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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Ensembles

Overparameterized ensembles don't offer generalization benefits over single large models.

problem Theoretical limitations of ensembles in overparameterized settings.
method Using ensembles of random feature (RF) regressors, the paper clarifies how modern ensembles differ from underparameterized counterparts.
result Infinite ensembles of overparameterized RF regressors become pointwise equivalent to single infinite-width RF regressors, and finite width ensembles converge to single models with the same parameter budget.

New method creates diverse neural ensembles for better uncertainty estimation and robustness.

problem Creating more robust neural networks for uncertainty estimation and dataset shift.
method Automatically constructing ensembles with varying architectures.
result Ensembles with varying architectures outperform deep ensembles in accuracy, uncertainty calibration, and robustness.

New method certifies joint adversarial robustness of model ensembles.

problem Ensuring robustness of model ensembles against adversarial attacks.
method Proposes a novel technique to certify joint robustness, building on prior work on single-model robustness certification.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of certifying joint robustness of ensembles, improving understanding of ensemble defenses.

Embedded ensembles improve neural network performance efficiently.

problem Improving neural network performance with fewer resources.
method Analyzing the wide network limit of gradient descent dynamics using Neural-Tangent-Kernel.
result Embedded ensembles exhibit two regimes: independent and collective, affecting performance.

New hyperparameter ensembles boost neural network performance and uncertainty.

problem Improving neural network robustness and uncertainty quantification.
method Designing ensembles over both weights and hyperparameters, stratified across random initializations.
result Hyper-deep and hyper-batch ensembles outperform deep and batch ensembles on various architectures.

Bayesian deep ensembles improve prediction accuracy in various settings.

problem Improving prediction accuracy of deep ensembles in out-of-distribution settings.
method Introducing a randomised, untrainable function to each ensemble member, enabling a posterior predictive distribution interpretation.
result Bayesian deep ensembles make more conservative predictions and outperform standard ensembles in various tasks.

RCAM-based ensemble combines binary classifiers using similarity and vote scheme.

problem Improving binary classification accuracy through ensemble methods.
method RCAM-based ensemble combining classifiers using similarity and recurrent consult-vote scheme.
result RCAM-based ensemble outperforms individual classifiers and majority voting.

High-capacity neural network ensembles often benefit more from high-capacity models than from increased diversity.

problem The performance of high-capacity neural network ensembles is often harmed by interventions that promote predictive diversity.
method A large-scale study of nearly 600 neural network classification ensembles, examining various interventions and architectures.
result Discouraging predictive diversity can be benign in large-network ensembles, and higher-capacity models often yield better performance than diverse architectures.

New method reduces ensemble size for linear bandits, achieving near optimal regret.

problem Achieving near optimal regret in linear bandits with limited ensemble size.
method Ensemble sampling with a size of order dlogTd \log T for a dd-dimensional stochastic linear bandit.
result Regret is at most (dlogT)5/2T(d \log T)^{5/2} \sqrt{T}, improving over linear scaling with TT.

Jointly tuning ensemble models improves performance and uncertainty calibration.

problem Improving both predictive performance and uncertainty calibration in deep ensembles.
method Investigated the impact of jointly tuning weight decay, temperature scaling, and early stopping.
result Jointly tuning ensemble models generally matches or improves performance, with significant variation across tasks.

Paper analyzes uncertainty metrics in ensemble learning for healthcare AI.

problem Selecting appropriate uncertainty metrics for ensemble learners in healthcare AI.
method Rigorous analysis of two uncertainty metrics: ensemble mean and variance.
result Ensemble mean is preferable to ensemble variance for decision making in healthcare AI.

We propose and evaluate alternative ensemble schemes for a new instance based learning classifier, the Randomised Sphere Cover (RSC) classifier. RSC fuses instances into spheres, then bases classification on distance to spheres rather than distance to instances. The randomised nature of RSC makes it ideal for use in en…

2014-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensembles of neural networks have been shown to give better performance than single networks, both in terms of predictions and uncertainty estimation. Additionally, ensembles allow the uncertainty to be decomposed into aleatoric (data) and epistemic (model) components, giving a more complete picture of the predictive u…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble++ uses shared-factor ensembles to scale Thompson Sampling for linear and nonlinear bandits.

problem Computational challenges in Thompson Sampling for large-scale or non-conjugate settings.
method Ensemble++ with shared-factor architecture and random linear combinations.
result Ensemble++ achieves comparable regret to exact Thompson Sampling with significantly smaller ensemble sizes.

