Hybrid deep learning model predicts urban floods with high accuracy.
problem Urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data.
method FastGRNN-FCN hybrid deep learning model trained on Harris County, Texas flood data.
result Test accuracy and F-measure reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively.
The shortage of high-resolution urban digital elevation model (DEM) datasets has been a challenge for modelling urban flood and managing its risk. A solution is to develop effective approaches to reconstruct high-resolution DEMs from their low-resolution equivalents that are more widely available. However, the current …
Machine learning predicts flood risk across river basins.
problem Costly physics-based models are not generalizable.
method Supervised machine learning using remote sensing data.
result Machine learning models predict flood susceptibility.
Framework improves ML flood mapping generalization.
problem Improving machine learning models' ability to generalize to new conditions.
method Dimensionless, multi-scale features constrained by the Buckingham Π theorem.
result Model outperformed dimensional features, improving AUC in unmapped areas.
Deep learning framework predicts streamflow and flood probabilities in Australian catchments.
problem Large-scale flooding prediction challenges due to model calibration and missing data.
method Ensemble quantile-based deep learning framework using quantile regression and CAMELS dataset.
result Notable efficacy and uncertainties in streamflow forecasts with varied catchment properties.
Elevating houses to flood risk increases uncertainty, leading to higher optimal elevations.
problem Deciding how high to elevate houses to manage riverine flood risks is complex due to uncertainties.
method Used a multi-objective robust decision-making framework to analyze uncertainties.
result Optimal house elevation can be significantly higher than FEMA's recommendation due to deep uncertainties.
Flood forecasts are crucial for effective individual and governmental protective action. The vast majority of flood-related casualties occur in developing countries, where providing spatially accurate forecasts is a challenge due to scarcity of data and lack of funding. This paper describes an operational system provid…
This paper analyzes extreme flooding risks and proposes insurance and bond solutions.
problem Severe rise in magnitude and frequency of floods causing catastrophic losses.
method Extremes analysis using Peaks-Over-Threshold method and Point Process model; Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) estimation; Flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.
result Developed flood risk vulnerability and threat analysis considering geography and economic factors; Proposed flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.
CNN model predicts fluvial floods quickly and accurately.
problem Real-time flood prediction is computationally demanding.
method Deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) trained on 2D hydraulic model outputs.
result CNN model outperforms SVR in predicting flood inundation.
Physically-based overland flow models are computationally demanding, hindering their use for real-time applications. Therefore, the development of fast (and reasonably accurate) overland flow models is needed if they are to be used to support flood mitigation decision making. In this study, we investigate the potential…
Study finds more flood risk strategies can improve outcomes in NYC.
problem Managing future flood risks with complex models.
method Used an intermediate complexity model to analyze flood risk strategies.
result More combinations of risk mitigation strategies expand the solution set and improve outcomes.
A new model predicts spatially varying inland flooding from time-varying inputs.
problem Ignoring time series and spatial correlations in flood models leads to inaccurate predictions.
method Introduced a multioutput Gaussian process model with separable kernels for functional inputs and spatial locations.
result The model provides accurate predictions of spatially varying inland flooding with minimal computational time.
Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life, and reduction the property damage associated with floods. To mimic the complex …
Study improves flood loss risk models using historical data and rainfall data.
problem Predicting financial losses from flooding events.
method Used neural networks, decision trees, and kernel-based regressors on NFIP dataset, incorporating rainfall data.
result Extreme Gradient Boosting provided the best results, and bias correction improved model performance.
Flooding prevents deep networks from achieving zero training loss, improving test performance.
problem Deep networks can achieve zero training error but often have zero training loss, leading to overconfidence and poor test performance.
method Flooding prevents training loss from reaching zero by applying gradient ascent when loss is below a preset flood level.
result Flooding improves test performance and induces a double descent curve of the test loss.
Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…
SoftAD improves classification accuracy with less fine-tuning and fewer computational costs.
problem Improving classification accuracy with less fine-tuning and fewer computational costs.
method SoftAD is a softened, pointwise mechanism that downweights borderline points and limits the effects of outliers.
result SoftAD achieves classification accuracy competitive with flooding and SAM, with a smaller loss generalization gap and model norm.
New protocol reduces communication costs for heterogeneous bandits over complex networks.
problem Minimizing group regret in a multi-agent, heterogeneous bandit setting over complex networks.
method Flooding with Absorption (FwA) protocol for heterogeneous bandits over complex networks.
result FwA protocol significantly reduces communication costs compared to flooding while maintaining similar regret performance.
Satellite imaging is a critical technology for monitoring and responding to natural disasters such as flooding. Despite the capabilities of modern satellites, there is still much to be desired from the perspective of first response organisations like UNICEF. Two main challenges are rapid access to data, and the ability…
LSTM model predicts climate impacts on floods and droughts.
problem Predicting climate impacts on individual watersheds is challenging.
method Large-scale LSTM training on extensive data sets.
result LSTM model outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting extreme flows.
Machine learning predicts dam-break flood wave behavior accurately.
problem Predicting long-term wave behavior in dam-break floods.
method Solved Saint-Venant equations using Lax-Wendroff scheme, trained RC-ESN with flow depth data.
result RC-ESN model predicts 286 time-steps ahead with RMSE < 0.01, outperforming LSTM.
Forecast dam inflow using sea surface feature weights.
problem Accurate dam inflow forecasting for flood mitigation.
method Extracted sea surface features, applied L2-norm ensemble weighting, used PCA and t-SNE for dimensionality reduction, and calibrated regression models.
result The proposed method improves predictor stability and accuracy in dam inflow forecasting.
