A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper presents AETN for efficient user modeling from mobile app usage.
Machine Learning (ML) models trained on data from multiple demographic groups can inherit representation disparity (Hashimoto et al., 2018) that may exist in the data: the model may be less favorable to groups contributing less to the training process; this in turn can degrade population retention in these groups over …
A new AMM design reduces impermanent loss and retains more liquidity.
MACI improves LLM factuality inference with higher retention and lower time cost.
Classifies privacy policy segments for better user understanding.
Predicting and improving player retention is crucial to the success of mobile Free-to-Play games. This paper explores the problem of rapid retention prediction in this context. Heuristic modeling approaches are introduced as a way of building simple rules for predicting short-term retention. Compared to common classifi…
This paper illustrates the similarities between the problems of customer churn and employee turnover. An example of employee turnover prediction model leveraging classical machine learning techniques is developed. Model outputs are then discussed to design \& test employee retention policies. This type of retention dis…
User intended actions are widely seen in many areas. Forecasting these actions and taking proactive measures to optimize business outcome is a crucial step towards sustaining the steady business growth. In this work, we focus on pre- dicting attrition, which is one of typical user intended actions. Conventional attriti…
In the hypothesis of rare loss events, the general expression of the policy value has been determined as a functional of the "expected frequency / loss severity" function and of the retention function. Exponential disutility has been chosen after mathematical characterization of some of its economical aspects, where fu…
A Qini-based uplift model improves retention marketing campaign performance.
Model predicts user engagement and survival time in games.
Machine learning models (e.g., speech recognizers) are usually trained to minimize average loss, which results in representation disparity---minority groups (e.g., non-native speakers) contribute less to the training objective and thus tend to suffer higher loss. Worse, as model accuracy affects user retention, a minor…
Maximizing product use is a central goal of many businesses, which makes retention and monetization two central analytics metrics in games. Player retention may refer to various duration variables quantifying product use: total playtime or session playtime are popular research targets, and active playtime is well-suite…
Predicting which players will convert to paying users in video games.
This study integrates cost-sensitive and causal classification methods.
Endogenous reinsurance pricing in large insurance markets
New insights into continual learning with task similarity.
A framework combining HSMM and survival analysis for lifecycle-oriented mobility analysis.
The study optimizes free trial lengths to boost subscriptions and consumer loyalty.
Study analyzes player churn and purchasing behavior in games.
New approach to continual learning prioritizes adaptation over retention.
The paper analyzes dynamics of momentum in high dimensions with sparse updates.
Current generation of memory-augmented neural networks has limited scalability as they cannot efficiently process data that are too large to fit in the external memory storage. One example of this is lifelong learning scenario where the model receives unlimited length of data stream as an input which contains vast majo…
LCBM model improves image classification without human supervision.
The emergence of mobile games has caused a paradigm shift in the video-game industry. Game developers now have at their disposal a plethora of information on their players, and thus can take advantage of reliable models that can accurately predict player behavior and scale to huge datasets. Churn prediction, a challeng…
The paper uses RFM and clustering to segment bank customers.
A new framework ensures model safety by retaining old model capabilities while improving new tasks.
We present ChromAlignNet, a deep learning model for alignment of peaks in Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry (GC-MS) data. In GC-MS data, a compound's retention time (RT) may not stay fixed across multiple chromatograms. To use GC-MS data for biomarker discovery requires alignment of identical analyte's RT from diffe…
New metrics boost A/B-test power by up to 210%.
Trimming helps in conformal prediction when it separates anomaly scores.
Based on a point of view that solvency and security are first, this paper considers regular-singular stochastic optimal control problem of a large insurance company facing positive transaction cost asked by reinsurer under solvency constraint. The company controls proportional reinsurance and dividend pay-out policy to…
The brain optimizes memory by forgetting what's predictable, improving generalization.
New theory explains forgetting in learning algorithms.
New model analyzes customer churn with tensor completion and binary data.
Unified framework for unlearning in diffusion models using KL divergence and likelihood constraints.
In this paper, we have proposed a brain signal classification method, which uses eigenvalues of the covariance matrix as features to classify images (topomaps) created from the brain signals. The signals are recorded during the answering of 2D and 3D questions. The system is used to classify the correct and incorrect a…
Quantum systems with scrambling improve temporal information processing, but scaling requires exponential overhead.
This paper considers nonlinear regular-singular stochastic optimal control of large insurance company. The company controls the reinsurance rate and dividend payout process to maximize the expected present value of the dividend pay-outs until the time of bankruptcy. However, if the optimal dividend barrier is too low t…
Selective reinitialization improves adaptability of neural bandits in dynamic environments.
Proposes a greedy algorithm for telecom offers to retain subscribers.
A new uplift modeling approach uses binary treatment indicators more efficiently.
Graph-based approach predicts stock trends using dynamic multi-relational graphs.
Reducing user attrition, i.e. churn, is a broad challenge faced by several industries. In mobile social games, decreasing churn is decisive to increase player retention and rise revenues. Churn prediction models allow to understand player loyalty and to anticipate when they will stop playing a game. Thanks to these pre…
Firm growth process in the developing economies is known to produce divergence in their growth path giving rise to bimodality in the size distribution. Similar bimodality has been observed in wealth distribution as well. Here, we introduce a modified kinetic exchange model which can reproduce such features. In particul…
Optimal insurance minimizes ruin probability with non-decreasing functions.
The aim of this paper is to introduce an insurance model allowing reinsurance and dividend payment. Our model deals with several homogeneous contracts and takes into account the legislation regarding the provisions to be justified by the insurance companies. This translates into some restriction on the (maximal) number…
We introduce dropout compaction, a novel method for training feed-forward neural networks which realizes the performance gains of training a large model with dropout regularization, yet extracts a compact neural network for run-time efficiency. In the proposed method, we introduce a sparsity-inducing prior on the per u…
In recent years, distance education has enjoyed a major boom. Much work at The Open University (OU) has focused on improving retention rates in these modules by providing timely support to students who are at risk of failing the module. In this paper we explore methods for analysing student activity in online virtual l…