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

Efficient neural network ensembles improve image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in neural network predictions for industrial image classification.
method Investigated efficient neural network ensembles (snapshot, batch, multi-input multi-output) for image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.
result Batch ensemble is a cost-effective and competitive alternative to deep ensembles, offering savings in training and test time.

Ensembles of deep neural networks significantly improve generalization accuracy. However, training neural network ensembles requires a large amount of computational resources and time. State-of-the-art approaches either train all networks from scratch leading to prohibitive training cost that allows only very small ens…

2018-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes ensemble Kalman updates for effective dimension and localization.

problem Why small ensemble sizes work well in inverse problems and data assimilation.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of ensemble Kalman updates, focusing on effective dimension and localization.
result Rigorously explains why a small ensemble size is sufficient when prior covariance has moderate effective dimension.

Repulsive deep ensembles improve diversity and Bayesian inference.

problem Challenges in maintaining diversity among ensemble members trained independently.
method Introducing a repulsive term in the update rule of deep ensembles.
result Training dynamics of repulsive ensembles follow a Wasserstein gradient flow of KL divergence with the true posterior.

This research tackles uncertainty in gradient boosting models using ensemble methods.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient boosting models for high-risk applications.
method Probabilistic ensemble-based framework for gradient boosting classification and regression models.
result Ensembles of gradient boosting models detect anomalous inputs but have limited ability to improve total uncertainty.

Fibonacci Ensembles use Fibonacci weights to improve ensemble learning, inspired by natural growth patterns.

problem Improving ensemble learning methods to enhance model performance and interpretability.
method Introduces Fibonacci weights and a recursive ensemble dynamic to reduce variance and enrich representational depth.
result Fibonacci weighting can match or improve upon uniform averaging in ensemble learning experiments.

Ensembling improves performance when classifiers disagree more than average.

problem When do ensembles provide significant performance improvements in classification tasks?
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of ensemble improvement rate and disagreement-error ratio.
result Ensembling improves performance significantly when the disagreement rate is large relative to the average error rate.

Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capable of distinguishing between different \emph{forms} of uncertainty. However, ensembles come at a computational and memory cost which may be…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.

problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.

Ensembles improve classifier performance by reducing bias, not variance.

problem Improving classifier performance through ensemble methods.
method Extended bias-variance decomposition for classification tasks, introducing dual reparameterization.
result Ensembling reduces bias in classifiers, contrary to the traditional view.

Ensembles of models have been empirically shown to improve predictive performance and to yield robust measures of uncertainty. However, they are expensive in computation and memory. Therefore, recent research has focused on distilling ensembles into a single compact model, reducing the computational and memory burden o…

2020-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse answers by reweighting the observations or by resampling them using a given pro…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Auto-Ensemble automates deep learning model ensembling with adaptive learning rate scheduling.

problem Difficulty in collecting diverse and accurate deep learning models through single training.
method Auto-Ensemble collects model checkpoints and uses adaptive learning rate scheduling to ensemble them.
result Ensembled models converge to various local optima, improving performance on few-shot learning.

Tree ensembles, such as random forest and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance, whereas their interpretability is critically limited. In this paper, we propose a post processing method that improves the model interpretability of tree ensembles. After learning a complex tree ensembles in a s…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Quadrature improves ensembling for neural networks with dispersed likelihood peaks.

problem Ensembling neural networks struggles with dispersed, narrow peaks in likelihood surfaces.
method Uses Bayesian Quadrature to construct weighted ensembles of architectures.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in test likelihood, accuracy, and expected calibration error.

Improved regret bound for linear ensemble sampling.

problem Closing the gap between theory and practice in linear ensemble sampling.
method General regret analysis framework for linear bandit algorithms, revealing a relationship with LinPHE.
result Achieves a frequentist regret bound of ildeO(d3/2T) ilde{O}(d^{3/2}\sqrt{T}) for linear ensemble sampling.

Ensembles of random-feature models can't outperform a single large model.

problem Finding the optimal balance between model size and ensemble size.
method Deterministic equivalent risk estimates and scaling laws analysis.
result Ensembles of random-feature models achieve near-optimal performance only under specific conditions.

Clustering ensemble, or consensus clustering, has emerged as a powerful tool for improving both the robustness and the stability of results from individual clustering methods. Weighted clustering ensemble arises naturally from clustering ensemble. One of the arguments for weighted clustering ensemble is that elements (…

2019-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