Neural network model forecasts extreme flood risk.
problem Accurately estimating high quantiles of extreme events.
method EQRN model combining neural networks and extreme value theory.
result Forecasting flood risk with improved adaptability.
Recently developed machine learning techniques, in association with the Internet of Things (IoT) allow for the implementation of a method of increasing oil production from heavy-oil wells. Steam flood injection, a widely used enhanced oil recovery technique, uses thermal and gravitational potential to mobilize and dilu…
Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational difficulty of building continent/global level models that are sufficiently accurate. M…
A long-standing question for urban and regional planners pertains to the ability to describe urban patterns quantitatively. Cities' transport infrastructure, particularly street networks, provides an invaluable source of information about the urban patterns generated by peoples' movements and their interactions. With t…
UrbanRhythm reveals urban dynamics from mobility data.
problem Understanding changing urban activities over time.
method Extracting staying, leaving, arriving attributes; using Saak transform; clustering for city states; motif analysis for short-term regularity.
result Characterized urban dynamics as city state transformations over time.
Graph embeddings from commute networks identify socioeconomic disparities in urban areas.
problem Urban delineation and socioeconomic group identification.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) for modeling commute networks and deriving node embeddings.
result GNNs effectively capture socioeconomic disparities between urban communities.
CityTFT models urban building energy using a data-driven approach.
problem Current UBEM methods are time-consuming and based on physics.
method CityTFT uses a TFT framework with an augmented loss function.
result CityTFT predicts energy demands with high accuracy.
Flood extent mapping plays a crucial role in disaster management and national water forecasting. Unfortunately, traditional classification methods are often hampered by the existence of noise, obstacles and heterogeneity in spectral features as well as implicit anisotropic spatial dependency across class labels. In thi…
Paper uses DeePC to improve urban traffic lights, reducing congestion and emissions.
problem Urban traffic congestion in expanding cities.
method Behavioral system theory, data-driven control, DeePC algorithm.
result DeePC outperforms existing traffic control methods in travel time and CO2 emissions.
Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between crime and urban metrics. However, because of non-Gaussian distributions and multic…
Urban transformations within large and growing metropolitan areas often generate critical dynamics affecting social interactions, transport connectivity and income flow distribution. We develop a statistical-mechanical model of urban transformations, exemplified for Greater Sydney, and derive a thermodynamic descriptio…
Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.
problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.
Recent years have witnessed the world-wide emergence of mega-metropolises with incredibly huge populations. Understanding residents mobility patterns, or urban dynamics, thus becomes crucial for building modern smart cities. In this paper, we propose a Neighbor-Regularized and context-aware Non-negative Tensor Factoriz…
The paper uses GIS data to predict urban sprawl.
problem Overgrowth and expansion of low-density areas with car dependency and segregation.
method Data mining algorithms (Apriori, J4.8) adapted for geospatial analysis using ArcGIS.
result Prototype spatial decision support system (SDSS) predicts urban sprawl and estimates impact variables.
New method provides reliable high-confidence prediction intervals for high-impact events.
problem High-impact events require very high confidence prediction intervals, but classical methods provide uninformative intervals.
method Bridge extreme value statistics and conformal prediction to provide reliable and informative prediction intervals.
result Provides reliable and informative prediction intervals with high-confidence coverage.
Paper optimizes urban navigation with deep learning models.
problem Real-time urban pathfinding challenges.
method Enhanced A* algorithm and neural network model.
result Neural network model outperforms traditional methods, reducing travel times by up to 40%.
Deep learning agent improves pedestrian navigation in urban environments.
problem Autonomous driving among pedestrians in urban areas.
method Multi-objective deep reinforcement learning using a deep Q-learning variant.
result The multi-objective DQN agent outperforms single-objective DQN in various environments.
Novel RL method handles urban driving tasks including traffic lights.
problem Difficulties in reinforcement learning for complex urban driving tasks.
method Implicit affordances for model-free RL.
result Successfully handles urban driving tasks including traffic lights.
Data scientists guide to streamflow prediction and flood forecasting.
problem Forecasting floods and predicting streamflow volume.
method Explains hydrologic concepts and machine learning applications.
result Helps data scientists understand streamflow prediction.
Bayesian network framework assesses urban risks across multiple domains.
problem Complex interdependencies in urban systems.
method Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) with DAGs, Hill-Climbing search, BIC, K2 scoring, synthetic data, SMOTE.
result Identifies key risk factors and quantifies likelihood of cascading failures.
AirRL uses RL to infer urban air quality from selected stations.
problem Inferring fine-grained urban air quality from limited monitoring stations.
method Reinforcement learning model with a dynamic station selector and air quality regressor.
result AirRL achieves highest performance in air quality inference experiments.
The study models insurance dependence using Bernstein copulas.
problem Modeling dependence structures in nonlife insurance data.
method Review and suggest fitting Bernstein copulas to empirical data.
result Monte Carlo simulation and PML estimation for aggregate losses.
Study optimizes climate adaptation strategies for NYC.
problem Catastrophic damages from extreme weather in NYC.
method Real options analysis and extreme value theory.
result Optimal adaptation pathways identified for NYC.
Quantile regression improves urban water demand forecasting.
problem Improving probabilistic urban water demand forecasting.
method Comparing five quantile regression algorithms and their combinations for one-day ahead forecasting.
result Linear boosting algorithm performs best for probabilistic urban water demand forecasting.
Traffic forecasting problem remains a challenging task in the intelligent transportation system due to its spatio-temporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependency is relatively less explored due to its large variations, especially in the urban environment. In thi…