In the continuous time mean-variance model, we want to minimize the variance (risk) of the investment portfolio with a given mean at terminal time. However, the investor can stop the investment plan at any time before the terminal time. To solve this kind of problem, we consider to minimize the variances of the investm…
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48 results for “variance minimization”
We study the problem of empirical minimization for variance-type functionals over functional classes. Sharp non-asymptotic bounds for the excess variance are derived under mild conditions. In particular, it is shown that under some restrictions imposed on the functional class fast convergence rates can be achieved incl…
Paper optimizes portfolio selection with ICX order constraints.
problem Minimizing portfolio variance with ICX order constraints.
method Optimal and efficient portfolios are derived in closed form.
result Closed-form solutions for optimal and efficient portfolios.
Study shows gradient variance increases during deep learning training, contrary to common belief.
problem Understanding and minimizing gradient variance in deep learning models.
method Gradient Clustering method using stratified sampling to minimize gradient variance.
result Gradient variance increases during training, and smaller learning rates coincide with higher variance.
MEVA aggregates model predictions to improve accuracy without needing model details.
problem Improving model accuracy by combining multiple models.
method Non-intrusive, data-driven framework that treats models as black boxes and optimizes aggregation methods.
result MVA outperforms MEA in estimating aggregated predictions, enhancing robustness and accuracy.
Optimizes survey design for private mean estimation with reduced variance.
problem Minimizing variance in private mean estimation with privacy constraints.
method Formulates optimal survey design as an optimization problem, determining optimal subsampling sizes to minimize variance.
result Identifies the first privacy-aware stratified sampling scheme that minimizes variance under different privacy mechanisms.
SVRN accelerates Newton methods by reducing variance and improving performance.
problem Improving the efficiency of Newton methods for large-scale optimization problems.
method Stochastic Variance-Reduced Newton (SVRN) algorithm that accelerates Subsampled Newton and Iterative Hessian Sketch algorithms.
result SVRN accelerates Newton methods by reducing the number of passes over the data, achieving a significant improvement in performance.
We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach builds off of techniques for distributionally robust optimization and Owen's empiric…
Simplifies risk minimization combining mean and standard deviation.
problem Minimizing mean and standard deviation under heavy-tailed losses.
method Adapting robust mean estimation technique to include standard deviation.
result Simple approach performs as well or better than alternative risk criteria.
This paper tackles variance issues in GNN training by proposing a method to reduce both embedding and gradient variances.
problem High variance in estimating stochastic gradients in GNN training, especially in large graphs.
method The paper proposes a decoupled variance reduction strategy that employs approximate gradient information to adaptively sample nodes with minimal variance.
result The proposed method achieves faster convergence and better generalization compared to existing sampling methods.
SignSVRG improves SignSGD by reducing variance, achieving similar convergence rates.
problem Minimizing finite sums of convex and Lipschitz functions.
method Incorporates variance reduction techniques into SignSGD.
result Achieves convergence rates of for expected norm of the gradient and for smooth convex functions.
The paper explores risk-minimization for exponential additive models, providing mathematical expressions and numerical examples.
problem Risk-minimization in incomplete markets for exponential additive models.
method Derive explicit mathematical expressions for local risk-minimization strategies in exponential additive models.
result Provide necessary conditions for deriving expressions and confirm integrability conditions for specific models.
We solve the paradox of score-based methods by minimizing path variance.
problem Score-based methods are path-dependent, leading to inaccurate and unstable estimators.
method Propose MVP Principle to minimize path variance, derive closed-form expression, and use flexible Kumaraswamy Mixture Model.
result Establishes new state-of-the-art results on challenging benchmarks.
VR-ConfTr reduces noise in CP training, leading to more stable and efficient model performance.
problem Improving the efficiency and stability of conformal prediction during model training.
method Variance-reduced conformal training (VR-ConfTr) that incorporates variance reduction in gradient estimation.
result VR-ConfTr achieves faster convergence and smaller prediction sets compared to existing methods.
Several useful variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms, such as SVRG, SAGA, Finito, and SAG, have been proposed to minimize empirical risks with linear convergence properties to the exact minimizer. The existing convergence results assume uniform data sampling with replacement. However, it has been observed in …
The paper characterizes optimal dynamic portfolios for a modified mean-variance utility.
problem Optimal dynamic portfolio choice for a modified mean-variance utility.
method Complete characterization under minimal assumptions, no restrictions on asset return moments.
result Maximal MMV utility is linked to the monotone Sharpe ratio, with global squared MSR as the nominal yield.
