The computation of the profile is based on a calibration argument, a rearrangement argument, the Bol-Fiala curvature dependent inequality, together with new result…

2007-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a spectrum of monotone coarse invariants for metric measure spaces called Poincaré profiles. The two extremes of this spectrum determine the growth of the space, and the separation profile as defined by Benjamini--Schramm--Timár. In this paper we focus on properties of the Poincaré profiles of groups with …

2017-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Logarithmic separation profile in hyperbolic groups shows hierarchical structure.

problem Understanding hierarchical structure in hyperbolic groups with logarithmic separation.
method Proving groups with logarithmic separation split over cyclic groups and providing counterexamples.
result Not all groups with hierarchical structure have logarithmic separation profile.

Framework for continuous-time network data representation learning.

problem Learning reliable representations of dynamic network interactions.
method Three-stage process: intensity estimation, projection learning, evolving node representation construction.
result Trajectories satisfy structural and temporal coherence, providing robust inference.

Framework detects shape shifts in functional profiles using Fréchet mean and shape invariant model.

problem Detecting shape shifts in functional profiles.
method Combining Fréchet mean and shape invariant model for interpretable parameterization of profile deviations.
result Potential shifts in shape deformation process distinguished by significant shifts in amplitude and/or phase.

Study quantifies how LLMs capture higher-order statistical structure using cumulant expansion.

problem Understanding how LLMs internalize statistical structure during next-token prediction.
method Cumulant-expansion framework treating softmax entropy as perturbation around center distribution.
result Cumulants reveal distinct signatures for mathematical vs. general text prompts, quantifying feature-learning dynamics.

Study compares isoperimetric profiles on manifolds with integral Ricci curvature bounds.

problem Comparing isoperimetric profiles on manifolds with integral Ricci curvature bounds.
method Extending previous work, the study uses integral bounds on Ricci curvature to prove comparison results for isoperimetric profile functions.
result Comparison results for the Isoperimetric profile function in manifolds with integral bounds on Ricci curvature.

We introduce a generalisation of the well-known ARCH process, widely used for generating uncorrelated stochastic time series with long-term non-Gaussian distributions and long-lasting correlations in the (instantaneous) standard deviation exhibiting a clustering profile. Specifically, inspired by the fact that in a var…

2011-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles and improves on previous estimates for specific manifolds.

problem Estimating lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles of specific Riemannian manifolds.
method Explicit lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles of Riemannian product manifolds.
result Improved lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles and Yamabe constants.

In the context of sub-Riemannian Heisenberg groups Hn, n \geq 1, we shall study Isoperimetric Profiles, which are closed compact hypersurfaces having constant horizontal mean curvature, very similar to ellipsoids. Our main goal is to study the stability of Isoperimetric Profiles.

2011-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper describes profiles of multivariate normal distributions and novel estimators for mutual information.

problem Estimating mutual information for complex distributions.
method Analytical description of profiles, introduction of Bend and Mix Models, Monte Carlo estimation.
result Bend and Mix Models accurately estimate mutual information profiles and provide Bayesian estimates.

Investing in cryptocurrencies can improve portfolio risk-return profile, especially with diversification strategies.

problem Investing in cryptocurrencies and evaluating their potential for portfolio allocation strategies.
method Investigated different types of investors, various portfolio construction rules, and incorporated liquidity constraints.
result Cryptocurrencies can improve the risk-return profile of portfolios, especially with diversification strategies.

Random layer-wise pruning profiles are as effective as metric-based ones for various datasets.

problem Reduction of model size and computational resources in neural networks.
method Conducted baseline experiments, developed RL-based search algorithm for finding transferable layer-wise pruning profiles.
result RL-based layer-wise pruning profiles are as good or better than best profiles found on the original dataset via exhaustive search.

Proposes a method for valid inference in GPLSIMs with longitudinal data.

problem Challenges in longitudinal data inference due to within-subject correlation and unstable variance estimation.
method Profile estimating-equation approach using spline approximation and block empirical likelihood.
result Block empirical likelihood ratio statistic with Wilks-type chi-square limit for joint inference.

The study analyzes how large language models form and express investor risk profiles.

problem Understanding how large language models (LLMs) form and express investor risk profiles.
method Examined three LLMs (GPT, Gemini, and Llama) and assessed their responses to a standardized risk questionnaire under varying prompts.
result LLMs generally form long-term investment profiles, but they exhibit different risk tolerance levels.

A new framework for adaptive behavior using reusable value profiles.

problem Adaptive behavior in changing environments requires switching among value-control regimes, but maintaining separate parameters for each situation is impractical.
method Introduces value profiles: reusable bundles of parameters assigned to hidden states, allowing for state-conditional strategy recruitment without independent parameters for each context.
result Profile-based models outperform simpler alternatives in probabilistic reversal learning, suggesting belief-dependent control of adaptive behavior.

Study applies HRP to Latin American markets, showing smoother risk-return profile.

problem Lack of empirical analyses of HRP in Latin American markets.
method Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) with hierarchical clustering and recursive bisection.
result HRP portfolio outperforms Max Sharpe portfolio in NUAM markets, with smoother risk-return profile.

The hypercube's perimeter is significantly larger than expected near half volume.

problem Understanding the isoperimetric profile of the hypercube.
method Analytical proof of perimeter bounds and comparison to Gaussian isoperimetric profile.
result The isoperimetric profile of the hypercube does not converge to the Gaussian profile as dimension increases.

With the maturation of metabolomics science and proliferation of biobanks, clinical metabolic profiling is an increasingly opportunistic frontier for advancing translational clinical research. Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) approaches provide exciting opportunity to guide feature selection in agnostic metabolic pr…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the shape of inflated surfaces introduced in \cite{B1} and \cite{P1}. More precisely, we analyze profiles of surfaces obtained by inflating a convex polyhedron, or more generally an almost everywhere flat surface, with a symmetry plane. We show that such profiles are in a one-parameter family of curves which w…

2009-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a method to disaggregate aerosol optical depth into vertical extinction profiles.

problem Uncertainty in measuring aerosol vertical distributions due to limited observations.
method Bayesian nonparametric Gaussian process modeling using meteorological predictors.
result Model reconstructs realistic extinction profiles with well-calibrated uncertainty, outperforming idealized baselines.