Minimizing Shortfallq-fin.PM
This paper describes an empirical study of shortfall optimization with Barra Extreme Risk. We compare minimum shortfall to minimum variance portfolios in the US, UK, and Japanese equity markets using Barra Style Factors (Value, Growth, Momentum, etc.). We show that minimizing shortfall generally improves performance ov…
Optimizes MCMC chains with neural control variates.
problem Reducing variance in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations.
method Uses neural networks as control variates to minimize asymptotic variance.
result Derives optimal convergence rate under various ergodicity assumptions.
The paper develops algorithms to minimize misallocation and identify the arm with the highest variance.
problem Minimizing misallocation and identifying the arm with the highest variance from a set of arms.
method Developed novel online algorithms UCB-VV for misallocation minimization and SHVV for fixed budget best arm identification.
result The algorithms achieve optimal performance in terms of misallocation and error probability.
Paper tackles heavy-tailed data without finite variance, proposing robust risk minimization.
problem Empirical risk minimization under heavy-tailed data with finite -th moment.
method Minimizes risk values robustly estimated via Catoni's method, using generalized generic chaining.
result Shows better performance of optimizer based on empirical risks via Catoni-style estimation.
In this paper we propose a novel variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains based on minimization of an estimate for the asymptotic variance of these functionals over suitable classes of control variates. A distinctive feature of the proposed approach is its ability to significantly reduce th…
Deep learning improves option pricing in incomplete markets.
problem Optimal pricing and hedging in incomplete jump diffusion markets.
method Stackelberg game approach, deep learning (feedforward and LSTM networks).
result Deep learning algorithm outperforms traditional methods in incomplete markets.
We provide a new characterization of mean-variance hedging strategies in a general semimartingale market. The key point is the introduction of a new probability measure which turns the dynamic asset allocation problem into a myopic one. The minimal martingale measure relative to coincides with t…
The study analyzes pricing and hedging of STCDOs using an affine model with a catastrophic risk component.
problem Pricing and hedging of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) with specific focus on mezzanine and equity tranches.
method Specified an affine two-factor model with a catastrophic risk component, estimated using QML and Kalman filter, derived variance-minimizing strategy, analyzed actual performance and simulated extreme loss scenarios.
result The variance-minimizing strategy is most effective for mezzanine tranches but fails for equity tranches.
To improve the efficient frontier of the classical mean-variance model in continuous time, we propose a varying terminal time mean-variance model with a constraint on the mean value of the portfolio asset, which moves with the varying terminal time. Using the embedding technique from stochastic optimal control in conti…
Paper shows ERM's suboptimality due to bias, not variance.
problem Understanding why ERM fails to achieve optimal rates.
method Probabilistic and admissibility proofs for ERM in various settings.
result ERM's suboptimality is due to bias, not variance.
We consider a composite convex minimization problem associated with regularized empirical risk minimization, which often arises in machine learning. We propose two new stochastic gradient methods that are based on stochastic dual averaging method with variance reduction. Our methods generate a sparser solution than the…
This paper investigates the pricing and hedging of variance swaps under a volatility model. Explicit pricing and hedging formulas of variance swaps are obtained under the benchmark approach, which only requires the existence of the numéraire portfolio. The growth optimal portfolio is the numéraire portfolio and u…
Increasing variance of losses improves learning with noisy labels.
problem Learning with noisy labels and the need to penalize variance of losses.
method Designing regularizers based on the label noise transition matrix to increase variance of losses.
result Increasing variance of losses significantly improves generalization ability.
We consider the problem of minimizing the composition of a smooth (nonconvex) function and a smooth vector mapping, where the inner mapping is in the form of an expectation over some random variable or a finite sum. We propose a stochastic composite gradient method that employs an incremental variance-reduced estimator…
A new framework for bilevel optimization tackles stochastic and global variance reduction.
problem Bilevel optimization challenges in large-scale empirical risk minimization.
method Introducing a novel framework where inner and main variables evolve simultaneously, leading to unbiased estimates and global variance reduction algorithms.
result SABA algorithm achieves $O( rac{1}{T})$ convergence rate and linear convergence under Polyak-Lojasciewicz assumption.
New method improves convergence and reduces variance in noisy optimization problems.
problem Computing exact minimizers with noisy gradient information.
method Stochastic mirror descent with interacting particles.
result Interaction helps improve convergence and reduce variance.
The paper studies risk-sensitive learning schemes and provides learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers.
problem Risk-sensitive learning aims to minimize risk-averse measures of loss.
method Proposes learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers based on Rademacher average and variance.
result Provides two learning bounds on the performance of empirical OCE minimizers.
New algorithms reduce variance in solving complex mathematical problems.
problem Solving convex-concave saddle point problems, variational inequalities, and inclusions.
method Stochastic variance reduction for extragradient, forward-backward-forward, and forward-reflected-backward methods.
result All proposed methods converge with complexities matching or improving deterministic counterparts.
The paper analyzes the variance of different shuffling methods in stochastic gradient descent.
problem Understanding the variance of different shuffling methods in stochastic gradient descent.
method Power spectral density analysis to study the noise sequences of stochastic gradients.
result The stationary variances of iterates decrease in the order of SGD, SGD-RR, and SGD-SO.
We revisit resampling procedures for error estimation in binary classification in terms of U-statistics. In particular, we exploit the fact that the error rate estimator involving all learning-testing splits is a U-statistic. Thus, it has minimal variance among all unbiased estimators and is asymptotically normally dis…
Study optimal adjustment sets for causal policies with hidden variables.
problem Estimating dynamic treatment regimes with hidden variables.
method Developed criteria for graphs without hidden variables to compare estimators, extended to dynamic policies and hidden variables.
result Existence and computation of optimal minimal and globally optimal adjustment sets.
This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called mean-variance efficient à la Markowitz. It is shown that, when the market coefficients a…
Develops variance-reduced methods for solving generalized equations.
problem Solving a class of generalized equations, including minimization, minimax, and variational inequalities.
method Integrates accelerated operator splitting, fixed-point methods, and variance reduction techniques.
result Achieves both and convergence rates on the expected squared norm of the FBS residual.
We propose algorithms for online principal component analysis (PCA) and variance minimization for adaptive settings. Previous literature has focused on upper bounding the static adversarial regret, whose comparator is the optimal fixed action in hindsight. However, static regret is not an appropriate metric when the un…
This work proposes using zero-variance control variates to reduce variance in pathwise gradient estimators for variational inference.
problem Pathwise gradient estimators in variational inference have high variance, leading to inefficient optimization.
method Apply zero-variance control variates to pathwise gradient estimators.
result Zero-variance control variates can significantly reduce the variance of pathwise gradient estimators without requiring complex assumptions.
A Unifying Framework for Variance Reduction Algorithms for Finding Zeroes of Monotone Operatorsstat.ML
It is common to encounter large-scale monotone inclusion problems where the objective has a finite sum structure. We develop a general framework for variance-reduced forward-backward splitting algorithms for this problem. This framework includes a number of existing deterministic and variance-reduced algorithms for fun…
We obtain a sharp lower bound on the isoperimetric deficit of a general polygon in terms of the variance of its side lengths, the variance of its radii, and its deviation from being convex. Our technique involves a functional minimization problem on a suitably constructed compact manifold and is based on the spectral t…
This work improves variational inference by reducing gradient variance.
problem Hard optimization of flexible variational distributions.
method Control variate based on quadratic approximation of the model's mean and covariance.
result Significant improvement in gradient variance and optimization convergence.
There exist a number of reinforcement learning algorithms which learnby climbing the gradient of expected reward. Their long-runconvergence has been proved, even in partially observableenvironments with non-deterministic actions, and without the need fora system model. However, the variance of the gradient estimator ha…
Stochastic Optimization with Variance Reduction for Infinite Datasets with Finite-Sum Structurestat.ML
Stochastic optimization algorithms with variance reduction have proven successful for minimizing large finite sums of functions. Unfortunately, these techniques are unable to deal with stochastic perturbations of input data, induced for example by data augmentation. In such cases, the objective is no longer a finite su…
Improves gradient estimation for discrete distributions with variance reduction techniques.
problem Excessive variance in gradient estimation for discrete distributions.
method Stein operators for discrete distributions and control variates.
result Substantially lower variance in gradient estimation.
We analyze bias-variance of margin losses.
problem Understanding model overfitting/underfitting.
method Bias-variance decomposition for strictly convex margin losses.
result Expected risk decomposes into central model risk and data variation.